Showing posts with label India. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India. Show all posts

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Indian Express — Explained: Why India has said no to regional trade pact RCEP

India believes that the RCEP trade deal doesn't provide adequate protection against possible surges of imported goods. In particular, India is concerned about cheap Chinese goods flooding the domestic market. 
The Indian Express
Explained: Why India has said no to regional trade pact RCEP


Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Pepe Escobar — The RCEP train left the station, and India, behind

The barely disguised secret is that India’s economy, as the historical record shows, is inherently protectionist. There’s no way a possible removal of agricultural tariffs protecting farmers would not provoke a social cataclysm....
The Vineyard of the Saker
The RCEP train left the station, and India, behind
Pepe Escobar

Thursday, September 5, 2019

Welcome to the Indo-Russia maritime Silk Road — Pepe Escobar

As energy or trade corridors, the fact is both Chennai-Vladivostok and Belt and Road spell out Eurasia integration. India in this particular case will profit from Russian resources traveling all the way from the Arctic and the Russian Far East, while Russia will profit from more Indian energy companies investing in the Russian Far East.
The fine-print details of the Russia-China “comprehensive strategic partnership” as well as Russia’s push for Greater Eurasia were also discussed at length in Vladivostok. A crucial factor is that as well as China, Russia and India have made sure their trade and economic relationship with Iran – a key node of the ongoing, complex Eurasian integration project – remains.
Poking Uncle Sam in the eye. How will he react?
Most of all, Russia and India reaffirmed an essential commitment since BRICS was set up over a decade ago. They will continue to “promote a system of mutual transactions in national currencies,” bypassing the US dollar.
One can easily imagine how this will go down among Washington sectors bent on luring India into the Trump administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy, which is a de facto China containment mechanism.
Asia Times
Welcome to the Indo-Russia maritime Silk Road
Pepe Escobar

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

China Goes Generic! — Dean Baker


Must-read. It's short.

Not only does this have a potentially huge impact on Big Pharma, but it is also China poking the US in the eye in retaliation for it regards as humiliation. So it is also "saving face."

Perhaps the largest and longest lasting impact of the trade war that is already occurring is the change in attitude of Chinese consumers about American products. The Chinese are very nationalistic and patriotic. They are also ethnically proud and justifiably so based on being able to boast of the longest functioning culture on earth that is still going strong.

Insulting the China, which means the Chinese people, is a bad idea in a lot of ways, not the least owning to economic reasons. China has not only the largest market but also the fastest growing middle class of large developed countries. And there is a long way to go, even though China has the largest economy based on PPP. Loosing its initial foothold that market would/will be difficult for the US to deal with. This is, of course, especially true if Chimerica decouples, as the China hawks wish.

Worst of all, President Trump recently labeled President Xi an "enemy." The Chinese will understand "Xi" here as identical with "China," and that the US regards China as an enemy. This was a really, really dumb move that is impossible to reverse without kowtowing, which, of course, the American president would never do. It goes far beyond a strategic blunder. It changes the entire game.

At this point, it's "locked and loaded," and it is turning into more than a war of words. It didn't need to go this way.

Beat the Press
China Goes Generic!
Dean Baker | Co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C

Friday, July 12, 2019

US pours oil into fire in Gulf, mum’s the word for India — M. K. Bhadrakumar


M. K. Bhadrakumar seriously faults the Modi government for a strategic blunder of unprecedented proportion for India.

India Punchline
US pours oil into fire in Gulf, mum’s the word for India
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

If innovators can solve India's problems, they can save the world. Here's why. — Nikhil Malhotra

India is a country of contrasts. It is home to a $160 billion tech services industry, while also buffeted by environmental and social challenges - and this makes it fertile ground for globally scalable, tech-driven solutions....
World Economic Forum
If innovators can solve India's problems, they can save the world. Here's why.
Nikhil Malhotra

Monday, June 17, 2019

Modi wades into Eurasianism — M. K. Bhadrakumar

If international diplomacy indulges in symbolism, this must be one of the most poignant ones in world politics in the recent times. The RIC has always been a red rag for the US — ever since the great Soviet strategic thinker and Kremlin statesman Yevgeny Maksimovich Primakov first proposed the tantalising idea in 1999. The profound symbolism cannot be lost on Trump that India is consorting with the two “revisionist powers” on the planet (Russia and China) which, according to the US, are each working its way toward making a power grab on the world stage....
Russia, India and China jointly control the "world island" (Halford Mackinder), the home of 80% of the world's population. An RIC alliance would dominate the world economy, with the US as an outlier relegated to dominating only the Western Hemisphere and having to contend with RIC incursion into Latin America.

