Showing posts with label persuasion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label persuasion. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Caitlin Johnstone — ‘The Atlantic’ Commits Malpractice, Selectively Edits To Smear WikiLeaks

See that full stop at the end of the last sentence there [in The Atlantic quote of Wikileaks]? That’s journalistic malpractice.
Selective editing in one way spin and disinformation get created. Another is selective reporting that omits relevant facts. This is how propaganda works to create faked news.
The author of the Atlantic article, Julia Ioffe, put a period rather than a comma at the end of the text about not wanting to appear pro-Trump or pro-Russia, and completely omitted WikiLeaks’ statement following the comma that it considers those allegations slanderous. This completely changes the way the interaction is perceived.
This is malpractice. Putting an ellipsis (…) and then omitting the rest of the sentence would have been sleazy and disingenuous enough, because you’re leaving out crucial information but at least communicating to the reader that there is more to the sentence you’ve left out, but replacing the comma with a period obviously communicates to the reader that there is no more to the sentence. If you exclude important information while communicating that you have not, you are blatantly lying to your readers....
Medium
‘The Atlantic’ Commits Malpractice, Selectively Edits To Smear WikiLeaks
Caitlin Johnstone

Monday, November 6, 2017

David F. Ruccio — Liberal Superman theory


Epistemology rather than economics.

Epistemological absolutism holds that there are absolute criteria and methods available for applying them to gain certain knowledge. Epistemological relativism holds that there are neither.

Without getting into the weeds about this, suffice it to say that this epistemological distinction is not particularly relevant to the point that Professor Ruccio makes in the post, which revolves around mistaking ideology for fact. Here he is spot on and can be shown regardless of whether one is an epistemological relativist or absolutist.

This also accounts for the obsession with controlling the narrative in order to shape consensus reality and the role of "experts" in doing it. This is just plain old sophistry, know colloquially as "duping the rubes."

Occasional Links & Commentary
Liberal Superman theory
David F. Ruccio | Professor of Economics, University of Notre Dame

Thursday, October 26, 2017

Robert Parry — Russia-gate Breeds ‘Establishment McCarthyism’

In the past, America has witnessed “McCarthyism” from the Right and even complaints from the Right about “McCarthyism of the Left.” But what we are witnessing now amid the Russia-gate frenzy is what might be called “Establishment McCarthyism,” traditional media/political powers demonizing and silencing dissent that questions mainstream narratives....
It's about Establishment control of the narrative that establishes consensus reality.

Consortium News
Russia-gate Breeds ‘Establishment McCarthyism’
Robert Parry

Thursday, September 14, 2017

Scott Adams — I Explain the Persuasion Techniques President Trump is using on The Wall and DACA


The Master Persuader redux.

Scott Adams' Blog
I Explain the Persuasion Techniques President Trump is using on The Wall and DACA
Scott Adams

Lars P. Syll — Rethinking expectations


The epistemological  and logic problems are not due to either models or their assumptions but rather misinterpreting what a model says about the world realisitically.

Models are necessarily simplifications, since their purpose is to encapsulate as well as explain. The probems arise typically in assumptions about the application of models as accounts of real events. 

A major issue is over-generalizing by taking a model that illustrates a special cases and extending its scope to other cases or even taking the model as representing the general case.

This is similiar to the logic of conspiracy theories that take some aspects of a case and build and a complete argument around them when there is other relevant information.

The intent is conspiracy theory is sophistical, regardless of whether those perpetrating it realize this consciously or act intentionally. It is false logic used to persuade.

A lot of conventional economics, especially scaling up micro by extending its scope to macro, is like conspiracy theory. It is based on the false necessity of microfoundations, which runs the risk of falling into the fallacy of compositioin, a freshman error in logic.

A worse error is doubling down on outcomes that disconfirm a model's representational claims by ad hoc measures, saying that the world has to be changed to fit the model, trying to discredit the inconvenient results with more sophistry, or just ignoring the results.

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Rethinking expectations
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Joseph Stiglitz explains.

Where modern macroeconomics went wrong

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Julian Millie and Matt Tomlinson — Infrequently asked questions: The Monologic Imagination

The topic we are focusing on is monologism, the practice of presenting one’s voice as pure and singular, unquestionably true, and, in the case of groups, unified. Monologism is a common feature of religious and political projects
The categorical versus the dialectical approach.

