Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Edward Harrison — All politics are local: understanding Trump’s threats and misunderstanding Merkel’s disappointment

Conclusion: Merkel and Trump are playing to domestic audiences. We shouldn’t exaggerate the impact their words will have on policy. Moreover, we now have two pragmatists in office in France and Germany. Emmanuel Macron showed his own pragmatism yesterday by inviting Vladimir Putin as the first foreign leader to receive as President in France. I expect Germany to show pragmatism by continuing to work with the US on a wide range of issues including security and intelligence. And I certainly don’t expect a trade war. The Germans are playing the long game, knowing that US Presidents come and go and that Europe is still very much dependent on good relations with the US irrespective of who is in the White House.
Credit Writedowns
All politics are local: understanding Trump’s threats and misunderstanding Merkel’s disappointment
Edward Harrison

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