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Tuesday, December 6, 2022

Pentagon, Chinese analysts agree US can’t win in Taiwan Strait — David P. Goldman

US mulls ‘scorched earth’ strategy for Taiwan instead of defense…
The United States will enact a scorched-earth policy in Taiwan, destroying its semiconductor industry, if the PRC seizes the island, former Trump national security adviser Robert O’Brien told a conference at the Richard Nixon Foundation on November 10, reports army-technology.com.

“If China takes Taiwan and takes those factories intact – which I don’t think we would ever allow – they have a monopoly over chips the way OPEC has a monopoly, or even more than the way OPEC has a monopoly over oil,” O’Brien said.

A much-read paper by two Army War College professors published this year proposes that “the United States and Taiwan should lay plans for a targeted scorched-earth strategy that would render Taiwan not just unattractive if ever seized by force, but positively costly to maintain.”

“This could be done most effectively by threatening to destroy facilities belonging to the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the most important chipmaker in the world and China’s most important supplier.”...
Asia Times

4 comments:

  1. Most people are aware of the curious struggle which arose during the Federal war between the guns and armor of iron-plated ships. The result was the entire reconstruction of the navy of both the continents; as the one grew heavier, the other became thicker in proportion. The Merrimac, the Monitor, the Tennessee, the Weehawken discharged enormous projectiles themselves, after having been armor-clad against the projectiles of others. In fact they did to others that which they would not they should do to them— that grand principle of immortality upon which rests the whole art of war.

    Now if Barbicane was a great founder of shot, Nicholl was a great forger of plates; the one cast night and day at Baltimore, the other forged day and night at Philadelphia. As soon as ever Barbicane invented a new shot, Nicholl invented a new plate; each followed a current of ideas essentially opposed to the other. Happily for these citizens, so useful to their country, a distance of from fifty to sixty miles separated them from one another, and they had never yet met. Which of these two inventors had the advantage over the other it was difficult to decide from the results obtained. By last accounts, however, it would seem that the armor-plate would in the end have to give way to the shot; nevertheless, there were competent judges who had their doubts on the point.


    —Jules Verne (From the Earth to the Moon, Chapter X.)

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  2. The U.S. doesn't want China to become the monopoly issuer of chips. So instead, the U.S. will destroy all chip manufacturing plants. Smart.

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  3. The whole Taiwan thing was a US soft power initiative in the first place so we could end that anytime we want if it’s viewed as no longer working..,

    Biden at groundbreaking at new $40B TSMC facility in Arizona yesterday… MU starting a new $100B initiative in Syracuse area this year.., INTC starting $20B in Arizona and $20B in Ohio… AAPL doing their new multi $B thing in Arizona …

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