Nate on polls, prediction markets, and methodology.
The New York Times | Five Thirty Eight
The Virtues and Vices of Election Prediction Markets
Nate Silver
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AlterNet
Republicans Desperate to Spin Romney as the Front-Runner Are Becoming 'Nate Silver Truthers'
Joshua Holland
Although it is too close for comfort, Obama is in a decent position. The Romney in is and has long been out-of-the-money. It needs volatility to finish in-the-money, and after the last debate I don't see much chance for any game changers to shift the status quo
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Mitt may need some Depends.