Sunday, January 5, 2020

Iran oil business


Looks like the Trump people are teeing up the Iran oil industry...


Saturday, January 4, 2020

Links — 4 Jan 2020

Bill Totten's Weblog
China’s YiWu: Business Models You’ve Never Even Heard of
Larry Romanoff
Originally at Global Monitor

Fast Company
To learn how police use facial recognition, we must ask the right questions
Rob Pegoraro

Angry Bear

Reminiscence of the Future
A Delusional VP.
Andrei Martyanov

Sputnik International
'And He Shot Lincoln, Yeah?' Twitterstorm as US VP Mike Pence Links Soleimani to 9/11 Hijackers

Craig Murray Blog
Lies, the Bethlehem Doctrine, and the Illegal Murder of Soleimani
Craig Murray, formerly British ambassador to Uzbekistan and Rector of the University of Dundee

Elijah Magnier
What comes next after the US Assassination of Qassem Soleimani? The Options.


Iran’s Top Admiral: We’ll force US Navy out of Persian Gulf

Trump threatens to strike 52 Iranian targets including cultural sites
Joaquin Flores


Graham E. Fuller
US Foreign Policy by Assassination
Graham E. Fuller | adjunct professor of history at Simon Fraser University, formerly vice chairman of the National Intelligence Council at the CIA, and a former senior political scientist at RAND

(Ambassador) JackMattlock.com
Ambassador Chas Freeman on Suleimani Assassination

Moon of Alabama
The Revenge For The Assassination Of Qassem Soleimani

SouthFront (making it a matter of honor as a sacred obligation and solemn vow in Islam)
For First Time In History, Iran Unfurls Red Flag Of Revenge Over Holy Dome Of Jamkaran Mosque

Sputnik International
Iran Unveils Poster Of Prophet Mohammed's [Martyred] Grandson [Hussein] Embracing Killed [Martyred] Commander Qasem Soleimani (the martyrdom of Hussein marked the beginning of the Shi'a-Sunni divide; the Grand Ayatollah making this connection shows how serious this is)

Soleimani’s Successor Warns of Harsh Consequences in Aftermath of IRGC Commander’s Killing by US

[Iranian FM] Zarif Calls Pompeo ‘Arrogant Clown’ After Claims of Iraqis' Joy Over Soleimani’s Death














Corpus Christi now on line...


Oil export capacity of the new Corpus Christi port facilities is soaring...  Mike reporting crude exports thru the roof last EIA report here from Mike this week:

Crude exports surged by 1.065 mbd to 4.462 mbd, a record. Product exports were down 57k bpd to 5.672 mbd. The combined crude and product export total was 10.134 mbd, a new record.


Corpus Christi exports are increasing at a rapid rate. From January through August of 2019, Corpus volumes averaged just 532 Mb/d on a monthly basis, according to ship-tracking data from RBN’s Crude Voyager report. Since September, however, that monthly average has skyrocketed to 1.24 MMb/d. And in the past four weeks, export volumes out of the port have been 1.6 MMb/d, 1.536 MMb/d, 1.65 Mb/d and — for the week ending December 27 — 1.257 MMb/d, for an average of ~1.5 MMb/d (top of the right-most bar stack in Figure 1). Those numbers are truly astonishing,


If Iran shuts down the Strait of Hormuz then Trump can now supply China via the Panama Canal which China controls anyway and they have the USDs to pay...

Europe then may be f-ed but Trump is hating them (Merkel) now anyway... and EZ is gonna get all the bad news coming up in Davos Trump is sending all of his hatchet men ... so f them for now...

Winning! Double triggers!!!!






Textbook Reification Error


The morons can't understand the abstractions of the Accounting Science so they have to think they are REAL...




China’s academics tackle the ‘Big Brother’ state — Gordon Watts


I don't have a big problem with this, which may surprise some since I self-identify as a libertarian of the left. How can this be consistent with personal freedom?

The reason I don't have a big problem with it is three-fold. First, new technology will be used. End of discussion. The second reason is related to this. China is up-front about it and the West is not. There is virtually "total information awareness" in the West in the newly emerging surveillance state owing to the proliferation of technology.

