Do I want to be quoted as saying this estimate is pretty good? Or that it’s flawed? I don’t know. There’s no data, no report. Based on the news report, the study seems to have been conducted by the state health department, and that sounds like a good sign. In general I’ll have more trust in a study from the state health department than from some Stanford professors. I’m not joking here: the health department are professionals and they don’t have the same incentives that academics have to hype their research. But, still, I have no idea what’s going on....Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
New York coronavirus antibody study: Why I had nothing to say to the press on this one.
Andrew Gelman | Professor of Statistics and Political Science and Director of the Applied Statistics Center, Columbia University
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