An economics, investment, trading and policy blog with a focus on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). We seek the truth, avoid the mainstream and are virulently anti-neoliberalism.
Pages
Pages
Tuesday, March 31, 2020
The Cheapest Way For Trump To Save U.S. Oil — Lourcey Sams
How Eight Conglomerates Dominate Japanese Industry — Matt Jancer
The Darkest Side of Monopsony: The South Korean Case
Sangin Park
How Eight Conglomerates Dominate Japanese Industry
Zero Hedge — "There Are Basically No Sales": U.S. Auto Industry Enters Total Collapse As A Result Of Nationwide Lockdown
There were no sales in China either.
Zero Hedge
"There Are Basically No Sales": U.S. Auto Industry Enters Total Collapse As A Result Of Nationwide Lockdown
Tyler Durden
Oil Price Rises After Trump Phones Putin — Gary Littlejohn
The Vineyard of the Saker
Oil Price Rises After Trump Phones Putin
Gary Littlejohn for The Saker blog
Sputnik — China's GDP Growth to Decline to 2.3% in Baseline Scenario in 2020 - World Bank
Forget about that crash the media was forecasting.
Sputnik
China's GDP Growth to Decline to 2.3% in Baseline Scenario in 2020 - World Bank
CNBC
- China on Tuesday said the official Purchasing Manager’s Index for March was 52.0, beating expectations for an economy hit by the coronavirus outbreak.
- Analysts polled by Reuters had expected the official PMI to come in at 45 for the month of March, from a record low of 35.7 a month earlier.
China says manufacturing activity expanded in March, defying expectations of a contraction
RT — Beijing won't just 'watch Huawei be slaughtered on the chopping board', company chief warns US
"The Chinese government will not just stand by and watch Huawei be slaughtered on the chopping board," Chairman Eric Xu told reporters at the launch of Huawei's annual report.
"Why wouldn't the Chinese government ban the use of 5G chips or 5G chip-powered base stations, smartphones and other smart devices provided by American companies, for cybersecurity reasons?"
HOW COVID-19 KILLS--I'm a Surgeon--And Why We Can't Save You
I've been debating with some climate change deniers for 3 weeks, but they are also Covid-19 deniers too. They say it's nothing.
The Economic Outlook — Bill McBride
Bill McBride is an analyst worth listening to on the economy even though he specializes in real estate. He doesn't have an axe to grind. He doesn't see a fast snapback.
Best line:
(Note: This was NOT a "stimulus" package, this was disaster relief).Calculated Risk
The Economic Outlook
Bill McBride
What the Shift to Virtual Learning Could Mean for the Future of Higher Ed — Vijay Govindarajan and Anup Srivastava
What the Shift to Virtual Learning Could Mean for the Future of Higher EdVijay Govindarajan and
Anup SrivastavaVijay Govindarajan, Coxe Distinguished Professor of Management at Dartmouth’s Tuck School of Business, and Anup Srivastava. Canada Research Chair in Accounting, Decision Making, and Capital Markets and Associate Professor at Haskayne School of Business, University of Calgary
Firing of Whistleblowing Emergency Room Doctor Ming Lin By Blackstone-Owned TeamHealth Demonstrates Outsized Role of Private Equity in Hospital Staffing — Yves Smith
However, the furor over the mistreatment of Dr. Lin did largely manage to skip over the question of how TeamHealth [owned by Blackstone] is even legally in the position to effectively provide hospital services when they are not licensed to do so. Several groups protested Dr. Lin’s ouster and one, the American Academy of Emergency Medicine, focused squarely on this issue.Similar to insurance companies approving and denying care prescribed by physicians. Screwing with provision is one thing but practicing medicine without a license is another.
WTF?
Naked Capitalism
Firing of Whistleblowing Emergency Room Doctor Ming Lin By Blackstone-Owned TeamHealth Demonstrates Outsized Role of Private Equity in Hospital Staffing
Bill Mitchell — The government should pay the workers 100 per cent, not rely on wage subsidies
The buzz-word at the moment in Australian government and policy circles is ‘hibernation’ – the government is hoping, that the economy can behave like a crocodile and find some ‘river bank’ and have a ‘good sleep’ until the pandemic is over, at which time, it will burst forth into a new growth phase and unless the virus mutates into something worse in the meantime then all will be well. Their policy interventions to date – while they have been like dragging a chain as their conservative instincts are being dragged very quickly into the demands and realities of real world macroeconomics, which is different to the nonsense that is taught by mainstream economists in our now depleted universities – have been crafted to ensure nothing important changes in a structural sense in our socio-economic lives. The problem is that the existing system, which they are hoping to put into hibernation for a while, is putrid to the core and needs major changes if we are to achieve a socio-ecological transformation. Remember the failings of neoliberalism? Remember climate change? Remember the poles melting? Remember the engineered cuts to workers who rely on penalty rates at weekends to maintain a sense of material prosperity? Remember the 13.7 per cent labour underutilisation rate? Remember the failed public transport and energy sectors, privatised and lacking in investment? Remember the financial markets that were exposed by the recent Royal Commission as corrupt, inefficient and downright dangerous to the our material and psychological prosperity? We don’t need a hibernation. We need the Government to take advantage of the dislocation that is currently occurring to make some basic changes. Like wiping out the gig economy. Like … read on. At present, the stimulus interventions, which are mostly about saving capitalism from itself. We should be demanding much more....Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Noam Chomsky: Coronavirus - What is at stake?
The coronavirus crisis is revealing that the powers that be of the European Union have learned nothing from the Eurocrisis.
