I think that the answer may be a lot simpler than any of the scenarios mentioned below, even though there may be some truth there. When president accedes to office he has a certain amount of "political capital" and he seeks to use it as efficiently and effectively as possible, as well as quickly since political capital evaporates as pressure and temperature rise.
President Obama decided to undertake healthcare reform as his landmark and legacy program immediately, in addition to and in spite of the dire economic situation that he inherited. Being the political being he is, he held his nose and made the deals necessary to get the required votes. It also seems that the president underestimated the intensity of opposition to him and the level of obstruction that the opposition would rise to.
President Obama also failed to grasp the nature and extent of the economic debacle that was unfolding and assumed that his people knew how to handle it. Moreover, he was heavily influenced by interest politics and not only didn't receive the best economic advice but also ignored the best of it if it was even presented to him.
Given the cards he was dealt, he has not played his cards all that badly, except economically. Bu it can be argued that he got "bad advice," as Bill Clinton complain about his advisers. Neither had the economic chops to be able to distinguish between actual experts and the highly credentialed and successful. I don't know that either can be faulted greatly for that shortcoming. They picked "the obvious people." Even FDR got lucky in picking Marriner Eccles, comparing him against many of his other picks that were much less successful.
Be that as it may, passage of the Affordable Care Act was a signal achievement, even with all its warts, as well as fits and starts on launching. The AFA has permanently altered the political landscape, and still would even if it were repealed, which is unlikely at this point. It's a very big deal in that it advances universally available publicly provided healthcare as a fundamental human and civil right.
The president also turned out to be more pragmatic than principled in just about every other area as well. He is a centrist that strongly believes in bipartisanism even when the other side is not only not willing to negotiate but declares the intention to break his presidency.
I think that historians will come see President Obama as much more skillful politician that we give him credit for now. He is less of statesman than most people had hoped for, but he had to contend with an obstructive opposition, an oppositional military, and a bureaucracy that had been stacked against him.
So while many are disappointed at the president's priorities and choices, they were his call based on information that is not available to the public and speculating about in the dark doesn't advance the game. The way to advance the game is by turning up pressure, and there is still time to do that. The president is feeling the pressure from minorities about immigration and he has promised to act on it, for instance.
However, there are also stains that will darken his legacy, too. Again, but his choice, and therefore his responsbility. A person of greater character would have risen above politics and adhered to principle and decency, not to mention the constitution and the laws of land he took an oath to uphold. Some would even argue that this, and the potential consequences for the country and world, overshadow any good that he might have done.
The Why of Obama’s Failed Hope
Greg Maybury
Greg Maybury
Obama and his ardent supporters judge Obama by his intentions.
ReplyDeleteHistory will judge Obama by his accomplishments.
Michael Moore has a point.
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ReplyDeleteDuring the 2008 election, somebody told me that they thought Obama would be a bad President because he "has a glass chin". I didn't believe them, but they were right. The nickname his campaign staff gave him - "no drama Obama" - is dead on. The guy hates conflict of all kinds. He has no stomach for the fight, unless it's with people who live far away and whom he can reach out and tap with a drone.
ReplyDeleteBut really, it's only lefties who are disappointed with him. The middle of the road liberals mostly still love the guy to pieces. He appointed a couple of Supreme Court justices they are happy with, and beyond that there is not much they wanted to change anyway.
In his own mind, Obama is a big success. I think he views himself as an island of stable calm in a world of crazies.
I think Dan's right, Obama probably does think he has done a good job.
ReplyDeleteI'm not even sure if his failure has anything to do with him being weak, it looks like he is a true believer in neoliberalism and had no problem with trying to steady the ship and carry on as usual.
A big tip for me was an interview he gave to Charlie Rose before he was president, in this interview he talked about learning from Tony Blair and what he'd done in Britain. Blair was a shameless Thatcherite, who carried on her attacks against the poor, and helped cement the disastrous neoliberal policies she started. At a time when he had enough power to wipe it out, he became the number one cheerleader, much like Obama.
These people are either liars, or fools. I'm not sure which it is, but either way is a disaster for people waiting for politicians who have a real vision of putting the welfare of every citizen first, and also having the strength to push it through. They only seem to care about enforcing a class system, and feathering their own nests. They're always rewarded by their backers once they're done.
I'd like to think that he went into office with as genuine ambitions as anyone could and a deep respect for the government, being a constitutional law professor and senator.
ReplyDeleteI look forward to his post-presidency memoir after he has had a few years to reflect.
It's always interesting to hear what opportunities they think they missed and what policies they regret.