From the Daily Treasury Statement, Total Withdrawals (this includes everything: SS, Medicare, Medicaid, Defense, Interest on the debt...EVERYTHING!) now down $433 bln versus the same time last year. That's about 3-percent of GDP. In other words a SUBTRACTION of 3-percent from GDP. A lot of other things must be good to offset this. Personal Consumption, Business Investment and Net Exports all need to post strong gains to keep GDP positive!
*Chart covers period from Mar 2011 through Apr 9, 2012