They are currently betraying the interests of the majority of Europeans in the same way that they have done so in 2010 -- by failing to mobilize existing money and public financial instruments in the interests of the many. With their current decisions, they are jeopardizing public health, public goods and the interests of Europeans.
Monday, March 30, 2020
Moon of Alabama — Trump, Putin Will Discuss The End Of U.S. Shale Oil
Trump would have to make a strategic offer that Russia could not resist to get some cooperation on oil prices.…But what strategic offer could Trump make that would move Putin to agree to some new deal?...
And what reason has Russia to believe that Trump or his successor would stick to any deal? As the U.S. is non-agreement-capable it has none.
The outcome of the phone call will therefore likely be nothing....Moon of Alabama
Trump, Putin Will Discuss The End Of U.S. Shale Oil
Biden’s Foreign Policy Teams Hints at War with China, Conflict with Russia — Alan Macleod
Mint Press News
Biden’s Foreign Policy Teams Hints at War with China, Conflict with Russia
Alan Macleod
Bitcoin Exchange — Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) vs BTC to be the Main Event of 2020
Bitcoin Exchange
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) vs BTC to be the Main Event of 2020
Radical imagination and the intellectual edifice — Jim Vrettos interviews Michael Hudson
Michael Hudson — On Finance, Real Estate And The Powers Of Neoliberalism
Radical imagination and the intellectual edifice
Jim Vrettos interviews Michael Hudson | President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City, and Guest Professor at Peking University
U.S. Oil Production In Process Of ... Peaking Brian Romanchuk
My base case view matches what is priced into the markets: the crude oil market is glutted and demand is falling off a cliff. Storage constraints are in sight, and I am not seeing an immediate catalyst for a demand rebound. The nearly inevitable outcome is that drilling drops dead, and capacity is shuttered. At some point, one will be able to take the chart of U.S. crude liquid products (conventional oil plus the products of fracking), stick a red line through the maximum value, and all other values on the chart will below that maximum. In common parlance, this behaviour is known as a "peak." As a long-suffering card-carrying Peak Oil believer, I will be flooding the internet with "I told ya so!" missives.
I accept that one can generate some scenarios where a peak does not occur near this point. Meanwhile, I am not saying that this will be a maximum for all time; this is a "local maximum." However, I am not incredibly optimistic that the U.S. will be able to take another run at the 20 million barrels per day level any time soon....US oil production depends on the cartel to maintain prices above market price owing to the high production cost of US oil relative to other major producers. The US as swing producer was never going to happen.
The practical alternative is for the US to nationalize oil have the government eat the difference between market price and production cost. While this would be anti-capitalistic and seemingly would be rejected out of hand, nationalization would be justifiable based on national self-sufficiency in vital resources.
Bond Economics
U.S. Oil Production In Process Of ... Peaking
Brian Romanchuk
What If We Nationalized Payroll? Pavlina Tcherneva
As the coronavirus pandemic rages on, the US Congress appropriated a whopping $2 trillion budget to tackle it (about 10% of GDP). The focus was on expanded unemployment benefits and cash assistance to families, as well as grants and loans to small firms and large corporations in hopes that they will halt the torrent of layoffs.
Across the ocean, Denmark took a different approach. The Danish government announced that it would cover 75–90% of certain worker salaries for the next 3 months. However remote the possibility here in the US, it still inspires the question: Could we have followed suit? How shall we think about such a policy?...
Pavlina Tcherneva | Assistant Professor of Economics at Bard College, Research Scholar at The Levy Economics Institute, and Senior Research Associate at the Center for Full Employment and Price Stability
Four types of labor and the epidemic
Branko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Capitalism’s Triple Crisis — Mariana Mazzucato
After the 2008 financial crisis, we learned the hard way what happens when governments flood the economy with unconditional liquidity, rather than laying the foundation for a sustainable and inclusive recovery. Now that an even more severe crisis is underway, we must not repeat the same mistake....
Mariana Mazzucato | RM Phillips chair in the Economics of Innovation at SPRU in the University of Sussex
Tax Justice and Modern Monetary Theory – A Guide — Yves Smith
I think Modern Monetary Theory proponents have made acceptance of their ideas a bit more difficult by not drawing a bright line between their theory, which is a description of how government spending works in a fiat currency system, versus what they believe are resulting sound policy approaches, such as setting the price of labor (a Job Guarantee) rather than the price of money.Some folks seem slow on the uptake. How loud to MMT economists need to shout? (shakes head)
Hello, MMT is not essentially about tax justice. That is a different subject that informs political economy and it is chiefly a political matter, as implied by the term, "justice." "Justice" is a legal term, not an economic one.
Political economy intersects with philosophy, sociology, evolutionary theory, anthropology, sociology, political theory, law and justice, etc. The MMT economists are doing macroeconomics, which is their field of expertise. Because MMT is a type of institutional economics that also builds on Post Keynesianism and other influences, it is difficult for other economists to categorize so they try to force it into a box that doesn't fit.
When MMT economists venture into policy, they do so personally. Macroeconomic is policy-neutral other than in its assumptions. But the commonly held assumption among macroeconomists is that the chief aim of macroeconomics is explaining the relationship of growth, employment and price. MMT offers a unique approach to this using a different lens to look at the data and issues and to construct models of different types of systems.
Bill Mitchell – My podcast with Alan Kohler
In his article, Alan wrote that we do not want the RBA purchasing Treasury debt directly.
