Nate on polls, prediction markets, and methodology.
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The Virtues and Vices of Election Prediction Markets
Nate Silver
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AlterNet
Republicans Desperate to Spin Romney as the Front-Runner Are Becoming 'Nate Silver Truthers'
Joshua Holland
2 comments:
Although it is too close for comfort, Obama is in a decent position. The Romney in is and has long been out-of-the-money. It needs volatility to finish in-the-money, and after the last debate I don't see much chance for any game changers to shift the status quo
Uh-oh…
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-obama-crosses-50-percent-opens-up-5?ref=fpb
Mitt may need some Depends.
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