Thursday, May 26, 2016

David F. Ruccio — Letting capitalism off the hook


The mainstream argument is that capitalism is not at fault for the growing social and political unrest because capitalism is economic and economics is concerned with the circular flow of production (supply), distribution (markets), and consumption (demand). Distribution is the outcome of the interaction of supply and demand in markets. This outcome is meritocratic because marginalism, and everyone receives their just deserts based on contribution.

Therefore, inequality, which is distributive, is the result of economic laws based on market forces. Since this is meritocratic, dissatisfaction with distributional effects is the result of class envy by the less capable. Therefore, it is psychological rather than economic, based on false morality rather than scientific understanding.

So the people at the bottom should just get over it.

The trouble with the argument is that it assumes microfoundations based methodological individualism (separate agents acting independently), economic optimization (homo economicus* rather than homo socialis**), equilibrium due to market forces (absence of asymmetries resulting in economic rents). 

Distribution is very much economic, and it is based on economic rent extraction ("exploitation") rather than merit. 

Misrepresenting this is the basis of the neoliberal claim that there is no alternative to unregulated markets and privatization of public assets. 

So, no, capitalism can’t be let off the hook. It perpetuates the conditions it claims to address. And even though economic and political elites want to believe otherwise, holding firm to the notion that people should be satisfied with current economic arrangements, recent developments in the United States and Europe suggest they’re not.
Occasional Links & Commentary
Letting capitalism off the hook
David F. Ruccio | Professor of Economics, University of Notre Dame

See also

Protest of the day

"The natives are getting restless."

* Homo economicus is a mythical beast that always acts rationally to maximize utility in terms of a given preference set, choosing one basket of goods over another in terms of that preference set.

** Homo socialis is a realistic human being whose action is not only complex but also social, that is, mutual influenced, systemic and memetic, that is, embedded in a social, political and economic system, with preferences that are not only economic but social, political, ethical, spiritual, religious, etc. Home socialis is subject to both animal spirits and angelic spirits, sometime acting out of narrow self-interest and sometime altruistically. Moreover, homo socialism is not purely rational for several reasons. First, homo socialism is a cognitive-affective-volitional being that operates only in terms of rigorous analysis but also intuition, cognitive affect biases, and normative values the guide behavior. These values are not perfectly consistent, so there is volitional conflict. In addition, being embedded in a social group, there are many influences — cultural, institutional, and mimetic — on homo socialis. Hence, homo socialis does not consistently act independently of others or separate from the social group and social system, so that methodological individualism does not hold other than a weak sense.

Joe Mellor — British people ‘will never forgive’ Blair, says poll


Another legacy down the toilet. History will not be kind. America, we're waiting.
There have already been rumours that the Chilcot inquiry will come down hard on Tony Blair, and a lot of the British people blame him for entering a war that was unnecessary and possibly illiegal.
Recently Blair himself admitted that he “profoundly” underestimated the complexity of Middle Eastern politics.
Now a survey by pollsters YouGov in the Independent ahead of the report by Chilcot, which will be released in July, found only eight per cent think he did absolutely nothing wrong.
Even worse for Blair more than half of the people polled said they will “never forgive” him for taking the UK into a bloody conflict in Iraq, the backlash which still persists today, and has seen the formation of IS, a terror group who many would argue is a lot worse than Sadam Hussein.…
A majority (53 per cent) say that they could never forgive him. Just 8 per cent think Mr Blair did nothing wrong, whilst 15 per believe it’s time we forgave him for his misjudgments.…
As time passes fewer and fewer people are comfortable with the Iraq war and its reasons for it. Tony Blair may have a lot more questions to answer in the coming months and years. It seems unlikely that there are going to be many new fans of Mr Blair anytime soon.

Bill Mitchell — Austerity is killing off the hopes of our youth

Sometimes, it is almost as if I have to pinch myself to establish that what I am reading is not a dream. A few reports lately have had that effect, not the least being the latest IMF report – Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) for Greece, which is forecasting unemployment will remain above 10 per cent for several decades to come. The latest Eurostat data on gross labour flows also paints a dire picture for a nation that has been deliberately ruined by neo-liberal ideology. And, the latest Eurobarometer studying Europe’s youth in 2016 tells us clearly how the next generation of adults feel about all this – they feel marginalised from social and economic life. The Troika and its corporate pals are doing a great job killing off the prospects for Europe’s children and their grandchildren, and further on – their grandchildren’s children. People in a few hundred years will reflect back on this period of history as being a dark age where power hungry maniacs dominated the people before the latter revolted and mayhem ensued.…
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Austerity is killing off the hopes of our youth
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Sanders to debate Trump


Dishes flying in Chappaqua.





Samuel Bowles — How the Deadly Sin of Avarice Was Rehabilitated as Self Interest

In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987, the New York Times headlined an editorial “Ban Greed? No: Harness It,” It continued: “Perhaps the most important idea here is the need to distinguish between motive and consequence. Derivative securities attract the greedy the way raw meat attracts piranhas. But so what? Private greed can lead to public good. The sensible goal for securities regulation is to channel selfish behavior, not thwart it.”

The Times, surely unwittingly, was channeling the 18th century philosopher David Hume: “Political writers have established it as a maxim, that in contriving any system of government . . . every man ought to be supposed to be a knave and to have no other end, in all his actions, than his private interest. By this interest we must govern him, and, by means of it, make him, notwithstanding his insatiable avarice and ambition, cooperate to public good.”…

The idea that base motives could be harnessed for the public good is what I term economic alchemy. And in Hume’s time it was definitely a new way of thinking about how society could be governed.…
Magical thinking that leads to the liberal paradox of reconciling social, political and economic liberalism, or to put it another way, reconciling homo economicus with homo socialis.
From there, it was a short step to thinking that while ethical reasoning and concern for others should inform one’s actions as a family member or citizen; the same did not go for shopping or making a living.
Evonomics
How the Deadly Sin of Avarice Was Rehabilitated as Self Interest
Samuel  Bowles
Samuel Bowles, is at the Santa Fe Institute, recently published The Moral Economy: Why good incentives are no substitute for good citizens and is one of the authors of The Economy, a free online introduction to economics by the CORE Project, He also wrote Microeconomics: Behavior, Institutions and Evolution, and with Herbert Gintis, A cooperative species: Human reciprocity and its evolution.
Here are a couple of relevant quotes from Keynes:
When the accumulation of wealth is no longer of high social importance, there will be great changes in the code of morals.We shall be able to rid ourselves of many of the pseudo-moral principles which have hag-ridden us for two hundred years, by which we have exalted some of the most distasteful of human qualities into the position of the highest virtues. We shall be able to afford to dare to assess the money-motive at its true value. The love of money as a possession — as distinguished from the love of money as a means to the enjoyments and realities of life — will be recognised for what it is, a somewhat disgusting morbidity, one of those semi-criminal, semi-pathological propensities which one hands over with a shudder to the specialists in mental disease…
But beware! The time for all this is not yet. For at least another hundred years we must pretend to ourselves and to everyone that fair is foul and foul is fair; for foul is useful and fair is not. Avarice and usury and precaution must be our godsfor a little longer still. For only they can lead us out of the tunnel of economic necessity into daylight.
—as quoted in "Keynes and the Ethics of Capitalism" by Robert Skidelsy
The day is not far off when the economic problem will take the back seat where it belongs, and the arena of the heart and the head will be occupied or reoccupied, by our real problems — the problems of life and of human relations, of creation and behaviour and religion.— First Annual Report of the Arts Council (1945-1946)
Attributed to Keynes:
Capitalism is “the astonishing belief that the nastiest motives of the nastiest men somehow or other work for the best results in the best of all possible worlds.”
— Attributed by Sir George Schuster, Christianity and human relations in industry (1951), p. 109
Recent variant: Capitalism is the astounding belief that the most wickedest of men will do the most wickedest of things for the greatest good of everyone.— As quoted in Moving Forward: Programme for a Participatory Economy (2000) by Michael Albert, p. 128