Why?:we don’t want to do that because we don’t trust politicians. They need to be handcuffed by the idea that all spending must be funded by taxes or debt. Otherwise where would we be? In the land of the Magic Pudding, that’s where.But that is a fabrication designed to prevent politicians using unlimited cash to buy votes and entrench themselves in power.The interesting question now is whether that fabrication will survive the virus or become one of its casualties.
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
Some Trump supporters ‘delight’ in defying pandemic protocols to stick it to liberals: report
“The white-haired Republicans seemed to delight in breaking the new rules,” Coppins writes. “They made a show of shaking hands, and complained loudly about the ‘stupid hoax’ being propagated by virus alarmists. When their tee times were up, they piled defiantly into golf carts, shoulder to shoulder, and sped off toward the first hole.”
Raw Story
Some Trump supporters ‘delight’ in defying pandemic protocols to stick it to liberals: report
Fed lowers RRR to 0%
What a bunch of duplicitous and dishonest pieces of garbage these people are...
How many months have we been told that they had to increase the Reserve Assets at the Depositories with all the "repo!" BS ever since September... covering up their incompetence where they had a requirement of 10% of Deposits and Deposits were $13T so they reduced THEIR OWN RESERVE balances below $1.3T and created a Reserve deficiency...
So they go for months trying to create this big smokescreen about 'Reserves!" and adding all these nonrisk assets to Depositories... like it was a real technical issue or something...
Now in the middle of "virus!" armageddeon they just come out one day and say "well... now the requirement is ZERO!"..
Why didnt you just do this in September then assholes?????
These are some of the most incompetent and dishonest people on planet earth... if our medical and healthcare people were like this we would soon all be dead...
These people should all be shit canned like yesterday....
📢 The Federal Reserve eliminates banking reserve requirements starting tomorrow where banks are no longer required to keep any cash reserves to secure deposits (previously 10%)— CryptoCurrency News (@CryptoBoomNews) March 25, 2020
Time For Plan ₿ pic.twitter.com/6MhMIvfQw3
Toilet paper is a giant waste of resources
Americans consume the most toilet paper in the world but it's a very wasteful product to manufacture, according to the numbers.
- Toilet paper consumption is unsustainable and requires a tremendous amount of resources to produce.
- Americans use the most toilet paper in the world and have been hoarding it due to coronavirus.
- Alternatives to toilet paper are gaining more popularity with the public.
I was going to plumb in a bidet as it's dead easy to do, but some guy on Amazon said his one leaked and it destroyed his kitchen ceiling. There is no overflow for the plumbed in type, shown below. I found the portable type to be excellent, but some are better than others.
The Big Think
Tyler Durden - Putin Says 'The Rich Must Pay' For The COVID-19 Chaos
In contrast, Putin has settled on a more rational and compassionate plan. He’s going to launch a relief program that actually focuses on the people who need it the most. Then, he’s going to cover the costs by taxing the people who are most capable of shouldering the burden. His intention is not to “soak the rich” or to redistribute wealth. He simply wants to find the most equitable way to share the costs for this completely unexpected crisis. In short, Putin was presented with two very bad options:
1– Let the Russian people huddle in their homes (“shelter in place”) until the food runs out and the bills pile up to the ceiling.
2–Or tap into a temporary source of revenue that will help the country get through the hard times.
He wisely chose the latter option not because he’s a fiery leftist who hates the “free market”, but because he realizes that in a time of national crisis, the people who are more able to pay, should pay. It’s a question of fairness.
Tyler Durden - Putin Says 'The Rich Must Pay' For The COVID-19 Chaos
$6 Trillion ‘rescue package,’ unaffordable bailouts and buybacks: Bend over, here it comes again!
All those free market entrepreneurs who shouted that private was best - neoliberalism - and now running to the government begging for bail-outs. Now they want benefits and welfare to help them out during the hard times, and yet they always avoided paying their fair share taxes. We don't have a nice word for poor people who do things like that.
Multi-billionaire Richard Branson owns the majority of shares in Virgin Atlantic airlines, an airline which will likely seek a £7.5 billion government bailout. Had Branson deployed capital to strengthen Virgin Atlantic’s balance sheet rather than using leverage to purchase Flybe, which has since gone bankrupt, perhaps a bailout of Virgin Atlantic would not be necessary. Why shouldn’t Branson use the excessive compensation he took from his company to bail out his company?
$6 Trillion ‘rescue package,’ unaffordable bailouts and buybacks: Bend over, here it comes again!
Sunday, March 29, 2020
Lack of Mental Game
A consumer psychologist breaks down COVID-19 panic buying: https://t.co/Go8aA9GvTb pic.twitter.com/SvKkjaAwcb
— Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) March 30, 2020
The huge coronavirus bailouts will need to be paid back. Or will they? — Philip Inman
Willem Buiter, the Columbia University academic who was a founding member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee before becoming chief economist at Citigroup, says the US and UK now have money on tap in almost limitless amounts. The funds can sit on a central bank’s balance sheet for as long as it takes.
Critics of MMT argue it can prove to be too much and overheat an economy. At that point taxes would need to be increased – something that until now few believed western governments were capable of doing.
But in a post-pandemic world, inflation is unlikely to feature, and if it does, the central bank can just rein in its lending, as and when it deems necessary to keep inflation low....Mixing up monetary policy with MMT.
The Guardian
The huge coronavirus bailouts will need to be paid back. Or will they?
Modern monetary theory, COVID-19 and the economy — Stephen Hail
THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC is obviously the biggest global emergency of its kind for more than a century. The social and economic impacts are without precedent and some will be long-lasting. Its lessons will be profound. Some of them will take years to unravel. Others are clear to many, and should be clear to all, even now.
One of these lessons is that in countries like ours, the limitations on the ability of the government to engage in very large amounts of spending to support people, organisations and the economy are entirely political. They are not financial. Governments with very high levels of what is commonly regarded as "national debt" have not been and will not be constrained by that debt.
Those currency-issuing institutions described below as "monetary sovereigns" simply gain the necessary political approval for additional spending and are then able to do it. The spending is self-financing. It does not have to be funded. That is not the way modern monetary systems work....IndependentAustralian
Modern monetary theory, COVID-19 and the economy
Unlocking Society — Brian Romanchuk
There is a pointless internet debate about the trade-off between "the economy" and "health." This is being fueled by a handful of articles from highly privileged people telling poor people to go back to work because it was impacting their stock or real estate portfolios. The reality is that there is no such thing as an "economy" at this point, just "society." Although a shutdown is tenable to flush out infections, the essentials must flow. From a North American standpoint, I believe that the emphasis will be on regions, and regions will unfreeze at different times....Bond Economics
Unlocking Society
Brian Romanchuk
Now Rats..
Not good for disease control.... With the restaurants closed the vermin are going to be coming in looking for food...no longer just an easy restaurant dumpster dive...
[NOLA rat slowly gets up from his seat]https://t.co/nKFbeodKYD
— MisterJayEm (@MisterJayEm) March 29, 2020
Here's a good resource for rodent control this guy evaluates traps... numerous trap configurations with pretty thorough evaluation for both mice and rats nice channel coming in handy these days:
Trump: "It will all come roaring back again, and fast!"
Team Trump pumping the "V Shaped Recovery" thesis...
“With the Tax Cuts and new Trade Deals, we were set for a tremendous growth rate this year.... and then the Virus came along.” @larry_kudlow @MariaBartiromo We were breaking all records, especially on employment. It will all come roaring back again, and fast!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 29, 2020
Poll: Only 3% of Venezuelans Say Guaido Is President, Only 4 % Trust Him
The Empire and its poodles insulting the intelligence (and self-determination) of Venezuelans by insisting he is
ICI: US Retirement Assets $32 Trillion
Well at least they WERE $32 trillion....
As of the end of December 2019, #retirement assets accounted for 34 percent of all household financial assets in United States. https://t.co/GoBbh4X9wS pic.twitter.com/Be396MGhEX
— ICI (@ICI) March 29, 2020
Saturday, March 28, 2020
Trump pivoting to wartime President
Lots of hardware in this:
With the courage of our doctors and nurses, with the skill of our scientists and innovators, with the determination of the American People, and with the grace of God, WE WILL WIN THIS WAR. When we achieve this victory, we will emerge stronger and more united than ever before! pic.twitter.com/sFmxKzXdGC
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 28, 2020
Abbott coming out with new test equipment next week
Might help:
This is excellent news. American innovation is our best weapon against this pandemic. https://t.co/EFoVv1Ntmj
— Dan Crenshaw (@DanCrenshawTX) March 28, 2020
Links — 28 Mar 2020
RUSSIALINK: “Spend an Evening at the Bolshoi; The ‘golden collection’ of ballet and opera will be broadcast online free” – Moscow Times
Poll: Only 3% of Venezuelans Say Guaido Is President, Only 4 % Trust Him
Trump’s Narcoterrorism Indictment of Maduro Backfires
A FORETASTE OF THE HORROR OF BIOLOGICAL WARFARE
Eric Margolis
The US Is Using Germ Warfare On Sanctioned Nations
Caitlin Johnstone
U.S. Targets 20 Iranian Companies In Fresh Round Of Sanctions
Dreams of Extermination in Puerto Rico: U.S. Biological Warfare and the Legacy of Dr. Cornelius Rhoads
FAIR
Media Silent as Poll Workers Contract Covid-19 at Primaries That DNC, Biden Campaign Claimed Were Safe
Katie Halper
Congress Goes Big, States Play a Vital Part in Recovery, and a Dollar Crunch Takes Hold — Carl R. Tannenbaum, Ryan James Boyle, Vaibhav Tandon
In the medium term, the U.S. government has now joined other countries in putting Modern Monetary Theory into operation. The lines between fiscal and monetary policy have been blurred: the Department of the Treasury is providing $450 billion in seed capital for the Federal Reserve to use as leverage to buy loans and investments. These purchases will be designed to help the economy and the financial markets recover.
Reciprocally, the Fed will undertake open-ended quantitative easing, which will absorb a good fraction of the Treasury bonds that will be issued to pay for the congressional stimulus program. This will help interest rates remain in reasonable ranges.“Modern Monetary Theory has been made operational.”
Purists will certainly feel uneasy about this apparent compromise of central bank independence. But with interest rates at zero in most major markets, traditional levers of monetary policy have been exhausted. Financing fiscal efforts is the best way for central bankers to continue to pursue their mandates. And it is worth noting that central banks have historically played key roles in lending during periods of crisis....Advisor Perspectives
Congress Goes Big, States Play a Vital Part in Recovery, and a Dollar Crunch Takes Hold
The helicopters are coming — Willem H. Buiter
CGTN (China Global Television Network), formerly known as CCTV-9 and CCTV News, is an international English-language news channel. A part of the China Global Television Network group, it is owned and operated by China Central Television (CCTV), the national media organization of China, under the control of the Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China. WikipediaCGTN
The helicopters are coming
Stephanie Kelton — Ben Walsh
Barron's
Stephanie Kelton
Ben Walsh
A history of FLICC: the 5 techniques of science denial — John Cook
This is useful not only as a primer on recognizing and rebutting science denialism but also as a contribution to critical thinking in general.
