Tuesday, October 3, 2017

Angela Poh and Ong Weichong — What Happens When America First Collides with the Chinese Dream?

China perceives the status quo as American hegemony that stands in the way of its Chinese Dream.
An irresistible force meeting an immovable object? Somethin's gotta give.

A major problem is that America and to a great extent it Anglo allies assumes that its view of liberalism is descriptive of the natural order and other views are therefore simply wrong. This is one of the foundations of a series of paradoxes of liberalism that lead liberals to think and act illiberally. 

China views the natural order completely differently based on its culture and historical development.

China is now strong enough to contest US hegemony, confident that the US cannot win a land war in Asia. Typically empires expand their reach beyond the limit at which they can sustain it. The US now at that limit and it's reach is contracting.

The National Interest
What Happens When America First Collides with the Chinese Dream?
Angela Poh, PhD Candidate at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, and Ong Weichong, assistant professor at S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University

See also
A reader asked why neoconservatives push toward nuclear war when there can be no winners. If all die, what is the point?
The answer is that the neoconservatives believe that the US can win at minimum and perhaps zero damage. 
Their insane plan is as follows: Washington will ring Russia and China with anti-ballistic missile bases in order to provide a shield against a retaliatory strike from Russia and China. Moreover, these US anti-ABM bases also can deploy nuclear attack missiles unknown to Russia and China, thus reducing the warning time to five minutes, leaving Washington’s victims little or no time in which to make a decision.
The neoconservatives think that Washington’s first strike will so badly damage the Russian and Chinese retaliatory capabilities that both governments will surrender rather than launch a response. The Russian and Chinese leaderships would conclude that their diminished forces leave little chance that many of their ICBMs will be able to get past Washington’s ABM shield, leaving the US largely intact. A feeble retaliation by Russia and China would simply invite a second wave US nuclear attack that would obliterate Russian and Chinese cities, killing millions and leaving both countries in ruins.
In short, the American warmongers are betting that the Russian and Chinese leaderships would submit rather than risk total destruction.
There is no question that neoconservatives are sufficiently evil to launch a preemptive nuclear attack, but possibly the plan aims to put Russia and China into a situation in which their leaders conclude that the deck is stacked against them and, therefore, they must accept Washington’s hegemony.
To feel secure in its hegemony, Washington would have to order Russia and China to disarm.
This plan is full of risks. Miscalculations are a feature of war. It is reckless and irresponsible to risk the life of the planet for nothing more than Washington’s hegemony.
Whatever would lead anyone to conceive of such a thing? 

Game theory.

Paul Craig Roberts
Sauron Rules in Washington
May 5, 2017

Also

Zero Hedge
Russia Does Not Exclude Possibility Of War With NATO
Tyler Durden

It's fairly certain that the US, China and Russia are engaged in a feverish arms race to dominate in cyberwarfare, space warfare, electronic warfare, hypersonic weapons, and other high tech warfare, including robotics and drones, that mutually assure destruction.

1 comment:

Ryan Harris said...

For the US it's best to play the long game. China is in rapid demographicband economic decline while the US is resuming more rapid economic and population growth.