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Leonid Bershidsky — Putin Is the Loser in Prisoner Swap With Ukraine


Bershidsky really doesn't get the subtlety of the Russian move. Nadia Savchenko is not only a neo-Nazi (Aidar battalion), she is a rabid one. Russia just unleashed a nuclear weapon on Ukraine by returning her. She is immensely popular on the right and a petition is already circulating to make her president of Ukraine instead of Poroshenko. She is slated to be a star.

Having an internationally prominent neo-Nazi in a high position in Ukraine is going to be a bitter pill for Ukraine's liberal allies to swallow. The US will be able to cover it up largely through control of the US media, but that will not be the case in Europe — and Putin is aiming to pry Europe out of the US-UK orbit by embarrassing the European countries for their subservience.

With respect to persuasion, this was a move by a master persuader. It will pay off big, although it will lead to the Ukrainian right being bolder militarily toward Russia. This, too, plays into Russia's hands, since it reveals Ukraine to be the aggressor.

I was thinking from the very beginning that this would be the smart strategic move.

Bloomberg View
Putin Is the Loser in Prisoner Swap With Ukraine
Leonid Bershidsky

Also

The Saker gets it but hates that Putin let her go.

The Vineyard of the Saker
Putin’s poisoned gift to the Ukraine (first impressions – not an “analysis”)
The Saker

RT
Villain or hero? The many faces of Nadezhda Savchenko

Mike Lofgren — Blaming ‘Too Much Democracy’ for Trump

The latest lament of the neocon establishment is that America is suffering from too much democracy – leading to Donald Trump – but the opposite is more to the point, how elite manipulation set this stage, explains Mike Lofgren.…
British expatriate writer Andrew Sullivan recently returned to the public eye with a piece that has aroused considerable comment, some of it reasonably on point, and some bloviatingly incoherent.
What is all the fuss about? Sullivan, in critiquing the Donald Trump phenomenon and the political factors that gave rise to it, makes a few good points, but buries them under a ridiculous premise: The culprit responsible for Trump is too much democracy, and the cure is more elite control of the political process.…
The basis of conservatism is that some are better than others and ought therefore to rule over all. Conservatives are opposed to actual democracy and what they call "democracy" is some type of oligarchy, at present plutocracy and old boy networks.

Blaming democracy is actually rather funny since there is a deficit in actual democracy in the US.

Worth reading the whole piece. Mike Lofgren is a gifted writer in addition to being experienced in US insider politics as a veteran congressional staffer (GOP).

Consortium News
Blaming ‘Too Much Democracy’ for Trump
Mike Lofgren

Nika Knight — Striking Workers Shut Down France's Oil Depots, Move to Blockade Nuclear Plant

Striking workers with the Confédération Générale du Travail (CGT), one of France's largest unions, are clashing with French government forces after the union members blockaded oil refineries and depots in response to President François Hollande forcing unpopular labor reforms through parliament earlier this month.
Hollande's proposed legislation would make it easier to fire employees, increase employees' work hours, and move jobs offshore, in defiance of France's long history of labor protections.
The blockades shut down a quarter of the France's gas stations and forced the country to dip into reserve petrol supplies.
France's President François Hollande was forced to deny that the country was facing a nationwide uprising akin to the worker and student uprising of May 1968, as riot police clashed with protesters around the country late Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning.
The government dispatched the riot police to shut down picket lines….
France is exploding as the "socialist" government attempts to repress workers.