I should be obvious by now that dismissing something as "conspiracy theory" without an adequate foundation is just another means of discrediting opponents and achieving narrative control. But there are conspiracy theories out there that need debunking based on sound reasoning grounded in evidence.
Crazy Uncle
A history of FLICC: the 5 techniques of science denial
John Cook
hat tip to Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism
See also by John Cook
Using critical thinking to analyze misinformation
Authorities now hunting down New Yorkers
Wow now going full Darwin and open season on New York people ...
Mike's not leaving and is riding it out at ground zero in NYC... he's chronicling some of it on his Insty here: https://www.instagram.com/stories/mikeydoggy/
So this is where we are in America:
— Amy Siskind 🏳️🌈 (@Amy_Siskind) March 28, 2020
Starting tomorrow, the Rhode Island law enforcement and the National Guard will knock on doors and stop cars to find New Yorkers.
Pray tell, will they give us stars to wear if they find us?https://t.co/Bs8IyLc9Jp
46,000 store closings
This "virus!" thing just accelerating the already projected retail closings ... CMBS have to be in BIIIIIIIGGG trouble... I don't see how Treasury's $400B of Fed guarantees is going to cover it... unless Fed plans on spending 25 cents on the dollar to begin with...
How U.S. retailers are closing stores in the U.S. over coronavirus concerns https://t.co/tGznu3jwRt
— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) March 28, 2020
Bernie: "its Bill Gates' money"
Ok we know Bernie is stupid.. ok... but here's the thing...
How stupid are you when you have Trump saying below "Its our money... its our currency" doesn't think its Bill Gates' money obviously...
BUT THEN, you support Bernie anyway!
THAT is EVEN MORE stupid than being Bernie in the first place...
Taxing Bill Gates $100 Billion, Counters Bernie Sanders, Could End Homelessness and Microsoft Founder 'Would Still Be a Multibillionaire'https://t.co/jhGy1LIk69
— jordan (@JordanUhl) November 7, 2019
What is 'Reality'
This from the video examining 'Reality' below:
What turns percepts and concepts into knowledge ... is judgement... answering the question "is it true?"...
The Liberal Art/Platonist methodology continuously trains our people to NOT apply judgement...they are instead trained to synthesize.... this is the main (material) problem humanity faces today... and why we continuously see the same people making the same mistakes over and over and over and over....
These people are trained to never obtain knowledge... pretty sad... they should all get their munnie back and go get some proper training...
Will US helicopter money be effective? Yes, it probably will.
Friday, March 27, 2020
This week in OPEC
You thought YOU had a bad week...
Here US Senators telling Saudi they have to abandon it:
My colleagues and I have asked Secretary Pompeo to urge Saudi Arabia to leave the antique OPEC cartel immediately and join the U.S. as a free market energy powerhouse.— Sen. Lisa Murkowski (@lisamurkowski) March 26, 2020
https://t.co/hu10JxlOkp
Getting ready to roll up their member with the largest reserves in the western hemisphere pretty soon... there is going to be one less BIG place setting at the table soon there:
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, other top officials charged in US drug trafficking inquiry. $15 million award for arrest of Maduro. THAT is real incentive to his military. https://t.co/BVt60RJl6U
— John Fund (@johnfund) March 26, 2020
And dont forget Libya another one already reduced to stone age functionality... Let's keep up the good work!!!
Just take China's USDs as compensation for the virus
Trump: "its our currency"
hahahahhaahhahaha!!!!!!!
Well, there’s that. “It’s our money. It’s our currency.” We can do whatever it takes. pic.twitter.com/FPPIJsxXMa
— Stephanie Kelton (@StephanieKelton) March 27, 2020
Links — 27 Mar 2020 Part 2
Former Venezuelan soldier reveals plan to assassinate Nicolás Maduro
Brasil de Fato
Trump admin’s $15 million bounty on Maduro triggers explosive confession of violent Guaidó plot
Leonardo Flores
Russia to Continue Supporting Venezuela Amid Sanctions, Coronavirus - Foreign Ministry
US-China Trade War Claims Next Victim as West Australia-Huawei Joint Mobile Network Project Scrapped
US claims that Maduro is involved in drug trade absurd, says Russian diplomat
The Coronavirus Does Not Discriminate; Unfortunately Our Economic System Does — Thomas Masterson
Without stronger and more direct action, the fallout for the most vulnerable will be even worse and the gaps between rich and poor, whites and non-whites in the US will grow even larger. Rather than subsidies for corporations with no oversight why not help state governments fill their budget shortfalls? During the Great Recession, too little was done to help states and they responded by cutting the things that could make a difference: education and healthcare. Cutting back on these things is not just pro-cyclical, which is bad enough, it reduces the future capacity of the states to deal with the next viral pandemic (in the case of healthcare cuts), as well as reducing the growth potential of the economy. As far as transfers, rather than a one-time payment, why not monthly transfers for the duration of the crisis? There is no doubt that sending US households a cash infusion will go some way towards offsetting the reduction in the demand for goods and services. However, a one-time cash infusion will have a much lower dollar-for-dollar impact than knowing there’s money coming in regularly. In the former situation households that can are more likely to set that infusion aside in case things get even worse....Multiplier Effect
The Coronavirus Does Not Discriminate; Unfortunately Our Economic System Does
A Recovery With Crippled Small Businesses Looks Awkward — Brian Romanchuk
We have just seen the beginning of post-COVID economic data, and the numbers are literally off the charts. My feeling is that aggregate numbers will be meaningless, and we will need to look at industry-level data. I just wanted to look a bit ahead, to the post-lockdown future. My main concerns revolve around the small business sector, which I fear will be taking a bigger hit than larger businesses. The issue is that small businesses are a major driver of employment -- and we are likely to start with elevated unemployment levels, even after the "re-start" phase hits....Bond Economics
A Recovery With Crippled Small Businesses Looks Awkward
Brian Romanchuk
Stephanie Kelton— As Congress Pushes a $2 Trillion Stimulus Package, the “How Will You Pay For It?” Question Is Tossed in the Trash
Throughout the Democratic presidential primary, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren offered a slew of robust proposals to reshape the American economy. Yet the Democratic presidential primary hardly engaged with questions of whether that restructuring was wise, who would benefit, and who would lose. Instead, the debate was dominated in no small part by a single question: “How will you pay for it?”The Intercept
On Friday, the House of Representatives, led by Speaker Nancy Pelosi who regularly dismissed the ideas put forward by Sanders and Warren as unrealistic, waved away that question, preparing to rubber-stamp a $2 trillion Senate package aimed at staving off economic collapse amid the coronavirus pandemic....
