Monday, June 29, 2020

Sputnik — UN Declares ‘Massive Rise’ in Hunger Spikes as WHO Warns Pandemic ‘Not Close to Being Over’


The pandemic seems to be accelerating — Global R (reproduction value) increasing — rather than stabilizing or declining.
In a Monday news release, the WFP warned that tens of millions of people will most likely go hungry this year due the COVID-19 pandemic. The agency’s estimates show that around 270 million people will face food insecurity before the year ends, which represents an 82% increase from before the pandemic swept across the globe....
Sputnik International
UN Declares ‘Massive Rise’ in Hunger Spikes as WHO Warns Pandemic ‘Not Close to Being Over’

SouthFront — Russia Experimented With “Swarm” Battle Formation Of Su-35 Jets, Led By Su-57 Fighter Jet


Swarm is the future.
He added that similar work is being carried out by the United States of America, in particular for its F35 fighter jets.
In addition, Murakhovsky said, so far neither Russia nor the United States have been able to build such a unified information system for managing all types of troops due to difficulties in creating a single data format for different types and branches of the armed forces.
The operative term is "information system."

SouthFront
Russia Experimented With “Swarm” Battle Formation Of Su-35 Jets, Led By Su-57 Fighter Jet

SouthFront — China Recruits MMA Fighters For Its Border Militia To Counter India


"Don't mess with China."

Actually, hand to hand is step forward rather than back.

SouthFront
China Recruits MMA Fighters For Its Border Militia To Counter India

Understanding R: Why we need more intelligent leaders — Charles Adams


Going viral is similar in progression to compound interest.

R number is the reproductive factor of the virus.

The goal is to get R under 1.0 as soon as possible.

Middle East Eye — Israel orders US-based evangelical channel off air over conversion accusations


Read:  Israel pokes US in eye.

Middle East Eye
Israel orders US-based evangelical channel off air over conversion accusations

China-based TikTok and other apps are banned in India following border conflict — Lydia Dishman

National security concerns are cited for the reason the Indian Ministry is shutting down access to 59 Chinese apps.
TikTok, ShareIt, WeChat, and 56 other Chinese apps have been banned in India over what the government called national security concerns.
Further splintering of the global Internet as globalization reverses gear.
Lydia Dishman

Chinese Oil Majors Could Form A Powerful Buyers Club — Irina Slav

China’s state-owned oil companies—Sinopec, CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinochem—are discussing an arrangement to buy crude oil together instead of individually, to avoid bidding wars and gain more bargaining power, unnamed sources in the know told Bloomberg.
The group has already secured the support of the central government and its first step as a collective buyer would be to bid on Russian and African oil cargos on the spot market, the Bloomberg sources said.
If the group bidding pans out, it could indeed give the four quite a lot of bargaining power: Bloomberg notes that Sinopec, CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinochem together import more than 5 million bpd of crude oil, which is more than 20 percent of OPEC’s total daily production. That stood at a little over 24 million bpd as of May....
 The swing buyer cartel.

US Loses Myanmar to China — Joseph Thomas


Winning the battle and losing the war.

NEO
US Loses Myanmar to China
Joseph Thomas

Governments should do everything possible to avoid recessions – yet they don’t — Bill Mitchell

In May 2020, the IMF published a new Working Paper (No 20/73) – Hysteresis and Business Cycles – which provides some insights into what happens during an economic cycle. The IMF are somewhat late to the party as they usually are. We have known about the concept and relevance of hysteresis since the 1980s. In terms of the academic work, I was one of the earliest contributors to the hysteresis literature in the world. I published several articles on the topic in the 1980s that came out of my PhD research as I was searching for solutions to the dominant view in the profession that the Phillips curve constraint prevented full employment from being sustained (the inflation impacts!). The lesson from this literature in part – especially in current times – is that governments should do everything possible to avoid recessions. The hysteresis notion tells us clearly that the future is path dependent. The longer and deeper the recession, the more damaging the consequences and the longer it takes to recover while enduring these elevated levels of misery. Organisations like the IMF have never embraced that sort of reasoning, until now it seems. They certainly didn’t act in this way during the Greek disaster. But, better late than never....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Governments should do everything possible to avoid recessions – yet they don’t
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

AFR does hatchet job on Kohler MMT push — David Llewellyn-Smith


Meeting the onslaught.