Common Dreams
Striking Workers Shut Down France's Oil Depots, Move to Blockade Nuclear Plant
Nika Knight

Nadia Prupis — Evo Morales: Latin America Must Fight US Coups with 'Democratic Revolution'

Bolivian President Evo Morales called on leftist governments in South America to counter U.S. plans to control the region with a "democratic revolution."
"In some countries it should be like a wake-up call where [governments] must start permanent conferences to relaunch democratic and cultural revolutions for Latin America and the Caribbean [region]," Morales said during an interview in Cuba on Monday night with the program Cubavisión, according to TeleSUR.
"It is the plan of the American empire that wants to regain control of Latin America and the Caribbean, and especially in South America, and there surely is an ambition to establish a United States presence in these countries and recover subservient governments as a model, as a system," he continued.…

"When the right wing returns to power they will remove the socialist benefits and shrink the state, which will generate a reaction," he said.
Common Dreams
Evo Morales: Latin America Must Fight US Coups with 'Democratic Revolution'
Nadia Prupis

Wikileaks — Trade in Services Agreement [Tisa]

Today, Wednesday, 25 May 2016, 11:30am CEST, WikiLeaks releases new secret documents from the huge Trade in Services Agreement (TiSA) which is being negotiated by the US, EU and 22 other countries that account for 2/3rds of global GDP.
This release includes a previously unknown annex to the TiSA core chapter on "State Owned Enterprises" (SOEs), which imposes unprecedented restrictions on SOEs and will force majority owned SOEs to operate like private sector businesses. This corporatisation of public services - to nearly the same extent as demanded by the recently signed TPP - is a next step to privatisation of SOEs on the neoliberal agenda behind the "Big Three" (TTIP,TiSA,TPP).
Other documents in todays release cover updated versions of annexes to TiSA core chapters that were published by WikiLeaks in previous releases; these updates show the advances in the confidential negotiations between the TiSA parties on the issues of Domestic Regulation, New Provisions, Transparency, Electronic Commerce, Financial Services, Telecommunication Services, Professional Services and the Movement of Natural Persons. WikiLeaks is also publishing expert analyses on some of these documents.
The annexes on Domestic Regulation, Transparency and New Provisions have further advanced towards the "deregulation" objectives of big corporations entering overseas markets. Local regulations like store size restrictions or hours of operations are considered an obstacle to achieve "operating efficiencies" of large-scale retailing, disregarding their public benefit that foster livable neighbors and reasonable hours of work for employees. The TiSA provisions in their current form will establish a wide range of new grounds for domestic regulations to be challenged by corporations - even those without a local presence in that country.
Cementing hardcore neoliberalism in place as the basis for a new world order of global governance under transnational financial and business elites. The noose is closing, but expect blowback. some will not go quietly, but the police state is already in place.

Wikileaks

Police Brutality & the Militarization Protocol : Captain Ray Lewis & Sacha Stone :

A very brave policeman who went against his force to defend Occupy. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r4snpdeJyyw

Former Captain of the Philadelphia Police Ray Lewis speaks to Sacha Stone about the mounting militarisation of police in the USA. The video contains disturbing footage of police brutality and invites the viewer to consider their own critical role as a citizen in apprehending the status quo....

Michael Hudson and Webster Tarpley Disseminate Disinformation, by Jack Straw

Jack Straw’s criticism of Michael Hudson and Webster Tarpley

This is not the British Labour Party’s Jack Straw, but the communist economist. In the article given in the link below Jack Straw criticises Michael Hudson and Webster Tarpley for believing that the great US middle class can be rebuilt, even though the world’s resources are fast running out. I think he get’s Michael Hudson wrong and below I explain why.

Well, it turns out that Webster Griffin Tarpley is his real name, and yep, that's some name for sure, but he has sent me all the around-the-houses for the last few days.  I found this really good article by him about what is happening in the Middle East today which I almost posted  here, but a little while afterwards I found out some more stuff about Tarpley which I wasn't all that keen on.

I first came across Webster Tarpley a few years back and I thought, wow, he's a good leftist! Then I came across him again on the Alex Jones Show sniggering and sneering about the British Queen, things I do totally agree with, but they were both so infantile and childish that it put me off them. I then thought, damn, I've been caught out again because Tarpley is really a right wing libertarian. I often get caught out on right wing blogs where I think they are left – i.e., anti war, anti banker, anti the elite, you know what I mean, and then I find out how right wing they really are, and sometimes that they are even white supremacist? 

A few months later I found out that Tarpley really was a socialist after all and I thought, terrific, because he can be so good, but then with all his mad conspiracy theories and climate change denial it just put me right off him again.

Michael Hudson couldn’t be more different, he is considerate, thoughtful, and much more relaxed.  Anyhow, I was never sure how ‘industrial capitalism’, as Michael calls it, was going to be less exploitative than financial capitalism, but I gave Michael Hudson the benefit of the doubt. And I could understand where Micheal was coming from; a meritocracy is so much better than feudalism, which was a state of the self perpetuating rich.  I think Hudson is a genuine leftist, and not an out an out meritocracist, but he knows that a real meritocracy would really break the ruling class's oligarchy and so that is the place to start. After this has been achieved, Michael believes that the mixed economy and the welfare state would then develop, along with the three day week, where the benefits of industrial capitalism would finally be spread out.

But to counter this social democratic movement - which would mean the loss of over class's privileged lifestyle,  the elite then used the  ‘meritocracy’ as a way to pretend that they also stand for a ‘people’s type of capitalism’, where everyone rightly gets what they deserve. This sounds fine except you must ask what does this position hold for them, why do they like it? Well, because then they can then say that there should be no welfare state, or any benefits, or minimum wage, or any public services, or social provision, and that everything should be privatized. Now mix that with a load of propaganda that they constantly pump out about in the media that they own about how lazy the underclass are, and then you can see the system that they have duped the public with.

Some MMTer's believe that the US can be revamped, re-industrialized, and its infrastructure rebuilt to create a modern, social democracy with a large middle class. Personally, I think Jack Straw’s criticism of Michael Hudson is a bit harsh, where he questions his style of socialism and criticizes his theories. Michael Hudson would like to see the three day working day week with robots and automation doing more of the work (just think of 3D printing) with people working less and having more leisure time. 

 But are people actually capable of doing less when everyone just wants more? Let’s hope so. Maybe we can relearn how to be more relaxed and have a less driven society because Jack Straw is right when he says that the oil is running out, and that the climate is being ruined, and so we will have to learn how to use less fossil fuel in the future. He argues that the great utopia of the great middle class, with houses filled with junk that we don't need, and shops open 24/7 everyday of the year piled high with even more gunk, the never ending capitalist machine, just can't carry on forever. But if we can make sure we have first class public health care and excellent public provision, we can still live reasonable, happy lives and ones that will be less pace driven and more relaxed than they are now.  So hopefully going past peak oil won't be anywhere near as traumatic as the doomsters like to say it will be.


The article below is interesting in its own right because it goes into some of the history of Webster Tapley, Micheal Hudson and the LaRouche movement. This is a good article with lots of references to Karl Marx and his theories. 



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Dirk Ehnts — Martin Feldstein on government debt does not make sense


Ignorance or politicization?

econoblog 101
Martin Feldstein on government debt does not make sense
Dirk Ehnts | Lecturer at Bard College Berlin

Stephen Rosenfeld — Trump’s Top Campaign Adviser Made Millions From Arms Dealers, Warlords, Dictators and Oligarchs


Paul Manfort under scrutiny.

Noting illegal, and business is business, right?

AlterNet
Trump’s Top Campaign Adviser Made Millions From Arms Dealers, Warlords, Dictators and Oligarchs
Stephen Rosenfeld

Time to take the next step

Carola Binder — Behavioral Economics Then and Now


Homo socialis, non-optimization, and economic policy.

Quantitative Ease
Behavioral Economics Then and Now
Carola Binder

Poll now open for you to vote for the “Top 10 Economics Books of the Last 100 Years”


No MMT.

Real-World Economics Review Blog
Poll now open for you to vote for the “Top 10 Economics Books of the Last 100 Years”

Pedro Marin — Coup in Brazil: the International Connection

Auditoriums filled to the last seat, sound trucks, offices. Organizations such as the Millenium Institute, Free Brazil Movement (MLB), the Liberal Institute, the Ludwig Von Mises Institute – Brazil – and Students for Liberty Brazil as if by magic emerged in Brazil’s political scenario, publishing books and organizing demonstrations with huge structures, as well as giving training and lectures – a process that found a fertile breeding ground in the country, due to the global crisis and the Lava Jato operation.
But despite the attempts by its founders and by part of the media to paint the projects they promote as something “for Brazil”, originated by the Brazilian people and “spontaneous”, all these organizations are funded and trained from abroad, as Marina Amaral reported in an article for Agência Publica, showing how a network of NGOs promote leadership training and fund “intellectuals” in order to build consensus as well as movements to put the streets on fire.  Among such organizations present in Latin America is the Atlas Network.
Founded in 1981 with the goal of “promoting free market economic policies around the World”, Atlas is a think-tank that openly funds right-wing activities in more than 90 countries.  With an annual budget of U$ 11,5 Million, it acts by funding and shaping neoliberal figures.  As U.S. legislation prohibits such organizations from funding political agitation around the world, each movement is supported by “formation institutes”, which  are free to receive funds.  That’s the relationship between the education center Students for Liberty (EPL) with the professional activism of the Free Brazil Movement, for instance. EPL’s budget this year amounted to R$ 300,000 (about $ 85,000). “In the first year we have about R$ 8,000, in the second year we had about R$ 20,000, and in 2014 and 2015 it grew a lot. We receive money from foreign organizations as well, such as Atlas. Atlas, with Students for Liberty, are our main donors. In Brazil, the main organizations are Friderich Naumann, a German organization, which aren’t allowed to donate money, but they pay for our expenses”, said Juliano Torres, executive directors of the Brazilian branch of Students For Liberty.
In Ukraine – where there was a coup d’etat against elected President Viktor Yanukovich in 2014 – Atlas funded the Bendukidze Free Market Center and the Center for Social and Economic Research. The first one has members such as the former President of Georgia and current governor of Odessa, Mikheil Saakashvili, and Deputy head of the (post coup) presidential Administration of Ukraine, Alexander Danyluk. The former is also funded by Open Society Foundation, of known speculator and color revolutions’ man, George Soros, and has among their partners government agencies from Ukraine, Canada, England, as well as USAID (U.S.A) and the World Bank.
In 2014, Atlas Network gave about $ 4,5 million to various organizations around the World. In Latin America alone they gave $ 984,000 to organizations that follow the teachings of Milton Friedman, Hayek and Mises, and target the progressive governments of the region. That’s the case of Cedice Libertad, in Venezuela, and of organizations such as the U.S based Human Rights Foundation, created by Venezuelan Thor Halvorssen, Leopoldo López’ cousin and son of an ambassador of Andrés Pérez’ government, which target non-aligned governments of Venezuela, Cuba and Russia, and which became known in 2015 for creating an online campaign to push propaganda into North Korea’s territory.
But Atlas itself is also funded by various corporations and foundations. Companies such as Google, Exxon Mobil and organizations such as DonorsTrust [1], State Policy Network – created by businessman and Ronald Reagan’s adviser Tom Roe – and Charles G. Koch Foundation, linked to the known Koch Industries, are only some of the names that helped Atlas to donate more than U.S.$ 4 million around the world.
A Color Revolution in Brazil?
Follow the money. Cui bono?

OffGuardian
Coup in Brazil: the International Connection
Pedro Marin | OutrasPalavras

Moon of Alabama — "How Many Villages Do They Have To Massacre Before They Become Bad Guys?" [Warning: graphic imagery]


"Our guys." Is the US sponsoring terrorism?

Moon of Alabama
"How Many Villages Do They Have To Massacre Before They Become Bad Guys?"

