Showing posts with label boom-bust cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label boom-bust cycle. Show all posts

Saturday, July 15, 2017

Hélène Rey — The Global Financial System, the Real Rate of Interest and a Long History of Boom-Bust Cycles


Brad DeLong directs attention to:
Abstract

Financial cycles strongly determine real short-term interest rates. Wealth increases rapidly during financial booms, faster than consumption itself. As a consequence, the consumption to wealth ratio declines, as happened in the “Roaring 20s” and the “Exuberant 2000s”. In the subsequent busts, savings increase and keep real interest rates low. The related global financial cycle constrains monetary policy independence, even for countries with flexible exchange rates, transforming the Mundellian trilemma into a dilemma. Tackling these issues calls for combina- tions of monetary and fiscal policy coordination, macro-prudential policies, and possibly capital controls. It also means considering the role of the US as a provider of safe assets, and asking whether a multipolar system would be advantageous.
Andrew Crockett Memorial Lecture: The Global Financial System, the Real Rate of Interest and a Long History of Boom-Bust Cycles. ∗
Hélène Rey, London Business School, NBER and CEPR
July 3, 2017

Monday, March 3, 2014

Jeremy Smith — Financial repression – myth, metaphor and reality


If you've heard of financial repression being used as a buzzword and are not quite sure what it is, financial repression is the antonym of financial liberalization. The connotation of both is normative — financial liberalization (private sector freedom) is good and financial repression (government controls) is bad. This is another key norm of neoliberal ideology.

Prime
Financial repression – myth, metaphor and reality
Jeremy Smith