Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Does Capitalism Have a PR Problem? — Erika Fry


Still clueless. Caught in the bubble and out of touch.
“For every one positive article about capitalism, there are 11 negative ones,” said Nathan Rosenberg, founding partner of Insigniam, a management consulting firm. “CEOs should seize their job. Capitalism has created more elevation of [the] human condition than any religion or government ever has. We don’t tell our story. We don’t talk about the benefits. We have to get out and tell our story.”...
Fortune
Does Capitalism Have a PR Problem?
Erika Fry

Zero Hedge — Trump's Feud With China Is A Carbon Copy Of Reagan's Trade War With Japan: Is A New Plaza Accord Imminent?


No way this is comparable to Japan. It amounts to adding apples and oranges. The differences outweigh the similarities. 

China is not Japan, just as Iran is not Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, or Libya. There's a big difference in opening a can of worms and opening Pandora's box.

The result so far has been to drive China and Russia closer together, which is a strategic nightmare for the US since this is the only existential military threat the US faces. That was a strategic blunder that Henry Kissinger had warned Trump against.

Zero Hedge
Trump's Feud With China Is A Carbon Copy Of Reagan's Trade War With Japan: Is A New Plaza Accord Imminent?
Tyler Durden

Bill Mitchell — Seize the Means of Production of Currency – Part 2

Last week, Thomas Fazi and I had a response to a recent British attack on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) published in The Tribune magazine (June 5, 2019) – For MMT. The article were were responding to – Against MMT – written by a former Labour Party advisor. In – Part 1 – we considered how the MMT critique was not really about MMT at all. We provided a more accurate summary of what MMT is and what it is not. In this second Part we consider the way the former advisor’s article misrepresented MMT authors on issues such as taxes, inflation and democracy. Not that this three-part series is not just a point-by-point response to the attack on MMT noted above. In part, that article was not really about MMT but some concoction the author created to make his argument easier to sustain.

In – Seize the Means of Production of Currency – Part 1 (June 11, 2019) – we provided a coherent summary of what MMT is rather than what the critics claim it is.
It is impossible to tell whether their misrepresentations are deliberate to set up the ‘straw person’, a product of ignorance and lack of research, or plain stupidity – or a combination of all three.
In Part 1, we got up to the question of taxes. And so we resume …
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Seize the Means of Production of Currency – Part 2
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Sputnik International — Expert on Huawei: US Hopes to Maintain Its Monopoly in IT Field, but This Attitude Is Short-Sighted


The elephant in the room now is that the tech market is global and the rising demand is in non-Western emerging economies, where price point can be determinative. Huawei is succeeding because it can produce highly competitive products not so much because they are superior technologically but because they are adequate and less expensive than the competition. Apple has chosen to position itself as a luxury product and so it is not chiefly threatened. But the bulk of tech market is price-sensitive and will go with the lowest price products that adequate rather than products that are either "optimal" or "bling."

LINUX is a open source operating system based on a Unix-like kernel that is already available. Steve Jobs built OS X on a descendant of Berkeley Software Distribution (BSD) that was based on Research UNIX. It's not like Huawei with its enormous resources would have to pioneer something entirely innovative to be competitive. It would even be possible to develop an Android alternative.

What about chips, you say. Well, it's not like the budding Russian-Chinese alliance can't or won't develop a competing chip industry. No doubt this has already been in the works for some time, since both Russia and China know their tech vulnerabilities.

Google knows that and is concerned enough to lobby the Trump administration against attempting to isolate Huawei and by implication other Chinese technology companies. Google is using an argument based on national security in this regard, but but the subtext is that trying to use anti-competitive policy against China is likely instead to increase the threat of Chinese competition by forcing China to become self-sufficient and independent of the West, just as US sanctions have forced Russia to adopt import substitution.

It doesn't look like POTUS has sufficiently thought this through, especially knowing that China is a long hauler whereas Wall Street is quarter to quarter.

What happened to the public economy in economics? — June Sekera


Important. Demonstrates the need for a return to political economy" to right the balance, which has swung too far in the direction of economic liberalism.

The problem is that the assumptions on which economic liberalism is based are ideological and not empirical, seeming to contradict what actually happens institutionally especially in democratic societies regarding "public goods." Economic liberalism assumes that public goods are only needed as a result of "market failure," so the solution is not to provide public goods but rather to correct the underlying market failure by allowing "free market" to work it magic through liberating natural "market forces" from government interference.

"Socialism" as managed fiscal policy is the target. Neoliberalism want to limit the role of government in economics to monetary policy set by a politically independent central bank. For neoliberals the government's fiscal position should be dictated by "expansionary fiscal austerity" and "sound money," instead of the fiscal stance targeting welfare and distributed prosperity, e.g., through a full employment policy and the provision of public goods by using the power of the government as currency issuer as needed. Thus the preference for rules and the rejection of discretion as interference.

Real-World Economics Review Blog
What happened to the public economy in economics?
June Sekera

Political Calculations — California's "Staggering" Homeless Count


Putting some numbers on it.

Political Calculations
California's "Staggering" Homeless Count


Cyberwar


Cyberwar — it's on. But still low grade.

Sputnik International
Most Cyber Attacks in 2018 Came from US, Chinese Report Warns

Sputnik International
Bolton Says US Engaging in Offensive Cyber Ops to Show Russia, Others 'Price' of Interference

Sputnik International
US-China Trade War Only Part of Larger Global Conflict – Cyber Security Analyst

RT
‘They will pay a price’: Bolton says US has expanded ‘offensive cyber operations’ against Russia

Sputnik International — Chinese Flotilla Sails Between Okinawan Islands of Japan - Reports

Two can play that game.

Cold War on. US military-industrial complex elated.

Sputnik International
Chinese Flotilla Sails Between Okinawan Islands of Japan - Reports

Southfront — Huawei In Discussions To Install Rostelecom’s Aurora OS On Its Devices: Media

Chinese tech giant Huawei is allegedly in discussions with Russia to implement the Russian Aurora operation system (OS) on its devices, the Bell reported on June 10th.
Southfront
Huawei In Discussions To Install Rostelecom’s Aurora OS On Its Devices: Media

See also

Hopefully, all this will lead to more competition in the field of operating systems down the line. Once the Chinese, Russians and Indians gear up it is going to be a new game. And we are beginning to see that.
Huawei's OS, which remains Android-compatible, is reportedly based on a lightweight microkernel which "can react quickly to adjustments and batches," with engineers creating the system after closely studying both Android and Apple's iOS, its nearest competitor. Presently, the pair of operating systems account for nearly 100 percent of current smartphone operating systems.

Last week, a company source toldGlobal Times that the new OS, named 'HongMeng' OS in China and 'Oak OS' for the overseas clients, would likely launch by the third quarter of 2019, and definitely no later than next spring.
Sputnik International
Huawei Predicted Trump's Tech Crunch Years in Advance, Building Own OS in Secret - Report

See also
Russia has offered Huawei to consider an option of using a Russian software ecosystem at various devices of the Chinese corporation, a source familiar of details of the meeting between Russian Telecom Minister Konstantin Noskov and Deputy Chairman of Huawei Board Guo Ping told TASS on Tuesday.
Further to the domestic Aurora Operating System (OS), social media, search engine and antiviruses were also discussed, according to the source.
"Aurora was not the only item for discussion. An ecosystem of Russian software was offered to Huawei at large: social media, search engine, antiviruses, and so on," the source said.
TASS
Russia offers software ecosystem for smartphones to Huawei — source



‘In Gold We Trust’: Waning confidence in US sends world’s central banks on buying spree — Darius Shahtahmasebi


I think this is partly correct. Probably more significant is the weaponizing of the USD in the economic aspect of hybrid warfare that the US is now carrying out against a number of countries a
d sending a message that "you are either with us or against us" (ht G. W. Bush). Wars run two ways.

Historically, gold has been the most secure reserve asset — the ultimate in safety, if one can protect one's gold holdings. Powerful nations are betting that they can do do in the event of loss of trust in the USD as "fair coin."

RT
‘In Gold We Trust’: Waning confidence in US sends world’s central banks on buying spree
Tyler Durden

Not just government buying.