India Punchline
Modi wades into Eurasianism
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

See also

India may trade places with US to ship items to China — Kirtika Suneja


NEW DELHI: India has identified 151 products that it can export to China instead of the US and benefit from the price advantage thrown up by the retaliatory higher duties slapped by the Xi Jinping government on US products amid the intensifying trade war between the two countries.

These include diesel engines, X-ray tubes, antibiotics, copper ores, granite, xylene, inverter and ketones, said people with knowledge of the matter....

Economic Times (India)
India may trade places with US to ship items to China
Kirtika Suneja

Thursday, June 13, 2019

China Seeks Indian and Russian Backing for ‘New’ Trading System — Lee Jeong-ho

China hopes to win Indian and Russian support in establishing a “new type” of “rules-based” and “multilateral” trade initiative.

Multiple Indian media reports suggest the country’s recently re-elected Prime Minister Narendra Modi will join forces with Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian leader Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Kyrgyzstan this week to express their concerns about US President Donald Trump’s protectionist approach....
Checkpoint Asia
China Seeks Indian and Russian Backing for ‘New’ Trading System
Lee Jeong-ho, South China Morning Post

See also at Checkpoint Asia

1854-1949 US Navy Patroled China’s Yangtze River as Enforcers for US Corporations (VIDEO)
Carlton Meyer

Huawei’s US Suppliers Want out of the Ban


Tuesday, June 11, 2019

M. K. Bhadrakumar — SCO summit: Inflection point for Indian diplomacy

When India applied for SCO membership or when observers like myself felt elated when India was finally admitted into the grouping in 2017, no one could have foreseen that the grouping held such potential in the very near term itself as a platform for the reset of regional politics — in particular, the India-Pakistan-China triangle.
New possibilities are opening up for Indian diplomacy at the two-day summit meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) at Bishkek on June 13-14....
India Punchline
SCO summit: Inflection point for Indian diplomacy
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

Saturday, June 1, 2019

Zero Hedge — Trump Declares Trade War On India, Imposes New Tariffs


No surprise, actually. Same policy as toward China requiring "reform" allowing the US to compete equally in their domestic markets. India and China have no intention of allowing foreign entities control the commanding heights of their economies through "investment." It's a national security issue, just as the US approaches this domestically itself. This is basic to neoliberal globalization that effectively colonized the rest of the world. Nothing new here, either. It is typical of empires.
Under the decades-old program - known as the Generalized System of Preferences - Indian companies were able to avoid some $5.7 billion in duties back in 2017.
The new standards will take effect June 5.
"I have determined that India has not assured the United States that India will provide equitable and reasonable access to its markets," Trump said in a proclamation on Friday evening. "Accordingly, it is appropriate to terminate India’s designation as a beneficiary developing country effective June 5, 2019."
The decision isn't unexpected: The White House warned back in March that it could end India's preferential treatment if India didn't agree to certain reforms, but it decided to hold off so as to not hurt Modi politically during the run up to the election. According to Bloomberg, Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer has become increasingly frustrated with India’s trade barriers and practices. The trade rep has taken issue with the country’s self-designation as a developing nation at the World Trade Organization....
Zero Hedge
Trump Declares Trade War On India, Imposes New Tariffs
Tyler Durden

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Alexei Kupriyanov — Towards Strategic Autonomy of India: Narendra Modi Continues His Economic and Social Reforms

The national elections in India have brought victory to the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The NDA has won a stable majority in the lower house of parliament. This means that the right-wing coalition will remain in power for at least another five years, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be able to continue his economic and social reforms, as well as be able to operate with a free hand in the international arena.
India takes a hyper-nationalist (Hindutva dominated), neoliberal (neo-fascist*) turn to catch up in the global race in order to assume its rightful place as one of the largest and most advanced countries. 

Absolute GDP as a measure of development in addition to growth is largely determined by population size and productivity. India, with a billion plus population, now aims to increase its productivity to rival China and eventually overtake the US, which has high productivity but a less numerous population than India and China. 

In fact, it is this dynamic that is driving the historical dialectic on the grand scale, with Europe desperately trying to unite as a social, political and economic bloc to prevent being eaten by larger predators.

