Showing posts with label PQE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PQE. Show all posts

Friday, September 25, 2015

Bill Mitchell — lightweight garbage from The Economist


Bill initially smacks down The Economist as a propaganda rag, but the rest of the article is an excellent primer on PQE and the difference between QE and the misnamed  PQE. QE is a monetary operation and PQE is a fiscal operation.
The differences are (see PQE is sound economics but is not in the QE family:
1. QE does not change the net financial asset position of the non-government sector at all – that is, the net wealth remains unchanged. It is an asset swap. The non-government sector just rearranges is wealth portfolio – more cash, less bonds. No net change.
That is the essence of a – monetary policy operation – which alters the liquidity in the economy. It does it by portfolio swaps and in doing so influences the interest rates and the term structure.
2. PQE (or OMF) means the central bank, as one part of the consolidated government sector, the other being the Treasury, would use the currency-issuing capacity of the government to facilitate the purchase of real goods and services to build productive infrastructure.
The NIB [National Investment Bank] is just a fancy title for a government agency and would be engaged in public spending – that is, in a fiscal operation. It would be spending out of some account the Bank of England created on its behalf and filled with numbers, presumably with many zeros after the first few digits.
PQE is not QE because it is a fiscal operation, which means it would increase the net financial assets in the non-government sector because it would increase national income (via spending on infrastructure).
PQE as envisaged is a fiscal operation, not a monetary operation, whereas QE as practiced by the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve Bank of America, the Bank of Japan etc are not fiscal operations.
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
lightweight garbage from The EconomistBill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Ellen Brown — Time for the Nuclear Option: Raining Money on Main Street

Predictions are that we will soon be seeing the “nuclear option” — central bank-created money injected directly into the real economy. All other options having failed, governments will be reduced to issuing money outright to cover budget deficits. So warns a September 18 article on ZeroHedge titled “It Begins: Australia’s Largest Investment Bank Just Said ‘Helicopter Money’ Is 12-18 Months Away.”…
Nice one from Ellen.

Web of Debt
Time for the Nuclear Option: Raining Money on Main Street
Ellen Brown

Monday, September 14, 2015

Scott Fullwiler — Corbynomics 101—It’s the Deficit, Stupid!

The proposal obviously counters the austerity mantras going around in British politics (not to mention most other places), though Corbyn himself has paid lip service to balancing the budget, as well. The controversy, beyond the typical concerns with greater government spending of austerians, are fairly predictable for anyone who has taken a standard macroeconomics course (usually with a textbook written by someone who didn’t see the financial crisis coming)—
  • first, the often heard QE = “printing money” = massive inflation argument is pervasive here with regard to PQE, as well;
  • second, there are substantial concerns being voiced that “forcing” the BoE to finance the NIB will undermine the “independence” of the central bank and monetary policy;
  • third, PQE gives the government free reign to spend by eliminating the need to fund its deficits in the financial markets.
So, here I want to look at the accounting and some basic operational realities of this proposal in order to understand how PQE does or does not do what the naysayers say it will.….
Leave it to Scott to tie things together in a neat bundle showing the accounting. Everything anyone wanted to know about PGE and a lot more. Hope the Corbyn people pick up on it and run with it.

New Economics Perspectives
Corbynomics 101—It’s the Deficit, Stupid!
Scott T. Fullwiler | James A. Leach Chair in Banking and Monetary Economics and is an Associate Professor of Economics at Wartburg College

Saturday, August 22, 2015

Simon Wilson — What is QE for the people?


Presents both side on the issue about as well as can be expected in this kind of venue.
In his campaign presentation on the economy a few weeks ago, Corbyn suggested giving the BoE “a new mandate to upgrade our economy to invest in new large-scale housing, energy, transport and digital projects: QE for people instead of banks”. The plan is based on proposals from Corbyn’s main economic adviser, tax campaigner Richard Murphy.…
Murphy suggests that this form of QE is only now being considered because “money has only recently been properly
understood for the first time”. He seems to believe that advances made in the subfield of economics known as “modern monetary theory” (MMT) make people’s QE feasible. (Crudely, adherents of MMT hold that governments with the power to issue their own currencies will always be solvent, and that inflation is caused primarily by resource constraints, rather than monetary growth.)
Here's the contra:
By contrast, most other economists, commentators and politicians – Labour and Conservative – view people’s QE as having obviously dangerous inflationary consequences.
Why is that?
It would fatally compromise the BoE’s standing on global credit markets. As Robert Peston put it in his BBC blog,m“the lore of central banks – which, rightly or wrongly is almost universally accepted by investors – says that central banks should only look at whether there is too much or too little money in the economy… and not at narrowerquestions, such as whether there are enough roads or houses being built in Britain”. 
If markets believe the BoE is no longer exercising judicious restraint in its creation of new money, and is instead the de-facto vehicle for funding politically popular projects, sterling would weaken and inflation rise.
By how much? That’s impossible to say. But even if we are not talking about Weimar Germany, there is little doubt that investors would conclude that the risk of investing in sterling and the UK had grown.
In other words, because "expectations." 

Money Week
What is QE for the people?
Simon Wilson

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Bill Mitchell — PQE is sound economics but is not in the QE family

The conservative forces including those ‘Tories’ that are within the British Labour Party (aka New Labourites) continue to gather their forces to counter the growing threat posed by Jeremy Corbyn to their secure world as neo-liberal, Tory-lite hopefuls. They are part of a phalanx of critics, including mainstream economists who seek to diminish his credibility. At the extreme end of this bunch are the evil ones who have accused Corbyn of being antisemitic and a friend to Islamic terrorists. I am reliably informed that the same tactics have been deployed against Bernie Sanders in the US. It tells us that desperation has replaced any sense of decency or reason. It also tells us that the Tory-lites are finally seeing the evidence that their day in the sun has gone and they are being cast into irrelevance. Not before time, I should add. But all is not clear on the Corbyn front either. Today, I want to discuss what appears to be a major economic policy proposal – the so-called People’s Quantitative Easing (or PQE). There are elements of a good idea in this proposal but the QE reference and the resulting language is all wrong, in that it betrays as lack of understanding of the difference between a monetary policy operation and a fiscal policy intervention. The concept should be re-framed so that a consistent narrative can be provided and that a good policy proposal gains the wings it needs. PQE is a wealth generating policy which is in contradistinction to QE which just shuffles wealth portfolios.…
Hope Jeremy Corbyn and his people are listening.
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
PQE is sound economics but is not in the QE family
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia