Thursday, May 4, 2023

Google AI expert warns of massive uptick in productivity growth: No problems with Social Security — Dean Baker

No Luddites allowed.

Is slated to replace rote workers.
It is also worth noting that any concerns about the technology leading to more inequality are wrongheaded. If AI does lead to more inequality it will be due to how we have chosen to regulate AI, not AI itself.

People gain from technology as a result of how we set rules on intellectual products, like granting patent and copyright monopolies and allowing non-disclosure agreements to be enforceable contracts. If we had a world without these sorts of restrictions it is almost impossible to imagine a scenario in which AI, or other recent technologies, would lead to inequality. (Imagine all Microsoft software was free. How rich is Bill Gates?)

If AI leads to more inequality, it will be because of the rules we have put in place surrounding AI, not AI itself. It is understandable that the people who gain from this inequality would like to blame the technology, not rules which can be changed, but it is not true. Unfortunately, people involved in policy debates don’t seem able to recognize this point....
Real-World Economics Review Blog
Google AI expert warns of massive uptick in productivity growth: No problems with Social Security
Dean Baker | Co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C


8 comments:

Peter Pan said...

So AI will put migrant workers out of a job, as unemployed tools (rote workers) flood the cabbage patch. Win-win!

NeilW said...

What they are calling AI is actually just a fancy version of autocorrect. A token predictor.

It's very good at faking competence, and will replace humans in jobs that involve faking competence.

Matt Franko said...

100% agree Neil… I wrote (albeit scaled down versions of) programs like this in high school 40 years ago….

I already posted where the ChatGPT one thinks munnie is real and we can run out of it… monetarist…

Peter Pan said...

A weapon doesn't have to be intelligent or sentient to do plenty of damage.

But I agree it is disappointing to see so-called experts in the field anthropomorphize algorithms.

Matt Franko said...

“ anthropomorphize algorithms.”

Yes that’s exactly what they are doing..,

Matt Franko said...

https://psychology.fandom.com/wiki/Reification_(fallacy)

“Reification often takes place when natural or social processes are misunderstood and/or simplified; for example when human creations are described as “facts of nature, results of cosmic laws, or manifestations of divine will”.[2] Reification can also occur when a word with a normal usage is given an invalid usage, with mental constructs or concepts referred to as live beings. When human-like qualities are attributed as well, it is a special case of reification, known as pathetic fallacy (or anthropomorphic fallacy).”

Anthropomorphism is a form of reification….

Tom Hickey said...

@ Matt

There is a debate now in over whether AI has rights as a person.

Corporations already do. "Corporations are people" — Mitt Romney

Then there is the argument over whether AI is conscious.

Peter Pan said...

The first court case involving AI as a defendant is just around the corner...

Peak clown world.