Sunday, August 5, 2018

Rostislav Ishchenko — Will the End of the US Empire mean World War 3?

Basically a good analysis.

I would add a few of things that I think he misses:

1. The analysis of the EZ as a failed currency union that is increasingly unsustainable and will implode when the next crisis hits.

2. The objective of the US to dominate the Chinese domestic market with US finance and industry by preventing the rise of Chinese-developed and owned high-services and technology through intellectual property that denies China access to developing its own domestic firms capable of competing with the Western firms that an open-door policy is intended to force. However, the Chinese already experienced something similar in the colonial period and unlikely to fall into that trap.

3. The US attempting to strangle Russia economically to avoid a kinetic conflict that risks nuclear war, but the current American thinking seems to be that Russia will not use nukes in the event of the conflict going kinetic conventionally owing to MAD.

At any rate, the danger level is accelerating exponentially as the West sees the window closing on Western hegemony unless action is taken soon. China and Russia are on to the game and are rising quickly as well as acting more and more in co-ordination against a common threat.

Fort Russ
ISHCHENKO: Will the End of the US Empire mean World War 3?
Rostislav Ishchenko, translated by Jafe Arnold from Derzhava

See also
“All of a sudden all of our equipment shuts off. You cannot ask for fire support or warn off an enemy attack because your radars are blocked and you see nothing. This may be more dangerous than a conventional weapon because there is no protection against it,” retired US Colonel Laurie Moe Buckhout told Foreign Policy magazine.
Daniel Goure, a national security expert at the Lexington Institute, added that Russian electronic warfare systems cannot only block communication channels but also change data: “The fact is they are really capable of distorting the operational image on the battlefield, which can lead to dire consequences,” he warned.…
Throw more money at it.

US Military Stunned by Russia’s Cutting Edge Electronic Warfare in Syria
Paul Antonopoulos

See also

Maybe "relieved" is more neutral than "stolen."

The Numbers Are In: NAFTA Has Stolen More Resources from Mexico than 300 Years of Colonialism


Bob said...

Let the window close and continue living. If WWW III is fought, it will be out of spite. An inglorious end to homo hubris.

Konrad said...

“At any rate, the danger level is accelerating exponentially as the West sees the window closing on Western hegemony unless action is taken soon.” ~Tom Hickey

I think the window has been closed since 1975. The problem for Western hegemony is not the rise of Russia and China, but the rise of corruption and private debt in the West. The bankers and financiers have hollowed out Western economies, such that the West will inevitably collapse no matter what Russia and China do or don’t do.

The bankers and neoliberals are cancer cells. They cannot stop. They cannot change. They cannot reason. They cannot control themselves. They will continue eating the host until they kill the host.

The West is Carthage. Russia and China are Rome.

During the First Punic War (264 to 241 BC) Carthage and Rome fought each other to a draw over control of Sicily. The money powers in Carthage needlessly decided to surrender, thinking it would help them save their fortunes.

This outraged Carthage’s military leader, Hamilcar Barca (father of the famous Hannibal). So Hamilcar built up Spain as a Carthaginian province – but Hamilcar was killed in a skirmish with the natives. His son Hannibal took over, and dealt Rome the worst defeat in its entire history (Battle of Cannae, 2 Aug 216 BC). Hannibal’s forces (40,000) wiped out nearly 90,000 Romans almost to a man. Hannibal then called on Carthage for reinforcements, so Hannibal could finish off the Roman Empire once and for all – but the money powers in Carthage said no. Once again they thought only of their own fortunes.

As a result, Rome marched on Carthage in the Third Punic War (149–146 BC). Again Hannibal asked the money powers for help. Again they refused. Rome defeated Hannibal, and proceeded to obliterate every last trace of Carthage, its empire, its culture, its history, and its people including the money powers. (Rome later collapsed from its own internal corruption.)

It is the same with today’s oligarchs in the West. They are cancer cells. They cannot stop. They cannot change. They cannot reason. They are slated for extinction.

Konrad said...

The West seeks superior firepower, i.e. bombs, bullets, and “shock and awe.”

Russia uses electronic warfare to neutralize firepower.

The Russians remind me of the 1951 movie “The Day the Earth Stood Still,” in which the robot neutralizes the electricity throughout the world (except for hospitals, planes in flight, etc).

On 10 April 2014 a Russian Sukhoi-24 fighter jet neutralized the USS Donald Cook (a guided missile destroyer) in the Black Sea. The Russian jet carried neither bombs nor missiles, but only a basket mounted under the fuselage which contained a Russian electronic warfare device called “Krasukha.”

As the Russian jet approached the US vessel, the electronic device disabled all radars, control circuits, systems, information transmission, etc. rendering US destroyer blind, deaf, and helpless.

The Russian Su-24 then simulated a missile attack against the US destroyer twelve times before flying away. It was just a little reminder to the U.S. military to not get too frisky.

Naturally the U.S. Navy denied that the event took place.

Below is a 43-second video of the Russian fighter passing the USS Ross (another destroyer) in the Black Sea near the Crimean Peninsula (30 May 2015)…

Bob said...

The USA is Carthage and Rome. Hello civil war.