Showing posts with label AI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AI. Show all posts

Friday, October 25, 2019

The gorilla problem — Diane Coyle


Review of  Stuart Russell’s Human Compatible: AI and the Problem of Control.

A major problem is programming AI lies in choosing criteria. Should criteria be based on what people do (behavior, homo economicus) or what people should do (rules, homo socialis).

The Enlightened Economist
The gorilla problem
Diane Coyle | freelance economist and a former advisor to the UK Treasury. She is a member of the UK Competition Commission and is acting Chairman of the BBC Trust, the governing body of the British Broadcasting Corporation

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Asia Times — Alibaba developing advanced chip for AI computing

Alibaba’s R&D arm DAMO Academy said it is developing a neural network chip — Ali-NPU — which will be used in image analysis, machine learning and other AI reasoning calculations, Yicai.com reported....

Thursday, January 25, 2018

Dean Baker — Morning Edition Tells Us That Most Workers Think Like Most Economists and Don't Worry About Automation

Productivity growth (the rate at which technology is displacing workers) had slowed to roughly 1.0 percent annually in the years since 2005. This compares to a 3.0 percent growth rate in the decade from 1995 to 2005 and the long Golden Age from 1947 to 1973. Most economists expect the rate of productivity growth to remain near 1.0 percent as opposed to returning back to something close to its 3.0 percent rate in more prosperous times.… 
It is also worth noting that the high productivity growth in the period from 1947 to 1973 was associated with low unemployment and rapid wage growth. If another productivity upturn instead leads to high unemployment and weak wage growth it will be the result of deliberate policy to shift the benefits of productivity growth to those at the top end of the income distribution (e.g. government granted patent and copyright monopolies, high interest rates by the Fed, and trade policy that protects doctors and other highly paid professionals from competition -- all discussed in Rigged [it's free]). It will not be the fault of the robots.
As usual the issue is distribution, discussion of which most conventional economists take off the table as taboo.

Beat the Press
Morning Edition Tells Us That Most Workers Think Like Most Economists and Don't Worry About Automation
Dean Baker | Co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C

Sunday, January 14, 2018

China Daily — Xi's bookshelf illustrates goal of developing AI powerhouse

Two books on President Xi Jinping's shelf drew public attention from both home and abroad immediately after they were seen in the video of Xi's New Year speech.
The two books were about artificial intelligence-The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World by Pedro Domingos and Brett King's Augmented: Life in the Smart Lane.
The Master Algorithm, published in 2015, describes how machine learning is remaking business, politics, science and war.
Augmented describes how society will be impacted by technologies that will change the world more in the next 20 years than it has been changed in the past 250 years....
Ecns
Xi's bookshelf illustrates goal of developing AI powerhouse
China Daily

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Kristin Houser — Why robots could replace teachers as soon as 2027


Many professions, including education and health care, will become increasingly automated. This won't eliminate the need for humans, however, since the social element is also a vital factor in many fields, especially education, which involves socialization.

The problem inherent in this article is difficulty thinking outside the box, in this case the traditional classroom. That model is obsolescent, and technology will soon make it obsolete. Then we will look back on it and wonder why it held on for so long in spite of the obvious limitations in addressing individualization through personalization.

Individualization and socialization need to be balanced in order to develop well-rounded people that have an optimal opportunity to develop and express their full potential as individuals, group participants ("team-players"), citizens, and authentic human beings.

World Economic Forum
Why robots could replace teachers as soon as 2027
Kristin Houser | Senior Editor at Futurism

Friday, December 8, 2017

Elsa B. Kania — China Is On a Whole-of-Nation Push for AI. The US Must Match It


The prize.

Defense One
China Is On a Whole-of-Nation Push for AI. The US Must Match It
Elsa B. Kania | Adjunct Fellow With the Technology and National Security Program at CNAS (Center for a New American Security)

See also

CNN
Putin and Musk are right: Whoever masters AI will run the world
Gregory C. Allen | Adjunct Fellow at the Center for a New American Security

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Will Knight — China’s AI Awakening – 中国 人工智能 的崛起

Qing Luan, director of SenseTime’s augmented-reality group, previously developed office apps for Microsoft in Redmond, Washington. She says she returned to China because the opportunities just seemed much bigger. “We were struggling to get a thousand users; then I talked with my friend who was working at a startup in China, and she said, ‘Oh, a million users is nothing—we get that in several days,’” she recalls.
This is the key point about everything involving China. It's yuuu...ge!

The numbers are mind boggling even though the US has an impressive population of over 300 million.

And India is not far behind China in joining the developed world. With Indonesia in the wings.

The next few decades look to be transformative, if we don't destroy ourselves first.

The question is whether the planet can handle that kind of growth. Probably not — unless innovation.

The current buzz word in China, direct from the lips of President Xi, is "innovation."
China was leading the world then [in the Shang Dynasty].
And in the future, we will lead again with technological innovations.
MIT Technology Review
China’s AI Awakening – 中国 人工智能 的崛起
Will Knight | senior editor for AI at MIT Technology Review

Thursday, October 5, 2017

Missy Cummings — We need to overcome AI's inherent human bias


Like I've been saying. GIGO.

This is somewhat similar to the systems/game theoretical approach to military strategy that was highly popular with strategists affecting policy at the time of the Vietnam War.
Missy Cummings | Director, Humans & Autonomy Laboratory

See also

Justifiably, there is a growing debate on the ethics of AI use. How do we roll out AI-based systems that cannot reason about some of the ethical conundrums that human decision-makers need to weigh – issues such as the value of a life and ending deep-seated biases against under-privileged groups? Some even propose halting the rollout of AI before we have answered these tough questions.

I would argue that it’s not acceptable to reject today’s AI due to perceived ethical issues. Why? Ironically, I believe it might be unethical to do so.

Greater good

At its core, there is a “meta ethics” issue here.

How can we advocate halting the deployment of a technology solely because of a small chance of failure, when we know that AI technologies harnessed today could definitely save millions of people?
The basis of utilitarian consequential ethics is "utility." "Good" is defined in terms of the greatest good for the greatest number.

Deontological ethics is rule-based. Kantian deontological ethics is based on the rule of making decisions based on whether the action can be generalized as principle, which is a philosophical way of stating the Golden Rule.

Virtue ethics is based on a constellation of virtues that do not necessarily align. Practical wisdom must be applied as the criterion of reason.

Moral sentiments theories like those of David Hume and Adam Smith in The Theory of Moral Sentiments are based on a moral sensibility or refined feeling.

Situational ethics denies a universal approach to ethical decision-making in that every case is a special case and needs to be approached as such.
Situational ethics, or situation ethics, takes into account the particular context of an act when evaluating it ethically, rather than judging it according to absolute moral standards. In situation ethics, within each context, it is not a universal law that is to be followed, but the law of love. A Greek word used to describe love in the Bible is "agape". Agape is the type of love that shows concern about others, caring for them as much as one cares for oneself. Agape love is conceived as having no strings attached to it and seeking nothing in return; it is a totally unconditional love. Proponents of situational approaches to ethics include Kierkegaard, Sartre, de Beauvoir, Jaspers, and Heidegger.
Specifically Christian forms of situational ethics placing love above all particular principles or rules were proposed in the first half of the twentieth century by Rudolf Bultmann, John A. T. Robinson, and Joseph Fletcher. These theologians point specifically to agapē, or unconditional love, as the highest end. Other theologians who advocated situational ethics include Josef Fuchs, Reinhold Niebuhr, Karl Barth, Emil Brunner, Dietrich Bonhoeffer, and Paul Tillich.  Tillich, for example, declared that "Love is the ultimate law."
Fletcher, who became prominently associated with this approach in the English-speaking world due to his book (Situation Ethics), stated that "all laws and rules and principles and ideals and norms, are only contingent, only valid if they happen to serve love" in the particular situation, and thus may be broken or ignored if another course of action would achieve a more loving outcome. Fletcher has sometimes been identified as the founder of situation ethics, but he himself refers his readers to the active debate over the theme that preceded his own work.
Perennial Wisdom is in agreement with "the law of love" as supreme while also emphasizing that there are categories of mutual upholding, such that different conditions result in different responsibilities independently of specific contexts and circumstances. For example, parents responsibility is to provide first for their own families; citizens responsibility is first to their own countries.

Ethical dilemmas should not halt the rollout of AI. Here’s why
Kartik Hosanagar | Professor, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

Friday, September 22, 2017

Duncan Green — What does Artificial Intelligence mean for the future of poor countries?


Important. 

Is global society and the global economy at a turning point and if so, what happens next? It's chiefly about the developing world, but similar challenges face the developed world. 

Technological innovation results in emergence and emergence present fresh challenges along with new opportunities. How those involved in rapid change will react is uncertain. Will they be able to adapt, and, if so, how? While coordination increase the return from coordination, or will competition separate winners from losers? What does this imply for the level of conflict, types of conflict, and reactions to conflict?

From Poverty to Plenty
What does Artificial Intelligence mean for the future of poor countries?
Duncan Green

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Global Times — With many Chinese talents returning home, China gets set to overtake the U.S. in technology breakthroughs

A recent report by Goldman Sachs indicated that China has the resources and ambitious, high-level government plans to support artificial intelligence (AI) development and machine learning over the next few years. In the report, the investment bank identified four key factors for the growth of the AI industry - talent, data, infrastructure and computing power. By now, China already has the first three factors needed to fully embrace AI. Some talents who studied and worked overseas shared their stories with the Global Times to explain why they came back to China....
Ecns.cn
With many Chinese talents returning home, China gets set to overtake the U.S. in technology breakthroughs
Global Times

Thursday, September 7, 2017

Asia Unhedged — CIA has 137 projects going in artificial intelligence


Another side benefit of the entrepreneurial state military R&D.

