Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Cancel your subscriptions to Time Magazine
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
An economics, investment, trading and policy blog with a focus on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). We seek the truth, avoid the mainstream and are virulently anti-neoliberalism.
After a too-short hiatus, fear-mongering about the debt is back in a big way. TIME magazine is so worried that they’ve taken it upon themselves to not only put out an entire series to remind people that they must still fear the debt boogeyman, but have also allowed the headline story to center on long-debunked ramblings about the glories of the gold standard. There is so much wrong in the headline story that it would take a treatise to correct, but let’s just focus on a couple of easy things.…Economic Policy Institute
There's a new group out there opposing Janet Yellen's nomination as Fed Chief because they say she's an "inflationist."
These guys don't give up.
Check out the video that this group made and in particular, the idiotic comments by Jim Grant, who keeps saying the same things over and over and over and has never been right in his life.
And there's this by James G. Rickards, anotehr gold blug, hard money, debt doomsday, inflationista who says that Bernanke and his "helicopter money" well, that was nothing. The REAL helicopter money is coming with Yellen.
They just don't give up.
Jim Grant is a big doofus. I see him walking down Wall Street nearly every day, passing my office, looking every bit the part of Big Bird from Sesame Street, only with a scowl. And to think I used to like this guy! But that was before I met Warren Mosler and discovered MMT.
For those of you who don't know, Grant is publisher of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, which is the out-of-paradigm, hard-money-advocating, pompously-written rag sheet that he's been putting out for ages.
Like all of these Austrian clowns, Grant's in demand with the media. That's probably why he showed up on Tom Keene's radio show on Bloomberg the other day, where he droned on like some lunatic conspiracy theorist, hurling his usual ignorant attacks at the Fed and central banks in general. From Grant's mouth came such enlightened statements as "central banks were confusing the 'black art' of central planning (what isn't centrally planned these days, anyway?) with the traditional art of central banking" (Huh??) and other such nonsense.
But his best line was this:
"The Fed owns the stock market."
I kid you not. That's what he said...the Fed OWNS the stock market.
Oh really? Well, here is a screenshot of the Fed's most recent statement. Can anyone show me where you see stocks, equities, S&P futures or anything even remotely stock related on "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances?"
Now don't get me wrong. I fully understand what Grant is alluding to. He means that the Fed's "manipulation of interest rates" (yeah, that's what the Fed does, Jimmy) could be an effort to get to get people to put money into the stock market on the hopes that higher stock prices feed through to higher confidence, more spending and investment, rising employment, etc.
That may or may not work, but one thing is crystal clear...there is no direct channel to the stock market from lower interest rates. None. Granted, some might argue lower rates make stocks more attractive from a valuation standpoint (all else being equal) and that might be enough of a reason to get some people to buy (and others to sell), but there is no direct channel from interest rates to higher stock prices. If you don't believe me, check out Japan. Interest rates there have been zero for the better part of 20 years and stocks haven't done anything. Even worse, they've gone down.
What, then, is Jim Grant talking about and why is Tom Keene according him so much reverence? (Keene seems positively smitten by Grant.)
As usual, I don't have a clue. Chalk it up to nothing more than mainstream media support for a crazy belief system that is based on fantasy over fact.