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Thursday, August 26, 2021

The Black Swan Theory

This video explains the probability of a Black Swan event, and how governments aren't preparing for the high probability a Carrington Event which could damage the national grid and telecoms systems. 



The threat from the Sun: should we be worrying about coronal mass ejections?

Scientists have real concerns that extreme weather on the Sun’s surface could unleash a catastrophe on humanity


2019 study in the journal Scientific Reports found a 0.5-1.9% chance of a Carrington-level storm happening in the next decade. However, Nasa experts expect the Sun’s activity to “ramp up” during the current solar cycle – with a peak in activity due in July 2025. Even in the worst-case scenario, solar storms take one to three days to hit Earth – so with luck, there should be time to prepare.


The Week 


5 comments:

  1. Black swans are not worth worrying about. We can't even be bothered with the precautionary principle.

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    2. The video maker took the worst case scientific prediction, but a Carrington Event seems to have a probability of about 0.5% to 1.9%, and scientists believe we will have time to prepare for it.

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  2. Endless fear-mongering is used to justify fewer freedoms, fewer rights, and more government tyranny.

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  3. Wait are we moving on from the water coming up?

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