Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Peter Lavelle — 5 Questions for Peter Lavelle on Brexit

The Brexit questions and answers that main stream media will never tackle.
Peter Lavelle provides an alternate view.

The Duran
5 Questions for Peter Lavelle on Brexit
Peter Lavelle
Lavelle received a B.A. in International Economic Relations, an M.A. in European history, and completed Ph.D. courses in Studies in European Economic History from the University of California, Davis. He was a Fulbright Research Fellow at the Institute of Political Studies of the Polish Academy of Sciences in Warsaw, Poland.[7] He has been living in Eastern Europe and Russia for over 25 years while working as a lecturer at the University of Warsaw, a market researcher for Colgate-Palmolive, and an investment analyst for brokerage firms, including Russia's Alfa-Bank. Wikipedia

12 comments:

Ryan Harris said...

Maybe it will inspire our separatists to have a referendum on a Texit.

Matthew Franko said...

"The political establishment in the UK and Europe (and Washington) are now in a state panic. "

The nominee of one of only two political parties in the US has said it was a great outcome...

Tom Hickey said...

"The political establishment in the UK and Europe (and Washington) are now in a state panic. "

The nominee of one of only two political parties in the US has said it was a great outcome...


Trump is regarded by most of the GOP establishment as an interloper and an enemy. If the GOP establishment can do anything to prevent his nomination, they will, and a revolt is increasingly likely as HRC pulls ahead in the national polling.

Bob said...

George Will has left the Republican Party. Just thought you should know.

Tom Hickey said...

For months I have been saying mostly good things in this blog about Trump’s powers of persuasion, and mostly bad things about how the Clinton campaign does persuasion. And yet Clinton has a solid lead in the polls, assuming the polls are accurate. How can that be?

The quick answer is that Clinton’s side is totally winning the persuasion battle.

Confused?

Clinton’s side includes more than her campaign team. It also includes pundits, supporters on social media, and the liberal-leaning parts of the mainstream media. While the Clinton campaign itself has been notably weak with its persuasion game, the folks on her side have been viciously effective at branding Trump a crazy racist.

Nothing else in this election matters.…



Scott Adams, Persuasion Update: Clinton Vs. TrumpPersuasion Update: Clinton Vs. Trump

Matt Franko said...

Those polls are all phony Tom.... Check the "Prediction Markets" on Brexit....

Tom Hickey said...

Those polls are all phony Tom.... Check the "Prediction Markets" on Brexit

Prediction markets are often wrong a ways out, but as the time frame narrows they tend to get more accurate.

Polls can fail when people don't report what they actually think and feel. Pollsters try to filter that out but not always successfully.

But overall, they are indicative, even though there are upsets.

However, in the US owing to the way voting is configured the final result comes down to a few swing counties in close elections.

It's too early to tell at a this point how close this election is going to be.

Tom Hickey said...

BTW, the "crazy racist" meme could skew the polling if it catches on. A lot of people might not be willing to 'fess up to voting for Trump out of political correctness. Most Trump supporters don't seem too concerned with political correctness, but it could conceal swing voters.

Malmo's Ghost said...

The only poll that matters is the one in November. No way Clinton is up by 12 points either. That's MSM BS. Shit even NBC has it as a statistical tie, and it's MSM Central.

At any rate there's an eternity before the election. Wait till the debates and the conventions have played themselves out---and I predict Trump will annihilate Clinton in the debates.. And odds are in this election year that Trump will have an easier go of it than the Leave voters did in the UK.

I've said it before (like way back last summer before all the clueless elites and beltways morons caught to the Trump wave), it's going to be a landslide for Trump. Watch.

"Most Trump supporters don't seem too concerned with political correctness, but it could conceal swing voters"

It's called the silent majority, Tom. And I'm certain Trump will tamp down the BS "crazy racist" meme when it's all said and done.

Tom Hickey said...

And I'm certain Trump will tamp down the BS "crazy racist" meme when it's all said and done.

The Dem strategy is clear. Either Trump denounces racism or owns it. They will back him into a corner on it because it's a key issue with a significant portion of his base and if he denounces racism he is denouncing them. If he doesn't denounce it loudly and clearly, the Dems and the media also will make him own it.

It's going to be tricky.

Trump can distract by counter-offensive, of course, and HRC has a lot of baggage to attack.

It's going to get messy.

Malmo's Ghost said...

Tom, there's so much at stake here. It needs to get messy--argument wise, that is.

Screw the safe spaces mentality too. Politics is a blood sport. Messy is political theater at its absolute best.

lastgreek said...

Why all the fuss about the polls? They had it as s very close race -- a toss-up.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/uk-european-union-referendum (June 23, 2016)