Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Michael Stephens — Janet Yellen on Bubbles and Minsky Meltdowns

Back in 2009, Janet Yellen delivered a speech at the Levy Institute’s Minsky conference that explained how the financial crisis had changed her views about the role of central banks in handling financial instability. At the time she was the head of the San Francisco Fed.
The focus of her 2009 remarks was the question of how (or whether) central banks should try to counteract bubbles in asset markets. (Yellen also recalled the unfortunate topic of her 1996 conference speech: supposedly promising new innovations in the financial industry for better measurement and management of risk.) Bursting suspected bubbles has become the topic du jour in US monetary policy discussions, as it currently stands as the fashionable justification for tightening despite low inflation and high unemployment.
With the announcement that Larry Summers’ name has been withdrawn from consideration for the next Fed chair, the spotlight has turned to Yellen. Here (from the 2009 conference proceedings) is the text of her speech and a transcript of the brief Q&A that followed:

A Minsky Meltdown: Lessons for Central Bankers?
Multiplier Effect
Janet Yellen on Bubbles and Minsky Meltdowns
Michael Stephens

1 comment:

The Rombach Report said...

If the Fed tried to raise the fed funds rate or the O/N rate on excess reserves, I would not be surprised if the yield curve were to flatten.