OUPblog
Infrequently asked questions: The Monologic Imagination
Julian Millie and Matt Tomlinson

Erin Blakemore — America’s Unlikely Cold War Weapon


Books.

JSTOR Daily 

Bill Mitchell — The role of literary fiction in perpetuating neo-liberal economic myths – Part 2

In The role of literary fiction in perpetuating neo-liberal economic myths – Part 1, I noted introduced the idea that fictional literature plays a significant role in framing false economic concepts and, thus, can promotes neo-liberal biases among the readership, even when the plot of the narrative is ostensibly about something other than economics. In other words, what parades as fiction becomes a powerful tool for spreading ideological propaganda, often in a very subliminal or subtle way. In Part 2, I demonstrate that further and provide correct Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) interpretations of popularised economic statements that the characters in the book in focus (The Mandibles) weave into their conversation as if they are accepted facts. The lesson is clear. To further advance Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) ideas, novelists who are sympathetic to the cause should construct their narratives consistent with the MMT principles, where economic matters are touched upon in their work. This will help to counter the misconceptions that arise in literary fiction when authors engage with flawed neo-liberal arguments about the monetary system. It might also help educate book reviewers who often, knowingly or unknowingly, reinforce the myths in the main text.…
How about a novel or film in which understanding of MMT saves the world? It doesn't seem difficult to construct a highly plausible scenario, e.g., along the lines of Being There, where someone very unlikely schools "the experts" in the obvious, or along the lines of The Matrix or The Wizard of Oz, where the illusory consensus view is created by perpetration of financial and economic myths by those behind the veil. Or maybe a sequel to The Grapes of Wrath.

BTW, Thomas Piketty weaves literature skillfully into his narrative in Capital, in a way that is much more powerful than he use of neoclassical economics.

There is precedent for this on the left in addition to the right, where Ayn Rand's novels stand out. The enduring popularity The Wizard of Oz may be based on the fascinating story, but it was originally conceived as Populist persuasion.

Then there is the still hugely popular board game, Monopoly, the idea for which was originally conceived to bolster the message of Henry George.
The history of Monopoly can be traced back to 1903,[1][4] when American anti-monopolist Elizabeth Magie created a game through which she hoped to be able to explain the single tax theory of Henry George. It was intended as an educational tool to illustrate the negative aspects of concentrating land in private monopolies. Magie took out a patent in 1904. Her game, The Landlord's Game, was self-published, beginning in 1906.[5]
A series of variant board games based on her concept was developed from 1906 through the 1930s that involved the buying and selling of land and the development of that land. Cardboard houses were added and rents were increased as they were added. Magie again patented the game in 1923.[6]
According to an advertisement placed in The Christian Science Monitor, Charles Todd of Philadelphia recalled the day in 1932 when his childhood friend, Esther Jones and her husband Charles Darrow, came to their house for dinner. After the meal, the Darrows played The Landlord's Game several times with them, a game that was entirely new to the Darrows, and before he left, Darrow asked for a written set of the rules. After Darrow distributed the game himself as Monopoly, the Todds never spoke to the Darrows again.[7]
After Darrow had excellent sales during the Christmas season of 1934, the Parker Brothers bought the game's copyrights from Darrow.[8] After finding Darrow was not the sole inventor of the game, Parker bought the rights to Magie's patent.[9] — Wikipedia

Bill Mitchell – billy blog
The role of literary fiction in perpetuating neo-liberal economic myths – Part 2
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Saturday, August 26, 2017

Cathy O’Neil — “Algorithms Are Opinions Embedded in Code”

Algorithms are opinions embedded in code. It’s really different from what you think most people think of algorithms. They think algorithms are objective and true and scientific. That’s a marketing trick. It’s also a marketing trick to intimidate you with algorithms, to make you trust and fear algorithms because you trust and fear mathematics. A lot can go wrong when we put blind faith in big data.
Naked Capitalism
Data Scientist Cathy O’Neil: “Algorithms Are Opinions Embedded in Code”
Cathy O'Neil (aka mathbabe)

