An economics, investment, trading and policy blog with a focus on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). We seek the truth, avoid the mainstream and are virulently anti-neoliberalism.
Wednesday, January 12, 2022
After Kazakhstan, the color revolution era is over — Pepe Escobar
The Vineyard of the Saker
After Kazakhstan, the color revolution era is over
Pepe Escobar
Why Russia Fears NATO
Paul Robinson | Professor, Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Ottawa
What is modern monetary theory? — Jason van Tol
The Echo (Australia)
What is modern monetary theory?
Jason van Tol
https://www.echo.net.au/2021/12/what-is-modern-monetary-theory/
Bill Mitchell — Why are the progressive left mixing with the dark right on Covid?
It’s Wednesday and I have been digging a bit into what appears to be a growing coalition opposing lockdowns, mask wearing, vaccine rules, and vaccinations in general. The claims are that none of these things work and that the economy is better off without them. I am not writing today about these matters (I have in the past) but rather about the nature of these coalitions. One of the things that has held back progressive causes in the past is the tendency of social democratic type interests to adopt the mainstream macroeconomics, which not only limits what they can do but exposes them to accusations that the government will run out of money and cause inflation if they have ambitious programs. The pattern of progressive interests aligning with non-progressive voices is thus not new. I am seeing it again in the context of the public health debate, which, in part, explains why our world is in such a Covid-mess. It isn’t all bad today – there is some nice music to finish, being Wednesday....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Why are the progressive left mixing with the dark right on Covid?
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
Tuesday, January 11, 2022
A Few Inflation Topics — Brian Romanchuk
I have again turned my attention to my inflation primer. I have been filling missing bits, which does not translate into cohesive articles to post. This article just runs through a few topics on inflation. From a business cycle watcher perspective, a recent article by Jason Furman is probably the most pressing....Bond Economics
A Few Inflation Topics
Brian Romanchuk
http://www.bondeconomics.com/2022/01/a-few-inflation-topics.html
Hiilarious Peter Schiff flip flop on rates and inflation. What an idiot.
Fed’s Bostic: $1.5T of “excess liquidity!” could be “pulled!”
BOSTIC SAYS FED COULD EASILY PULL $1.5 TRILLION OF "EXCESS LIQUIDITY" FROM FINANCIAL SYSTEM, THEN WATCH MARKET REACTION FOR FURTHER BALANCE SHEET REDUCTIONS
— First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) January 11, 2022
BOSTIC SAYS MARCH "REASONABLE" FOR FIRST INCREASE; RUNOFF OF BALANCE SHEET SHOULD BEGIN "SOON AFTER"
Monday, January 10, 2022
Bill Mitchell — German threats of exit rely on the ignorance of others reinforced by Europhile progressives
I read a story in the German press – Der Euro auf dem Prüfstand (‘The euro on the test bench’, published January 7, 2022) – which reinforced my view that progressives who think the harsh austerity-bias of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) have vanished with the invocation of the ‘general escape clause’ within Article 126 of the Treaty of the Functioning of the European Union when the pandemic arrived are off the mark. And when the same commentators/thinkers welcomed the end of the Merkel era and the dawning of the new German government, their assessment reflected that they are trapped within the TINA to the euro thought process. Well, economists with influence in Germany certainly don’t think that and one of the bosses of the Kiel Instituts für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), which is a German research institute, has called for the topic of German exit from the EMU to be debated. He believes that this will put pressure on the other Member States (particularly the so-called “Achse Paris-Rom” (Paris-Rome axis) to abandon any thought of relaxing the economic and monetary rules and force the ECB to tighten monetary policy again. The iron gauntlet of ‘schwarze Null’ is still firmly gripping the European debate...Bill Mitchell – billy blog
German threats of exit rely on the ignorance of others reinforced by Europhile progressives
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
Pandemic Inflation: A Guide for Progressives — Andrés Bernal
A few weeks ago, I published a Working Paper to develop an alternative understanding and analysis of recent inflation pressures through the lens of Modern Monetary Theory. In it, I argue that conventional explanations of inflation remain ideologically compromised and constricted to an outdated social theory and framing. Consequently, public policy responses to recent price increases such as interest rate hikes and deficit reduction are antiquated, blunt-force tools that cause immense societal harm and simply don’t work. TL;DR the paper shows why Larry Summers and the gang are all wrong....Down With Tyranny
Pandemic Inflation: A Guide for Progressives
Andrés Bernal, Research Fellow at the Global Institute for Sustainable Prosperity, a Lecturer with City University of New York, and he's a Doctoral Student at The New School for Public Engagement
Links — 10 Jan 2022 PM
What War With Russia Would Look Like
Scott Ritter
https://consortiumnews.com/2022/01/10/what-war-with-russia-would-look-like/
Kazakhstan president says he'll provide proof of "attempted coup"
Dave Lawler
https://www.axios.com/kazakhstan-president-claims-coup-nazarbayev-6b662edc-1221-4948-862b-5263bb4dfb6e.html
U.S. and Russia exchange warnings after first round of security talks
Protesters call for action to prevent Bosnia sliding into war
Mersiha Gadzo
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/10/protesters-call-for-action-to-prevent-bosnia-sliding-into-war
AlterNet
Those in power kept us in the dark about an endless US bombardment — but now we finally have the data
Medea Benjamin
https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/677670026/0/alternet_all/
Why Would Americans Work for the Russians? The Curious Case of the Strategic Culture Foundation
Tim Kirby
https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2022/01/10/why-would-americans-work-for-russians-the-curious-case-of-strategic-culture-foundation/
Calculated Risk
Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up 75% Year-over-year
Bill McBride
Sen. Sanders: GOP Base Growing as Democratic Party Turns Its Back on the Working Class
Links — 10 Jan 2022 AM
Record High Lithium Prices Are Here To Stay
Kazakh Leader Says Order Restored: "Coup" Thwarted & 164 Killed - 8,000 Arrests
Tyler Durden
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/kazakh-leaders-says-order-restored-coup-thwarted-after-164-killed-8000-arrests
NATO Prepared For "New Armed Conflict In Europe" With Russia If Talks Fail
Foreign Militants From Afghanistan, Mideast Countries Took Part in Kazakhstan Riots, Tokayev Says
https://sputniknews.com/20220110/foreign-militants-from-afghanistan-mideast-countries-took-part-in-kazakhstan-riots-tokayev-says-1092159620.html
'Maidan Methods' Have Been Used in Kazakhstan, Putin Says, as Country Faced Threat to Its Statehood
‘Threat is Real’: Pakistan PM Khan Seeks Action Against Modi For Not Controlling Extremist Hindus
‘More revenge’ for US for killing Iranian general
Blinken says Russia aims to restore Soviet Union
Destructive forces, not popular protests posed danger to Kazakhstan, Putin emphasizes
https://tass.com/world/1385699
CGTN
https://tass.com/press-releases/1385705
https://tass.com/press-releases/1385587
CGTN: CMG blazes a trail with world's first 5G livestreaming studio on high-speed train
https://tass.com/press-releases/1385633
Bolsonaro Gave Brazil's Army New Powers. The Generals Won't Give Them Up Easily.
Andrew Fishman
RACE HATRED OF RUSSIA, THE BATTLE OF STALINGRAD AND THE AMERICAN WAR IN UKRAINE
John Helmer
http://johnhelmer.net/race-hatred-of-russia-the-battle-of-stalingrad-and-the-american-war-in-ukraine/
The Unassuming Economist
Clubs and Networks in Economics Reviewing
Prakash Loungani
AUKUS seen as violating rules on arms control
http://www.ecns.cn/news/2022-01-10/detail-ihauqxpy8106815.shtml
Armstrong Economics
Kazakhstan – NATO & The ECM into 2032
Review of The Deficit Myth — Kevin Grier
Independent Institute
Review of The Deficit Myth
Kevin Grier | Gordon Tullock Professor of Political Economy at the Free Market Institute and a professor of political science in the College of Arts & Sciences, Texas Tech University
Does MMT have an inflationary bias?
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University
Bill Mitchell — US labour market cannot be healthy with rising numbers of sick people
Last Friday (January 7, 2022), the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their latest labour market data – Employment Situation Summary – December 2021 – which reported a total payroll employment rise of only 199,000 jobs in December and a 0.3 points decline in the official unemployment rate to 3.9 per cent, while participation was unchanged at 61.9 per cent. While the US labour market is still creating work – it is doing so at a declining rate and there are unequal patterns across the industrial sectors. The US labour market is still 3,572 thousand jobs short from where it was at the end of February 2020, which helps to explain why there are no fundamental wage pressures emerging. Any analyst who is claiming the US economy is close to full employment hasn’t looked at the data. The failure to introduce a renewed fiscal stimulus will definitely leave the economy worse off, especially with the renewed virus onslaught from Omicron....Bill Mitchell – billy blog
US labour market cannot be healthy with rising numbers of sick people
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
Sunday, January 9, 2022
Links — 9 Jan 2022
Kazakhstan turns into graveyard for US diplomacy
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
Who “lost” Kazakhstan and to whom?
The Saker
Factual Evidence Discredits The Speculation That Turkey Destabilized Kazakhstan
The Hunter Connection? Kazakh Security Chief Arrested For Treason Was "Close Friends" With Bidens
Tyler Durden
Prof. Antony Davies: 10 myths about government debt
Good to see more people realizing the “myth!” of government debt and deficits….
:p
Florida resident tells 'woke' New Yorkers to head back north
Bifurcation…
“If you are one of those ‘woke’ people — leave Florida. You will be happier elsewhere, as will we,”
Florida resident tells 'woke' New Yorkers to head back north in scathing letter https://t.co/tz55ahNvlf pic.twitter.com/gL8T64rHrs
— New York Post (@nypost) January 6, 2022
Saturday, January 8, 2022
A Few More on Kazakhstan
Putin Stamps Out the Fire in Kazakhstan and Ukraine
Mysteries Of The Failed Rebellion In Kazakhstan
Overview of two days of siege in Kazakhstan
China Shows Its ‘Trump’ Card — Eamon McKinney
Strategic Culture Foundation
China Shows Its ‘Trump’ Card
Eamon McKinney
Donald Trumps' Truth Social Purportedly Ready for a February Launch
Trump reportedly has launch date established….. Styx breaks it down:
Kazakhstan Update
CSTO in Kazakhstan annoys US
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
The West’s tricky relationship with Kazakhstan gets more complicated
Kazakh Protests Show Pattern of West-Directed 'Color Revolution', Ex-Diplomat [Patrick Armstrong] Says
https://sputniknews.com/20220108/kazakh-protests-show-pattern-of-west-directed-color-revolution-ex-diplomat-says-1092107221.html
Fugitive Ex-Banker 'Sees Himself as Leader of Opposition' in Kazakhstan
Russia Believes Kazakhstan Civil Unrest Provoked By External Forces to Disrupt Security & Integrity
https://sputniknews.com/20220108/russia-believes-kazakhstan-civil-unrest-provoked-by-external-forces-to-disrupt-security--integrity-1092105067.html
’Coincidence?’ US, Foreign NGOs May Have Played Key Role in Social Unrest in Kazakhstan, Expert Says
https://sputniknews.com/20220107/coincidence-us-foreign-ngos-may-have-played-key-role-in-social-unrest-in-kazakhstan-expert-says-1092101738.html
CSTO Peacekeepers in Kazakhstan Not Involved in Combat
https://sputniknews.com/20220107/csto-peacekeepers-in-kazakhstan-not-involved-in-combat-1092099226.html
Note by Kazakhstan's Mission to UN: No Protests Can Justify Attacks, Killings of Police Officers
Kazakh Chaos on Cue Ahead of Crunch Russia-U.S. Security Negotiations
First Down And...
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues
The “deep state” as a tool for redistribution of income in favor of the rich — Branko Milanovic
Review of Mike Lofgren’s “The deep state”The point of the post is essentially, "follow the money."
In any case, the key players are what Ray McGovern calls the MICIMATT (Military-Industrial-Congressional-Intelligence-Media-Academia-Think-Tank complex) with the addition of Big Finance, Big Tech, Big Pharma, etc. This is the cohort that America is run for and that really runs America. It explains why nothing material changes regardless of who is elected, since it is not the elected government that actually rules.
Global Inequality
The “deep state” as a tool for redistribution of income in favor of the rich
Branko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Commentary on ""The power and poison of MMT"
Lars P. Syll’s Blog
The power and poison of MMT
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University
It's very interesting how wrong he gets it at the end " MMT proponents would advocate tax hikes as a way to manage aggregate demand and control inflation." No we would replace interest rate adjustments with a Job Guarantee, which would then control inflation. The Job Guarantee is the system stabilisation function in MMT. Once again we see an economist that doesn't like the idea of full employment and can't get their head around how MMT inflation control works - by setting the price of an hour of unskilled labour and letting other prices form relative to that. Apparently that is 'socialist', but artificially setting the price of money via a cabal of unelected wonks isn't.
https://mikenormaneconomics.blogspot.com/2022/01/the-power-and-poison-of-mmt-koichi.html?showComment=1641627961823#c4758006775857084494
Friday, January 7, 2022
The Power and Poison of MMT — Koichi Hamada
The rigid stances of Modern Monetary Theory’s devotees and detractors have not lent themselves to productive discussion. This is a serious loss for policymakers, because MMT includes both problematic propositions and perfectly reasonable – even highly useful – ones....Project Syndicate
The Power and Poison of MMT
Koichi Hamada, Professor Emeritus at Yale University, was a special adviser to former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/benefits-and-risks-of-modern-monetary-theory-build-back-better-act-by-koichi-hamada-2022-01
China’s Push to End Market Monopoly Targets Music Industry — Wu Peiyue
The new rule requires streaming platforms to end exclusive music licensing deals with artists and record labels....Sixth Tone
China’s Push to End Market Monopoly Targets Music Industry
https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1009395/China's Push to End Market Monopoly Targets Music Industry
China has seen a boom in all kinds of virtual houses, as domestic enthusiasts jump on the metaverse bandwagon....
Thursday, January 6, 2022
U.S. Ramps Up Battery Production With 13 New Gigafactor… — Alex Kimani
The energy transition is driving the next commodity supercycle, with immense prospects for technology manufacturers, energy traders, and investors. Indeed, new energy research provider BloombergNEF estimates that the global transition will require ~$173 trillion in energy supply and infrastructure investment over the next three decades, with renewable energy expected to provide 85% of our energy needs by 2050....Oilprice
U.S. Ramps Up Battery Production With 13 New Gigafactor…
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/US-Ramps-Up-Battery-Production-With-13-New-Gigafactories.html
Don't look Up! has a surprising amount to tell us about economics, much of it useful — Steven Hail
The Conversation
Don't look Up! has a surprising amount to tell us about economics, much of it useful
I Was Born Wealthy, And Know Rich People Don’t Work Harder Than You - Meghan Bell
I never saw exceptional “hard work” or “intelligence” among the members of the class I was born into.
I was asked to write this essay to comment on the myth that wealthy people work harder than others and therefore have “earned” their immense incomes and fortunes. This is a world I’m very familiar with: my father is a CEO of a private corporation; I grew up in an upper-class neighbourhood in North Vancouver, and attended two different affluent high schools in West Vancouver. Last year, I wrote an essay for The Walrus titled “I’m Part of the 0.1 Percent and I Want a Wealth Tax.”
While it obviously doesn’t take a person born into wealth to point out that rich people don’t deserve their money, my aim here is to dissect this particular defence from the inside.
Passage
I Was Born Wealthy, And Know Rich People Don’t Work Harder Than You - Meghan Bell
Steppe on Fire: Kazakhstan’s Color Revolution — Pepe Escobar
The Vineyard of the Saker
Steppe on Fire: Kazakhstan’s Color Revolution
Pepe Escobar
http://thesaker.is/steppe-on-fire-kazakhstans-color-revolution/
British Intelligence Intensifies its Struggle against Russia and China in Central Asia
Vladimir Odintsov
The U.S. Directed Rebellion in Kazakhstan May Well Strengthen Russia
Pepe on Kazakhstan.
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues.
RUSSIAN FEDERATION SITREP 6 JANUARY 2022
Patrick Armstrong, retired analyst and diplomat (2008) serving in the Canadian Department of National Defence specializing in the USSR/Russia from 1984 and a Counsellor in the Canadian Embassy in Moscow in 1993-1996
Foreign spy agencies behind riots in Kazakhstan, Serbian president says
https://tass.com/world/1384475
Belarus’ security chief calls situation in Kazakhstan external hybrid aggression
Kazakhstan: Turkey’s Erdogan expresses solidarity with leadership as protests continue
Moscow Declares Kazakhstan Unrest "Foreign-Inspired Attempt" Of "Armed & Trained Groups" To Overthrow State
Tyler Durden
CSTO to Dispatch 2,500 Peacekeepers to Kazakhstan, Number Can Be Increased, Secretary-General Says
Fed December Meeting Minutes — Brian Romanchuk
The minutes for the December 14-15 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting were released, and the apparent hawkishness has at least temporarily caused a tizzy in frothy risk markets. From my perspective, there was not a lot of surprises in there, but I do not put a whole lot of value on micro-Fed watching. No matter what they thought they will do in December 2021, what they will do in June 2022 depends upon the data released between now and then. This article has some probably obvious comments on the outlook, as well as some theoretical rants about the underlying framework....Bond Economics
Fed December Meeting Minutes
Brian Romanchuk
http://www.bondeconomics.com/2022/01/fed-december-meeting-minutes.html
There is only one solution to the problem of Covid, and the state is at the heart of it — Richard Murphy
Tax Research UK
There is only one solution to the problem of Covid, and the state is at the heart of it
Richard Murphy | Professor of Practice in International Political Economy at City University, London; Director of Tax Research UK; non-executive director of Cambridge Econometrics, and a member of the Progressive Economy Forum