Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Positive Money — 10 year old explains the truth about where money comes from...


10 year old explains the truth about where money comes from...
Positive Money
(h/t Ralph Musgrave via email)

Positive Money has an out of paradigm bias toward full reserve banking, but this is worth watching if only for the clever presentation in only 3 minutes. However, it does ask the key question about money creation. If it was imprudent bank lending that resulted in the crisis, why are we being pushed into debt to the banks again as the solution to the crisis when government issues the currency?

Rodney E. Lever — News Corp apocalypse

Scotland Yard has launched a new investigation into News Corporation, which may have disastrous ramifications for Rupert Murdoch and his employees.
Murdoch in trouble? Looks like he may have crossed the line.
British Labor politician Tom Watson, the first MP to speak out against Murdoch, is reported as saying he is not at all surprised that Murdoch is in deeper trouble than ever.
“He is solely responsible for the corporate culture that allowed this scandal to damage his global empire,” Watson said.
“I hope other jurisdictions like Russia will also begin to investigate all the activities of News Corporation around the world. The threat that thousands of people may lose their jobs is ridiculous. The company needs to clean up its act. It will survive without him. The people who work for it understand their social responsibility.”
Independent Australia
News Corp apocalypse
Rodney E. Lever
(h/t Blake Overall via email)

Panning For Bold - In A World Running Out Of Fiat

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Edward Harrison ‏@edwardnh writes that :

Across U.S., bridges crumble as repair funds fall short.

It's the fiat, Ed. We have to open more fiat mines. We're running out of fiat!

How do we prospect for a fiat mind? :(

Panning for bold?

Head for the hills, young man. For your own good!

ps: brings less meaning to the term #FiatGoldMind

Is It Legal To Play Fantasy Economics For Real Resources? :(

Commentary by Roger Erickson

It is if Robert Rubin MAKES it legal!

Whether YOU want it to be legal, or not.

Go back to your own fantasy, dude. The Middle Class fantasy belongs to Robert Rubin. He may even have trademarked and patented the class-ownership rights?

Yessir! Robert "Class Ruin" Rubin - he's our man! Hero to Benedict Arnolds, and Control Frauds everywhere. On the official Control Fraud Keating Scale, Rubin is the only one so far to be lauded Magna Cum Fraud.

You should see CR Rubin's "Beat the Rap" video. It's so hot it's classified!


Does The Middle Class In ANY Country Need Competitive "Leaders" Addicted to MICCodin?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Don't step in the leadership?

Is there a comic yet about Hoghurt, the President of Dilbert's country, and his sadistic, White House Economics Counselor Arista, who makes unions clean his catbox?

We need art like that, so naive young kids can quickly learn that all politics is local .... and incredibly venal?

The Real Target of These Attacks is Not Syria

Did the White House Help Plan the Syrian Chemical Attack?

Sounds remarkably like the same Great Game the Romans & Carthagenians played. Or the Egyptians & Hittittes.
                   blah, blah, blah

Come to think of it, was Karl Rove a history major? Was his senior thesis about fiat intrigue & virtual backstabbing?

Who plunged the lie into civil-lie-zation? And can someone please pull it out now? The pain is building up, and migrating from neck to class arse.  Worse, the MICCodin isn't helping anymore, and our Upper Looting Class is addicted to it. In fact, we're already past CLD50* dose levels.

* CLD50, level of MICC use that has a 50% chance of being lethal to the Middle Class


Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Skeptical Science — The Pacific Ocean fills in another piece of the global warming puzzle, and puzzles: study

The Pacific Ocean fills in another piece of the global warming puzzle, and puzzles (via Skeptical Science)
Posted on 3 September 2013 by dana1981 A new study published in the journal Nature incorporates temperature changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean into an advanced climate model, and finds that the model can reproduce observed global surface temperature…

One Of The Oddest Things Heard All Year - Who's on Paradigm?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

This beats pie in the face ... by some clown who can't attract a suit.

S&P says 'retaliation' is behind US fraud suit

'Standard & Poor's said Tuesday that the U.S. government filed a $5 billion fraud lawsuit against it in “retaliation” for its 2011 decision to strip the country of its “AAA” credit rating.'

No one cared. It had no effect, and was the dumbest thing said since Who's on First ... so Uncle Sam was furious? And is retaliating?

Maybe it's just a fine for excessive crowing about ignorance? Eric Holder doesn't like competition. Neither did Timmy Geithner.

Is this what the in-house management meeting sounded like?

Who's on paradigm? 
Not these clowns, they don't rate.
But they're a rating agency. 
Not worth a pair of dimes.
  ?? So who's on paradigm? 
Not these clowns  ... 
Wait a minute! Is this retail? 
No, they're on hold. 
Who's on hold? 
The paradigm. 
Pfffffgbttth!!!  Let's start again.
No, let's not. Get a defense lawyer.
But they're in denial!
Look, can we get back on paradigm?
That's what I'm asking!!! Who's on paradigm.
Not these clowns ... 


FYTD $NFA Injection


Table below depicting a month by month readout on $NFA injection so far this FY thru the end of August 2013 (right most column).

The last month of this FY (September) is shown here as a projected $310B based on recent daily flows and certain seasonalities.


August 2013 FYTD $NFA Injection

August 2013 FYTD $NFA Injection

Month Total_Withdrawals_TGA Pub_Debt_Redemption Net_Withdrawals_TGA
oct 933 589 344
nov 1035 643 392
dec 947 651 296
jan 969 643 326
feb 992 549 443
mar 888 511 377
apr 1121 751 370
may (adjusted) 1084 717 367
june 800 505 295
july 933 615 318
aug (adjusted) 962 607 355
sept  (projected) 310
 
FYTD 4193


If the 310B projected for the month of September becomes accurate, then we should end up the Fiscal Year at about $4.193T for 2013.

Last FY we came in at $4.180T so we are looking at a very small YoY increase in $NFA injection this year but an increase nonetheless, even with the $40B+ of "cuts" we have experienced over the past few summer months due to the "sequester".

Looking forward to FY 2014, based on recent OMB projections, unfortunately I see no significant increase for next year in $NFA injection again; so this past year's U.S. economic experience should be instructive on what to expect next year.

Just as this past year, the $4T+ of $NFA injection should still continue to be enough to foment a "muddle through" economy, as Warren often describes it, in 2014; with SP 500 earnings at or near $1T and perhaps another small couple $100B of increase in bank credit. Expect no significant increase in output or employment unfortunately.

For 2015, the outlook for a meaningful increase in $NFA injection looks a lot better based on current OMB projections, but recent statements by GOP political leaders on their required terms to reach a near term agreement on the "debt ceiling" so-called threaten to scuttle this optimistic outlook.


Slavoj Žižek — Edward Snowden, Chelsea Manning and Julian Assange: our new heroes

As the NSA revelations have shown, whistleblowing is now an essential art. It is our means of keeping 'public reason' alive
The Guardian
Edward Snowden, Chelsea Manning and Julian Assange: our new heroes
Slavoj Žižek

Jaisal Noor — Greg Palast: Potential Fed Chair Summers at Heart of Global Economic Crisis

Investigative journalist Greg Palast has obtained a secret memo authored by then deputy Treasury secretary Larry Summers and his protégé Timothy Geithner detailing their plans to roll back financial regulation. In the piece, titled "The Confidential Memo at the Heart of the Global Financial Crisis" for Vice, Palast writes:
"The Memo confirmed every conspiracy freak's fantasy: that in the late 1990s, the top U.S. Treasury officials secretly conspired with a small cabal of banker big-shots to rip apart financial regulation across the planet. When you see 26.3 percent unemployment in Spain, desperation and hunger in Greece, riots in Indonesia and Detroit in bankruptcy, go back to this End Game memo, the genesis of the blood and tears."
Now joining us to discuss this article is Greg Palast. He's a BBC investigative reporter and author ofVultures' Picnic. Palast turned his skills to journalism after two decades as a top investigator of corporate fraud. Palast directed the U.S. government's largest racketeering case in history, winning a $4.3 billion jury award. He also conducted the investigation of fraud charges in the Exxon Valdez grounding.
Thank you so much for joining us, Greg.
Truthout
Greg Palast: Potential Fed Chair Summers at Heart of Global Economic Crisis
Interview with Jaisal Noor, The Real News Network