As Congress Pushes a $2 Trillion Stimulus Package, the “How Will You Pay For It?” Question Is Tossed in the Trash
DW — Coronavirus latest: World has 'clearly' entered recession — IMF head
15:51 "It is clear that we have entered recession," said IMF head Kristalina Georgieva. Due to the pandemic, the global economy experienced a "sudden stop" and the fund is now looking for a practical approach to prevent indebted countries from "falling off the cliff."
15:23 The ongoing pandemic will have a deep economic impact and recovery could be only expected in 2021, said IMF chief Georgieva. This target can only be reached if the virus is contained and liquidity problems are not allowed to turn into issues with solvency, which is the ability to pay debts.
15:17 The world has entered a recession which is as bad or worse than the global financial crisis of 2008, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Kristalina Georgieva has said.The next leg down in the failure of neolibetralism.
Deutsche Welle
Coronavirus latest: World has 'clearly' entered recession — IMF head
Fed should control yield curve.
*FT Opinion (Registration required)This* is what #MMT has been arguing all along. It shouldn't just be for crises, and it's weird that anyone in favor of "central bank independence" doesn't think a central bank should have more tools.https://t.co/c6qSo4omNY— Scott Fullwiler (@stf18) March 27, 2020
Why the Fed should put the Treasuries market on a war footing
Colby Smiththers
Links — 27 Mar 2020 Part 1
Belgium Confirms Case of COVID-19 Transmission From Human to Cat – National Centre
Tulsi Gabbard Falls on Her Sword, by Philip Giraldi
Philip Giraldi, former CIA counter-terrorism specialist and military intelligence officer, now Executive Director of the Council for the National Interest and founding member of the Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
US scientists’ findings indicate vaccine against COVID-19 may be created — analysts
New system of testing can identify those with immunity to COVID-19, says watchdog chief
Fort Russ News
Drago Bosnic
Counterpunch [blame state failure on neoliberalism]
Nolan Higdon – Mickey Huff
All The Craziest Things About America Are Being Highlighted By This Virus
Caitlin Johnstone
Current Situation in Russia in Connection with Covid-19
The National Interest [classic denial? Of course they are not going to provide a close-up of a secret]
Stealth Mystery. Did Russia’s Su-57 Fighter Really Fire a Special Missile?
David Axe
Jacobin [expanding footprint while the nation is distracted]
The Last Thing We Need Is a Military Shock Doctrine
Sarah Lazare
Trump signs TAIPEI Act, threatening "consequences" for nations that fail to toe US line on Taiwan
Bannon: "CCP an enemy to humankind"
The Right is on the warpath against China out of all of this...
Bannon: The #CCP will not survive this, are a threat to the Chinese people
— War Room: Pandemic ☣️ (@WarRoomPandemic) March 26, 2020
These oppressors have now shown what they've done to the entire Earth. They're an enemy to humankind #CCPVirus#WarRoomPandemic returns LIVE 5PM on @77WABCradio
Listen & watch ⬇️ https://t.co/6epKW1mS1H
Sputnik — Senior White House Officials Agree to Cut Huawei From Global Chip Supply – Report
Hybrid war with China intensifies.
Sputnik
Senior White House Officials Agree to Cut Huawei From Global Chip Supply – Report
Also at Sputnik
Fauci: "the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza"
Whaaaaaaaattttttt???????
If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2
case fatality rate of just 0.1% would equal the FLU! even CUOMO has backed off the full shut down! https://t.co/KHVaeMZqs5— Michael Savage (@ASavageNation) March 27, 2020
Corporate Socialism: The Government is Bailing Out Investors & Managers Not You — Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The U.S. government is enacting measures to save the airlines, Boeing, and similarly affected corporations. While we clearly insist that these companies must be saved, there may be ethical, economic, and structural problems associated with the details of the execution. As a matter of fact, if you study the history of bailouts, there will be....Incerto
Corporate Socialism: The Government is Bailing Out Investors & Managers Not You
Nassim Nicholas Taleb (With Mark Spitznagel)
Barrons — Can Trillion-Dollar Coins Cover the Coronavirus Relief Tab? It’s Not a Bad Idea by Matthew C. Klein
The article is behind a paywall, but all you really need to see is the headline — in Barrons! An idea whose time has arrived.
