One way that heuristic thinking works.
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
N=1 survey tells me Cynthia Nixon will lose by a lot (no joke)Andrew Gelman | Professor of Statistics and Political Science and Director of the Applied Statistics Center, Columbia University
Of course she was going to lose. Cuomo spent $36 million and she spent $2.5 million...and still got 34%. Plus there was the usual voting rolls bullshit NY is famous for. Tammany Hall ain't all that dead.
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