Compare with

An Interview with James Buchanan From the Austrian Economics Newsletter, Fall 1987
AEN: People have often labeled your work “normative.” Could you give us your thoughts on striking the balance between truth-seeking and advocacy?
Buchanan: I have never been especially concerned about making a sharp dividing line between what is positive and what is normative. I don’t consider myself a scientist whose task is discovering a reality that somehow exists independently of me. The model of hard sciences is not at all appropriate for economics. There is an important distinction to be made between taking an ideological position and then trying to make arguments to support that position, and on the other hand, working out the consequences of ideas and coming to an ideological position.
People do sometimes interpret my work as always being in defense of liberty. But it is less a preconceived notion and more a result of my methodology. It’s analogous to an artists that only knows and uses red paint. You should not be surprised when his paintings come out in various shades of red. Methodological individualism characterizes everything that I’ve done because I simply don’t know how to proceed with anything else, as if I only had red paint. Another artist might consciously decide to create a red painting so he goes out and buys red paint. But that is an entirely different approach.
Compare also

Thomas Aquinas in De Ente et essentia, 1
A small mistake in the beginning is a big one in the end, according to the Philosopher in the first book of On the Heavens and the Earth....
Compare Alfred Marshall
Balliol Croft, Cambridge27. ii. 06
My dear Bowley …
I had a growing feeling in the later years of my work at the subject that a good mathematical theorem dealing with economic hypotheses was very unlikely to be good economics: and I went more and more on the rules — (1) Use mathematics as a short-hand language, rather than as an engine of inquiry. (2) Keep to them till you have done. (3) Translate into English. (4) Then illustrate by examples that are important in real life. (5) Burn the mathematics. (6) If you can’t succeed in 4, burn 3. This last I did often ….
Your emptyhandedly,Alfred Marshall
Math is a tool that can be used in many ways for different purposes. In the hands of those who use the tool to manipulate and control others, math is much like Latin in the hands of a priesthood.

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Scott Adams — Russia Hacked our Election! (So what?)


Pretty well summarizes my thinking on the matter.

Adams makes an important observation about democracy and the Internet, too.
But something much larger than government-on-government influence is happening, and I’d like to call that out in this post. We keep talking about physical border security, but what about influence security? Any country with widespread Internet access is susceptible to the same kind of fake news and other social media influence that we suspect Russia of doing. And every citizen can play this game. For example, if I were highly motivated to influence an election in Great Britain, I’m sure I could move a few thousand votes in any direction I chose. Could it be said in that case that America is trying to manipulate a foreign election? Yes, unambiguously so. And I believe it is totally legal, even if I use fake news as my persuasion.
From 2017 onward, the democratic process in any country is open to “voting” by the entire world. The foreign “votes” will come in the form of social media influence on the local voters. There is no practical way to stop any of that from happening. And that means political power will migrate from the traditional triumvirate of politicians, rich people, and the media, to individual persuaders who are good at it. In 2017 and beyond, the best persuaders in the world will be influencing democratic elections in every country. And those persuaders will be from anywhere on the globe. Borders can’t stop persuasion.
While you were watching the news coverage about physical borders between countries, and physical immigration, the democratic process in each country became global. We can (and do) influence politics across borders now, bigly. And fake news is part of the soup, unfortunately.
What Adams leaves unsaid is that TPTB will attempt to control this to their advantage, using censorship if deemed needed. However, they will likely prefer use the Internet for their own propaganda, disinformation, psyops, and other fake news, rather intervene directly with censorship or shutting down venues, which would be perceived as illiberal.

So we are likely looking forward to a more gaslit world.

Scott Adams' Blog
Russia Hacked our Election! (So what?)
Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert™

Friday, May 19, 2017

Amanda Crowell — Mediated Reality is No Match for Personal Experience

In The Psychological State of the Union, Amanda Crowell offers observations on the impact of our personal psychology on our political reality....
Immediate experience versus mediated "reality."

Saturday, April 8, 2017

Moon of Alabama — The Khan Sheikoun Show Was Trump's Production

The pictures and scenes were not constructed for Trump's consumption. They were constructed for consumption by the "western" public. They followed Trump's persuasion style. The same style he used during the campaign and that let him win. Trump had several reasons to create such an incident. This was a stunt to his liking. It was his production. Trump proudly presented "Trump the President".
Master persuader at work? b thinks so, and so does Scott Adams.

Is the world becoming surreal.

