Belarus Sanctions Might Be The Real Deal — Gerald Jansen

Not mentioned in the post, but the most likely outcome is that Belarussia moves closer to the Russian/Chinese orbit as the West shuts it out economically in the attempt to effect regime change that sets up a NATO proxy. Russia is unlikely to let that happen without resistance. Putin is likely to tell Biden that Ukraine, Belarussia and Georgia are strategic red lines for Russia.

Oilprice
Belarus Sanctions Might Be The Real Deal
Gerald Jansen

See also

The war is directed more against Russia and China than Belarussia. Ukraine, Belarussia and Georgia are just stepping stones.

Axios
Belarus leader Lukashenko accuses EU of "hybrid war" over response to hijacking
Fadel Allassan