This means that Chinese people know what they face, and many Westerners do not realize the level of scrutiny to which they are exposed. We know this from leaks.

When one knows the extent of a problem the problem can be addressed. When one doesn't and those responsible are hidden behind a wall of secrecy there is little that can be done specifically.

I am also aware that there are vast cultural differences among peoples and the Western presumption of a single "human nature" that accords with Western views is philosophically untenable. As a result, peoples that have a long history of social living rather than a short history of a frontier society that no longer exists are likely to have different worldviews, different ways of organizing experience, and different value systems.

A chief objective of left libertarians is to resolve paradoxes arise from the trifecta of liberty, equality, and solidarity in society. Liberty cannot entail license, for example. Where and how to draw the lines based on criteria is a chief issue in political theory and practice.

The third factor is scale. Societies are now so large as to be difficult to manage but some governance is required to prevent anarchy in the sense of chaos. This is now a primary challenge as some countries populations exceed hundreds of millions. 

Why is this particularly important. Because the priorities of government are security, welfare and general well-being in that order. Maintaining security in a large-scale society is a huge challenge in itself and it is complicated by the the need for liberty and privacy. This involves difficult political choices by leaders that know they will be held to account for lapses in security.

So instead of getting all idealistic, a sense of proportion must be established in order to address emerging challenges in contemporary complex adaptive social systems. People should look to their own locale, region, and nation, as well as take the newly emerging global society into account rather than obsess over what others are doing and choices they are making.

This is difficult for Americans owing to American exceptionalism, one aspect of which is the assumption that the whole world should either emulate America or be forced to do so, which is, of course, illiberal in the extreme when violence is involved. At the same time, Americans in general cannot agree on what "American" actually means. 

Instead, let's look at social, political and economic issues systematically. This requires achieving harmony, which the Chinese culture values most highly.

Asia Times
China’s academics tackle the ‘Big Brother’ state
Gordon Watts

Iran biased anti-negotiation


Current leadership in Iran won't negotiate:



Related theory in this thread, maybe US retaliations will only kill those biased anti-negotiation in the leadership.. when we can get them...:

UPDATE: 

Oops nope... looks like its on for real if Iran escalates it from here.... hope Trump got the green light from Xi and Putin...






LastAmericanVagabond Tweet - Iran

So they tell us the assassination (& apparently all the other illegal US bombings on Iraqis that this is overshadowing) was to STOP attacks. Yet now they warn of retaliation, revealing that the logic was at best, very flawed. At worst, they lied, again. 

https://t.co/NGMhubeasB

James Fallow - How the World Works



This is a very good article explaining why the Anglo-American economic systems do not seem to work as well as the Eastern ones. The Eastern systems are based on the German model, and are more collective. What's good for the individual might not be good for the majority, and in the long run, not good for the individual either.

The collective tends towards more long-term planning, even though some individuals may lose in the present. In this way, a collective economic system appears to be more effective than a neoliberal one.

Neoclassical economics says its best to buy products globally from nations and companies that specialise in certain products. Why make cars when you can buy top quality ones at good prices from European countries? Other countries may be better at producing raw products, IT, financial services, or software, etc. But in the long run, relying too much on foreign products can dumb a country down and even entually make it poorer. If we keep buying fish we may never learn how to fish.

Not everything is wrong about the Anglo-Saxon system, however: Adam Smith taught that business was not a zero-sum game, and that we can all win from business transactions. I might exchange some of my wheat for someone else's cheese, and so both of us gain, which sometimes means the pie gets bigger.

How the World Works


Friday, January 3, 2020

Front Running — Max Keiser and Stacy Herbert interview Michael Hudson and Steve Keen


Max Keiser and Stacy Herbert interview Michael Hudson and Steve Keen. Transcript.

