Showing posts with label floating rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label floating rates. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Dirk Ehnts — Goodhart on pegged exchange rates

One wishes that the creators of the euro would have read this text-book before the creation of the euro. The TARGET2 system has worked properly, but as mentioned by Goodhart “such financing of itself does nothing to correct the imbalance caused by a divergence between the pegged and the ‘equilibrium’ exchange rate”. The imbalance bothers not because it has to be financed – TARGET2 takes care of that – but because employment is low in those areas where the ‘equilibrium’ exchange rate is not correct.
econoblog 101
Goodhart on pegged exchange rates
Dirk Ehnts | Berlin School for Economics and Law

Dean Baker — Correction to Mankiw: Economists actually agree, just because you call something “free trade” doesn’t make it free trade

In principle we could get back to full employment with large government budget deficits, but that is not going to happen for political reasons. Aggressive use of work sharing leading to shorter workweeks can also move us toward full employment, but this is also not something we are likely to see any time soon.
This means that if we want to get back to full employment, we have to reduce our $500 billion (@ 3 percent of GDP) trade deficit. (This is the intro econ on which all economists agree. It can even be found in Mankiw’s textbook.) Reducing the trade deficit means taking steps to lower the value of the dollar against other currencies. These trade agreements would be the obvious place to have currency rules. If we don’t address the currency issue here, where exactly are we going to do it?
Real-World Economics Review
Correction to Mankiw: Economists actually agree, just because you call something “free trade” doesn’t make it free trade
Dean Baker

Monday, January 19, 2015

Bill Mitchell — SNB decision tells us that the crisis is entering a new phase

Switzerland – home of the secret bank vaults, which house treasures stolen from people (particularly the Jewish victims) by the Nazis during WW2 and ill-gotten cash by capitalists who wish to evade scrutiny of prudential and tax authorities of their domiciled nations. Now it is the canary, which has just sung to tell us that all the hubris about Eurozone recovery cannot cover up the reality that the crisis is not yet over and requires root and branch reform to the policy ideology that exposes the floored design of the monetary union. The – Decision – last week (January 15, 2015) by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to both break the peg of the Swiss franc to the euro and cut its interest rate on sight deposits to -0.75 per cent signals the surrender by that nation to the reality surrounding its borders. The interest rate decision was required after it decided to scrap the exchange rate peg, given that it didn’t want a credit crunch killing the domestic economy. The appreciation of the exchange rate, which has been held artificially low by the peg, will already undermine domestic spending. The SNB said its decision as reversing its previous “exceptional and temporary measure”, which “protected the Swiss economy from serious harm” as the exchange rate became overvalued. But the decision itself was rather extraordinary given it was seemingly so surprising for most and central bankers are meant to be cautious types. 
But the decision has a logic that is easily understood by those who are not trapped within the Euro Troika narrative.…
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
SNB decision tells us that the crisis is entering a new phaseBill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at the Charles Darwin University, Northern Territory, Australia

Thursday, May 15, 2014

Marshall Auerback — The ECB Agrees With France: The Euro Is Too High


When neo-mercantilism is the model, then currency devaluation bestows competitive advantage in trade, and currency appreciation undercuts exports upsetting the business plan.
Focusing on the euro, ECB President Draghi pointed to large capital outflows out of Russia of about $160bn. Some of this may have gone into euro denominated investment, increasing unwanted upward pressure on the currency.
Macrobits by Marshall Auerback
The ECB Agrees With France: The Euro Is Too High
Marshall Auerback

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Neil Wilson — UK borrowed foreign currency from IMF in 1976

What is amusing is that using fixed exchange rate thinking with floating rate currency areas is still the problem today.
3spoken
UK borrowed foreign currency from IMF in 1976
Neil Wilson

Saturday, January 5, 2013

Neil Wilson — More support for MMT's external sector analysis

One of the points that comes out of MMT's floating rate analysis is that when export-led nations and import-led nations trade with each other there is a tendency for the export-led central banks to accumulate net-savings in the import-led government sectors. This is due to liquidity action and intervention by the export-led nations in support of their exporters....
3spoken
More support for MMT's external sector analysis
Neil Wilson