Zero Hedge
Indian Gold Demand Surged In April And May
Tyler Durden

Moon of Alabama — Cuban Doctors Provide Healthcare To Those In Need-The U.S. Wants To Stop Them

The Trump administration likes the steps Bolsonaro took. It wants to starve Cuba of access to hard currencies that the body leasing of doctors provides. It is also one of the reasons why it targets Venezuela:
Around 50,000 Cuban health professionals work in 66 countries worldwide, although around half of those work in Venezuela, with an additional 11,456 in Brazil.
The Cuban doctors in Brazil are gone and the U.S. is pressing for those in Venezuela to leave. Trump's National Security Advisor John Bolton falsely claims that the Cuban doctors in Venezuela are military personal that should leave the country. The Cuban Revolutionary Armed Forces have in total only 39,000 regular troops. To suggest that more than half of them are in Venezuela, even though none are ever seen there, borders on lunacy.
The Trump administration is looking for additional ways to destroy Cuba's doctor leasing program:
Why would the US want to do this? Because the leasing of Cuban doctors, who were trained for free in Cuba, earns Cuba hard currency. This is a piece of the economic war.

Moon of Alabama
Cuban Doctors Provide Healthcare To Those In Need - The U.S. Wants To Stop Them

Another reason to know where money comes from — Peter May


Good pro-MMT article from Peter May contra the neoliberal left.

Take-away:
So I agree that distribution of power is important but I do think that knowing exactly where money comes can be mighty helpful in torpedoing that actual power, by better exposing its bogus ‘justification’.
That is why I imagine many consider MMT to be progressive; not because its understandings are inherently so in themselves. But simply because, in order to avoid a fair and logical left of centre conclusion, you have to lie about your intentions.
MMT helps to draw attention to the John Maynard Keynes dictum that, for a nation, it is wrong to say ‘we cannot spend more than we earn’. By contrast, as a nation ‘we cannot earn more than we spend’....
I have also criticized MMT for not addressing the power issue as key to political economy. But this criticism is quite different from that of the neoliberal left, including "neoliberal Marxists." A dominant position on this side is that the wealthy should be taxed both to "pay for" increased spending on welfare and also to redistribute wealth more equally. MMT denies the first is applicable, since it is based on a conflation of a currency issuer with users of the currency. At least some MMT economists agree with the second point, which is not inconsistent with MMT. However, it is a political issue. The MMT economists (in the US anyway) have made strategic choices about how to approach this.

The way economic science is now conceived in conventional thought, power lies beyond the scope of economics other than insofar as it involves economic power, aka "market power," and government intervention in "natural" economic processes, which it is assumed, will lead to optimal results if these forces are allowed to work "naturally."

My point is that from the systems POV economics deals with the material life-support system of a society as a larger social system. The society as social system, being overarching, is the whole in this case. The social system is an integral whole in which the social, political and economic factors cannot be disentangled without oversimplification in the sense of leaving out relevant matters. 

Presently, the unit in the global system is the nation state and only nation states are sovereign issuers of currency is the MMT sense based on institutional analysis and description. MMT institutional analysis reveals this in the chartalist assumption that the state is the key institution involved in the creation of "modern money." The currency issuer therefore bears responsibility for the entire range of outcomes that follow from use of currency sovereignty as a policy instrument. Excessively skewed distribution cannot occur absent the participation of the state as currency sovereign.

Progressive Pulse
Another reason to know where money comes from
Peter May

How NeoCon Billionaire Paul Singer Is Driving the Outsourcing of US Tech Jobs to Israel — Whitney Webb


These are not the low-skilled jobs outsourced to China and soon to be transferred to Vietnam, Indonesia, etc., as wages rise in China and China becomes a pariah in the US owing to the media campaign. Add to that DJT's twist on immigration to expand HB-1 visas by offering a path to citizenship, basically poaching on other countries.

Mint Press News
How NeoCon Billionaire Paul Singer Is Driving the Outsourcing of US Tech Jobs to Israel
Whitney Webb

Labour's fiscal credibility rule isn't neoliberal–whatever MMTers say — Simon Wren-Lewis


Simon Wren-Lewis's response to Bill Mitchell proves Bill's point. I can't wait to see Bill's smackdown, if he bothers to respond. I don't have the time to waste. SWL is out of his league here.

SWL doesn't get that the conventional approach is neoliberal. Reiterating it and saying it is not neoliberal doesn't cut it. I have little hope that SWL or the rest of the left neoliberals will ever get it. They will have to be replaced.
Simon Wren-Lewis | Emeritus Professor of Economics, Oxford University

See also

Olivier Blanchard shows his neoliberal colors.