Michael Hudson — On Finance, Real Estate And The Powers Of Neoliberalism
Front Running
Michael Hudson | President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City, and Guest Professor at Peking University

Two from Chris Dillow

In my previous post, I used a rhetorical device which I think leftists should copy. This is that we should use conventional, orthodox economics to reach radical conclusions.
The point here is that we don’t persuade people by telling them that their worldview is wrong and by demanding that they change the ideas of a lifetime. We are more likely to succeed by showing them that their ideas are consistent with things they might not have considered.
Here are some examples of what I mean.
- Fiscal policy. We don’t need MMT to argue for a significant fiscal loosening. Simple maths tells us that we can run big deficits and still see government debt fall as a share of GDP when real interest rates are negative, as they now are. And as Simon [Wren-Lewis] has said for years, the idea that we should use fiscal expansion when nominal interest rates are near zero is orthodox economics....
We already see this is the retort that MMT offers nothing really new and that "we it knew it all the time."

Stumbling and Mumbling
CONSERVATIVE ARGUMENTS FOR RADICAL IDEAS

WAGES VS SOCIAL VALUE
Chris Dillow | Investors Chronicle

Links — 3 Jan 2020

Occasional Links & Commentary
Cartoon of the day
David F. Ruccio | Professor of Economics, University of Notre Dame

Craig Murray Blog ("Truth is the first casualty of war.")
The Terrifying Rise of the Zombie State Narrative

The USA Doubles Down on its Saudi Allegiance (important backgrounder)
Craig Murray, formerly British ambassador to Uzbekistan and Rector of the University of Dundee

The Independent
The Syrian Conflict Is Awash With Chemical Warfare Propaganda
Robert Fisk, Middle East correspondent

Sic Semper Tyrannis
Our Embassy in Baghdad
TTG

Sic Semper Tyrannis
RUSSIAN FEDERATION SITREP 2 JANUARY 2020
Patrick Armstrong

Reminiscence of the Future
Trump Needs Some History Update.
Andrei Martyanov

Fort Russ News
Panic strikes U.S cities – Police Departments warn Citizens of possible Iranian Attack
Joaquin Flores

The Hill
De Blasio: 'NYPD on high alert,' preparing for threats from Iran
Tal Axelrod

Long War Journal
Muqtada al Sadr reactivates Mahdi Army, Promised Day Brigade

Hezbollah Brigades official reportedly calls volunteers for suicide bombings
Bill Roggio and Caleb Weiss

Moon of Alabama
U.S. Will Come To Regret Its Assassination of Qassim Soleimani

Oilprice.com

Russia Observer
SULEIMANI ASSASSINATION
Patrick Armstrong

Sic Semper Tyrannis
Will Trump welcome the ejection of the US from Iraq? - He should.
Col. W. Patrick Lang, US Army (ret.) 

Sic Semper Tyrannis
Did Donald Trump Light the Fuse on a New Middle East War?
Larry C Johnson

TASS
US State Department designates Shi’a paramilitary group active in Iraq as terrorists

Reuters
U.S. and allies suspend training of Iraqi forces: Germany
Soleimani murder: what could happen next?

Message by the Leader, Ayatullah Khamenei, regarding the martyrdom of Shahid Sardar Qasem Suleimani

The Saker


The Unz Review
The Soleimani Assassination
Philip Giraldi, former CIA counter-terrorism specialist and military intelligence officer, now Executive Director of the Council for the National Interest and founding member of the Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity

Slate
Can the President Just Kill Anyone He Wants Now?
Joshua Keating

Axios
"We did not take action to start a war," Trump says on airstrike that killed Iranian general
Orion Rummler

Middle East Monitor
Pompeo: US committed to de-escalation with Iran

Caitlin Johnstone — Rogue Journalist
“We Do Not Seek War,” Says President Who Just Started A War
Caitlin Johnstone
The National Interest
A U.S. Invasion Of Iran Would Be Suicidal
Zachary Keck

Common Dreams
Hundreds of Thousands of Iranians Flood Streets to Condemn US Assassination of Qassem Soleimani
Ellie Geranmayeh

Popular Resistance
Chris Hedges: Rebellion Is The Only Way To Stop The Ruling Elites

Counterpunch
Our Nazis: the Gehlen Org
Gaither Stewart



Asymmetric Protectionism — Ramanan


Ha-Joon Chang.