Macrobusiness
AFR does hatchet job on Kohler MMT push
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal

We Need a Jobs Guarantee Now More Than Ever — Paul Prescod

Review of The Case For a Job Guarantee, by Pavlina Tcherneva (Wiley, 2020).
An idea whose time has come.
The demand for some version of a federal job guarantee is not new in US politics. Tcherneva highlights that the idea was part of the UN Declaration of Human Rights and Franklin D. Roosevelt’s Economic Bill of Rights, as well as a key issue raised during the Civil Rights Movement. Though there were some impressive federal job programs mounted during the New Deal, the author calls the Job Guarantee “the missing piece of the Roosevelt Revolution.”... 
The Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment Act. signed in to law on October 27, 1978 by President Jimmy Carter and codified as15 USC § 3101, also mandated full employment through US government policy. Effective action on it is overdue.

Jacobin
We Need a Jobs Guarantee Now More Than Ever
Paul Prescod

Your Childhood Neighbourhood Could Affect You on an Epigenetic Level, Says New Study

The research into Learned Helplessness has also shown why some people can fall behind.

Numerous studies have shown that children who grow up in more deprived neighbourhoods tend to have worse physical health as adults compared to those raised in more affluent areas.

Your Childhood Neighbourhood Could Affect You on an Epigenetic Level, Says New Study

Your Environment Could Be Changing Your IQ on a Genetic Level, Study Findsamp

Jonathon Pie - Woke Utopia

When I tweeted that pulling statues down was destroying heritage, I got a lot of backlash for it. I said if I go to Rome I would prefer to see the ancient buildings in all their splendider rather than ruins, despite Rome's brutal history. 

Cancel culture comes full circle as an MP is fired for posting an article from The Independent.


Renegade Inc l Bailing Out or Bankrupting Britain

MMT is coming!

Every time house prices go up the financial press states that the country has become wealthier, but all that has happened is that wealth has been transferred from one section of the public (those that don't own houses) to another (those that do).

The governor of the Bank of England is a public servant. He recently claimed that the UK almost went bankrupt at the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic.

But how does a country that issues its own currency go bust? Or are we in danger of propping up sectors that in the medium term just don’t have a future?

Host Ross Ashcroft is joined by the economists and authors Josh Ryan-Collin and Laurie Macfarlane by to discuss if this crisis can be an opportunity to re-shape our economy.`

RT UK is a channel based in London covering British news and politics, protests and interviews with people who make a difference.



The BBC - Why we need to grow the deficit

Could the principles of Modern Monetary Theory show us a way out of the current economic crisis?


The BBC now!

Stephanie Kelton.



Socialism in China - How GOVERNMENT and INFRASTRUCTURE ALLEVIATE POVERTY (NO HAND OUTS)

This guy is Colombian and is a serial entrepreneur who has often enjoyed dangerous sports earning money from them. So, he's not someone you might expect to be a typical CCP supporter.

Anyway, one freedom that China has which much of the world hasn't, is freedom from fear. People are relaxed and friendly in China.

So, is living in dormitories provided by companies in China is really that bad? Well, if you think so then try living as a poor person in the US.

Socialism in China - How GOVERNMENT and INFRASTRUCTURE ALLEVIATE POVERTY (NO HAND OUTS)


Sunday, June 28, 2020

Gower Initiative — ‘What if the Public (really) Understood How Money Works?’ Just think what we could achieve!