The Modern Money Network — Exploring The Law-Money Nexus

The 2013-2014 "Money" Series

SCHEDULE

1. Money as a Hierarchical System
Date: Thursday, September 12th, 6.15pm
Location: Room 104, Jerome Greene Hall, Columbia Law School

Moderator: Raúl Carrillo, J.D. Candidate ('15), Columbia Law School
Speaker 1: Christine Desan, Leo Gottlieb Professor of Law, Harvard Law School
Speaker 2: L. Randall Wray, Professor of Economics, University of Missouri-Kansas City
Speaker 3: Katharina Pistor, Michael I. Sovern Professor of Law, Columbia Law School & Director, Center on Global Legal Transformation
Speaker 4: Perry Mehrling, Professor of Economics, Barnard College & Director of Education Programs, Institute for New Economic Thinking

2. Central Banking in Theory and Practice 
Date: Monday, September 23th, 6.15pm
Location: Room 103, Jerome Greene Hall, Columbia Law School

Moderator: Richard Clarida, C. Lowell Harriss Professor of Economics and International Affairs, Columbia University
Speaker 1: Lord Adair Turner, Senior Fellow, Institute for New Economic Thinking and former Director, U.K. Financial Services Authority
Speaker 2: James K. Galbraith, Lloyd M. Bentsen Jr. Chair in Government/Business Relations and Professor of Government, University of Texas at Austin
Speaker 3: Matias Vernengo, Associate Professor, Bucknell University & former Senior Research Manager, Central Bank of Argentina

3. Credit as Contract: Understanding Money Markets
Date: Monday, September 30th, 6.15pm
Location: Room 103, Jerome Greene Hall, Columbia Law School

Moderator: Jeffrey Gordon, Richard Paul Richman Professor of Law & Co-Director, Richard Paul Richman Center for Business, Law and Public Policy
Speaker 1: Joseph Sommer, Counsel, Federal Reserve Bank
Speaker 2: Zoltan Pozsar, Senior Adviser, U.S. Department of Treasury & Visiting Scholar, International Monetary Fund
Speaker 3: Marshall Auerback, Director of Institutional Partnerships, Institute for New Economic Thinking & Research Fellow, Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

4. Taking Money for Granted: Pedagogical Issues in Law and Economics
Date: Tuesday, October 8th, 6.15pm
Location: Room 104, Jerome Greene Hall, Columbia Law School

Moderator: Robert Jackson, Associate Professor of Law & Milton Handler Fellow, Columbia Law School & Co-Director, Ira M. Millstein Center
Speaker 1: Roy Kreitner, Professor of Law, Tel Aviv University
Speaker 2: Robert Hockett, Professor of Law, Cornell University
Speaker 3: Fadhel Kaboub, Assistant Professor of Economics, Denison University & Research Associate, Levy Economics Institute at Bard College

5. Lincoln's Greenbacks: Constitutional Moments and Monetary Reform 
Date: Thursday, October 17th, 6.15pm
Location: Room 103, Jerome Greene Hall, Columbia Law School

Moderator: Gillian Metzger, Stanley H. Fuld Professor of Law & Vice-Dean, Columbia Law School
Speaker 1: Richard Bensel, Associate Chair & Gary S. Davis Professor of Government, Cornell University
Speaker 2: David Weiman, Alena Wels Hirschorn Professor of Economics, Barnard College & Member, Columbia History Department
Speaker 3: Tim Canova, Professor of Law and Public Finance, Nova Southeastern University Shepard Broad Law Center

The Modern Money Network
Exploring The Law-Money Nexus

The 2013-2014 "Money" Series

Chris Hedges — The Treason of the Intellectuals and Warren Mosler — Modern Monetary Theory: The Last Progressive Left Standing

