Showing posts with label exogenous money. Show all posts
Showing posts with label exogenous money. Show all posts

Sunday, September 25, 2016

Brian Romanchuk — Primer: Endogenous Versus Exogenous Money

One of the long-running debates within economics is the question whether money is endogenous or exogenous. Those who follow internet economic debates can expect this argument to flare up periodically. This debate should largely be considered dead and buried; and abolishing money from economic theory would put the final nail in the coffin…
Bond Economics
Primer: Endogenous Versus Exogenous Money
Brian Romanchuk

Sunday, November 30, 2014

David Glasner — What Is Free Banking All About?

I notice that there has been a bit of a dustup lately about free banking, triggered by two posts by Izabella Kaminska, first on FTAlphaville followed by another on her own blog. I don’t want to get too deeply into the specifics of Kaminska’s posts, save to correct a couple of factual misstatements and conceptual misunderstandings (see below). At any rate, George Selgin has a detailed reply to Kaminska’s errors with which I mostly agree, and Scott Sumner has scolded her for not distinguishing between sensible free bankers, e.g., Larry White, George Selgin, Kevin Dowd, and Bill Woolsey, and the anti-Fed, gold-bug nutcases who, following in the footsteps of Ron Paul, have adopted free banking as a slogan with which to pursue their anti-Fed crusade. 
Now it just so happens that, as some readers may know, I wrote a book about free banking, which I began writing almost 30 years ago. The point of the book was not to call for a revolutionary change in our monetary system, but to show that financial innovations and market forces were causing our modern monetary system to evolve into something like the theoretical model of a free banking system that had been worked out in a general sort of way by some classical monetary theorists, starting with Adam Smith, who believed that a system of private banks operating under a gold standard would supply as much money as, but no more money than, the public wanted to hold. In other words, the quantity of money produced by a system of competing banks, operating under convertibility, could be left to take care of itself, with no centralized quantitative control over either the quantity of bank liabilities or the amount of reserves held by the banking system.…
Uneasy Money
What Is Free Banking All About?
David Glasner

Sunday, June 15, 2014

Free Radical — Endogenous or Exogenous Money


Giving the opposition its say.
There are quite a few arguments in economics which are entirely superfluous. One of them is over whether central banks determine the money supply or whether it is determined by the banking sector. I have dealt with this previously (following along on the coat tails of Rowe and Sumner) but as I work through Keen’s lectures on “endogenous money” (see primarily 06 part 2 and 07 part 1) I can’t help but notice that this issue seems to be central to much of his criticisms of mainstream economics. So in pursuit of my ultimate goal of rescuing the theory of money and debt from the Marxists–er, I mean “post Keynesians”–and folding it somehow neatly into regular old-fashioned economics, let me first address this whole endogenous/exogenous ball of wax.
Free Radical
Endogenous or Exogenous Money

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Monday, July 1, 2013

Unlearning Economics — The Myth of Neutral Money

More generally, I find the idea expressed by Friedman – that the economy will tend toward a stable, long term equilibrium, perhaps oscillating in the short term – is often used by economists, but is rarely fully justified. It is merely assumed that the economy will behave this way, and any erratic behaviour – such as money illusion, and sticky wages/prices – can be dismissed as short term ‘noise’. However, seems to me that such an idea can only be sustained by sweeping potential problems under the rug. Indeed, this supposed ‘noise’ (a) could be more relevant to understanding the system than the equilibrium and (b) could have a permanent impact on the economy and therefore equilibrium itself.
Unlearning Economics
The Myth of Neutral Money

Economic equilibrium is based on the assumption of near perfect markets in which imperfections are minor enough to be disregarded "in the long run," so that distortions are merely short terms phenomena that are correct by the operation of "natural laws."

Reality is characterized by imperfections that are far greater than assumed, and some those imperfections introduce a level of uncertainty that makes ergodic modeling idealistic rather than realistic.

There is nothing inherently "wrong" with idealistic modeling, which can be useful in understanding system by comparing and contrasting the behavior of different systems based on different assumptions and data. The mistake arises when idealistic models are confused with realistic ones.

For example, in the world imagined in idealistic economics based on equilibrium of perfect markets, efficiency and effectiveness are equated. That is to say the objective is efficiency, since economic efficiency is assumed to be most effective. 