The Case for Concerted Action
Asymmetric Protectionism
V. Ramanan

Kenneth Surin - Labour's Patriotism Test



This is a really good article.

How propaganda works.

... Conservatives managed to convince voters nostalgic for the days of Empire that the repeated slogan “Get Brexit Done” was somehow the guarantee of a “Rule Britannia” resurgence of patriotism.


Counterpunch

Kenneth Surin - Labour's Patriotism Test

Thursday, January 2, 2020

Crispin Savage — Visiting economist explodes myths of public deficits

Government deficits are normal and even necessary to the health of most economies – that’s according to one of the world’s most influential economists, Professor Stephanie Kelton, who will be a Visiting Professor at the University of Adelaide this month.
Professor Kelton is the Geoff Harcourt Visiting Professor of Economics at the University of Adelaide and Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Stony Brook University, New York.
Senior economic adviser to Bernie Sanders’ 2020 presidential campaign, Professor Kelton has recently been listed by Bloomberg as one of the 50 people who defined 2019. She was previously chief economist on the US Senate Budget Committee (Democratic staff) in Washington DC.
Professor Kelton is one of the leading experts on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), a new approach to economics that is taking the world by storm.
MMT seeks to overturn the myth that currency-issuing federal governments face similar budget constraints to households, businesses and state governments. It explains that such governments are constrained in their spending decisions only by the risk of inflation, and never by the threat of insolvency. There are real constraints, but there are no purely financial ones.…
University of Adelaide (Australia)
Crispin Savage

The Economist - China’s industrial policy has worked better than critics think

But the state-led model is creaking


Not creaking anything like the Western system, though.

I can't read it all because it's behind a paywall, but I've read before how the Chinese government instructs its private companies. For instance, it told them to invest long-term into 5G technology, which has paid off handsomely.. 

But according to the neoclassical economists, it's best governments keep out of the market. Look where that got us! 

Early in its trade dispute with China, America declared that Chinese industrial policy was a form of “economic aggression”. America’s negotiators hoped to rein it in. No such luck. The very week in December that America and China announced a mini-deal on trade, China’s president, Xi Jinping, vowed that the Chinese government would do more in 2020 to support strategic sectors, ranging from robotics to biomedicine. Having seen its vulnerability to American export controls, China is more determined to build up its domestic abilities than it was before the trade war began.

The Economist 



MMT Primer: Mosler's White Paper — Brian Romanchuk

Warren Mosler, one of the founders of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has a white paper (link) that acts as a summary of MMT. It is brief (1300 words), and does meet the objective of offering an overview of the question "What is MMT?" for more advanced readers. The brief nature of the paper means that not everything is covered, so I would point out that it does not represent all of MMT.

In this article, I will summarise the contents of the white paper, discuss what I see as the main legitimate critiques of MMT that arise, and note some of my reservations about the paper. I will conclude with comments aimed at readers looking for an academic discussion. I expect to cover certain topics in follow up articles, such as a longer discussion of critiques, as well the implications of the discussion of the price level theory.
Another point to note about the white paper is that it is extremely terse. There may be a lot of information hidden under the use of catch phrases. Since I am familiar with the arguments, I can easily follow the logic, but others might be tripped up. All I can really do is add some background information....
Bond Economics
MMT Primer: Mosler's White Paper
Brian Romanchuk

Marx’s concept of socialism — Peter Hudis

Marx of course supports collective ownership of the means of production. But by this he does not mean simply transferring ownership deeds from private to collective entities, but rather ensuring that the working class owns and controls the means of production. He makes this clear in writing, “When one speaks of private property, one is dealing with something external to man. When one speaks of labour, one is directly dealing with man himself. This new formulation of the question already contains its solution” (MECW 6: 281). The abolition of private property is a step towards liberation only if it leads to the transformation of human relations at the point of production.
This is further underscored by Marx’s statement, “Private property is thus the product, the result, the necessary consequence of alienated labour” (MECW 3: 279). It may seem that Marx has it backwards. Does not private ownership of the means of production cause workers to become alienated from their labour? His point is that so long as workers are alienated from the very activity of labouring, an alien group or class must exist that compels them to labour. Private property in the sense of class property—of a class other than the workers controlling the means of production—will continue to exist so long as alienated labour exists.
This emphasis on the priority of social relations of production over property forms carries through all of Marx’s later work, especially Capital. He there reiterates his early criticism of the notion that collective or state-owned property represents the new society:

Capital … now receives the form the social capital … in contrast to private capital, and its enterprises appear as social enterprises as opposed to private ones. This is the abolition of capital as private property within the confines of the capitalist mode of production itself. (Marx 1981: 567)….
Marx views "public" or "social" as the opposite of "private," that is, worker control and not state control, as is often misconstrued. This did get misconstrued in the supposedly necessary "dictatorship of the proletariat" as a transition phase, or perhaps better hijacked than misconstrued.

Monthly Review
Peter Hudis

75% of young want to escape South Korean ‘Hell’ — Andrew Solomon

Some say it is far from unique to Korea. “I think there is a middle class crisis in all wealthy countries,” Pae Hee-kyung, who runs an educational institute near Seoul, told Asia Times.
Across the developed, post-industrial world, middle classes are under perceived siege from falling living standards, evaporating opportunities and rising wealth inequality. These trends have arisen against the backdrop of a globalizing world that distributes capital and jobs away from customary centers of investment, manufacturing and related prosperities.
Some pundits posit that these issues explain Brexit in the UK, the election of Donald Trump in the US and the protests of young Hong Kongers.
The dream turns into a nightmare for many as capital flows to where it is most "productive" (read profitable). A big reason for profitability is the ability to socialize negative externality. In addition, economic value does not take social value into consideration. Is this one of the factors undermining the appeal of capitalism as a socio-economic subsystem of the larger social and ecological system?

Asia Times
75% of young want to escape South Korean ‘Hell’
Andrew Solomon

Some People Who Have Shaped Economics — Robert Vienneau

"The University [of Chicago] is the best investment I ever made in my life." -- John D. Rockefeller
Follow the money.

Thoughts On Economics
Some People Who Have Shaped Economics
Robert Vienneau

Laurence Kotlikoff - Holding U.S. Treasurys? Beware: Uncle Sam Can't Account For $21 Trillion



The biggest welfare queen of them all.

Dave Lindorff dug into the issue, recently publishing the article “Exclusive: The Pentagon’s Massive Accounting Fraud Exposed” in The Nation. Based on a series of interviews with current and former government officials, Lindorff concluded that Pentagon accounting is “phony”, composed of made up numbers designed to obfuscate and thus propelling “US military spending higher year after year”.

Forbes 

Laurence Kotlikoff - Holding U.S. Treasurys? Beware: Uncle Sam Can't Account For $21 Trillion 

Wednesday, January 1, 2020

Links 1 Jan 2020

Forbes
NASA Says Earth Is Greener Today Than 20 Years Ago Thanks To China, India
Trevor Nace | Senior Contributor

University of Leiden
Tsinghua and Leiden researchers find that China is crucial for realising a circular economy

Note on a new book
On the Great Russia Caper
Matt Taibbi

RT
Hong Kong residents ‘overwhelmingly’ against independence from China – poll

Zero Hedge
"Revolutionary Changes In Public Opinion" - Gallup's Decade in Review: 2010-2019
Tyler Durden

RT
Heil Bandera: Ukrainian nationalists hold torchlight parade to celebrate Nazi collaborator’s birthday (VIDEO)

Sputnik International
Bulgaria Starts Getting Transit-Free Russian Gas Via TurkStream - Bulgargaz


Bill Mitchell — A conversation between MMT founders

A different blog post today. On November 29, 2019, I sat down with my friend Warren Mosler in Newcastle, Australia while he was on his more or less annual visit to see us. We decided to film a conversation we had about the origins of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), how we came to it, the current state of MMT and future trends, including being part of the narrative surround the Green Transition. You will hear our concern about how the work we put in place at the outset is now being used in popular debates as well as other anecdotes. We consider the recent YouTube debate that Warren participated in in Italy and clear up the misunderstandings that followed that episode. We provide our own perspective on the way the GND debate is unfolding. I hope you find the 38 minute video that follows interesting.