Liberty Street — The Macro Effects of the Recent Swing in Financial Conditions

Credit conditions tightened considerably in the second half of 2015 and U.S. growth slowed. We estimate the extent to which tighter credit conditions last year were responsible for the slowdown using the FRBNY DSGE model. We find that growth would have slowed substantially more had the Federal Reserve not delayed liftoff in the federal funds rate.…
Increases in credit spreads tend to be associated with subsequent slowdowns in economic activity, with the Great Recession being a salient example. In part, such increases reflect investors’ concerns about future economic conditions, changes in firms’ leverage, heightened worries about borrowers’ default, and so on. However, as Simon Gilchrist and Egon ZakrajÅ¡ek and others have shown in their research, such increases in credit spreads often cause an economic slowdown. A natural question is then: Did the rise in credit spreads reflect deteriorating economic conditions or did the causality run the other way around in this episode?
To answer this question, we need an economic model that can disentangle the various channels at work. We use the FRBNY DSGE model, which is a very stylized representation of reality that formalizes key interactions among critical economic actors such as households, firms, the financial sector, and the government. The model is then estimated using Bayesian methods, combining prior information about parameters with important macroeconomic data.…
The model attributes most of the increase in spreads from 2015:Q3 to 2016:Q1 to unexpected disturbances—which we will refer to as “financial shocks.” These shocks reflect developments that are not fully captured by the model. In late 2015, these developments include a downward revision in the foreign outlook and the deteriorating creditworthiness of the U.S. energy sector owing to the drop in energy prices.…
Why did GDP growth not fall by more, then, with such a powerful combination of adverse shocks? According to the model, the answer lies in large part with monetary policy.…
The model suggests that by maintaining the federal funds rate lower, the FOMC managed to substantially offset the effect of tightening financial conditions on the economy. As financial markets revised downward their expectations of interest rate renormalization, the rate at which firms and households could borrow remained low in spite of the increase in spreads.…
The model doesn't look at loosening of fiscal stance?
It is important to remember, however, that our analysis relies on a model that is necessarily a stylized representation of reality. As such, model implications need to be taken with caution.

FRBNY — Liberty Street Economics
The Macro Effects of the Recent Swing in Financial Conditions
Marco Del Negro, Marc Giannoni, and Micah Smith

Lars P. Syll — The witch called ‘confidence fairy’

The confidence fairy seems to have turned into a confidence witch. One more victim of the crisis. But this one will not be missed. —Francesco Saraceno
"Confidence" like "expectations" is a weasel word whose meaning depends on how it is interpreted. Few economists doubt that confidence is key in economic behavior, or that expectations are not based on confidence.

The issue is what confidence depends upon. Is it fiscal rectitude and wage-price flexibility as neoclassical economists suppose, or it is effective demand, as Keynes posited.

Imposing fiscal discipline, disciplining labor, and "structural reform" has been tried and not work. Cutting taxes on the wealthy to spur investment has not worked either. Fiscal stimulus has been tried and worked.

Want to improve business confidence so that firms will increase investment? Send customers to their counters. Government has the power to do this by offsetting non-government saving desire with an increase in aggregate net financial assets through deficits and targeted spending and transfers.

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
The witch called ‘confidence fairy’
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Arlie Green — Accounting 101 – applied to government debt


MMT in the news.

Los Altos Town Crier
Accounting 101 – applied to government debt
Arlie Green | Certified Financial Planner and principal at Cognizant Wealth Advisor

Tyler Cowen — What the hell is going on?

Donald Trump may get the nuclear suitcase, a cranky “park bench” socialist took Hillary Clinton to the wire, many countries are becoming less free, and the neo-Nazi party came very close to assuming power in Austria. I could list more such events.
Haven’t you, like I, wondered what is up? What the hell is going on?
I don’t know, but let me tell you my (highly uncertain) default hypothesis. I don’t see decisive evidence for it, but it is a kind of “first blast” attempt to fit the basic facts while remaining within the realm of reason.…
Marginal Revolution
What the hell is going on?
Tyler Cowen | Holbert C. Harris Chair of Economics at George Mason University and serves as chairman and general director of the Mercatus Center

J. W. Mason's Blog Links for May 25, 2016


Saves me some trouble putting up links.