It gets better.
Some people have wondered why the Chinese criticism of the attack at the UN Security Council or during Xi's meeting with Trump was rather mild. The Chinese believe that the best that can happen to them is a United States bogged down in further Middle East calamities. If the U.S. is busy in Iraq, Yemen and Syria it will have fewer capacity to mess up North Korea or seek a conflict over this or that atoll in the South China Sea. I can not blame them for that position.
Classic Chinese strategy based on SunTzu on the Art of War.

Moon of Alabama
The Khan Sheikoun Show Was Trump's Production
b

Whatever, it apparently worked to create the desired effect.
“I think Donald Trump became president of the United States” last night, CNNhost Fareed Zakaria said when asked about the significance of Trump’s airstrikes on Syria….
FAIR — fairness and accuracy in reporting

Saturday, January 28, 2017

George Lakoff — The Public’s Viewpoint: Regulations are Protections

The term “regulation” is framed from the viewpoint of corporations and other businesses. From their viewpoint, “regulations” are limitations on their freedom to do whatever they want no matter who it harms. But from the public’s viewpoint, a regulation is a protection against harm done by unscrupulous corporations seeking to maximize profit at the cost of harm to the public....
It's all in the framing. Don't let them frame you.

George Lakoff
The Public’s Viewpoint: Regulations are Protections
George Lakoff | Director of the Center for the Neural Mind & Society and retired Distinguished Professor of Cognitive Science and Linguistics at the University of California at Berkeley

Sunday, December 18, 2016

Davide Battistella — Were Democrats Beaten By Their Own "War Of Narratives"?

I read a quote somewhere last week that went something like, “JFK put a man on the moon, Obama put a man in the ladies room”. This got me thinking about President Obama’s oft cited, “war of narratives”.

Who says something like this? Well, it’s people who believe that as long as they control the narrative, as long as they control the story, then they are winning. The facts don’t matter, the actual events, the situations, the way things unfold, these are also the things that do not matter.
What matters most to a person who believes that the world is based on a “war of narratives” is that their ideas and world view are the only possible alternative.Isn’t this what doomed the Democrats in the Election? Did they not just believe that they had a superior narrative to the one that was being proposed by Donald Trump? So much so that they practically hid their candidate while waiting for her pronouncement as president.
 
With a president and leader, who holds a belief that the “war of narratives” is all that matters, Democrats have slipped into a very narrow (albeit progressive) world view....

From this perch, you ignore what is going on around you and it is your job and the job of your party to push any given issue through the filter of a given narrative. So take any issue and run it into the ground to convince people your narrative is the only acceptable one. You can blame people for falling down this slippery slope because it usually involves, at some point, the absence of using common sense.
 
Sure, Republicans push narratives as well, but they don’t seem to do it with such zeal and with the world view that whichever particular narrative du jour is the only plausible, logical story that exists.
This is a worthwhile read about controlling the narrative. 

I disagree somewhat with the author about this being more a problem for the Democrats than the Republicans. It may seem that way now, since the Democratic establishment is a victim of its own narrative during the election, first, to marginalize Bernie Sanders, and then Donald Trump. They started to believe their own BS.

But I think this also affected the campaigns of John McCain and Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney was just a sure that he was going to win as was Hillary Clinton, right up until the final hours of the voting. Mitt apparently got over it, but I don't think that John McCain ever did.

Zero Hedge
Were Democrats Beaten By Their Own "War Of Narratives"?
Davide Battistella

Friday, December 2, 2016

James Kwak — Economics 101, Economism, and Our New Gilded Age

In policy debates and public relations campaigns, however, what you are more likely to hear is that a minimum wage must increase unemployment—because that’s what the model says. This conviction that the world must behave the way it does on the blackboard is what I call economism. This style of thinking is influential because it is clear and logical, reducing complex issues to simple, pseudo-mathematical axioms. But it is not simply an innocent mistake made by inattentive undergraduates. Economism is Economics 101 transformed into an ideology—an ideology that is particularly persuasive because it poses as a neutral means of understanding the world.
Overextension of the scope of the model. The scope is determined by the assumptions, and the more restrictive the assumptions, the more limited the and the less realistic the model.

Economism is a logical fallacy used rhetorically to persuade through mathiness. It's not science but persuasion that amounts to sophistry. Intelligent economists know this. Those who don't realize it are unintelligent. So take you pick between liar and moron.