I would look at this as late-stage capitalism economically as the emerging world seeks to mirror the success of the developed world using developed world ideas. This creates a dialectic as an oppositional interplay between traditionalism, which is country or region specific, and liberalism, which is Western, in an environment in which the West assumes that domination is its natural place in the order of things and that liberalism is the only way to progress. 

Getting interesting watching the internal oppositions/contradictions (Widersprüche for Marx) manifest, often as antagonisms.

Valdai Analytics
Towards Strategic Autonomy of India: Narendra Modi Continues His Economic and Social Reforms
Alexei Kupriyanov

*What do I mean by "neo-fascist"? 

Neoliberalism is a political theory that views government as an ally of capital with labor (people) and land (the environment, the commons) considered as means to that end, progress being measured by economic growth. 

Alexander Dugin has pointed out that there are four political theories that have been contending for the past century — liberalism, fascism, communism and traditionalism. He views fascism and communism as declining, and liberalism and traditionalism rising.  The only purely communist country left is North Korea, China and Cuba both having introduced liberal reforms if not liberalism itself. He believes that fascism died out as a result of WWII. 

I think it is premature to write of either fascism or communism. One can instead view China as modernizing Marxism-Leninism rather than giving it up. Neither Marx nor Lenin were static thinkers and they would probably agree that their ideas should not be treated as dogma but in terms of their being representative of "moments" in the historical dialectic. China is rising and its system in competing quick well in a hostile world, thank you.

I am increasingly convinced that neoliberalism is combination of liberalism and fascism, similar to the way China is combining communism and liberalism. Neoliberalism is a political theory that views economic liberalism ("capitalism") as the driver of social and political liberalism ("liberal democracy"). Social and political liberalism as liberal democracy follow from economic liberalism that delivers prosperity. Classical economic liberalism (laissez-faire) was about terminating the dominant role of government under feudalism. This was complete by the end of WWI and the displacement of monarchy and aristocracy as the dominant form of governance in Europe.

But then the ruling elites realized that since capitalism meant favoring capital (property ownership) over the other factors of production, labor (people) and land (the environment and the commons), "progress" could be fostered and promoted by allying capital with governance. 

Mussolini and Gentile viewed fascism as the merger of state and corporate power. This is what neoliberalism aims at, with the state captured by the ruling elite as the most qualified to govern, and under neoliberal globalization not only the nation but also the world. The reality is that neoliberal globalization has been advanced by international organizations and technocrats at the expense of liberal democracy nationally since there is no accountability.



Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Banikinkar Pattanayak — Indian Households Hold More Gold Than the World’s Top 10 Central Bank Holders Combined

This is nothing new. India households have always been holders of gold. Chinese households also have a preference for gold.

As India and China become more prosperous, this demand will likely increase.

Checkpoint Asia
Indian Households Hold More Gold Than the World’s Top 10 Central Bank Holders Combined
Banikinkar Pattanayak

Monday, February 11, 2019

Jerri-Lynn Scofield — India Forces Amazon to Choose Between Operating e-Commerce Platform and Selling Goods on that Platform

This is equivalent to anti-trust in a platform economy. On the other hand, economic liberals will charge that it is government interference in free markets and free trade.
India’s not exactly breaking new ground here with it restriction. As antitrust expert Lina Khan noted in a February tweet: “[T]his sort of structural separation has been a key principle in US competition policy. For example, Congress in 1906 passed a law prohibiting railroads from transporting goods they owned.”
Khan continued:

We applied a similar rule to TV networks, telecom carriers, banks. There’s good reason to debate whether structural separations should apply to digital monopolies. But framing the rule as highly invasive or exotic misunderstands our own history (& success) applying it.
Khan’s the author of an influential paper in the Yale Law Journal on Amazon, Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox, and has a paper forthcoming in the Columbia Law Review on structural separations, The Separation of Platforms and Commerce.…
This is key in a platform economy, which is now one of the key factors in building out the Digital Age. The obvious danger is increase of market concentration and therefore of monopoly and monopsony power as owners of digital platforms control their markets and supply chains.

Great wealth in the digital age has come not from ownership of land, factories, chains, or financial institutions but rather digital platforms, first hardware and software systems and service provision, and now distribution platforms.

Of course, this is not new. Firms have always attempted to gain market power through horizontal and vertical integration "for efficiency," but this amplifies economies of scale and creates the potential for erecting gateways. Previous anti-trust legislation has eventually been brought forward to address this.

Hopefully, India will set a precedent, but the neoliberal US will oppose it vigorously as a form of protectionism that contradicts the spirit of free markets and free trade.

The US experience is troubling, however. First, retail giants like Walmart devastated small retailers and "mom & pop stores" across the country and then ecommerce, with the proliferation of platforms it brought, made it difficult for smaller sellers to compete with the giants on the Internet.

Secondly, owing to capital intensity, concentration and dominance of a few platforms increased their market power and enabled rent extraction as competition dwindled.

There's a name for this, monopoly capital. And the antidote is anti-trust as a means for decreasing concentration and increasing competition.

Naked Capitalism

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Gideon Polya — Britain Robbed India Of $45 Trillion & Thence 1.8 Billion Indians Died From Deprivation

Eminent Indian economist Professor Utsa Patnaik (Jawaharlal Nehru University) has estimated that Britain robbed India of $45 trillion between 1765 and 1938, However it is estimated that if India had remained free with 24% of world GDP as in 1700 then its cumulative GDP would have been $232 trillion greater (1700-2003) and $44 trillion greater (1700-1950). Deprivation kills and it is estimated that 1.8 billion Indians died avoidably from egregious deprivation under the British (1757-1947). The deadly impact of British occupation of India lingers today 71 years after Independence, with 4 million people dying avoidably from deprivation each year in capitalist India as compared to zero (0) in China....
To say nothing of many other colonies of the Empire, or the submission of China.

CrossCurrents — Imperialism
Britain Robbed India Of $45 Trillion & Thence 1.8 Billion Indians Died From Deprivation
Gideon Polya

Sunday, October 7, 2018

Moon of Alabama — India's U-Turn Destroys Trump's Anti-Chinese 'Quad' Strategy


India give the finger to the US. Moon of Alabama provides the back story. As usual follow the money. Indian politics is notoriously corrupt. Prime Minister Modi get caught out and had to shift gears.

The other back story is that DJT is now onboard with the US military and deep state's global strategy for world domination by submitting Russia and China to US dominance. 

"America First" as taken on new meaning. The president has apparently decided now that Iraq was not the strategic blunder had had believed.

The game on the grand chessboard is about to get a lot more "interesting" in the many faceted reality show. More popcorn please.
Paul Antonopoulos

See also
Fear of defeat drives military men to folly. Early in 1968, General William Westmoreland, America’s commanding general in Vietnam, feared that communist forces might overrun U.S. military positions at Khe Sanh. His response, according to recently declassified cables as reported in the New York Times today, was to seek authorization to move nuclear weapons into Vietnam. He planned to use tactical nuclear weapons against concentrations of North Vietnamese Army (NVA) troops. President Lyndon Johnson cancelled Westmoreland’s plans and ordered that discussions about using nuclear weapons be kept secret (i.e. hidden from the American people), which for the last fifty years they have been.
Westmoreland and the U.S. military/government had already been lying to the American people about progress in the war. Khe Sanh as well as the Tet Offensive of 1968 were illustrations that there was no light in sight at the end of the tunnel — no victory loomed by force of arms. Thus the call for nuclear weapons to be deployed to Vietnam, a call that President Johnson wisely refused to countenance....
Recall that five-star Gen. Douglas MacArthur, winner of the war in Pacfic and one of the most popular people in the US at the time wanted to use nuclear weapons against China after they entered the Korean War. Truman fired him. MacArthur returned to a ticker tape in Manhattan and became chairman of the board of Remington Rand and later of the Sperry Rand.

Bracing Views
Fear of Defeat and the Vietnam War
William J. Astore | retired lieutenant colonel (USAF) who taught at the Air Force Academy and the Naval Postgraduate School and now teaches at the Pennsylvania College of Technology

Thursday, September 27, 2018

Kim Jin-hyun — Should We Expect ‘Pax Asiatica’ to Arise?

While the West is divided, with the US and the EU arguing with each other and suffering from internal crises, China and India are becoming world powers. What does it mean globally and locally? Should we expect any Asian country or Asia as a whole to become a new powerhouse? How to preserve security in the region and what Russia’s role in that could be?
The world’s balance of power is slowly, but steadily moving towards Asia. While some countries like South Korea and Japan still depend on their Western allies, others, like China and India, are becoming independent players rivaling with the US. But the nature of these powers is different, Kim Jin-hyun, Chairman of the World Peace Forum, told valdaiclub.com on the margins of the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok....
Valdai Club
Should We Expect ‘Pax Asiatica’ to Arise?
Kim Jin-hyun