Barrons
Can Trillion-Dollar Coins Cover the Coronavirus Relief Tab? It’s Not a Bad Idea.
Matthew C. Klein
See also
Axios
The plan to fight coronavirus with trillion-dollar platinum coins
Dion Rabouin
Lars P. Syll — Yours truly among the top economics influencers to follow
Yours truly among the top economics influencers to follow
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University
Thursday, March 26, 2020
Links — 26 Mar 2020
Finally! I Was Beginning To Worry.
RUSSIA’S MEDICAL AID OPERATION TO ITALY AVOIDED, NOT JUST POLISH AIRSPACE, BUT US ATTEMPTS TO STOP IT
John Helmer
When Russians Want to do Something Well, They Call Their Army
Covid-19: Modi, Putin to coordinate efforts
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
Russia’s Emergence as an International Conservative Power
Paul Robinson | Professor, Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Ottawa
MintPress News
Darius Shahtahmasebi
More Bits On The Corona Crisis
US indicts Nicolas Maduro for ‘narcoterrorism’
Venezuela denounces US charges against Maduro as another coup d’état attempt
‘New way of staging a coup’: Venezuelan FM blasts US for narco-terrorism charges against Maduro
US ‘Narco-Terrorism’ Charges Against Maduro May Be Pretext for Panama-Style Invasion, Observer Warns
‘Too timid’: Italy rejects EU economic proposal, says it doesn’t go far enough as coronavirus deaths surge past 8,000
China’s Hubei province, 1st Covid-19 epicenter, reports ZERO new cases as Beijing lifts regional lockdown
Russian Specialists Arrive In Bergamo, As U.S. Groups File $20 Trillion Lawsuit Against China
US Animal Shelters Experiencing Record Number of Adoptions Amid Coronavirus Pandemic
Putin at G20: World Can't Afford to Act in 'Every Man for Himself' Manner Amid Coronavirus Crisis
Indian PM Modi Urges Countrymen to Support Needy, Animals During 21-Day Lockdown
Whither Coronavirus? When Will It End and What Will Happen Along the Way
Philip Giraldi, former CIA counter-terrorism specialist and military intelligence officer, now Executive Director of the Council for the National Interest and founding member of the Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
The Art of Gaslighting
How a network of Ukrainian ultra-nationalists penetrated Canada’s Conservative Party to lobby for military conflictMoss Robeson
The Grayzone
“Forced labor” stories on China brought to you by US government, NATO and arms industry to drive Cold War PR blitz
Ajit Singh
The Unz Review
Chinese, Russian Corona Aid Is 80% Useless (Says CIA?)
Why France is hiding a cheap and tested virus cure
Pepe Escobar
A few recent political developments which should not go unnoticed
Zero Hedge
72% Of Americans Now Avoiding All Public Places: Gallup Poll
Tyler Durden
Senator Cotton: China Unleashed This Plague On the World
Caterpillar Withdraws 2020 Guidance, Halts Some US Production
Trump Warns Suicides From The Coming Economic Depression Will Far Surpass Those From The Virus
Tyler Durden
Canada attacks 'damaging' Trump plan to deploy troops at border
The Senate's Coronavirus Relief Package Must be Stopped! — Mike Whitney
The Senate’s $2 Trillion Coronavirus Relief Package is not fiscal stimulus and it’s not a lifeline for the tens of millions of working people who have suddenly lost their jobs. It’s a fundamental restructuring of the US economy designed to strengthen the grip of the corrupt corporate-banking oligarchy while creating a permanent underclass that will be forced to work for slave wages. This isn’t stimulus, it’s shock therapy.More disaster capitalism?
Stop the $6 Trillion Coronavirus Corporate Coup! — Matt Stoller
The American Economic Liberties Project (my org) put out a statement against the bill, AFL-CIO official Damon Silvers, who oversaw the 2008 bailout, put out an article against the bill, as did dozens of economics and finance professors. Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez warned of the risks of a bill tilted to big business, as did libertarian member Justin Amash. John Cassidy wrote in the New Yorker how to do a bailout without corruption. And Georgetown law professor Adam Levitin pointed out that the bill is “robbing taxpayers to bail out the rich.”
But then these two Senators, Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell, cut a deal last night. And from what I can tell, it’s really really bad, and much of the bad stuff is not being included in the sleazy marketing materials from Schumer and McConnell, or in the reporting about the bill. There’s a reason for that. Sunlight would kill this thing.
That means there is a narrow way to stop it....BIG by Matt Stoller
Stop the $6 Trillion Coronavirus Corporate Coup!
America’s Ideological Infection — Christopher R. Hill
The United States is not only in the grips of a COVID-19 crisis that threatens to derail the economy and potentially take millions of lives. It is also suffering from a president who is deeply suspicious of expertise and of governance generally....In my view, the second sentence should read, "Americans that are deeply suspicious of expertise and of governance generally elected a president that shares this view. Blaming government policy on the president rather than the political process is myopic. Polling indicates that the president's popularity at a high. This is an opportunity cost of representative democracy in a plutocracy in which competing elite factions control the narrative through the media.
Christopher R. Hill
Michael Hudson — People’s Forum: Economic Lessons for 2020
Peoples Forum, December 12, 2019.
