Saturday, April 20, 2013

Tim Worstall — Modern Monetary Theory Means We Shouldn't Have A Progressive Tax System


About what one would expect from a Libertarian-Austrian perspective, right down to "printing money" and "Zimbabwe." 

Zero cred.

Forbes
Modern Monetary Theory Means We Shouldn't Have A Progressive Tax System
Tim Worstall
(h/t Clonal via email)

Randy commented already. Here's my comment:

Tim, you haven't got that quite right about MMT. The MMT position is that 1) government deficit spending increases consolidated non-government net financial assets in aggregate, while 2) taxation decreases them. 3) Bond issuance is an asset swap that alters the composition and term of net financial assets held by non-government without changing the amount. Bond issuance serves as a reserve drain when the monetary authority choose to set the policy rate above zero without paying interest on reserves. These are fiscal and monetary operations by which government sets the own rate of its currency and adjusts the amount of net financial assets available to non-government depending on the shifting saving desires of the domestic private and the external sectors, so that demand leakage to saving doesn't lead to an output gap and unemployment, while also regulating price stability.

According to MMT these are the parameters of economic policy that follow from Wynne Godley's approach to sectoral balances and Abba Lerner's functional finance. The parameters do not economic policy, but rather reveal the economic policy space within within which policy can be fruitfully conducted to optimize the trifecta of growth, employment and price stability. Most macro approaches hold that only two of the three can be achieved, whereas MMT holds that all three can be achieved through its understanding of modern monetary economics as the basis of macroeconomics.

Monetary policy is ordinarily determined by the politically independent central bank, the Fed in the US. Fiscal policy is determined by the political process of appropriations and taxation, which in the US is the prerogative the legislative branch. MMT does not hold that fiscal policy should be determined solely by the parameters but rather that fiscal policy should be conducted within these parameters to optimize output, employment and also maintain price stability. MMT fully recognizes and recommends the use of targeted expenditure and taxation within the parameters to accomplish the objects of the policy chosen by democratically elected representatives. But whatever the policy the result will be most effective and efficient by employing the policy space defined by the parameters to best advantage instead of guiding policy on the basis of myths, ideology, or economic approaches not based on a sound understanding of modern monetary economics.

Furthermore, MMT economists recognize that just as the money supply is determined endogenously in a system in which the central bank is the lender of last resort and always clears the payments system by providing reserve balances as necessary at the discount rate, so too, the government budget balance is also determined endogenously by the variable level of taxation and automatic stabilization across the business cycle. Therefore, it is the private sector that leads and government follows by adjusting its balance automatically at the margin to meet the demand for net financial assets in aggregate within the parameters that optimize output and maintain full employment and price stability.

There is therefore no conflict between MMT and progressive taxation or taxation of economic rents. What counts economically is multipliers. For example, cutting taxes toward the bottom is recommended to increase consumption during an output gap. Warren Mosler was the first to recommend a reduction in FICA, for example, to address the contagion of the financial crisis, as well as increasing transfers where the funds would be spent, e.g., per capita block grants to the states.

In addition, MMT also recognizes that taxation has two major purposes. The first is to withdraw net financial assets in aggregate from non-government and the second is to discourage the behaviors that are taxed. Thus to argue that MMT contradicts progressive taxation would be the same as arguing that MMT contradicts "sin taxes" or taxing externalities. Neither is the case. MMT shows the public private and external sector balances sum to zero as an accounting identity and that the public sector's balance is the mirror image of the non-government balance. Thus government must deficit spend the amount that non-government is in surplus, or the economy will contract and unemployment will rise. How government accomplishes this specifically through fiscal means is a matter of looking at the multipliers economically and the societal effects politically.

9 comments:

Unknown said...

As long as we have a government-backed credit cartel, (the banks) that benefits the rich (and other "credit-worthies") at the expense of everyone else then it is only justice that they pay for such a system with higher tax rates. Indeed, speculative uses of credit wrt food and other essentials should be taxed to destruction.

Matt Franko said...

Tom,

This moron has no idea what the hell you are taking about...

"Leaving aside all of the detail and nuance MMT is essentially the observation that governments can and do print as much money as they like. .."

Of course this is not even close to being a true statement but it is revealing, especially this part:

"Leaving aside all of the detail and nuance..."

This dummy leaves it out because he doesnt know what it is...

The only person over there who know whats going on is John Harvey...

Hey Worstall: Get with John Harvey at Forbes and he can explain it all to you if your metal-loving brain is capable of absorbing it....

Tom Hickey said...

Matt, Tim Worstall is a Libertarian-Austrian. That says it all.

Ralph Musgrave said...

I agree with Matt: Tim Worstall’s article is moronic. I’ve left a critical comment on the Forbes site. He has a habit of straying into areas of economics where he is not up to speed.

However he is clever, and I follow his blog. Also he often uses the “F” word and the “C” word, makes me laugh.

Matt Franko said...

This is interesting from his bio:

"one of the global experts on the metal scandium, one of the rare earths..."

So "rare earths" now... so we have "precious metals" (ALL in column 11) and now "rare earths"....

from rare earth wiki: "However, because of their geochemical properties, rare earth elements are typically dispersed and not often found concentrated as rare earth minerals in economically exploitable ore deposits."

So these things are dispersed... as opposed to gold (which is found in nugget form...) and silver and copper... which are either not dispersed or at least less dispersed than these 'rare earths'... Hence termed "noble metals"..

from gold wiki: " It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. "

The human zealousness for metals seems to run opposite the degree of dispersal... the less dispersed, the higher the human adoration for the metal... gold being the most exalted.

Gold being the least disgraced (ie least dispersed) of the metals? So certain humans are attracted to it for this reason? Certain humans want to subject themselves to it? via the "gold standard" as opposed to our current non-convertible state currencies?

How do their brains work?

"Ahhhh, gold and silver are the least disgraced metal, I've got it, let's subject ourselves to them! ok I've got it, no humans can conduct exchange unless these metals present themselves to us for use as a mediating substance! Yes that sounds like a good idea! We cant do this strictly among our own human beings without these metals! THAT would be crazy!"

"Or perhaps we can even eat it so we can perhaps get some of it's nobilty to rub off on us as we all know humans are of less value than these metals from the ground?"

Can a metal-lover out there please explain your logic? How does your brain work here????

Unknown said...

Tom, what if PDs and banks financed all their purchases of govt bonds (those sold by the Treasury) by borrowing directly from the CB - would bond issuance then be a 'reserve drain'?

Tom Hickey said...

Tom, what if PDs and banks financed all their purchases of govt bonds (those sold by the Treasury) by borrowing directly from the CB - would bond issuance then be a 'reserve drain'?

No.

But it's doubtful any cb would permit this unless directly related to cb operations, since banks would be profiting from the spread by doing nothing to earn it. It would be pure subsidy involving economic rent.

Bank borrowing from the cb at the discount window is supposed to be special cases, although the Fed relaxed that during the crisis. And bank borrowing from the Fed requires putting up collateral in the form of govt securities.

Unknown said...

thanks for that, it's been puzzling me a bit.

Do you know how these things work in the eurozone?

Tom Hickey said...

Do you know how these things work in the eurozone?

No.