Showing posts with label money neutrality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label money neutrality. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Lars P. Syll — On the non-neutrality of money

One of Keynes’s central tenets — in clear contradistinction to the beliefs of mainstream economists — is that there is no strong automatic tendency for economies to move toward full employment levels in monetary economies.
Money doesn’t matter in mainstream macroeconomic models. That’s true. But in the real world in which we happen to live, money does certainly matter. Money is not neutral and money matters in both the short run and the long run....
"New Keynesianism" isn't Keynesian. It is bastard Keynesianism if it is Keynesian at all. Paul Krugman self-identifies as "neoclassical," in accepting neutrality of money, banks as only intermediaries, equilibrium, and rational maximization. So do many if not most other Democratic Party economics heavyweights and advisors. Time for them to step aside and make room for the new wave. We don't have time to wait for funerals.

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
On the non-neutrality of money
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Thursday, January 3, 2019

Dirk Ehnts — Minsky in 1993 on the Non-Neutrality of Money

I have read an article from Hyman Minsky which is only 6 pages long but contains some major arguments of his thought. There are also some very nice quotes to take out of the text. The article was published in the FRBNY Quarterly Review issue of spring 1992 on pages 77-82. Minsky attacks equilibrium economics:
econoblog 101
Minsky in 1993 on the Non-Neutrality of Money
Dirk Ehnts | Lecturer at Bard College Berlin

Friday, February 16, 2018

Merijn Knibbe — Modern macro-economists: money is not ‘neutral’. Bordo, Meissner, Sufi and Mian do a good job.

Hardcore neoclassical economist John Taylor has edited a new handbook of macro-economics. The good news: the sands are shifting. After 2008, more attention has been paid to the obvious fact that we’re living in a monetary world. Guess what: it turns out that money is non-neutral after all. Two examples (summaries below):
(A) Bordo and Meissner claim that whenever a country has a large banking sector it has a choice, during a financial crisis. It can bail out the banks or it can try to mitigate the crisis and prevent unemployment to increase to extreme levels.
And (B): Mian and Sufi’s work implicates that the ‘representative consumer’ is bogus: differences between renters and house owners in combination with data on indebtedness and house price booms and busts explain a lot of the severity of the 2008 crisis....
Real-World Economics Review Blog
Modern macro-economists: money is not ‘neutral’. Bordo, Meissner, Sufi and Mian do a good job.
Merijn Knibbe

"Countries can have two of the following three choices: a large financial sector, fiscal bailouts devoted to financial crises, and discretionary fiscal policy aimed at raising demand during the recessions induced by financial crises."

This does not specify the monetary regime assumed and, furthermore, it assumes a government that is not sovereign in its currency.

A currency sovereign has the option of allowing a large and lightly regulated financial sector, bailing out the financial sector in financial crises, and also supporting the economy with stimulus when contraction threats owing to lagging demand. 

The second study is based on the wealth effect. This is hardly controversial since the Fed admitted using it in its approach to stemming the financial crisis.

See also

The first axiom of neoclassical economics: methodological individualism
Christian Arnsperger and Yanis Varoufakis

The second axiom of neoclassical economics: methodological instrumentalism

The third axiom of neoclassical economics: methodological equilibration

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Brian Romanchuk — Primer: Money Neutrality


Short simple summary of the meaning of "money neutrality." 

Money neutrality is a key piece of conventional (neoclassical) economics. Keynes rejected money neutrality in a modern monetary production economy. Money neutrality is also foundational to monetarism based on the quantity theory of money.

Bond Economics
Primer: Money Neutrality
Brian Romanchuk

Tuesday, January 3, 2017

Bill Mitchell — Mainstream macroeconomics in a state of ‘intellectual regress’

At the heart of economic policy making, particularly central bank forecasting are so-called Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models of the economy, which are a blight on the world and are the most evolved form of the nonsense that economics students are exposed to in their undergraduate studies. Paul Romer recently published an article on his blog (September 14, 2016) – The Trouble With Macroeconomics – which received a fair amount of attention in the media, given that it represented a rather scathing, and at times, personalised (he ‘names names’) attack on the mainstream of my profession. Paul Romer describes mainstream macroeconomics as being in a state of “intellectual regress” for “three decades” culminating in the latest fad of New Keynesian models where the DSGE framework present a chimera of authority. His attack on mainstream macroeconomics is worth considering and linking with other evidence that the dominant approach in macroeconomics is essentially a fraud.…
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Mainstream macroeconomics in a state of ‘intellectual regress’
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Merijn Knibbe — Cecchetti and Kharroubi on the non-neutrality of money

Is money ‘neutral’? Is it just a veil over ‘real’ transactions? Or does it affect the level and composition of ‘real’ expenditure? Stephen Cecchetti and Enisse Kharroubi recently published an article which in a very net way shows that money is non-neutral (as it is closely related to credit). It’s not a veil. It’s part of the essence of our economy. The abstract:….
Real-World Economics Review Blog
Cecchetti and Kharroubi on the non-neutrality of money
Merijn Knibbe

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Lars P. Syll — On the non-neutrality of money – Keynes v. Krugman


Important Keynes quote.