After having previously been ignored and disparaged for decades by mainstream economists and politicians, MMT has been making the headlines and finding its way into a growing public conversation.
Two significant publications over the last few weeks are challenging the very basis upon which government policy is determined; ‘does it fit with our political agenda, is it affordable’ and ‘how can it be paid for?’
The Deficit Myth’ by Stephanie Kelton was described by Professor Hans G Despain in a review in the LSE blog as a ‘triumph’ challenging, as he explained, the false idea that ‘deficits are irresponsible and ruinous towards the productive political activity of deciding which spending programmes should be prioritised’.
Hot on its heels came Pavlina Tcherneva’s book ‘The case for A Job Guarantee’ described by James K Galbraith as the ‘next big, common-sense idea for economic reform’. And in the words of Paul Prescod in the Jacobin Mag, the Job Guarantee ‘offers an inspiring vision of what society would look like if we utilized the various talents and skills working people possess’
Both these publications have stirred an already growing interest in that hitherto boring subject of economics, showing that far from being irrelevant to people’s lives it is critical to them in terms of human and planetary well-being....
The Telegraph (UK) aka "Torygraph" has a scathing article denouncing MMT today, and specifically, The Deficit Myth. I won't link to it since it is behind a paywall, but clearly the TPTB have mounted a head-on attack. Expect more to come.

What is China really doing with its digital Yuan? — Chris Faure

China is doing no less than building a new model in FinTech that will make the old model obsolete and in this way they are simply leapfrogging the current financial systems distributing the dollar with fast, lean and modern systems supporting the Financial Silk Road...
Kick ass tech.
Quite rightly the Asiatimes is asking .. Who is actually decoupling from Whom? And I can add, and using modern FinTech to do so with solutions appropriate contextually to our modern world....
So, it is clear that both inside and outside of hard FinTech which this writing is about, the trajectory of recreating systems and simply leaving the US out, is alive and well....
Excellent backgrounder.

The upshot.
The West is 20 years behind this technology, because China decided to leapfrog and not follow the accepted development trajectory and as such has reconfigured the potentials for the entire planet.
It is high time and in the words of Michael Hudson: “So the United States, through the World Bank, has become I think the most dangerous, right-wing, evil organization in modern history — more evil than the IMF. That’s why it’s almost always been run by a Secretary of Defense. It has always been explicitly military. It’s the hard fist of American imperialism.”
The world is leapfrogging, and elegantly zig-zagging around current imperial financial systems, for a true birth of a new post capitalist post industrial order, without going to war for it.
The Vineyard of the Saker
What is China really doing with its digital Yuan?
Chris Faure 

Can corruption be good for growth? — Branko Milanovic

Yuen Yuen Ang, political science professor at University of Michigan, has written an ambitious book. “China’s Gilded Age: The Paradox of Economic Boom and Vast Corruption” is much more than an observer might infer from its title. Its goal is to redefine corruption, reexamine the relationship between corruption and economic growth, and analyze (often empirically) the role of corruption in China’s development during the past 40 years.
Ang begins with two important points: to better understand it, corruption needs to be unbundled into different types because they are likely to have different effects on economic growth. Second, it needs to be weened away from a Western-centric view that, in part because of inability to distinguish between different types of corruption, tends to overlook typical Western corruptions (say, in lobbying or revolving doors between private and public sectors) and present a biased view whereby corruption exists only in less developed economies. That view, Ang argues, leads to a mistaken view that corruption is bad for growth (despite dearth of confirming empirical evidence) and to an idealized view of development characterized by “inclusive institutions” (Acemoglu-Robinson) or “open-access societies” (Douglass North). They are both criticized by Ang.
She proposes a four-type breakdown of corruption. First, petty theft (pay bribe rather than fine); second, speed money: street-level corruption (get a shop license faster); third, grand theft (embezzlement on a large scale—Nigeria’s Abacha); fourth, access money (giving permissions to capitalists to engage in big projects). Only the latter, in Ang’s view, is desirable....
The concluding sentence is most interesting.
Eventually, one hopes, economists will move from their faux-moralizing attitude toward corruption and begin to treat some forms of it as rental income.
Global Inequality
Can corruption be good for growth?
Branko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Complementary currencies for municipal finance — Steve Randy Waldman

It is an act of criminal malfeasance that the United States’ federal government has not eased the tremendous fiscal pressure on states and municipalities, enabling them to prioritize public health and long-term economic wealth over immediate maintenance of tax revenue. Misgovernance of the United States presently rises to the level of war crime (and that is not just Donald Trump).
A recent article by Rohan Grey, aptly titled Monetary Resilience, highlights one way this national misgovernance might be circumvented. Municipalities could issue complementary currencies:...
Rohan Grey is an MMT lawyer.

What is an MMT lawyer, you ask. A lawyer that understands the institutional aspect of "money," which is as much as legal concept as an economic one, if not more.

A number of legal experts are now interested in MMT and involved in what has become the "MMT project" from an institutional and policy perspective in addition to an economic and financial one.

Lawyers Ellen Brown and Carlos (beowulf) Mucha were instrumental in the platinum coin proposal going viral, for instance.

Interfluidity
Complementary currencies for municipal finance
Steve Randy Waldman

US-China trade deal unravels. What next? — M. K. Bhadrakumar


Note: M. K. Bhadrakumar incorrectly asserts that Mike Pompeo was a sergeant in the US military, whereas Secretary Pompeo graduated first in class from West Point and served as an officer from 1986 to 1991, when he left the military with the rank of captain.

India Punchline
US-China trade deal unravels. What next?
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

See also

NEO
US-China Relations: The Picture Remains Extremely Paradoxical
Vladimir Terehov

New Book: The Case For A Job Guarantee — Brian Romanchuk


Excellent short review of Pavlina Tcherneva's new book on the MMT job guarantee.

Bond Economics
New Book: The Case For A Job Guarantee
Brian Romanchuk

Donald Trump Tweet - Afghanistan Attack

Nobody briefed or told me, @VP Pence, or Chief of Staff @MarkMeadows about the so-called attacks on our troops in Afghanistan by Russians, as reported through an “anonymous source” by the Fake News @nytimes. Everybody is denying it & there have not been many attacks on us.....
...Nobody’s been tougher on Russia than the Trump Administration. With Corrupt Joe Biden & Obama, Russia had a field day, taking over important parts of Ukraine - Where’s Hunter? Probably just another phony Times hit job, just like their failed Russia Hoax. Who is their “source”?

Can China become the number one SuperPower without "Freedom"?

An excellent video about China.

Why is there so much anti-Chinese propaganda in the West, because over the last 30 years China has gone from a poor nation to one of the richest, with its people enjoying an ever increasing standard of living, and this worries Western leaders because we might start asking them what went wrong here in the West?

Thatcher and Reagan brought in austerity and told us it would release us from the shackles of government, making our lives better and wealthier.

While we try to keep out Huawei 5G, this guy in this video has his fridge, washing machine, front gate, heating, all connected to the internet. This is standard in China. China is now world leader in many advanced technologies.


In this video, I discuss why I think China's economy will quietly take the first place in the world as a superpower, in spite of the trade war. Because of the supposed lack of "freedom" imposed by the chinese communist party, China's economic collapse is inevitable, according to some westerners - this argument falls on its face when you watch what China Youtubers are putting out day after day. 2020 has challenged the US economy and hegemony, and with Trump, the country is contracting faster and faster. Leadership shown during corresponding riots is a massive contrast - these are moments that defined China.




Saturday, June 27, 2020

Bridging China’s past with humanity’s future – Section 1 — Straight-Bat

This will be presented in 3 sections and in 3 different blog posts
Backgrounder with lots of economic history in addition to social and political history. While the author is a committed socialist, which is a matter of choice based largely on values (normative), the history (positive) seems to me to factual and well-researched. It's a tightly packed summary that covers centuries, so it is a fairly long read, but worthwhile. Increasingly, world history is being made in Eurasia.

The Vineyard of the Saker
Bridging China’s past with humanity’s future – Section 1
Straight-Bat for the Saker Blog
By profession I’m an Engineer and Consultant, but my first love was and is History and Political Science. In retired life, I’m pursuing higher study in Economics.
I’m one of the few decade-old members of The Saker blog-site. Hope that this website will continue to focus on truth and justice in public life and will support the struggle of common people across the world.
An Indian by nationality, I believe in humanity.
See also

Martin Powers lays a lot of the blame on Hegel for the historical phenomenon of Western "exceptionalism" as a cultural "superiority complex." But that credits Hegel with excessive influence in my view.