Market Watch
Greg Robb

How Americans Are Losers In The US-China Trade War

Not any of the parts that go into iPhones are made in China, they are all sourced from countries within the western system, Japan, Korea, and also the USA (as well as Taiwan). The phones are only assembled in China for a few dollars each, and so the import tariffs will hurt the U.S. more than they do China, it says in this video.

It says under the video that it is sponsored by the Singaporean government, but Americans are interviewed who say the tariffs will hurt their business.

Everything is so interconnected now.





M. K. Bhadrakumar — SCO summit: Inflection point for Indian diplomacy

When India applied for SCO membership or when observers like myself felt elated when India was finally admitted into the grouping in 2017, no one could have foreseen that the grouping held such potential in the very near term itself as a platform for the reset of regional politics — in particular, the India-Pakistan-China triangle.
New possibilities are opening up for Indian diplomacy at the two-day summit meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) at Bishkek on June 13-14....
India Punchline
SCO summit: Inflection point for Indian diplomacy
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

More Myth


From Bill's dialectic latest Tom links to down-thread; more myth introduced here as if on cue:


MMT not only threatens vested neoliberal interests in politics but also challenges the hegemony of mainstream macroeconomists who have been able to dominate the policy debate for decades using a series of linked myths about how the fiat monetary system operates and the capacities of currency-issuing governments within such a system. MMT exposes these myths.

What he appears to be doing is instead of using literal language to try to correct these UK Labor morons, he is introducing more of the figurative i.e. describing the reification error as instead a complex system of Myths/Mythology.

Trying to simply re-designate what are pretty serious reification errors being made by these Labor morons as a "series of myths!"... like that is going to correct the situation...

Employing more of the figurative to try to correct somebody not understanding the figurative doesn't work.

Then he has to throw in the obligatory MMT figurative "point on a scoreboard!" analogy of course:

Saying otherwise is as stupid as saying that a football game has to stop 3 minutes into the second-half because the scoreboard has run out of points to post!

Which hasn't worked for 20 years and won't work here either...

He will not be successful in correcting these people; though I guess that may not be his goal.. in any case those people are not going to be corrected by any of this...






China's evolving "toolkit" for Monetary Policy


More figurative language "toolkit" here from Bloomberg journos... not good...





Alex Tiffin - Mike Pompeo Threatens To Intervene In British Democracy To Stop Corbyn Becoming Prime Minister

The 'Russian meddling' in the U.S. presidential election was said to be an act of War, U.S politicians said, but Pompeo says he will stop Jeremy Corbyn from being elected prime minister. Apparently, the mainstream media has not picked up on this hypocrisy.

The off the record meeting was from when The Secretary for State met Jewish leaders to discuss Donald Trump’s proposed Peace Deal between Palestine and Israel.
Apart from appearing un-optimistic about the Peace Deal, he found time to comment on UK politics. When asked by an attendee;
if Corbyn “is elected, would you be willing to work with us to take on actions if life becomes very difficult for Jews in the U.K.?”
Pompeo gives a very clear response. Considering the allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 Presidential elections, the irony here is inescapable. The top US diplomat told those in attendance;
“It could be that Mr. Corbyn manages to run the gantlet and get elected. It’s possible. You should know, we won’t wait for him to do those things to begin to push back. We will do our level best,
“It’s too risky and too important and too hard once it’s already happened.”
This response received a voracious round of applause from those in the meeting.
These remarks raise serious questions about US interference in UK Politics. It has been alleged by many, that Russia played a part in the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the European Union (EU). Now a top US official wants to influence a General Election or perhaps have Corbyn removed as Labour Party leader.
Medium

Cramer: Trump sees China’s Xi as more of a friend than US Fed chief Powell, whom he actually appointed

Trump talks all aggression one moment, and then gets all friendly the next. But one thing for sure, he doesn't like the Fed chief.

President Donald Trump sees Chinese President Xi Jinpingas more of a friend than the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Monday.

Among Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Powell and Xi, Cramer said Trump suggests, by his words, that he believes “Powell is probably the worst for the country” and “Powell is not a friend.”
Trump on CNBC on Monday criticized the Fed for raising interest rates too quickly, calling the four hikes last year “very, very disruptive.”

On Monday, the president also told CNBC that said Xi is “actually an incredible guy ” and they have “a great relationship,” despite the ongoing trade war between Washington and Beijing.

