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Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming



The deniers like to point out where some scientists (not usually climatologists) and commentators made inaccurate predictions about climate change, but on the whole climatologists got it right.


Climate change doubters have a favorite target: climate models. They claim that computer simulations conducted decades ago didn’t accurately predict current warming, so the public should be wary of the predictive power of newer models. Now, the most sweeping evaluation of these older models—some half a century old—shows most of them were indeed accurate.

“How much warming we are having today is pretty much right on where models have predicted,” says the study’s lead author, Zeke Hausfather, a graduate student at the University of California, Berkeley.

Science Mag 

Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

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