This is seldom the case in the actual world however, where individual, social, political and economic considerations are involved and economic considerations are not necessarily paramount, other than to vested interests. Then, it may be to the advantage of vested interests to conflate economic efficiency with general effectiveness, to the disadvantage of other interests.

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Lord Keynes — Endogenous Money 101

Money is at the centre of all modern capitalist economies. Understanding its nature and origins is therefore of great importance. At the heart of Post Keynesian monetary theory is the idea of endogenous money.
This is opposed to the mainstream exogenous money supply theory: the idea that the central bank has direct control over the money supply and its growth. The latter theory is wrong, and I review that major points of endogenous money below.
Social Democracy For The 21St Century
Endogenous Money 101
Lord Keynes


Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Clint Balinger — Towards A Pure State Theory Of Money

MODERN MONETARY THEORY (MMT) notes correctly that money is a creature of the state, and that important macroeconomic and policy conclusions follow from this understanding, e.g., sovereign states are not revenue constrained and spending is primarily limited by inflation. Taxes give value to state money and maintain its value (i.e., inflation can be controlled through taxes).
One (among many) key policy insight is that a job guarantee is possible. A job guarantee not only achieves what many think should for myriad social reasons be a primary goal of macroeconomics but also further creates a buffer stock that achieves an additional primary macroeconomic policy goal – stability.
However, most of the world does not operate under pure state systems of money. Most of what serves as money in most banking systems in the world is privately created credit money.
We can compare the current most common banking system with a pure state system of money:....
Clint Balinger
Towards A Pure State Theory Of Money

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Unlearning Economics — Endogenous Versus Exogenous Money, One More Time

I’ve always sided with endogenous money because it is supported by the evidence. If anyone can offer me contrary evidence about the above or other relevant hypotheses, I’ll be happy to listen. But economist-y special pleading about how, even though exogenous money is wrong, the economy behaves as if it is right, or about how I’m not allowed to refute ‘centuries of theory,’ is simply not enough when the evidence is this strong.
Unlearning Economics
Endogenous Versus Exogenous Money, One More Time


Thursday, July 26, 2012

The Prophet Isaiah on Exogenous and Endogenous "Money"


Isaiah 13 is a prophesy related to the events surrounding God's destruction of Babylon.  Intro:
1  Load of Babylon which was perceived by Isaiah, the son of Amoz. 
The chapter then proceeds to provide some details concerning the earthly environment during the time of Babylon's destruction.  Picking it up in verse 15:
15  Everyone found shall be stabbed, and everyone gathered up shall fall by the sword.
Skipping over some more of the gory details, it is then revealed that God will use the Medes to enact His will of destruction upon Babylon.  But why the Medes?  What sets Mede apart from Babylon?


God's use of the Medes as His tool of destruction and the characteristics that He used to differentiate the Mede from Babylon are revealed in verse 17:
17   Behold Me rousing against them the Medes, who are not accounting silver, And gold - they are not delighting in it.
The verse reveals that the Medes were NOT "accounting" in silver, or as MMT might say, the Mede was not 'running their spreadsheet', or monetary system in a unit of "accounting" based on exogenous weight measures of silver.  Also revealed is that the Medes did not "delight in gold".


The implication is that Babylon was, in contrast to the Medes, operating a monetary system based on exogenous weight measures of silver, and was delighted in gold.  Two "precious" metals both in Column 11 of today's periodic table.  Many humans in our era today, at least over the last century or so, advocate a policy for use of either of these two metals as an exogenous material "standard" against which we should base our contemporary monetary systems.

So this is interesting, as it doesn't look like it worked out too well for Babylon as compared to how the Medes were able to be roused by God using perhaps a system of state currency via endogenous "money".

The implication of this Hebrew scripture is clear in that at least during the era of Babylon's demise, a state that constrained it's fiscal authority by limiting it to how much silver it could obtain, and foolishly expended real output and resources on the errand of obtaining the metal gold in order to simply delight in it's presence, would be vulnerable to destruction.  The prophet continues:
19  And it comes that Babylon, the stateliest of kingdoms, The beauty, the pomp of the Chaldeans, shall be as the overturning of Sodom and Gomorrah by the Alueim.
20  It shall not be indwelt permanently, not shall anyone tabernacle there further, for generation after generation, Nor shall the Arabian tent there, nor shepherds recline their flocks there.
21  Yet the animals of arid spaces will recline there, and their homes will be full of their uproar.
And so Babylon has remained.

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Nick Rowe — Wicksteed, stocks and flows


Hmmm. That's starting to sound like a transactions demand for money function. But if we have a demand to hold money for transactions purposes, we can still get an equilibrium in which money is held and valued even if T(t) is always zero.

(Wicksteed said (HT David Glasner) that fiat money has value because the government requires it for payment of taxes. I'm saying that's not sufficient. And it's not even necessary, in the sense that if my local recycler accepted fiat money, even at a negligible price, that would be enough to replace T(t)>0 in ruling out the equilibrium in which fiat money has a price of zero.)
Read it at Worthwhile Canadian Initiative
Wicksteed, stocks and flows
by Nick Rowe

Seems like Nick is saying that the money supply is set exogenously by government whereas the operational reality is that in a system in which the central bank is the lender of last resort the money base is determined by demand for reserves for settlement and reserve requirements based on credit creation. Moreover, the size of the money supply (M2) is set endogenously by credit extension that creates credit money.

There is no doubt that money is an idea rather than a thing, that is, a human social construct that underlies a primary social, economic and financial institution. The state theory of money does not deny this and admits that credit money predates state money historically. Anthropologists have also observed that credit money grew out of social relationships involving reciprocity and trust.

The Chartalist claim is that state money, that is, currency, gets value from the necessity of the private sector to settle its government-imposed obligations with government when government only accepts is own liabilities as credits. This allows government to shift private assets to public use through currency expenditures.

Thursday, April 19, 2012

Randy Wray — Does Chairman Bernanke Know Squat About Money?

I think the biggest policy failures in Washington over the past three or four decades are caused by confusion over the nature of money, and more specifically, the nature of a sovereign currency. So many of our policy makers simply do not understand that a sovereign issuer of the currency is not like a household user of the currency. For a sovereign issuer, there is never a solvency constraint. And a sovereign issuer spends by issuing its currency—not by borrowing it.
Read it at Economonitor | Great Leap Forward
DOES CHAIRMAN BERNANKE KNOW SQUAT ABOUT MONEY?
by L. Randall Wray

Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Lars P. Syll — Krugman on Modern Monetary Theory

Somehow [Krugman] also seems to think the idea behind [MMT] is new and originates from economic cranks.... 
This is what [Knut] Wicksell wrote in 1898 on “pure credit systems” in Interest and Prices (Geldzins und Güterpreise), 1936 (1898), p. 68f:
It is possible to go even further. There is no real need for any money at all if a payment between two customers can be accomplished by simply transferring the appropriate sum of money in the books of the bank …

A pure credit system has not yet … been completely developed in this form. But here and there it is to be found in the somewhat different guise of the banknote system …

We intend therefor, as a basis for the following discussion, to imagine a state of affairs in which money does not actually circulate at all, neither in the form of coin … nor in the form of notes, but where all domestic payments are effected by means of the Giro system and bookkeeping transfers. A thorough analysis of this purely imaginary case seems to me to be worth while, for it provides a precise antithesis to the equally imaginary case of a pure cash system, in which credit plays no part whatever [the exact equivalent of Krugman's often used model assumption of "cash in advance"- LPS] …

For the sake of simplicity, let us then assume that the whole monetary system of a country is in the hands of a single credit institution, provided with an adequate number of branches, at which each independent economic individual keeps an account on which he can draw cheques.
Read it at Lars P. Syll's Blog | Docendo discimus
Krugman on Modern Monetary Theory
by Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University
(h/t Anonymous in the comments)

Friday, April 13, 2012

Neil Wilson — The fixed exchange rate system at the heart of MMT


Systems thinker Neil Wilson gives a very clear exposition of how the exogenous (vertical) and endogenous (horizontal) system interact, with the central bank and its currency powers at the apex of the hierarchy that includes the Treasury and banks as public-private partnerships. This system is at the core of modern economies, all of which use state money as central bank created currency in addition to credit money created by bank loans that presupposes use of currency for final settlement.

Read it at 3spoken
The fixed exchange rate system at the heart of MMT
by Neil Wilson