The power elite, especially the liberal elite, has always been willing to sacrifice integrity and truth for power, personal advancement, foundation grants, awards, tenured professorships, columns, book contracts, television appearances, generous lecture fees and social status. They know what they need to say. They know which ideology they have to serve. They know what lies must be told—the biggest being that they take moral stances on issues that aren’t safe and anodyne. They have been at this game a long time. And they will, should their careers require it, happily sell us out again....
“Nothing in my view is more reprehensible than those habits of mind in the intellectual that induce avoidance, that characteristic turning away from a difficult and principled position, which you know to be the right one, but which you decide not to take,” wrote the late Edward Said. “You do not want to appear too political; you are afraid of seeming controversial; you want to keep a reputation for being balanced, objective, moderate; your hope is to be asked back, to consult, to be on a board or prestigious committee, and so to remain within the responsible mainstream; someday you hope to get an honorary degree, a big prize, perhaps even an ambassadorship.”
“For an intellectual these habits of mind are corrupting par excellence,” Said went on. “If anything can denature, neutralize, and finally kill a passionate intellectual life it is the internalization of such habits....
“The desire to tell the truth,” wrote Paul Baran, the brilliant Marxist economist and author of “The Political Economy of Growth,” is “only one condition for being an intellectual. The other is courage, readiness to carry on rational inquiry to wherever it may lead … to withstand … comfortable and lucrative conformity.”
Those who doggedly challenge the orthodoxy of belief, who question the reigning political passions, who refuse to sacrifice their integrity to serve the cult of power, are pushed to the margins. They are denounced by the very people who, years later, will often claim these moral battles as their own. It is only the outcasts and the rebels who keep truth and intellectual inquiry alive. They alone name the crimes of the state. They alone give a voice to the victims of oppression. They alone ask the difficult questions. Most important, they expose the powerful, along with their liberal apologists, for what they are.
ZNet
The Treason of the Intellectuals
Chris Hedges | Truthout

Compare with Warren Mosler, Modern Monetary Theory: The Last Progressive Left Standing, at The Huffington Post.



MisRapture of the Rubine Economy

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Bill Black, the Missouri #ControlFraudHarrier is back to harrying Control Frauds and Deficit Hawks alike.

The New York Times is Wowed that Obama's Six Robert Rubinites Support Larry Summers

Will this epic - the MisRapture of the Rubine Economy - someday be as well known as the Rape of the Sabine Women?

Let's hope not. Shiver me Tibers, mateys. And I'm a tellin' ya we won't stand for it! We've loosed WhiteBeard the pirate prosecuter to scour the scoundrels from the high fees. Now he needs a fast ship and a doughty crew.

The Grand Touring AggDemand Test for Fiat Intelligence.

Commentary by Roger Erickson

I'm hereby proposing the Eccles/Mosler Grand Touring AggDemand Tests for Fiat Intelligence.

Test #1: If you removed all dates, names and locations from a spoken version of this text ... could the reader tell whether he's talking to Marriner Eccles 80 years ago, or Warren Mosler today?

Test #2: If the same text is read aloud to a "trained" economist, and their head doesn't explode ... are they candidates to understand fiat currency operations instead of of just orthodox economic ideology?

That's one way to find intelligent economists, one tombstone at a time! :)


Why? 'Cuz Larry Summers & Robert Rubin Will Bugger Everyone BUT Themselves!

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Royalty don't prosecute royalty? Bugger that!

Drug agents plumb vast database of call records

Really. So why can't the SEC/FDIC/FED/FBI/DoJ/NSA

..................... COMBINED! ...................

catch a SINGLE significant White Collar Criminal?

What's that? Larry Summers says smart people don't let themselves get buggered?

What, exactly, is he calling us? DAs? 

Or just innocent victims, like Charles Keating? Certainly the former, 'cuz Larry Summers guaranteed that it'll be different this time, and he delivered! Along with Rubin and Greenspan. Their reward to themselves was the Middle Class' lunch. Now he wants your Social Security too, NOT just your lifelong FICA taxes.

