Thursday, June 4, 2020

"Conflict Will Continue To Intensify" - Ray Dalio


In my view, the root of the problem is in the socio-economic system loosely called "capitalism" and it cannot be overcome without a redesign of the system, which is not actual democracy but rather plutocratic oligarchy.

If "capitalism" is defined as a socio-economic system (not merely an economic system) that favors "capital" (property ownership), with "land" folded into capital, over the other factors, namely, "labor" and "natural resources," based on the priority of "capital" for "growth," then social, political and economic asymmetry increases as a function of institutional arrangements. Social asymmetry manifests as class interest; political asymmetry manifests as power of an elite class, and economic asymmetry manifests as distribution skewed toward the top. This is just the natural outcome of operations based on the model.

As far as the manifestation of the problem goes, the underlying factors are poverty, asymmetric distribution, institutional corruption, lack of education and inferior education, and moral decay. Also involved are elite factionalism, elite-populist conflict, and social and political divisiveness. All this has come together at the time of a pandemic, which has created conditions for the outbreak.

None of this is a day in the making. These are long standing problems, as Ray Dalio points out. Failure to address the salient issues successfully has left the entire system vulnerable. Now the cracks are appearing.

The solution is reordering priorities to put emphasis on "labor" (people) and "natural resources" (environment) to make ecology superior to growth on the principle, don't shit in the nest. Then it may be possible to achieve actual democracy as governance of, by and for the people rather than for the "lucky" ones by birth and those that "worked hard to get where they are and what they have all by themselves."

The first step would be to replace the "market state" with a "welfare state" (as in "common good" and "general welfare") in which governance is oriented toward public purpose. It's a change in mindset.

4 comments:

Andrew Anderson said...

The solution is reordering priorities to put emphasis on "labor" (people)

Except the solution has always been an emphasis on justice (including ethical finance) since automation is eliminating the need for labor.

Peter Pan said...

No no no, just keep on with business as usual, it shall all work out.

Malthusians never learn...

/sarcasm off

Matt Franko said...

If Dalio says this then the thing is probably over... the guy has been as cold as ice...

Matt Franko said...

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/ray-dalio-adam-levinson-hedge-funds-posted-record-losses-march-2020-4-1029101598