Asia Times
CIA has 137 projects going in artificial intelligence
Asia Unhedged

See Also
"Artificial intelligence is the future, not only of Russia, but of all of mankind," Putin said. "Whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will become the ruler of the world." After seeing Putin's comments, SpaceX and Tesla CEO Elon Musk tweeted that "competition for AI superiority at national level (is the) most likely cause of WW3."
CNN
Putin and Musk are right: Whoever masters AI will run the world
Gregory C. Allen

Monday, July 17, 2017

Military Technology Then and Now

Recently there has been some debate at the U.N. about “killer robots,” with prominent scientists, researchers, and Human rights organizations all warning that this type of technology – lethal tech. that divorces the need for human control – could cause a slew of unintended consequence to the detriment of humanity....
Despite the warnings of risk and concern, this is not stopping arms manufacturers from taking warfare into the twilight zone and bringing the futuristic battlefield scenario where A.I. robots and human are fighting with each other, side by side, closer to everyday reality....
According to Sergey Denisentsev, a visiting fellow at the Center For Strategic International Studies, Russian weapons makers see robotics and the artificial intelligence driving them as key to future sales to war makers.
“There is a need to look for new market niches such as electronic warfare systems, small submarines, and robots, but that will require strong promotional effort because a new technology sometimes finds it hard to find a buyer and to convince the buyer that he really needs it, ” Denisentsev said earlier this year....
It's "the Russians," you see.

Zero Hedge
Elon Musk's Worst Nightmare - Russian AK-47 Maker Builds Fully-Automated "Killer Robot"
Joseph Jankowski | PlanetFreeWill.com
IN THE 12th CENTURY, the crossbow was considered by many to be a weapon of mass destruction. Not only was it was remarkably accurate and deadly at vast distances, but shockingly, the bolts it fired could penetrate a knight’s armour. Crossbows meant that no breast-plated nobleman, prince or king was safe on the battlefield. Any low-born peasant with just a bit of training could kill a lord or sovereign with simple squeeze of a trigger — a platoon of crossbowmen could wipe out a kingdom’s aristocracy with just a few volleys. And that was something Medieval elites feared might shatter the natural order of society. 
Not surprisingly, the highest European authority of the day, the Roman Catholic Church, called for an outright ban on the weapon. And the Vatican wasn’t messing around — violating its decree could lead to excommunication, or worse: damnation of the soul. Strong language, to be sure. In fact, for much of the Middle Ages, the crossbow was considered to be one of the most destabilizing weapons in existence, not unlike today’s nuclear, chemical and biological weapons....
Editors

The more things change, the more they remain the same.

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Robert Hackett — Alphabet’s Eric Schmidt: ‘I Was Proven Completely Wrong’ About Artificial Intelligence

While leading Google through the aughts, Eric Schmidt made a miscalculation.
"I was proven completely wrong" about artificial intelligence, Alphabet's executive chairman said at the RSA security conference in San Francisco on Wednesday.
Schmidt has initially skeptical about the technology, and he's since acknowledged how vital it is to both the company's mission and to the global economy.
Fortune
Alphabet’s Eric Schmidt: ‘I Was Proven Completely Wrong’ About Artificial Intelligence
Robert Hackett

Thursday, January 5, 2017

Zhang Rui — Mysterious Go 'Master' turns out to be new AlphaGo

Go is a strategy game similar to chess but with many more moving parts.
The mysterious "master" that has been beating elite Go players online has revealed its true identity as an updated version of AlphaGo, Google's London-based AI firm DeepMind announced.
The player registered with an ID of "Master" on Chinese online board game platforms eweiqi.com and foxwq.com and has won 60 fast-paced online matches since Dec. 29 against a group of elite Go players, including Lee Sedol's compatriot Park Jung-hwan, Japan's Iyama Yuta and China's top players Ke Jie, Nie Weiping and Gu Li, triggering interest in its identity within the professional Go circle.
"Master" identified itself as AlphaGo after beating Gu Li on Wednesday. "I'm AlphaGo's Doctor Huang," the user "Master" wrote on foxwq.com, according to screenshots from media reports. Taiwanese developer Aja Huang is a member of Google's DeepMind team, via whom AlphaGo played the game with.
DeepMind chief executive Demis Hassabis later revealed on Twitter on Wednesday that "Master" was a new prototype version of AlphaGo....
China.org.cn
Mysterious Go 'Master' turns out to be new AlphaGo
Zhang Rui

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Scott Adams — Working for the Machines


Machine intelligence and free will for moist robots (humans).

Scott Adams Blog
Working for the Machines
Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert

Saturday, July 9, 2016

Jason Furman — Is This Time Different? The Opportunities and Challenges of Artificial Intelligence



Jason Furman
Chairman, Council of Economic Advisers

Remarks at AI Now: The Social and Economic Implications of Artificial Intelligence Technologies in the Near Term
New York University New York, NY July 7, 2016
This is an expanded version of these remarks as prepared for delivery. 

ht Brad DeLong

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Lord Keynes — Human Consciousness, Artificial Intelligence and Popper’s Three World Ontology

Jesper Jespersen (2009) uses Popper’s three worlds ontology in his Critical Realist methodology for Post Keynesian economics, and it is highly relevant for the ontological and epistemological basis of economics.
Social Democracy For The 21St Century: A Post Keynesian Perspective
Human Consciousness, Artificial Intelligence and Popper’s Three World Ontology
Lord Keynes