Larry Summers, the Bugger King, peddles yet another whopper.

hat tip @AP @Austerity_Sucks

Monday, September 2, 2013

AFP — U.N researchers: Global warming clock is at ‘five minutes to midnight’

Humanity has pushed the world’s climate system to the brink, leaving itself only scant time to act, the head of the UN’s group of climate scientists said on Monday.
“We have five minutes before midnight,” warned Rajendra Pachauri, whose organisation will this month release the first volume of a new assessment of global warming and its impacts.“We may utilise the gifts of nature just as we choose, but in our books the debits are always equal to the credits,” Pachauri told a conference marking the 20th anniversary of the environmental organisation Green Cross International, quoting fellow Indian Mahatma Gandhi.

“May I submit that humanity has completely ignored, disregarded and been totally indifferent to the debits?“Today we have the knowledge to be able to map out the debits and to understand what we have done to the condition of this planet,” Pachauri said.
The Raw Story
U.N researchers: Global warming clock is at ‘five minutes to midnight’
Agence France-Presse

AFP — Nobel-winning economist Ronald Coase dies at 102 years of age


RIP.

The Raw Story
Nobel-winning economist Ronald Coase dies at 102 years of age
Agence France-Presse

Clean Technica — Fukushima Radioactive Plume To Hit The US By Early 2014

Fukushima Radioactive Plume To Hit The US By Early 2014 (via Clean Technica)
The first radioactive ocean plume released by the Fukushima nuclear power plant disaster will finally be reaching the shores of the United States sometime in 2014, according to a new study from the University of New South Wales — a full three or so…

Americans Are Hostages Of The 'Terrorists' Of Wall Street - And Half Way To "Stockhold" Syndrome Too

Commentary by Roger Erickson

It's called no child left NOT behind, the veil of kabuki BS.

Do pictures say a thousand words, or what?
  Multi-media conveys a million words?
    And an in-context, sensorimotor experience conveys infinite words?

And yet, in the end, we still have 315 million people held hostage by ~0.1% of the dumbest, least culturally adaptive dipshits imaginable!?

So what is wrong with the simple truth cutting through ALL of these words, visualizations, conceptualizations, paradigms and unfolding realities?

Nothing?

Then let's get busy folks, and throw 'da bums out. We've got FAR better options to be exploring.

Central Planning isn't even interesting or enticing ... unless you're into hostage situations and "Stockhold" Syndrome - and other forms of cultural navel-gazing.

We're Americans. We have unimaginable group ingenuity. The only thing our erstwhile central "masters" have are some feeble, ideological plans. Their plans are boring to worse than tears. We got bigger fish to fry.

Move along folks. Nothing to see here in Plan Central. Just Luddite death & decay.

hat tip Russ Huntley




David Ruccio — Spontaneous philosophy of economics

In the end, Rosenberg and Curtain let mainstream economics off the hook, in the name of designing better institutions and fine-tuning the economy. That’s because they take the goal of economics as a given: to fix market imperfections.
What they don’t understand is that economics is not a singular science, with a singular object, but rather a field made up of a variety of theories and objects. There is neoclassical economics and Keynesian economics and Marxian economics, all of which have different objects. Economists who use those theories literally see different economies and associated economic problems and solutions. Economics is therefore a battleground and no amount of fine-tuning or craft serves to pick out the correct theory or approach. It is still the case that any attempt to “produce some harmony amid the cacophony” on the part of a neoclassical or Keynesian economist (e.g., by implementing rules-based monetary policy or supporting fiscal stimulus) presupposes an economy in which one group of economic actors appropriates the surplus created by another group. No amount of fine-tuning or craftsmanship solves that particular problem.

OCCASIONAL LINKS & COMMENTARY on economics, culture and society
Spontaneous philosophy of economics
David Ruccio | Professor of Economics, University of Notre Dame

Warren Mosler's Soft Currency Economics video (no buzz)



Tschäff Reisberg took out the buzz. Thanks, Tschäff
(h/t geerussell in the comments)

Bill Black — Larry Summers’ Take on Efficient Markets and Regulators: Brilliance v. Idiots


Bill cuts to the chase — conflict of interest.

Same can be said for the revolving door. How much has Summers received from the financial industry?