J. W. Mason's Blog
Links for May 25, 2016
JW Mason | Assistant Professor of Economics, John Jay College, City University of New York

Jessica Schemer and Lawrence Michel — As union membership has fallen, the top 10 percent have been getting a larger share of income

As union membership has fallen over the last few decades, the share of income going to the top 10 percent has steadily increased. Union membership fell to 11.1 percent in 2014, where it remained in 2015 (not shown in the figure). The share of income going to the top 10 percent, meanwhile, hit 47.2 percent in 2014—only slightly lower than 47.8 percent in 2012, the highest it has been since 1917 (the earliest year data are available). When union membership was at its peak (33.4 percent in 1945) the share of income going to the top 10 percent was only 32.6 percent.…
For "unions" substitute "labor bargaining power." In the view of neoclassical economics, trade unions that increase labor bargaining power are against the free market because they permit rent extraction to occur that would not occur if labor contracts were negotiated individually between "economic units," firms and individual workers being the units.

Economic Policy Institute
As union membership has fallen, the top 10 percent have been getting a larger share of income
Jessica Schemer and Lawrence Mishel

Martin Khor — Free Trade in Rhetoric, Not in Practice

Western countries commonly proclaim the great benefits of free trade and the evils of protectionism.
In reality, many developed countries practise double standards, insisting on free trade in areas where they are strong, whilst using protectionist measures in sectors where they are weak.
In the worst case, within the same sector they have designed rules that impose liberalisation on developing countries but allow themselves to maintain high protectionism.
An outstanding example is in agriculture, in which the rich counties are not competitive.If “free trade” were to be practised, a large part of global agricultural trade would be dominated by the more efficient developing countries.….
But until today, agricultural trade is dominated instead by the major developed countries.…
TripleCrisis

David F. Ruccio — Marxism and journalism

The appointment in England of Noreena Hertz as ITV’s economics editor has raised the issue of whether or not a Marxist (which she has been accused of but denies she is) can do an effective and fair job in reporting the news.
I certainly don’t see why not. Nor does Chris Dillow
I’ve made much the same argument in teaching economics. In both cases, Marxists are forced into the position of knowing both the mainstream stuff and the Marxian critique, which those firmly ensconced within mainstream thought simply aren’t equipped to handle. It isn’t impartiality but it is a kind of openness to alternative perspectives.
And then, of course, there’s the example of Marx himself, who served as a journalist—both to earn a living and to disseminate his analysis of the world—for much of his life, most famously for Horace Greeley’s New York Daily Tribune.
This is from an interview with Jim Ledbetter, who edited Dispatches for the New York Tribune: Selected Journalism of Karl Marx….
Occasional Links & Commentary
Marxism and journalism
David F. Ruccio | Professor of Economics, University of Notre Dame

Brad DeLong — Chris Hedges quoting Richard Rorty on Edward Luttwak: The Revenge of the Lower Classes and the Rise of American Fascism

From 1998: Chris Hedges quoting Richard Rorty on Edward Luttwak: The Revenge of the Lower Classes and the Rise of American Fascism: "Richard Rorty in his last book, ‘Achieving Our Country’...
...written in 1998, presciently saw where our postindustrial nation was headed.
It might be premature to conclude "overwrought."

WCEG — The Equitablog
Live from the Republicans' Self-Made Gehenna: Overwrought. But prescient for the Age of Trump.
Brad DeLong

Brad DeLong — Atif Mian and Amir Sufi: Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt

“We… show… differential shocks to household net worth coming from elevated household debt and the collapse in house prices play an underappreciated role…
WCEG — The Equitablog
Atif Mian and Amir Sufi: Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt
Brad DeLong