Nate Silver all but calls it for Romney.
Read it at The New York Times — FiveThirtyEight
National Polls Suggest Romney Is Overwhelming Favorite for G.O.P. Nomination
By Nate Silver
Now the question is who Wall Street will choose as its champion?
Whoever Wins in November Will Be an Economic Genius
by Keven Drum at Mother Jones
Eventually the American economy will recover no matter how badly we screw things up. Ezra Klein explains what this could mean:
"Because a recovery is likely within five years, whichever party wins the White House in 2012 is likely to get the credit, and so too will its policy agenda. You can see how this will work. If Romney wins the presidency and the economy begins to rebound, Republicans will argue, and America’s experience will seem to show, that they were right all along: The stimulus was useless and the regulatory uncertainty the Obama administration created with its health-care plan and its talk of cap-and-trade and all the rest kept businesses from investing."The nightmare scenario would be four more years of Reaganonomics heavily influenced by the Tea Party base toward fiscal austerity, privatization, and Rothbardian Libertarianism.