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Showing posts with label recession. Show all posts
Showing posts with label recession. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 29, 2020

End Of Recessions? — Brian Romanchuk

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I saw a high profile comment to the effect that the business cycle was abolished recently. Since I will be plugging a book on recessions sh...
Thursday, January 23, 2020

Mnuchin says US must cut spending and reduce the deficit: Recipe for guaranteed recession.

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Mnuchin says the U.S. government must cut spending and reduce the deficit. This will absolutely guarantee a recession. It's amazing th...
33 comments:
Thursday, October 3, 2019

Bill Mitchell— Leading indicators are suggesting recession

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In the last two days, some major leading indicators have been released for the US and Europe, which have suggested the world is heading rat...
4 comments:
Thursday, September 5, 2019

The Ticking Time Bomb Of Recession: Some Reasons To Worry — John T. Harvey

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All but one have been preceded by a decline in Real Gross Private Domestic Investment, which we have just observed. One indicator is hardl...
3 comments:
Sunday, July 14, 2019

Michael Roberts — A profits recession?

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Falling aggregate profit rate? As James Montier, the post-Keynesian economist at GMO, the large asset fund manager, points out, real earn...
3 comments:
Tuesday, March 26, 2019

I'm looking for recession and not finding it.

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These are stats from my latest MMT Trader report. Are these recessionary signs? Warren Mosler is bearish as hell. Auto loans rising at ...
4 comments:
Sunday, December 18, 2016

Trump stimulus? Fuhgeddaboudit. A super duper deficit hawk is now his Budget Director.

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Trump has been choosing deficit hawk after deficit hawk, casting MAJOR doubt on his stimulus plans, except of course for rich people and cor...
48 comments:
Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Deficit is up 25% over last year, as I forecast. Will the "deficit is too small crowd" now change their position?

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The deficit is up 25% over last year. Just reported . I already knew this and anyone who subscribes to my MMT Trader report knew this bec...
6 comments:
Thursday, August 11, 2016

FRB Cleveland Does Fiscal Stimulus Work?

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Conclusion Overall, our results suggest that fiscal stimulus is effective even during recessions induced by consumer-debt overhang. An in...
4 comments:
Monday, June 27, 2016

Brexit buy signal. Jim Rogers says this will be the worst recession in our lifetime.

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This hysterical clown is making another "bold" prediction. He says that Brexit will lead to the worst recession in our lifetimes. ...
1 comment:
Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Brad DeLong — Atif Mian and Amir Sufi: Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt

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“We… show… differential shocks to household net worth coming from elevated household debt and the collapse in house prices play an underapp...
Thursday, April 14, 2016

Jason Smith — Matthew Yglesias is still withholding the economic theory of everything

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Smackdown. Information Transfer Economics Matthew Yglesias is still withholding the economic theory of everything Jason Smith
Sunday, April 3, 2016

Peter Dorman — The Recession Template, Except there Isn’t One

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There are three different kinds of cycles, as helpfully laid out in an exemplary textbook I’m familiar with. One is the policy cycle , as...
Friday, March 18, 2016

Here's what's single handedly keeping us out of recession

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Social Security! Here's why the economy won't go into recession. The expansion in the Social Security rolls will necessar...
3 comments:
Tuesday, March 1, 2016

I told you to buy the dips

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You can listen to others who have been wrong for three years running, worried about the size of the deficit or, you can follow us here when ...
1 comment:
Monday, February 29, 2016

Keep buying the dips. Spending really accelerating now.

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Federal Government spending is really accelerating now. We are $45 billion over last year and last year was the biggest increase in six year...
4 comments:
Friday, February 26, 2016

No recession. Q4 GDP revised up. Flows tell it all, as we have been saying. Deficit based forecasts have been wrong, wrong, wrong.

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How many times do we have to say it? Matt and I have been saying over and over and over that these deficit-based forecasts are stubborn and ...
20 comments:
Friday, February 19, 2016

Spending up YUGE! Starting to really accelerate. Here we go go go!!!

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After that late, Jan-early Feb hiccup (IRS glitch, paperwork, whatever), Federal Gov't spending is now really starting to take off. Chec...
8 comments:
Thursday, February 11, 2016

Recession a done deal though probably (hopefully) shallow

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What the hell happened???? Stocks and the economy were starting to recover from their late Q4-2015, early Jan induced swoon, but then a...
2 comments:
Tuesday, February 9, 2016

We have lost all spending gains this fiscal year thanks to the slow pace of tax refunds. Pretty sure this tips economy into recession now.

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We have lost all spending gains versus last year because of the slow pace of tax refunds. A reader by the name of John, kindly schooled me o...
4 comments: