Showing posts with label wage pressure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wage pressure. Show all posts

Sunday, May 6, 2018

Bill Mitchell — US labour market tepid – there is plenty of scope fiscal expansion

On May 4, 2018, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their latest labour market data – Employment Situation Summary – April 2018 – which showed that total non-farm employment from the payroll survey rose by just 164,000 in April, which was an improvement on the very modest rise in March. The Labour Force Survey data, however, showed that employment only rose by 3 thousand) in April 2018 but was accompanied by a substantial fall in the labour force (236 thousand) which meant that total unemployment fell by 239 thousand. The unemployment rate fell to 3.93 per cent (from 4.07) but this does not signal a stronger labour market. There is still a large jobs deficit remaining. Finally, there is no evidence of a wages breakout going on. Taken together, the US labour market is showing no definite trend up or down at present and it is still some distance from being at full employment.
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
US labour market tepid – there is plenty of scope fiscal expansion
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

See also

Bond Economics
Why The U.S. Labour Market Befuddles Forecasters
Brian Romanchuk

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Inflation picking up. Wage pressures mounting.

I have been saying that wage pressures are mounting. The evidence is clear. In my MMT Trader report I have included this chart below.

Inflation


This is the current. up-to-date, snapshot on Employment and Withholding Tax Deposits flowing to the Treasury. It is accelerating. This is an indication of mounting wage pressures and a significant tightening in the labor market.

Producer prices up 0.5% in today's report. Forecasts were for a 0.3% rise. Tomorrow, CPI and that will be a shocker, too.

Treasuries are a sale. Fed will resume rate hikes soon.

Dollar going down. Commodities, gold, stocks, emerging markets, all going up. That's where you want to be.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard — Deflation supercycle is over as world runs out of workers

The demographic 'sweet spot' is vanishing. We are on the cusp of a complete reversal, spelling the end of corporate hegemony
When Charles Goodhart speaks it is important. He is one of the few people at the top of the chain that actually understands monetary economics and is MMT-friendly. So you'll probably want to read this, even if you don't pay attention to AE-P.

This is going to shift the conversation if it gets traction. Goodheart saying it and AE-P featuring itguarantee it will.

The world is in flux. The great leveling is already here in this view.

The Telegraph
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard