Economic forecasting—why it matters and why it is so often wrong — Lars P. Syll

The problems that economists encounter when trying to predict the future really underline how important it is for social sciences to incorporate Keynes’s far-reaching and incisive analysis of induction and evidential weight in his seminal A Treatise on Probability (1921)....

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Economic forecasting — why it matters and why it is so often wrong
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University