Sunday, October 4, 2020

Rising Interest Rates Is A Good Thing For Governments —— Brian Romanchuk

Worries about the effects of rising interest rates on government finances is a standard feature of editorial pieces. However, a floating currency sovereign should not be analysed in the same way as a household or business. An individual should reasonably worry about the effect of rising interest rates on their finances; if they face financial failure, the side-effects are not enough to affect macro outcomes. This is not the case for a central government: interest rates reflect macro outcomes, and the analysis needs to take into account why interest rates are rising.

A recent article by a Canadian journalist motivated this discussion. Although Ken Boessenkool's article "Money's not for nothing" has some obvious weaknesses, it has the advantage of laying out clear logic. Most pro-austerity arguments rely on vague, unquantifiable threats. The concerns are fairly standard: the Canadian Federal Government should fear rising interest rates, in the same way that a household would.
Bond Economics
Rising Interest Rates Is A Good Thing For Governments
Brian Romanchuk

1 comment:

Andrew Anderson said...

Rising Interest Rates Is A Good Thing For Governments

The debt of a monetary sovereign, being inherently risk-free, should return AT MOST zero percent minus overhead costs to avoid welfare proportional to account balance, not need.

So, are you saying that welfare proportional to account balance is good, Brian?