CNBN

Monday, June 10, 2019

Disruption in the World of Trade — C. P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh

World trade is in deceleration mode.
Real-World Economics Review Blog
Disruption in the World of Trade
C. P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh
This article was originally published in the Business Line on June 3, 2019

Bill Mitchell — Seize the Means of Production of Currency – Part 1

Last week, Thomas Fazi and I had a response to a recent British attack on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) published in The Tribune magazine (June 5, 2019) – For MMT. The article were were responding to – Against MMT – written by a former British Labour Party advisor, was not really about MMT at all, as you will see. Instead, it appeared to be an attempt to defend the Labour Party’s Fiscal Credibility Rule, that has been criticised for being a neoliberal concoction. Whenever, progressives use neoliberal frames, language or concepts, it turns out badly for them. In effect, there were two quite separate topics that needed to be discussed: (a) the misrepresentation of MMT; and (b) the issues pertaining to British Labour Party policy proposals. And, the Tribune only allowed 3,000 words, which made it difficult to cover the two topics in any depth. In this three-part series, you can read a longer version of our reply to the ‘Against MMT’ article, and, criticisms from the elements on the Left, generally, who think it is a smart tactic to talk like neoliberals and express fear of global capital markets. I split the parts up into more or less (but not quite) three equal chunks and will publish the remaining parts over the rest of this week....
Give up the framing, cede the argument.

Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Seize the Means of Production of Currency – Part 1
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

PEPE ESCOBAR: The Unipolar Moment is Over

The most important is a bombshell: a commitment to develop bilateral trade and cross-border payments using the ruble and the yuan, bypassing the U.S. dollar.
This implies that the USD will play no role in Eurasian integration.

Consortium News
PEPE ESCOBAR: The Unipolar Moment is Over
Pepe Escobar

Revealed: Americans care more about social needs than deficits — John Duda

A recent poll from the Democracy Collaborative and YouGov reveals that most Americans are ready to spend more for social needs, even if it raises the deficit. 
The debate around modern monetary theory (“MMT”) is picking up steam – with its partisans pushing the model further into the public sphere than one might expect, and the old guard of establishment economics, together with some more interesting critical voices, pushing back.
The questions at stake can make the average person’s head spin: can a government with sovereign control over its currency create money at will to meet social needs, or would this create out of control inflationary spirals? Does tax income precede government spending, or does spending create the money that’s then taxed back to tweak the distribution of incomes and rein in inflation?
To most Americans, this is all probably a bit opaque and abstract – the inner workings of our money supply and its deep connections to the banking sector are, after all, as Bill Greider memorably put it, “the secrets of the temple.” But when we look at the core issue, we find that more Americans than not agree with the basic political judgement that MMT tries to justify theoretically – namely, that deficits shouldn’t matter if social needs are not being met....

Michael Hamilton - Julian Assange moved to hospital wing of Belmarsh prison after losing dangerous amount of weight

I've read many times now how Julian Assange is in a state of total panic and can't calm down at all. In this article it says that Jillian Assange can't even eat properly and has become gravely ill.

Just imagine if Julian Assange had been a Putin critic and was being treated like this in Russia? Imagine the outcry in the media? Imagine what our politicians would be saying?

When under extreme stress the front cortex can become disconnected from the amydala, a primitive part of the brain which controls our emotions and fear. When this becomes disconnected, its fear response goes to maximum and sufferers may developed severe anxiety, depression, and generalized anxiety disorder.

Trauma and prolonged stress can cause this disconnection, and for many people this may have occurred during their childhood. Fortunately, it can reconnected when the stress is removed, or when the trauma gets processed, and then the person heals. But there is another way to heal this disconnection which a number of pioneering  doctors and scientists are researching right now, which may be a lot faster than psychotherapy, and a lot simpler to administer. More on this in another post.

'NEAR TO COLLAPSE'

And a prison source said: “Assange is unwell generally but has recently been struggling to eat which has made it worse.
“He looked near to collapse, gaunt and frail so they have got him in as a precaution.
“He will be looked after in the healthcare wing and given supplements and plenty of liquid if he is struggling with food.
“Some staff feared he was on hunger strike although that is not the case.
“Some of his health problems seem to stem from being cooped up in the embassy for so long.

'STATE OF MIND NOT GREAT'

“And his state of mind is not great, either.”
The hospital move comes after footage of Assange, 47 – looking pale and emaciated – was leaked by a con said to be a supporter.
It showed him wearing a blue prison-issue sweater and jeans in an untidy single cell. A fellow inmate points out that half-eaten food is lying around.

Peter Grubber - Conservatives Are Scared

Mike Grubber says conservatives are scared as their world is changing too fast for them when they prefer the security of tradition. He says conservatives are not the bad guys as liberals tend to believe, and should show more compassion towards them. He goes on to describe an America which is fast becoming liberal, where the young are relaxed about identity politics and multiculturalism, more open to leftist politics, and are very concerned about the environment. Religion is also less important to them.

Although Peter Grubber says he neither a liberal or a conservative, but something in between, and yet his article is a devastating read for conservatives as the US is indeed changing very fast.

He says conservatives are naturally more fearful than liberals because they are less open to new experiences, other cultures, and change. But if you look around the internet the research shows that conservatives may be happier as they have stronger family ties, while their traditions also give them security. But liberals tend worry more about the environment, poverty around the world, and what's been put in their food by the corporations, etc, (although many on the right are concerned about GMO's too).

I have many lovely conservative neighbours who I am much friends with, but I have never spoken about politics with them. I think they see the British Conservative Party as the party of British tradition, law and order, King and country, authority, and honour - the good guys who defend us from the criminals, anarchy (that's the Labour Party), and our enemies. But I see the whole thing in reverse.

I’ll repeat myself: These folks are scared. Think about what that means.

They value traditional ways, preserving the past/what’s working (for them). Study after study after study show conservatives lean negative. They do not like “new” no matter how much better that “new” promises. Particularly if that “new” upsets what has been.

Conservatives may not admit it or feel it consciously, but they tend to live in fear, worry and insecurity. They follow authority, which makes them easy to lead and organize. That’s one reason why the Republican Party is so great at political messaging.

So given all this, why aren’t progressives more compassionate towards conservative Americans? Why don’t they understand conservatives face a future threatening everything they hold dear?

For god’s sake. Look at the world today! It is changing before our eyes in ways not seen since the early industrial revolution. In conservatives’ view, those changes are not improvements.

Our changing world confronts everything they value. It’s been happening for a long time. But the changes have gained steam. Conservative leaders were wary of these threats long ago. They’ve been trying to stem the tide ever since.

They’ve succeed in small ways. In modern day: Trickle Down Economics, Citizen’s United, current Supreme Court appointments, and Trump’s White House win are signs of that.

Given these wins, you’d think conservatives would be feeling better. But these successes can’t assuage the long-term fear that they’re still losing.

Which they are.

Medium


BOJ Has Enough 'Ammunition'


More figurative language... no different from what the MMT people are doing all the time...

Kuroda Says BOJ Has Enough Ammunition, Wary of Side Effects:
Asked if the BOJ still has the capacity to do "something big," Kuroda said: "I think so.” He cited four policy options: cutting the -0.1% negative rate further, lowering the target for 10-year yields, increasing the monetary base or boosting asset purchases.




Sunday, June 9, 2019

Dylan Matthews - Modern Monetary Theory, explained

A very detailed walkthrough of the big new left economic idea.


An excellent article on MMT by Dylan Mathews although doesn't think MMT will ever be fully implemented as some of its proposals are very radical. Well, we've got this far so let's see. 

Dylan Mathews says how the Republicans will deficit spend to give tax cuts to the rich and to spend on the military blowing the budget, and then the Democrats get in and always balance the budget again. This means that when the Republicans eventually get back in they can start the whole cycle over again giving money away to their class, but MMT shows that the budget doesn't have to be balanced and so the Democrats can refuse to play ball messing up the Republicans game. 

When the economy slows the job guarantee can give people a job, but as the market picks up employers can hire people from the job guarantee program who will be on a minimum wage of $15 an hour and this would counter wage rise inflation. 

This is outside the MMT remit, but could this be a start to a modern society where we are not slaves to our work, and where wouldn't lose our homes, healthcare, our children's schooling, if we gave up work for a while. We could go to university, or retrain, or just have much needed rest and recuperate? Capitalists love the discipline of the market to enslave their workers and drive them into the ground like cattle. 

I saw a brand new van today with a company logo on it with three pet services advertised on the side, one of which was dog walking. It's said to be a good thriving business around here, and I saw a woman the other day being dragged about with about 5 dogs on leashes. Are people so overloaded now that they don't have time to walk their dogs anymore?

Here's a snippet of this very informative article. 

Game theorists have known for decades that one of the best ways to generate cooperative behavior in a prisoner’s dilemma-type game is a tit-for-tat strategy: If your opponent cooperated last time, you cooperate, and if they defected last time, you defect.
Democrats have effectively been offering to cooperate and pay for all their budget proposals, or even entertain (as under Obama) and enact (as under Clinton) big bipartisan balanced budget deals — even as Republicans repeatedly defect and show no interest in paying for anything. The rational move in such a game is to start defecting yourself, and declare that you’re not going to pay for anything either.
So even if you want to generate balanced budgets in the future, Democratic deficit spending might be a way to get Republicans more on board with that going forward. And MMT just strengthens Democrats’ bargaining position in this regard, as it lets them send a credible signal that they don’t even think it’s a good idea to pay for everything.
Vox 

Saturday, June 8, 2019

Dan McCurry - Why Labour shouldn’t rule out Modern Monetary Theory

This one is brief but gets quite technical.

Simon Wren-Lewis proposed that the state create money but if inflation builds then taxation should be used to reduced the amount of money in circulation. I think this is faulty because it is using a tool at the circulation stage rather than the creation stage, which seems difficult to control and will have a very long lag. The existing tool of interest rates is proven effective at influencing whether people borrow or save, which is the moment that money is created.
If government decided to print £4bn of money to build roads, then the Bank of England would calculate how much this would add to inflation and would adjust interest rates accordingly. In effect, this is an indirect form of taxation: those with large debts would pay a little more in interest rates, while government gets £4bn that it doesn’t have to pay back.
Labour List

Chris Williams - The economic virtuous circle at the centre of MMT

Labour’s shadow economic secretary to the Treasury stated, earlier this week, that Labour doesn’t support Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). CHRIS WILLIAMSON asks why not


I still don't think MMT is explained very well, and to say that the government can never run out of dollars because it can print more just doesn't wash with the public. My brother thought it sounded like nonsense until I told him that society gears up to earn the new money by producing more goods and services, and so the money is matched by more products and hence doesn't cause inflation. It gets an underperforming economy running more efficiently, I told him. 'So it's a stimulus' he said to me? 'You've got it' I replied. 

After years of TINA, it's going to take a while to get the public on-board, but it will be fun, as they realise how they were conned by the right all these years.

I watched a video the other day where an academic was criticising MMT, saying that governments can't borrow their way into prosperity anymore than the public can by being maxed out on credit cards. Was this guy really an academic, or was be just sprouting nonsense propaganda, i.e. more TINA, which the public have bought.

There's borrowing and there's borrowing? If a government goes into deficit to create tax cuts for the wealthy who then spend it on share buy-backs, yachts, and mansions, the stimulus will be low, but if it is spent on public investment, like science, infrastructure, and better education and healthcare, it increases prosperity. It's investment.

What business was ever started, or expanded, without borrowing money, not many? What house was ever bought without a loan? And many people have borrowed money to buy a second property to rent out and have made a fortune. 

Another article I read was how the Chinese government was investing billions into science and technology and so China was leaping into the future, but in the West we leave it to the private sector, which prefers stock buy-backs and asset stripping instead. 

Earlier this week Jonathan Reynolds, Labour’s shadow economic secretary to the Treasury, set out what he said were the reasons “why Labour doesn’t support Modern Monetary Theory” (MMT). But Jonathan’s analysis is flawed, and although he might not support MMT, increasing numbers of grassroots Labour Party members do.
In a piece he wrote for Labour List earlier this week, he incorrectly suggested that people like me think: “…countries with a sovereign currency (such as our Pound Sterling) can print as much money as they like to meet spending commitments, without any adverse consequences occurring, because the central bank can always print more money.”
But that isn’t what I am saying at all, and I haven’t come across anyone else who supports MMT saying that either. MMT merely recognises that governments can use their sovereign currencies to pay for anything they want to do. Not by simply “printing money,” but by investing to utilise any spare capacity in the economy that is available for sale in that currency, including unemployed and under-employed workers.
By harnessing public spending in that way, it would avoid the inflationary pressures that are created when spending outstrips the capacity of the economy to absorb it.
Put simply, MMT would free an incoming Labour administration from the unnecessary economic shackles that have bedevilled previous Labour governments and it would help to facilitate Labour’s progressive programme.I
The Morning Star