New Economic Perspectives
Larry Summers’ Take on Efficient Markets and Regulators: Brilliance v. Idiots
William K Black | Associate Professor of Economics and Law at the University of Missouri – Kansas City

Scott B. Sumner — The “hot potato effect” explained


So finally Scott Sumner explains himself — sort of — with a thought experiment

In his first point he assumes that increasing the amount of gold will automatically depress its price as a commodity. Yes, if demand remains the same and supply increases that is the case. But why assume that is the case? Is it mathematically necessary or could demand increase to absorb the increased supply?

At the time of the discovery of the New World gold importation vastly increased into Europe. It did not result in a fall in the price of gold but rather increased inflation, due not merely to the increase in the amount of gold but rather due to increase in the level of effective demand and the capacity of economies to meet it. This was the age of empire building and governments spent lavishly. However, this is a special case historically.

For example, India traditionally imports a great deal of gold, much of which is customarily used for temple donations and kept in the temple treasury, or is saved as personal decoration. The increase in the volume of gold does not affect the price level, since much of the gold is saved or used as ornament rather than contributing to effective demand as money. Presently, the Indian central bank is begging people not to save in gold and is also asking temples to free up their gold hoard. However, this is unlikely to have great effect lacking legislation owing to Indians cultural heritage that results in high demand for gold. A similar situation exists in China, where gold is also hoarded as a traditional store of wealth and source of status and prestige.

Professor Summers concluded with:
Did anyone fall off the train on the way to market monetarist enlightenment? I think I see a few MMTers in the ditch along the way, still scratching their heads.
ROFL. We are scratching out heads all right. Someone actually pays you to teach economics? Clear instance of a market failure. Or, to quote Bill Gates, "That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard." Of course, this was a favorites saying of Gates, and I find myself saying it everyday when I read the economics blogs. So I don't mean to single out the good professor for special treatment. When the assumptions are wildly unrealistic, the conclusions are bound to be bonkers when extended outside the limited confines of the model, you know, to reality.

And it's still not explained how the Fed is going to credibly threaten to dump a whole bunch of cash into the economy. That's fiscal in that it increases consolidated nongovernment net financial assets in aggregate, and the Fed has no legal authority to do that.

And President Bush did do something like that with the approval of Congress in sending out checks to everyone. Did the value of money fall? Did it create even a blip of inflation? Just how much would it take to get the result that Professor Sumner proposes?

Oh, and the Bush drop was checks and not cash. Just how is the government going to threaten to distribute that much cash into circulation? What is the credible transmission mechanism that would lead the market to the expectations that are assumed?

But let's even assume that there is a legitimate "helicopter drop" of cash into the economy. People have two choices, spend it as cash or deposit it in their bank account for future use, just as would happen if the drop is by check of electronic payment, which leads to the bank exchanging a lot of vault cash it doesn't need for reserve balances that it can earn some interest on.

What people would spend, use to pay down debt, or save in another form would depend on their economic situation. Those in the lower 80% would be more likely to spend and pay down debt rather than save, while those in the upper 20% would likely increase spending a bit and save the rest. Depending on the amount injected this would lead to an increase in effective demand that would close the output gap and stimulate investment as the economy expanded to meet the demand. If more than that, then the result would be inflationary.

Since the Fed cannot do helicopter drops of cash, how likely is it that Congress would do this fiscally, which would increase the debt, or else permit the Fed to act fiscally on its behalf but without increasing the debt. I'd say about as close to zero as one can get.

This is just nonsense. why are we even talking about it? I would not, if Professor Sumner had not specifically mentioned MMT, and so invites a response.

Finally, a lot of people, including a lot a supposedly sophisticated people, placed bets based on the logic of monetarism at time that the Fed announced QE, greatly expanding what they consider "M." Confident that rising inflation would depress bond prices as yield rose, they shorted the bond market — and lost their shorts. Expectations turned out to be unfounded. But, who knows, maybe the suckers will be taken again by Fed jawboning about what it has no power to do. I wouldn't bet on it though, even through there is a sucker born every minute.

Perhaps Professor Sumner needs to change the subtitle of his blog to "A slightly off-kilter perspective."

