Marshall Auerback on Japan and China

But the trickle could soon turn into a flood. The speculators of the world have been told by the new head of the BOJ, Haruhiko Kuroda, that they can now speculate with borrowed yen which has not only no cost but no currency risk. The borrowings, then, could be infinite. The foreigners increased their holdings of Japanese Government Bonds from four percent to nine percent in the two years before the break. No doubt much of that was sold on the break.

And the BOJ may well lose control of the pace of the descent in both the yen and JGB market. The Japanese domestics with a lag might start to sell big time. The faster and farther the yen falls the more likely that will happen. The situation is now very unstable. A deeper fall in the yen is going to force all of emerging Asia into a devaluation and that is gong to cause big problems down the road in places like Europe, particularly Germany.

Pinetree Capital — Macrobits
Are Japanese Investors Starting To Yen For Foreign Currencies?
Marshall Auerback

Marshall speculates on China being forced into an RMB devaluation due to the falling yen.

Watch Out For A Possible RMB Devaluation