The just-concluded G7 summit passed a leaders’ declaration that condemns Chinese and Russian attempts to “change status quo” with force. It claims that G7 nations “are concerned by tensions in the East and South China Seas”, “strongly oppose the use of intimidation, coercion or force, as well as any unilateral actions that seek to change the status quo, such as large-scale land reclamation”; and it reiterates condemnation of illicit annexation of Crimea. The declaration can be read as the United States’ latest stance regarding China and Russia, which has attracted global interest: Will the U.S. take on two world powers, China and Russia in this case, simultaneously with two fists? Where will the new China-U.S.-Russia triangle be headed?China.org.cn
Before discussing these two questions, we have three others to answer: Has the U.S. declined? Has Russia recovered? Has China risen?...
Where’s the new China-US-Russia triangle headed?
Chen Yonglong, Director of Center of American Studies, China Foundation for International Studies, and Xue Junying, Research Fellow of Center of American Studies, China Foundation for International Studies.
This article was first published at Chinausfocus.com To see the original version please visit http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/wheres-the-new-china-u-s-russia-triangle-headed/
Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao made some interesting overtures to the United States this week to set a preliminary agenda before next weeks meetings. He first suggested it would be beneficial if the US and China coordinated fiscal policy and productivity measures to boost world growth while also encouraging other nations to do so simultaneously -- The Chinese are perfectly aware of the Republican's & Democrat's willful ignorance on fiscal policy but they still want to talk about it, encouraging on the face of it.
ReplyDeleteSecond he said that China has inquired about joining TPP negotiations because as China opens up further, it will be imperative that they are integral part of world trade system. I think it came as somewhat of a disappointment to the progressive & neoliberal media that has been banging the drums of war about a Russia/China/US adversarial relationship. Even Sputnik reporters were sort of amusing in the way they reported on it. I think the Russia perspective was sort of taken back by China's about-face and the fact that China doesn't adhere to the sort regional antagonism played by the US and Russia. Zhu said they would be addressing the US provocations in the South China Sea too. But maybe now that China isn't opposed to TPP and instead joins TPP, the US will accept China's invitation to join the ADB. China may also be able to improve the treaty as well to address some of the over-reach on intellectual property. It would set a great example for everyone on cooperation if both countries can pull this off. I suspect the progressives/neocons/and neolibs are going to be hard to convince though. They've imagined all aspects of a new cold war that they want to see happen. They all have put alot of ego and designed entire world views on the conflict. It may be hard for them to back away and accept a multi-polar world where adversaries aren't enemies.
China realizes that the underlying strategy behind TTP is excluding them. Never at a loss for clever moves in the game, China lobs the ball back into the US court. If the US fails to swing, it's an admission that the US never intended to play with China in the first place.
ReplyDeleteWhere's triangle headed? 360 degrees, if past behavior is any prologue :(
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