Michael Hudson — On Finance, Real Estate And The Powers Of Neoliberalism
People’s Forum: Economic Lessons for 2020
Bill Mitchell — “We need the state to bail out the entire nation”
Major developments across the globe in monetary and fiscal policy keep happening on a daily basis at present. We are now hearing conservatives, who previously made careers out of claims that government deficits would send nations broke and more, appearing in the media now claiming “We need the state to bail out the entire nation”. Not too many economists are pushing the line that the market will deal with this crisis. They all the want the state to be front and centre as their own personal empires (income etc) becomes vulnerable. In a normal downturn there is not much sympathy for the most disadvantaged workers who bear the brunt of the unemployment. Now it is different. This crisis has the potential to wipe out the middle classes and the professional classes. And suddenly, who would have thought – the nation state is apparently back, all powerful and being begged to intervene. It is wake up time. Now no-one can be unclear about the fiscal capacity of the state. They now know that politicians who claim they don’t have enough money to do things were lying all along. They just didn’t want to do them. And when this health crisis was over we have to demand that the governments continue to lead the way financially and work out solutions to the socio-ecological climate crisis. No-one can say there is not enough funds to do whatever it takes. We all know now there are unlimited funds. The question must turn to the best way to use them. I also provide in this post some further estimates of the labour market disaster that Australia is facing as part of the development of my 10-point or something plan. It is all pretty confronting....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
“We need the state to bail out the entire nation”
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
UK readying tests that can tell whether you had the virus
New test may be soon available...
This could be huge. Within days, the UK is readying roll out millions of tests that can tell whether you have had the virus (by checking for antibodies). Will be delivered by Amazon or available for "minimal" cost from pharmacies. https://t.co/vVCwT5cb79
— Akshat Rathi (@AkshatRathi) March 25, 2020
Powell: ""we're required to get full security for our loans so that we dont lose money"
Morons: "Fed can just run negative equity!"
Wrong....
Watch Chair Powell on the @TODAYshow: https://t.co/doaDYcIRIa— Federal Reserve (@federalreserve) March 26, 2020
Teresa Ghilarducci - Why Big Business Might Welcome A Carbon Tax
This article addresses that question.
Why not just use regulations instead of taxes, like mileage standards for cars? Economists know regulation is complicated. Regulations by nature have to sort between what is a target and what isn’t. The regulatory process contains numerous opportunities for lobbyists to get their particular interest excluded.
Fuel economy standards are a perfect example. The miles-per-gallon rules first applied to motor vehicles in 1978 (Corporate Average Fuel Economy or CAFE) were subject to massive lobbying by automobile companies, who succeeded in having light trucks (mostly pickups) given a lower standard. This exclusion meant less effective reduction of pollution, and also helped feed the growing market share of pickups and SUVs while helping to kill off station wagons and other car models.
Forbes
Teresa Ghilarducci - Why Big Business Might Welcome A Carbon Tax
Links — 25 Mar 2020 Part 2
Six States Declare Marijuana Dispensaries "Essential Businesses", Exempting Them From Lockdown
Tyler Durden
The Intercept
Gilead Sciences Backs Off Monopoly Claim for Promising Coronavirus Drug
Sharon Lerner
The Vineyard of the Saker
US in panic to obtain the Coronavirus vaccine
Ruslan Ostashko, Translated by Scott
Over ONE THIRD of world’s population under lockdown over Covid-19 – AFP tally
University Study Finds Fire Did Not Cause Building 7’s Collapse on 9/11
Pompeo’s Focus On Blaming China For Coronavirus Derails Joint G-7 Statement
Breitbart [rate rises dramatically over 80]
CDC Report: Coronavirus Mortality Rates in US Increase Dramatically by Age Group
Michael Patrick Leahy
Wednesday, March 25, 2020
Money Printer Go Brrr ... And No Inflation? — Brian Romanchuk
Although a big fiscal package is in the pipeline (admittedly the Greatest Deliberative Body in the World is playing its usual log-rolling games), smashed supply, and rampant "money printing" (ha!), breakeven inflation in the United States is cratering (figure above). This is exactly what should have happened, although the big question is whether current pricing is an overshoot of fundamentals. (I leave that market call to the reader.) I outline why this puzzling inflation perspective is the correct call -- top down inflation analysis will not work, we need to go bottom up....Bond Economics
Money Printer Go Brrr ... And No Inflation?
Brian Romanchuk
Links — 25 Mar 2020 Part 1
COVID-Economics Links (March 25)
Bruegel
Coronavirus and the politics of a common fiscal instrument
Mark Hallerberg and Stavros Zenios
Why Did President Trump Call Coronavirus "Chinese Virus"?
Frank Li | Chinese ex-pat, Founder and President of W.E.I. (West-East International), a Chicago-based import & export company, B.E. from Zhejiang University (China) in 1982, M.E. from the University of Tokyo in 1985, and Ph.D. from Vanderbilt University in 1988, all in Electrical Engineering
Bill Totten's Weblog
Sputnik
G7 Nations Deeply Aware of China's 'Disinformation Campaign' on Coronavirus - Pompeo
Coronavirus Reminds Americans That Pursuit Of Happiness Is Tied To The Collective Good
The West: An (Il) Liberal Outpost?
Lev Sokolshik
There's Plenty Of Toilet Paper So Why Are People Hoarding It?
Hubei residents swarm trains as coronavirus lockdown is LIFTED at last (PHOTOS, VIDEOS)
Shoigu Warns Of Inceasing Cyber And Propaganda Attacks Against Russian Army
Russia To Accelerate Testing Of Hypersonic Weapons, Start Serial Production Of Sarmat ICBM
Russia’s Nuclear Arsenal to Be 87% Modernized by End of 2020 – Defence Minister
EU Shrugs Off US Sanctions, Gives Millions In Coronavirus Aid To Iran
Tyler Durden
Anti-Empire
Mark Mazzetti