Krugman posits that the two assumptions that underlie conventional economics are maximization and equilibrium. Long run macro equilibrium (full employment) assumes money neutrality, that is, that money is a veil over barter, hence, money can be ignored as a factor in macroeconomic analysis.

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
On the non-neutrality of money
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Thursday, April 23, 2015

Lars P. Syll — Money is NOT neutral in the long run


Keynes contra Krugman, in which Keynes defines what he means by a monetary economy.

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Money is NOT neutral in the long run
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Friday, December 12, 2014

JW Mason — Minsky on the Non-Neutrality of Money

I try not to spend too much time criticizing orthodox economics. I think that heterodox people who spend all their energy pointing out the shortcomings and contradictions of the mainstream are, in a sense, making the same mistake as the ones who spend all their energy trying to make their ideas acceptable to the mainstream. We should focus on building up our positive knowledge of social reality, and let the profession fend for itself. 
That said, like almost everyone in the world of heterodoxy I do end up writing a lot, and often obstreperously, about what is wrong with the economics profession. To which you can fairly respond: OK, but where is the alternative economics you're proposing instead? 
The honest answer is, it doesn't exist. There are many heterodox economics, including a large contingent of Post Keynesians, but Post Keynesianism is not a coherent alternative research program. [1] Still, there are lots of promising pieces, which might someday be assembled into a coherent program. One of these is labeled "Minsky". [2] Unfortunately, while Minsky is certainly known to a broader audience than most economists associated with heterodoxy, it's mainly only for the financial fragility hypothesis, which I would argue is not central to his contribution. 
I recently read a short piece he wrote in 1993, towards the end of his career, that gives an excellent overview of his approach. It's what I'd recommend -- along with the overview of his work by Perry Mehrling that I mentioned in the earlier post, and also the overview by Pollin and Dymski -- as a starting point for anyone interested in his work.… 
For me, the fundamental points here are (1) That our overarching vision of capitalist economies needs to be a system of "units" (including firms, governments, etc.) linked by current money payments and commitments to future money payments, not a set of agents exchanging goods; and (2) that the critical influence of liquidity comes in the terms on which long-lived commitments to particular forms of production trade off against current income.
This post is about what "capitalism" actually is based on how it works in a monetary production economy. How it works is the result of addressing key issues that the conventional approach to economics ignores by assuming the neutrality of money. Money is not neutral for very specific reasons that JW suggests need to be explored — and Minsky realized this. In doing so, he suggested how to set economics on a fresh course based on tried and trusty principle, Follow the money.

From the POV of following the money, money and banking, and finance are essential components of the study of economics, and accounting is as important or more so than econometric modeling. This being the case, law and government are also heavily involved in understanding the construction of economics systems based on the wider social and political context.

Probably the most important takeaway from JW's recent posts is his focus on the need to be asking the right questions in order to arrive at the right answers. The first step in design and engineering is figuring out what the problem actually is. Instead, economists have tended to assume that the purpose of economics is to provide explanations. The problem here is that events can have many explanations. But when dealing with a system that has variable effects depending on the construction of the system and the variable inputs, the question is about how the system works to do what it is capable of doing.

The conventional view of economists about their subject is similar to theoretical physics, whose object is "pure science," which consists mostly in constructing mathematical models. Evaluating those models based on outcome is left to experimental physicists, and then the result are passed along to applied physicists, who are called engineers. Conventional economics has tended to emphasize the theoretical, ignore the experimental, and leave the applied to a separate discipline, management science, that doesn't rely on very much on economic theory.

As Thomas Aquinas observed at the outset of De ente et essentia, paraphrasing Aristotele, "A small mistake at the beginning becomes a great one by the end.

The Slack Wire
Minsky on the Non-Neutrality of Money
JW Mason | Assistant Professor of Economics, John Jay College, City University of New York

Monday, September 22, 2014

Lars P. Syll — Keynes vs. Wicksell on loanable funds theory

"The fundamental difference between Keynes and Wicksell and in general the supporters of the LFT [Loanable Funds Theory] lies in the specification of the consequences of the presence of bank money.…
In contrast, Keynes states that the spread of a fiat money such as bank money changes the structure of the economic system. He underscores this point by introducing the distinction between a real exchange economy and a monetary economy.…
Keynes notes that the classical economists formulated an explanation of how the real-exchange economy works, convinced that this explanation could be easily applied to a monetary economy. He believed that this conviction was unfounded …" — Giancarlo Bertocco
Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Keynes vs. Wicksell on loanable funds theory
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Paul Davidson — What is Post Keynesian Economics?


Paul Davidson summarizes PKE.

PKE rejects ergodicity, gross substitutability, and money neutrality.

Lars P. Syll's Blog
What is Post Keynesian Economics?
Paul Davidson in International Encyclopedia of Social Sciences