The conversation goes for 38 minutes and 42 seconds.
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
A conversation between MMT founders
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Trump Announces Delegation for Davos


Looks like EZ is next to get its ass kicked on trade... USD zombie eradication continues apace..



Creepy commercial


This thing from InBev is getting cycled through all the Bowl games this week...

I'm getting a human trafficking vibe off this f-ing thing...  creepy.... creeeeeee-peeeeee...

They gotta pull this thing... makes me want to never buy Modelo ever... (I don't think I ever will now..)

And where do they get the idea that an Irish bar is going to feature Modelo????

Whole thing is  weird.... oooh...... rama...




Tyler Durden - Giuliani Says Ukraine Corruption Came From 'Highest Levels Of Obama Administration'; Wants To Testify, Try Case

Could the wheels fall off the wagon for the centrist Democrats, let's hope so? Not that the Republicans are much better. Bernie's for me.


Rudy Giuliani is not only willing to testify in President Trump's Senate impeachment trial, he wants to "do demonstrations" in order to outline what he described as a "series of criminal acts" involving "the highest levels of the Obama administration," adding that Democrats Adam Schiff and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will go down in history like Joe McCarthy when people "calm down and watch this carefully."


Zero Hedge

Tyler Durden - Giuliani Says Ukraine Corruption Came From 'Highest Levels Of Obama Administration'; Wants To Testify, Try Case




                                             A centrist
               

Greece has the world’s strongest manufacturing sector


Greece really has it rolling now... enjoying large fiscal transfers via the ESCB...





Report: Major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas from climate by 2020


Where is these nutter people's downside now that they are proven wrong?  Where?

I don't see it...





Here's another one same thing, just different time domain characteristics:




Where are all of these nutter's downsides?


Robert Reich tweet - AT&T

AT&T is laying off thousands of workers at the beginning of the year without severance pay. 

Instead, the employees will have to train their foreign replacements. 

At the same time, the company saved $3B thanks to Trump's tax cuts. 

Trickle down economics is a cruel joke.

This decade belonged to China. So will the next one Martin Jacques

The west is still finding it extraordinarily difficult to come to terms with China’s remarkable ascent



The West took over the world by military conquest and technological achievement, but China is now doing the same, but only with technology and commerce. China's wealth is built by hard work, not conquest.

Many Western economists and academics said China was an economy built on steroids with printed money and would soon collapse, but it was the West that collapsed instead - in 2008 - and we are still suffering the consequences.


By 2010, China was beginning to have an impact on the global consciousness in a new way. Prior to the western financial crisis, it had been seen as the new but very junior kid on the block. The financial crash changed all that. Before 2008 the conventional western wisdom had been that sooner or later China would suffer a big economic meltdown. It never did. Instead, the crisis happened in the west, with huge consequences for the latter’s stability and self-confidence.


The Guardian

This decade belonged to China. So will the next one Martin Jacques

Pam and Russ Martens - Congress Just Passed Nightmare Legislation that Strips Trillions in Wealth from the Middle Class



Trump, the down-to-earth guy who's on the side of the average American. A populist.

Under the insidiously named Secure Act (Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement) the children who could previously inherit their parent’s IRA and take the Required Minimum Distribution based on their own age – effectively giving them the ability to compound that inherited IRA over their own lifetime on a tax-sheltered basis – will now be required to reduce the account to zero (yes, ZERO!) over a period of ten years. This former provision was previously known as the “Stretch IRA.” Now it’s become the “Shrink IRA.”
In addition to wiping out one of the best chances that debt-strapped Millennials ever had to obtain a decent standard of living, the Secure Act will also involuntarily push that Millennial into a higher tax bracket in the years he is forced to take outsized distributions from a large, inherited IRA.

Wall Street On Parade