Thursday, January 6, 2022

U.S. Ramps Up Battery Production With 13 New Gigafactor… — Alex Kimani

The energy transition is driving the next commodity supercycle, with immense prospects for technology manufacturers, energy traders, and investors. Indeed, new energy research provider BloombergNEF estimates that the global transition will require ~$173 trillion in energy supply and infrastructure investment over the next three decades, with renewable energy expected to provide 85% of our energy needs by 2050....

Oilprice
U.S. Ramps Up Battery Production With 13 New Gigafactor…
Alex Kimani
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/US-Ramps-Up-Battery-Production-With-13-New-Gigafactories.html

Don't look Up! has a surprising amount to tell us about economics, much of it useful — Steven Hail

Marianna Mazzucato (public goods/public investment), Stephanie Kelton (MMT) and Kate Raworth (ecological economics).

The Conversation
Don't look Up! has a surprising amount to tell us about economics, much of it useful
Steven Hail | Adjunct Associate Professor, Torrens University Australia

I Was Born Wealthy, And Know Rich People Don’t Work Harder Than You - Meghan Bell

I never saw exceptional “hard work” or “intelligence” among the members of the class I was born into. 


I was asked to write this essay to comment on the myth that wealthy people work harder than others and therefore have “earned” their immense incomes and fortunes. This is a world I’m very familiar with: my father is a CEO of a private corporation; I grew up in an upper-class neighbourhood in North Vancouver, and attended two different affluent high schools in West Vancouver. Last year, I wrote an essay for The Walrus titled “I’m Part of the 0.1 Percent and I Want a Wealth Tax.”


While it obviously doesn’t take a person born into wealth to point out that rich people don’t deserve their money, my aim here is to dissect this particular defence from the inside.


Passage


I Was Born Wealthy, And Know Rich People Don’t Work Harder Than You - Meghan Bell

Steppe on Fire: Kazakhstan’s Color Revolution — Pepe Escobar

Backgrounder.

The Vineyard of the Saker
Steppe on Fire: Kazakhstan’s Color Revolution
Pepe Escobar
http://thesaker.is/steppe-on-fire-kazakhstans-color-revolution/

See also

NEO
British Intelligence Intensifies its Struggle against Russia and China in Central Asia
Vladimir Odintsov
https://journal-neo.org/2022/01/06/british-intelligence-intensifies-its-struggle-against-russia-and-china-in-central-asia/

Moon of Alabama
The U.S. Directed Rebellion in Kazakhstan May Well Strengthen Russia
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/01/the-us-directed-rebellion-in-kazakhstan-may-well-strengthen-russia.html

Reminiscence of the Future
Pepe on Kazakhstan.
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues.
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/01/pepe-on-kazakhstan.html

Russia Observer
RUSSIAN FEDERATION SITREP 6 JANUARY 2022
Patrick Armstrong, retired analyst and diplomat (2008) serving in the Canadian Department of National Defence specializing in the USSR/Russia from 1984 and a Counsellor in the Canadian Embassy in Moscow in 1993-1996
http://patrickarmstrong.ca/2022/01/06/russian-federation-sitrep-6-january-2022/

TASS
Foreign spy agencies behind riots in Kazakhstan, Serbian president says
https://tass.com/world/1384475

Belarus’ security chief calls situation in Kazakhstan external hybrid aggression
https://tass.com/world/1384593

Middle East Eye
Kazakhstan: Turkey’s Erdogan expresses solidarity with leadership as protests continue
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/kazakhstan-turkey-erdogan-solidarity-protests-continue

Zero Hedge
Moscow Declares Kazakhstan Unrest "Foreign-Inspired Attempt" Of "Armed & Trained Groups" To Overthrow State
Tyler Durden
Moscow Declares Kazakhstan Unrest "Foreign-Inspired Attempt" Of "Armed & Trained Groups" To Overthrow State

Sputnik International
CSTO to Dispatch 2,500 Peacekeepers to Kazakhstan, Number Can Be Increased, Secretary-General Says
https://sputniknews.com/20220106/csto-to-dispatch-2500-peacekeepers-to-kazakhstan-number-can-be-increased-secretary-general-says-1092073012.html

