Thursday, September 15, 2016

Lars P. Syll — Lazy theorizing and useless macroeconomics


Lars Syll chimes in on Paul Romer's article.
In physics it may possibly not be straining credulity too much to model processes as ergodic – where time and history do not really matter – but in social and historical sciences it is obviously ridiculous. If societies and economies were ergodic worlds, why do econometricians fervently discuss things such as structural breaks and regime shifts?
That they do is an indication of the unrealisticness of treating open systems as analyzable with ergodic concepts.
The future is not reducible to a known set of prospects. It is not like sitting at the roulette table and calculating what the future outcomes of spinning the wheel will be.… 
Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Lazy theorizing and useless macroeconomics
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

1 comment:

Matthew Franko said...

"The future is not reducible to a known set of prospects. It is not like sitting at the roulette table and calculating what the future outcomes of spinning the wheel will be.… "

If you are a non-determinist it most certainly can be... This is a simple assertion from Lars here.. his opinion... a non-determinist could say the exact opposite...