The Money Illusion — A slightly off-center perspective on monetary problems.
The “hot potato effect” explained
Scott B. Sumner | Professor of Economics, Bentley University
(h/t y in the comments)

The key difference between Friedman and Keynes is that Friedman makes M in MV=PT the independent variable that is controlling, and Keynes makes effective demand the independent variable that is controlling. Moreover, Friedman defined M as the monetary base, whereas Keynes realized that M is actually spendable money that contributes to effective demand. The monetary base is not spendable and doesn't translate into effective demand as recent events have amply demonstrated.

The quantity view presumes that the total amount of money being spendable will influence the value of money. So if the amount of money is doubled, then the real value in terms of purchasing power is halved by inflation. Increase double M and also double P.

However, there are several issues overlooked here. First, money is not only a medium of exchange but also a store of value and a reckoner of debt. Money is not only for spending but also saving and also for paying down debt. "Cash under the mattress" is out of the loop and doesn't contribute to effective demand for as long as it is saved and not spent. Money that is used to pay down debt to banks reduces the amount of money in that just as loans create deposits, deposits are used to extinguish loans.

So not all "money" figures into the amount of effective demand.

Moreover, the money that does contribute to effective demand doesn't have the same effect independent of time. Increasing effective demand when there are idle resources and an output gap increases supply without affecting price in a competitive environment. Even has maximum production is approached, companies are likely to expand capacity through increased investment.

Effective demand doesn't affect price until the ability of an economy to expand production to meet demand begins to falter and imports cannot meet the increased demand either.

So taking M as the independent controlling variable rather than effective demand is a serious mistake theoretically, and a debilitating mistake when used to formulate economic policy.

The "hot potato effect" is imaginary.

Labor Day























Sunday, September 1, 2013

Pavlina R. Tcherneva — The Long Battle For A Living Wage Goes On


Short historical summary of going backwards.

New Economic Perspectives
The Long Battle For A Living Wage Goes On
Pavlina R. Tcherneva | Assistant Professor of Economics at Bard College

Pavlina has a new working paper up at Levy, too.
Reorienting Fiscal Policy: A Critical Assessment of Fiscal Fine-Tuning

Warren Mosler's Soft Currency Economics

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Not to be missed. Please forward this far and wide.


Culturington's Hyperchorea, National Dance of Death

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Self-management societies vs anarcho-capitalism: the new global war of ideologies?

Cultural self-management? On what scale? For how long?

Isn't that what we call a society, and a culture?

Both work until they don't. Then they don't work ... until they do.

It's a collective policy choice.

So, how do cultures and/or mobs actually MAKE group assessments? Through their group discourse methods, of course. Those too, are policy choices.

Are enough US citizens turning to sane, group intelligence methods, and thereby to Democracy - to save US from ourselves?

How would 315 million people even know, soon enough? You know, before self-management tolerance limits are relegated to barriers exceeded 10 contexts back?

"Oh, you mean THAT 'Bridge Out' sign! Oops. :) We bad!"
How do 315 million people even assess whether they are or aren't making a cultural policy decision?

Group momentum - stirred up by some Control Fraud - is easily and always causing groups to lurch about, triggering by default group-reflex decisions ... which the group as a whole only becomes aware of later on.

"NSA, can you trace our last 157 Million messages ... and tell us where the hell we are? And where we're going?"

"No? Well, thanks for giving it the too-old, outdated, un-affordable college try ... gramps."

Welcome to the fusion of democratic self-Command & self-Control nightmares with the Fog of Culture!

Ever seen a whole, national culture exhibiting the symptoms of a cultural huntington's-chorea? A Culturington's Hyperchorea? It's not a pretty sight, regardless of what it looks like before symptoms become visible.

Have OUR cultural institutions - no longer suitable for our changed context - already doomed the USA to a cultural Dance of Death?

The good news is that WE CAN ADJUST our flawed cultural-gene methods. The bad news is there's no guarantee that we WILL! Only if we choose to act, before the national dance descends from cultural agility into the national jerk or Middle Class Break dance that triggers excessive head-honcho banging, rampant injuries, lost generations, and loss of cultural life and states.

The National Robot Dance? That's for slow, stiff, Central Planners. The only cultural dance that's ever sustained features cultural agility.