Fed December Meeting Minutes — Brian Romanchuk

The minutes for the December 14-15 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting were released, and the apparent hawkishness has at least temporarily caused a tizzy in frothy risk markets. From my perspective, there was not a lot of surprises in there, but I do not put a whole lot of value on micro-Fed watching. No matter what they thought they will do in December 2021, what they will do in June 2022 depends upon the data released between now and then. This article has some probably obvious comments on the outlook, as well as some theoretical rants about the underlying framework....
Bond Economics
Fed December Meeting Minutes
Brian Romanchuk
http://www.bondeconomics.com/2022/01/fed-december-meeting-minutes.html

There is only one solution to the problem of Covid, and the state is at the heart of it — Richard Murphy

Summary. Take the scientific approach and fund the necessary to accomplish it with currency issuance rather than rely on developing "natural immunity" by letting the disease spread widely. 

Tax Research UK
There is only one solution to the problem of Covid, and the state is at the heart of it
Richard Murphy | Professor of Practice in International Political Economy at City University, London; Director of Tax Research UK; non-executive director of Cambridge Econometrics, and a member of the Progressive Economy Forum

Bill Mitchell — Bottom up reform in the EMU requires the abandonment of the Treaties

Regular readers will know that I have written a lot about the topic of European integration. My 2015 book – Eurozone Dystopia: Groupthink and Denial on a Grand Scale (published May 2015) – was a detailed study of the evolution of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) from the origins of the ‘European Project’, as peace came in the late 1940s. I have argued that the creation of the EMU, after several failed attempts in the 1960s and 1970s, was only possible because of the emergence of Monetarism in the academy and its related socio-political manifestations which we call, generally, neoliberalism or market liberalism. If France had not succumbed to the neoliberal myths and believed it could dominate the currency union with a ‘franc fort’ then its traditional rivalry with Germany would have continued to prevent the adoption of the common currency. What I have been arguing since the ECB introduced the Securities Market Program (in May 2010) is that despite the success by the EMU architects (Delors and his gang) in embedding neoliberal principles into the legal structure of the European Union and its institutions the reality has overtaken them and a dysfunctional dystopia is only maintained by the ECB and other institutions defying the ‘rules’ established. We are now starting to see other researchers take up that angle, which is progress....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Bottom up reform in the EMU requires the abandonment of the Treaties
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=48980

Fed moonwalk

 

Fed maybe already walking back the “hawkish” (to them) tone of their December minutes release with this new WSJ leak late yesterday here:




Stresses that the current state of the CCP virus pandemic has worsened considerably since the mid December meeting… which they have been consistently wary about in their comms…


More Fed hijinks

 

Not unfair from Liesman here:



This reminds me of the Fed REDUCING system reserve balances back in 2019 by 50b per month then all of a sudden out if left field just came out one day and said they stopped that…. So here they are today adding 100b per month (they were just in the Tsy market on Tuesday BUYING) then all of sudden they are talking about reversing that?…. In 2019 they were ready to under run their own 10% system RRR requirement and destroy the FF market and (unsuccessfully)  tried to stop that…. 

What is the problem now?

Maybe they think RRP will fail if they raise rates without reducing system reserve balances first?

Everyone will just take their USD savings and go into higher yielding short term USTs instead of RRP at the Fed?

$1.5T of Reserve Assets get instantaneously transferred into Depositories and creates another September 2008 and March 2020 style crash of the whole thing?

SCARY!!!!






Wednesday, January 5, 2022

Bill Mitchell — Australia is becoming an Orwellian dystopia

Nineteen Eighty-Four – was one of those essential reading books as one ventured into adult life.

It is starting to feel like that in modern Australia.….
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Australia is becoming an Orwellian dystopia
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=48950

How Oil & Gas Companies Can Profitably Create Carbon-Negative Energy | OilPrice.com

A major opportunity has emerged to generate reliable power while capturing and sequestering carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere and can be implemented on a global scale. This is now possible due to advances in four key technology areas that can be combined into one larger system. Fossil fuel power generation with carbon capture, direct air capture (DAC), energy storage, and renewable energy can be combined to provide reliable power to the electrical grid and generate substantial negative carbon emissions at the same time. In addition to scaling up renewable energy, this will help the oil and gas sector transition to and participate in a low-carbon economy. If implemented around the world, this approach could reduce carbon emissions by billions of tonnes per year, while creating major economic opportunities....
Oilprice
How Oil & Gas Companies Can Profitably Create Carbon-Negative Energy | OilPrice.com
Paul Stevers, Canadian engineer and inventor, and cleantech and social entrepreneur

China’s Excellent, Very Good Year: 2021 was China’s best year. Ever — Godfree Roberts

 Some impressive numbers in this summary of Godfree Roberts' China newsletter.

The Vineyard of the Saker
China’s Excellent, Very Good Year: 2021 was China’s best year. Ever.
Godfree Roberts

Fed considering reduction of USD system reserve balance

 

WSJ people were out reporting this yesterday…  how could inflationista morons complain about this?  “UNprinting money!”….  “Quantitative Tightening!”….

Maybe they just leave the policy rate alone for now and reduce USD system reserve balance to try to preserve any technical credibility… QTM/monetarist abstraction reification morons should applaud this… “less money!”…


Fed governor Christopher Waller, who last month described inflation as “alarmingly high,” said shrinking the asset portfolio faster would offer a way to tighten policy without requiring even more aggressive interest-rate increases. “I don’t see any reason to delay,” he added.

 




Optimistic look ahead to 2020


:p



Tuesday, January 4, 2022

Australia's Magical Balance of Payments — Philip Pilkington

Everything you wanted to know about Australia's external position.

Macrocosm
Australia's Magical Balance of Payments
Philip Pilkington
https://macrocosm.substack.com/p/australias-magical-balance-of-payments

Sputnik — UK, US Media Fear Russia May ‘Outsmart’ EU With New Gas Mega Pipeline to China

What happens when you don't think things through and ask, what could go wrong? What is wrong with these people? What did they think was going to happen.

Sputnik International
https://sputniknews.com/20220104/you-snooze-you-lose-uk-us-media-fear-russia-may-outsmart-eu-with-new-gas-mega-pipeline-to-china-1092014841.html

See also

TASS
Ukraine may have to siphon off Russian gas from transit pipelines - former Naftogaz chief
https://tass.com/economy/1383745

RT
‘Artificial Sun’ hits record temperature
https://www.rt.com/news/545120-china-sun-nuclear-energy

Counterpunch
Another Nuclear Fusion Folly: Billions Already Spent on ‘Energy Pipedream’
David Blackburn, chair of the Nuclear Free Local Authorities Steering Committee
https://www.counterpunch.org/2022/01/04/another-nuclear-fusion-folly-billions-already-spent-on-energy-pipedream/

Oilprice
China Slashes Fuel Export Quotas By 56%
Tsvetana Paraskova
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/China-Slashes-Fuel-Export-Quotas-By-56.html

Coal Price Set To Surge As Major Producer Indonesia Bans Exports
Irina Slav
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Coal/Coal-Price-Set-To-Surge-As-Major-Producer-Indonesia-Bans-Exports.html

Al Jazeera
US becomes world’s top LNG exporter for first time ever
Stephen Stapczynski and Sergio Chapa, Bloomberg
https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/1/4/us-becomes-worlds-top-lng-exporter-for-first-time-ever

Brazil Stocks Sink 12% in Year

 

Interest rate increases….






Monday, January 3, 2022

Schumpeter’s two theories of imperialism — Branko Milanovic

Imperialism as atavistic and imperialism as "normal capitalism"
Global Inequality
Schumpeter’s two theories of imperialism
Branko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/schumpeters-two-theories-of-imperialism

Bill Mitchell —The Japanese denial story – Part 2

Here is Part 2 of my analysis of the claim that Japan is not a good demonstration of what happens when macroeconomic policies are pushed beyond their usual limits. I have long argued that trying to apply a mainstream macroeconomics (New Keynesian) framework to the Japanese situation yields nonsensical predictions about rising interest rates, accelerating inflation, rising bond yields and government insolvency. Nothing like that scenario has emerged since Japan has introduced economic policies that ran counter to the mainstream consensus since the 1990s. Japan demonstrates key Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) principles and those that seek to deny that are really forced to invent a parallel-universe version of MMT to make their case. That version is meaningless. In Part 2, we extend that analysis to consider trade transactions, the fear of inflation, and the argument that the current generation are selfishly leaving their children higher tax burdens while we party on....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
The Japanese denial story – Part 2
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=48956

Why does the West think China wants global hegemony? — David P. Goldman

Projection.

China do not seek world hegemony since the Chinese are aware that their civilization is not exportable. It is uniquely Chinese.

In a sense, China’s strategic use of infrastructure, physical as well as digital, bespeaks a certain continuity from the Qin era. Massive investment in flood control, river transport and irrigation created China, and the export of Chinese infrastructure well may hard-wire a great deal of the world into China’s economy.

But China is indifferent to how we barbarians govern ourselves. Elsewhere Professor Wen has compared the character of the Chinese, a settled people for thousands of years, to that of Westerners, who (as he put it) only recently walked out of the jungle.…
Asia Times
Why does the West think China wants global hegemony?
David P. Goldman

 

Should some countries cease to exist? Globalization, migration & the fate of nations — Branko Milanovic

Convergence economics.

Global Inequality
Should some countries cease to exist? Globalization, migration & the fate of nations
Branko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Branko Milanovic
https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/should-some-countries-cease-to-exist


Democracy? Surely Not! — Peter Radford

Let’s stir things up for the New Year by continuing with one of my recent themes. A quote from an opinion piece in the NYT this morning [January 3rd]: “James Madison boasted that the Constitution achieved “the total exclusion of the people, in their collective capacity....

This post shows what MMT is up against as an institutionalist macroeconomic theory that is embedded in political economy, that is, the approach to economics as a policy science. As a policy science, MMT assumes a democratic use of government finance as a public good. The purpose of MMT as a policy science is to show the capacity and limits of economic policy beginning with legal institutions that are the outcome of governance. 

Since most practical discussions of MMT are in the context of Western nations this implies representative government that is billed as "democracy." Peter Radford argues that not only is it not democracy in the US and that this is so by design, as those responsible for the system of governance were well aware when they designed it.

Note, however, that Peter Radford is wrong in about debt monetization if he means monetary operations. Monetary operations do not affect fiscal, as "debt monetization" assumes. Monetary operations simply exchange securities and reserves without affecting the amount of non-government net financial assets in aggregate. That is, they do not have a fiscal effect. 

Monetary operations simply affect the amount of reserve balances for interbank settlement and influence the interest rate when the central bank is not setting the overnight rate ("the interest rate") by paying interest on excess reserves in the settlement system. There is a huge amount of confusion about this and those that understand MMT seem to be the only ones that get it right. 

Bank reserves are for settlement purposes and they are neither spent or lent into the economy the way many people erroneously think. Their effect on interest rates and bank lending is not as most people think either, including central bankers still under the influence of monetarism. 

In fact, from the MMT pov, central bank policy and operations often has an effect opposite to that which was intended, e.g, raising interest rates in response to inflationary pressure is a price rise that increases inflation unless the rate is jacked up so much that it stifles borrowing, contracting the economy, increasing unemployment and potentially leading to recession. Fine-tuning? Not.

While central bank independence is anti-democratic to be sure, it assumes that the central bank is in a position to command the economy, which is a wrong assumption of monetarism. The problem is with the institutional arrangements being anti-democratic. 

Moreover, monetary policy based on NAIRU, which assumes a natural rate of interest and a natural rate of unemployment, is also anti-democratic in that it seeks to reduce full employment to limit labor bargaining power, which is assumed to drive up wages and therefore prices. MMT economists have dealt with such issues in detail.

The Radford Free Press
Democracy? Surely Not!
Peter Radford
http://www.radfordfreepress.com/?p=3352


Joseph Schumpeter and the Economics of Imperialism — John E. King

The Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter believed that the triumph of socialism was inevitable, but he rejected the Marxist view of how capitalism works. His ideas are a stimulating challenge for those seeking an alternative to capitalism today....
Schumpeter was Austrian by birth and associated with members of what became the Austrian School as a student of Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk at the University of Vienna, but he did not identify himself with any school of economics and considered himself independent. Incidentally, Hyman Minsky was a student of Schumpeter and Randy Wray was a student of Minsky, so there is a link between the development of MMT and Schumpeter.

Jacobin
Joseph Schumpeter and the Economics of Imperialism
John E. King | professor emeritus at La Trobe University, Australia
https://jacobinmag.com/2022/01/joseph-schumpeter-economics-imperialism-marxism

For background on imperialism as policy, see also

It's short and a quick read. This is important to be aware of in light of the condition of the world system at this moment of the historical dialectic that is now unfolding precariously. Economics plays a key role in it, but economics alone does not provide a comprehensive account of imperialism as a historical phenomenon.

Theories of Imperialism
Vincent Ferraro | Ruth C. Lawson Professor of International Politics, Mount Holyoke College
https://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/pol116/imperial.htm

Modern Monetary Theory: Economics for the 21st Century - free course

New course coming up Feb 8-Mar 8. Free registration.

Modern Monetary Theory: Economics for the 21st Century

Demystify macroeconomic principles and terminology and discover how Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) provides explanations for some of the world's most troubling financial concerns.

https://www.edx.org/course/modern-monetary-theory-economics-for-the-21st-century

Sunday, January 2, 2022

China and Russia team up to establish joint moon base — Gabriel Honrada

Russia-China technology-sharing. The West's worst nightmare.

Asia Times
China and Russia team up to establish joint moon base
Gabriel Honrada
https://asiatimes.com/2022/01/china-and-russia-team-up-to-establish-joint-moon-base/

Bill Mitchell — The Japanese denial story – Part 1

Well, its 2022 already and we enter the 18th year of this blog. Regular readers will know that I have studied the Japanese economy in considerable detail over the course of my career and when it experienced one of the largest commercial asset price bubble busts in history in early 1992, the questions I was asking and the data I was looking out were important in framing the way I have done macroeconomics since. I consider Japan to be one of the nations that was early to embrace the madness of neoliberalism – credit binge, wild property speculation then crash – and the first nation to abandon it in favour of more responsible fiscal policy – which given the circumstances required on-going fiscal deficits exceeding 10 per cent of GDP at times. Its policy approach – including the relatively high deficits, the zero interest rate policy of the Bank of Japan, and then the massive bond-buying program by the same, became the target for various New Keynesian macroeconomists (including Krugman) to prophesise doom. Their textbook models predicted the worst – rising interest rates, accelerating inflation, rising bond yields and then government insolvency as bond markets bailed out and the currency plummetted. Nothing like that scenario emerged. Japan was playing out policies that ran counter to the mainstream consensus in the 1990s and beyond and I learned so much from understanding why things happened there as a consequence. This is Part 1 of a two-part discussion about why Japan demonstrates key MMT principles and how those who wish to deny that reality have to invent a parallel-universe version of MMT to make their case.…
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
The Japanese denial story – Part 1
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=48952

NASCAR walks back LGBcoin sponsorship approval


Hmmm… let’s see how this works out for NASCAR now… Trump thing still not operational....





Joe Rogan already has 8 million followers on GETTR

 

Let’s see how high this follower count goes….



Saturday, January 1, 2022

NFL star goes uncensored

 

Rumble promoting the “uncensored” aspect of  Rodger’s analysis of the current NFL covid policy…









Eviction ban rollback didn't result in 'vast wave' of filings, says Larry Summers

 

Fox Business editorially congruent with Larry Summers view on government policy of throwing people out of their housing during unprecedented COVID chaos…

And Summers has Biden’s ear on administration economic policy…

Prediction 2022: The left is going to have to increasingly go over to the Trump+ thing to get their views published…