Baseline Scenario
Economics 101, Economism, and Our New Gilded Age
James Kwak | Associate Professor of Law at the University of Connecticut School of Law

Monday, November 28, 2016

William K. Black — Howard Dean Wants to Continue Austerity’s Assault on the Working Class


The Democrats are never ever going to figure this out because they are fixated on the Clinton surplus.

And even if they do figure it out, in order to be effective politically, persuasion has to be based on a moral argument rather than reasoning in terms of economic theory and providing facts and figures.

The fundamental problem is that a majority of Americans of all classes view indebtedness as immoral and irresponsible, especially growing indebtedness . 

This is going to be a tough nut to crack. 

While reasoning may be part of the argument, it is unlikely to carry the day with enough people to reverse course in the polls that politicians look at.

The framing must be based on morality rather than reason to work politically, and the argument must be based chiefly on rhetoric (persuasion) rather than logic (reasoning from evidence).

Conservatives figured this out long ago. Liberals are still clueless about it for the most part and when they attempt to use it they are clumsy with it because it doesn't fit their thinking style.

This does not imply countering the indebtedness is immoral view with arguments against that view, which will only reinforce it in the minds of those holding it. Cognitive scientist George Lakoff observes that most people  "moderates" comprising the political "center." They are biconceptual and hold aspects of the conservative and liberal world views characterized by the strict father world view and nurturing partner world view respectively. Even those whose view is dominated by the strict father are susceptible to appeal to the nurturing parent view. Moreover, dominance can shift through persuasion. The "Reagan Democrats" are a good example.

Rather than argue against the strict father-conservative point of view, liberals should instead appeal to the nurturing parent world view that they hold. Polling shows that most Americans are more inclined to the nutting parent world view and can be persuaded by arguments based on the morality of this point of view.

New Economic Perspectives
Howard Dean Wants to Continue Austerity’s Assault on the Working Class
William K. Black | Associate Professor of Economics and Law, UMKC

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Dani Rodrik — It’s a war of ideas, not of interests

Note that what is required here is not one more well-designed program. It is a narrative, a marketing device – a bumper sticker.
Must-read. Short.

Dani Rodrik is correct but changing minds, let alone a cultural mindset, is easier said than done. But without doing it, progressivism is wandering in a swamp of identity issues.

It's about building a vision and articulating it persuasively through a narrative that Joe and Jane Sixpack can relate to and identify themselves and their cohort with.

Here again I come back to the enduring question, "What does it mean to live a good life as an individual in a good society."

Dani Rodrik's weblog
It’s a war of ideas, not of interests
Dani Rodrik

Saturday, October 8, 2016

Sputnik International — Hillary’s Campaign Claims WikiLeaks Emails Are ‘Fake,’ ‘Russian Misinformation’


WikiLeaks quickly responded calling on John Podesta to "submit to WikiLeaks another copy of all of your emails. We’ll compare the two identical archives for you" before closing the Tweet with the link to the whistleblower’s submission website.
But what's to prevent the HRC people from forging "original" to prove that the Wikileaks documents are bogus?

It's impossible to be able to determine the truth anymore, so it comes down to priors and propaganda.

This was the outcome of the original Snowden leaks that revealed hard evidence of the duplicity of the US deep state and that only been suspected but remained unproved.

Sputnik International

Hillary’s Campaign Claims WikiLeaks Emails Are ‘Fake,’ ‘Russian Misinformation’

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Scott Adams — Check Out my Sulley Prediction from 2009

One of the the most important things I learned while getting my degree in economics is that economies are driven by psychology. If people expect tomorrow to be better than today, they make investments. If they think things are in decline, they wait it out, and that lack of investment makes things decline further. Psychology rules. Almost everything else is just scenery.

Remember, capitalism is a failure engine. Most businesses eventually fail, but employees get paid while it is happening. You can do a lot of things wrong with your economy and still find a way to fail forward. But the one thing you can’t get wrong is the psychology. That’s a killer.
If you remember your recent history, a global recession started in 2007 and ended in 2009, at least in the United States. See my blog post that accurately predicted the end of the recession in the U.S. in January of 2009, based on psychology alone.

That’s the same sort of filter I’m using to predict Trump’s progress in the presidential election. The filter assumes psychology is the best variable for predicting the election outcome. The best persuader will win. No one cares about facts and policies. We just pretend we do.…
Scott Adams' Blog
Check Out my Sulley Prediction from 2009
Scott Adams, created of Dilbert