Many factors were involved in the rise of the concept of Western (white) superiority. Claiming Hegel as instrumental to it is comparable to claiming that Adam Smith was a major factor in the development of capitalism.

On the other hand, Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, and to some degree V. I. Lenin, did influence history directly in a major way that is still unfolding. So did the sages and prophets of the various cultural wisdom traditions,

Other people that are known as "philosophers" did exert a strong influence of the development of Western culture and did shape its direction to a degree. But in this role, they are better characterized a "thought leaders" or "public intellectuals."

As someone trained in philosophy and its history, I view philosophy much more broadly than academic philosophy. Reviewing the history of philosophy, most so-called philosophers where just the deep thinker of their time that took the time record their thoughts.

Hegel was one of the few academics that made it to the top of the list. While Hegel's work was a tour de force in Western philosophy, perhaps his greatest weakness was his overemphasis on the West, and Prussia as the epitome of the West in his time.

Viewed in the light of history, different peoples and cultures have had their day. So will "the West." Taking the long view as the world's longest lived civilization, the Chinese realize this.

SCMP
In the US, China-bashing is rooted in myths of Western superiority
Martin Powers

Pepe Escobar — The India-China, Himalayan Puzzle


Backgrounder.

Consortium News
PEPE ESCOBAR: The India-China, Himalayan Puzzle

Moon of Alabama — Evidence Free Press Release Claims 'Russia Did Bad, Trump Did Not Respond' - NYT, WaPo Publish It


Moon of Alabama seems to assume that bad journalism is the cause.

Others assume rather that the media he mentions and similar establishment voices in other countries are complicit in a disinformation/propaganda effort.

See Jorge Marinho, Journalists and Intelligence Services.

Moon of Alabama
Evidence Free Press Release Claims 'Russia Did Bad, Trump Did Not Respond' - NYT, WaPo Publish It

See also

Zero Hedge
BuzzFeed "Reporter" Who Got Zerohedge Banned On Twitter, Fired For Plagiarism
Tyler Durden

Also

Caitlin Johnstone — Rogue Journalist
Mentally Replace Everything Before “U.S. Intelligence Says” With “Blah Blah We’re Probably Lying”

Michael Hudson on Coronavirus and Debt Winners and Losers

Yves here. Michael Hudson discusses the deflationary impact of the coronacrisis and how modern, misguided approaches to unsustainable debt loads are making matters worse.
Remarks given at the 1st ASECU Teleconference ‘Systematic Crises Triggered the Current Pandemic & Progressive Way-Outs,’ May 8, 2020
Naked Capitalism
Michael Hudson on Coronavirus and Debt Winners and Losers
Yves Smith

The Fed is pumping huge amounts of money into the economy: former New York Fed chief



Zero progress here.... ie where it matters..... ZEEEEEEEEEEERRRROOOOOOOOOOO......

So what of the concern that the rapid growth of bank reserves will prove inflationary? This concern is misplaced. The Fed can adjust the interest rate it pays on bank reserves, controlling the cost of credit and influencing whether the reserves are lent out. 

Only when the bank reserves are lent out does the expansionary credit multiplier process start to work. The Fed controls this process because it controls short-term interest rates.

They are making the typical reification error you always see with these people and are believing the accounting abstractions termed “Reserve Assets”  are real and are “lent out”...

Major cognitive errors continue to be made by these people...  unqualified...



Why Amazon is Begging For Regulations - The Twisted Economics of Amazon

I won't be a hipocritic, I have Amazon goods popping through the door two or three times a week. I haven't been well for the last few years, so it's been a godsend for me, and the same for ebay. You have to be careful, though, as sometimes Amazon significantly over charge, so it's best to check around. I bought something for a fraction of the price the other day on eBay. But you can hardly criticise Amazon when it hardly makes a profit - it has to raise money somewhere.


In two short decades, Amazon has grown from a modest online bookstore to an international conglomerate. A conglomerate that seems hellbent on moving into every growing industry out there.

Amazon will only be the second company this channel has ever explored but it is extremely important to understand for a few reasons. most curiously, why amazon is pushing for reform in key areas that wouldn't really be expected...