Nominate Obama for a Nobel Fleece Prize!!!

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Quick, before he goes legit!

Assad Reveals He’s a Bank CEO: 
...  Obama Ends Threats, Bails Out Syria & Grants Immunity

I would like to accurately label this type of humor for what it is .... but it's unfortunately not politically correct* to do so.

Let's just call it culturally correct humor?

* In related news, Larry Summers reveals he's dictator of a 3rd world economy. MICC ends opposition to his Fed candidacy, and offers unlimited foreign aid, mostly military. :)  Is it still ethnic humor if the joke's on us, and it's not funny?


Guest Post: Ralph Musgrave — Britain’s finance minister and central bank chief at loggerheads

Britain’s finance minister and central bank chief at loggerheads.


George Osborne, Britain’s finance minister introduced a scheme to boost house purchases called “Help to Buy”. And not content with that house price bubble inflating stroke of genius, he introduced another scheme called “Funding for Lending” which aims to encourage lending in general, but which in fact is being exploited on a large scale by landlords wishing to purchase new properties.

Net result: a rapidly inflating house price bubble.

Funding for Lending

But all is not lost:

Mark Carney, the new Bank of England chief says he is ready to stamp on any house price bubble.

So now you know the definition of the phrase “public official”. It’s someone who spends their time nullifying the activities of another public official, with you paying the salary of both.

But more seriously, whence this strange desire to get commercial banks to lend, especially when we’ve just had a credit crunch followed by five years of disgracefully high unemployment and all sparked off by excessive and irresponsible lending?

Well it’s all down to something MMTers understand, but which few of those in power understand (especially Rogoff, Reinhart, and the IMF and OECD). It’s the fact that deficits and national debts are nothing to worry about. Or in the words of Keynes: “Look after unemployment, and the budget will look after itself”.

So those in power are desperate to find a form of stimulus which doesn’t increase the deficit, and commercial bank lending fits the bill, as does QE. As to the fact that excessive lending results in house price bubbles and possibly another crunch, well who cares? And as for the fact that QE enriches the rich and destabilises developing economies, well s*d that. The only important consideration is getting that dreaded deficit down.

Ralph Musgrave

Our Central Planners Think That THEY own OUR Fiat?

Commentary by Roger Ericksn

The Sad State Of Consumer Income

This is a very useful article by Steve Hansen, detailing ongoing reality in ways that even Jane and & Joe Sixpack should comprehend.

In short, we're crash dummies being run into a wall of orthodoxy.

Public statistics are looking a bit grim.
  Yet if you look more closely .... it's much worse!
    And if you look EVEN closer ... it's far worse than that!!
(How many are already afraid to look closer?)

What can be done? Private prison industries? Divert Aggregate Demand to  ....  Aggregate Remand? We can't afford to exercise fiat ... unless that initiative is directed at constraining the untrained initiative of under-educated, under-trained, under-employed citizens?  ??  Let me TRY to get my head around this.

Most ... of .. our ...  initiative ... is  .... spent ... by ... dwindling numbers of Central Planners (the 0.1%) ... on .... bizarre endeavors driven by twisted thinking?

Why, now that I've dragged it out of myself, that's the only statement that's made sense all year!!!

Our Central Planners think THEY own OUR fiat?

Their concerted initiative has deprived us of ours? How is that possible? It's a policy choice. One that "works" for us ... until we decide it doesn't.  Can some more of us PLEASE make a decision? An adaptive one?

How tragically silly. And ironic. We're unleashing weapons of cultural self-destruction right here in River City? If the NeoCons can't see it, they must be hiding it from themselves.

Two questions for Americans.

1) If we don't completely re-evaluate how we do functional public education in the USA, what will happen to our descendants?

2) And even if we re-invent K-12 education, will even that matter .... if we don't find a way to gracefully re-invent all of our currently failing governance institutions?


Besides currency operations, how many things which we learned in the 1930s - or since - have we simply not bothered to tell enough of us? Will we start communicating stuff that matters more often? Will we listen? Or are we all closet OldneoCons, hiding emerging reality from ourselves ... and our kids - to no avail?