Showing posts with label full reserve banking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label full reserve banking. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Jo Mitchell — Full Reserve Banking: The Wrong Cure for the Wrong Disease

... as Positive Money rightly note, neither the mechanism nor the implications are widely understood. But Positive Money do little to increase public understanding – instead of explaining the issues clearly, they imbue this money creation process with an unnecessary air of mysticism....
Critical Macro Finance
Jo Mitchell | Senior Lecturer, University of the West of England, Bristol
Full Reserve Banking: The Wrong Cure for the Wrong Disease
Jo Mitchell | Senior Lecturer, University of the West of England, Bristol

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Patrizio Lainà — Money Creation under Full-reserve Banking: A Stock-flow Consistent Model

ABSTRACT

This paper presents a stock-flow consistent model+ of full-reserve banking. It is found that in a steady state, full-reserve banking can accommodate a zero-growth economy and provide both full employment and zero inflation. Furthermore, a money creation experiment is conducted with the model. An increase in central bank reserves translates into a two-thirds increase in demand deposits. Money creation through government spending leads to a temporary increase in real GDP and inflation. Surprisingly, it also leads to a permanent reduction in consolidated government debt. The claims that full-reserve banking would precipitate a credit crunch or excessively volatile interest rates are found to be baseless.
The Levy Economics Institute Of Bard College
Working Paper No. 851
Money Creation under Full-reserve Banking: A Stock-flow Consistent Model
Patrizio Lainà, University of Helsinki
October 2015

Saturday, April 26, 2014

Ann Pettifor — Why I disagree with Martin Wolf and Positive Money

The Financial Times is hosting a major debate on whether the private banking system should be allowed to continue creating 97% of the credit or money circulating within the economy. Martin Wolf, its respected economics commentator, supports the ‘Chicago Plan’ that effectively calls for private banks to lend out only as much as they have in “reserves”. “Banks”, writes Wolf (FT 24th April), “could only loan money actually invested by customers.” Private banks would be prevented from creating money, and instead all money would be issued by the state. The quantity issued would be decided by an independent committee as argued by amongst others, the IMF’s Kumhof and Benes and Positive Money.

Because of the finance sector’s despotic power, about which I have been very vocal, many readers would expect me to support a proposal that prevents private banks from creating money, and to enthusiastically back the nationalization of money issuance. I do not however, and want to explain why.
Prime Economics
Why I disagree with Martin Wolf and Positive Money
Ann Pettifor | Director of Policy Research in Macroeconomics (PRIME), Honorary Research Fellow at the Political Economy Research Centre at City University (CITYPERC) and a fellow of the New Economics Foundation, London

100% Reserve Banking

So both John Cochrane and Martin Wolf are advocating 100% reserve banking. If these two agree on anything, it’s worth taking seriously!
House of Debt
100% Reserve Banking — The History
Atif Mian And Amir Sufi

Sell also the comments.
GERARD CAPRIO ON APRIL 26, 2014 AT 4:11 PMI
A seductive idea, until you recall that (a) the entire history of banking has been a move away from this extreme; and (b) the boundary problem in finance. The implication is that as funds leave a narrow banking sector in search of higher yields, the non-bank financial sector will grow vastly larger. The likelihood is that a larger NBFI sector would be rescued — in other words, along with the funds that would migrate from the banking sector, would come the government guarantees. We were not ready to let GM or AIG fail, and the same would be the case for an AMEX that would be many times its present size. So, an attractive solution in a model, but not in the real world.

ERIC L ON APRIL 26, 2014 AT 5:43 PMI
So then where do debts come from? Loans can still be financed by selling their income streams as securities. Finance would look the way it was increasingly looking when the crisis hit. It’s not clear to me why that would be better. At least within the fractional reserve banking system there is a limit to the total allowed leverage, whereas the economy can become arbitrarily leveraged through other forms of finance. And the fact is the danger to fractional reserve depositors proved non-existent. The problems were for debtors and for non-fractional-reserve financiers. If any form of banking is to be banned, we should prohibit lending from anything other than fractional reserve banking.

The Center of the Universe
Comments on Martin Wolf’s banking article
Warren Mosler


Ralphonomics
Warren Mosler tries to criticise full reserve
Ralph Musgrave

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Izabella Kaminska — The Notgeld Issue

There are two ways the banking universe can pan out as far as I can see.
One is the Gorton way, where everything is eventually collateralised and anyone with credibility or collateral can issue collateral-type obligations that turn into collateral money.
In this world banks are as good as the collateral they hold, and they can flourish if they can persuade the markets to accept new types of collateral when old forms run out.
The other is the Admati view which is about going towards a Fisher style full reserve banking plan. Banks can take all the risk they want provided they can persuade “depositors” to fully fund them in these ventures and to bear all the risk.
I like Admati’s view but also see some benefits to Gorton’s — which basically represents a truly liberalised money market.
Toward A Leisure Society
The Notgeld Issue
Izabella Kaminska

Thursday, January 3, 2013

Ann Pettifor — The power to create money 'out of thin air'

Happy New Year to all PRIME readers, and welcome to my latest PRIME publication, The power to create money out of thin air. At first sight, this is a long-delayed review of Geoffrey Ingham’s book, Capitalism (Polity Press, first published 2008). However like all the best reviews, it has become a hook on which to hang discussion of the author’s contemporary pet themes. Here, these include primarily, capitalism’s ‘elastic production of money’. However, I also take the opportunity of explaining why misunderstanding about the creation of money out of thin air is so widespread, and why orthodox economists are mainly responsible for the confusion.
Out of this discussion arises a further one about ‘fractional reserve banking’ – currently at the heart of debate surrounding an IMF Working Paper by Kumhof and Benes. Then I take a pop at the theory and policy frameworks that prevent (or claim to prevent) co-ordination between monetary and fiscal authorities.
The review challenges, too, the widespread assumption (long promulgated by the enemies of labour, but also held by others) that wage claims by trade unionists caused, or led to, the inflation of the 1970s.
But Ingham’s book raises important issues which are and will be at the heart of politics and economics in 2013: with a deeper understanding of capitalism’s ability to create ever expanding amounts of credit-money, how does a democratic society once again rein in, regulate and subordinate the private finance sector to the wider public interest? How does society regain control over the public good that is credit and a sound banking system, and use both for financing society’s most important needs – including the need to tackle the threat of climate change?
And finally, how can public goods (including liquidity) avoid being confiscated by the finance economy? And how can they be restored to public accountability?
PRIME — Policy Research in Macroeconomics
The power to create money 'out of thin air'
Ann Pettifor | Director of Policy Research in Macroeconomics (PRIME) and a fellow of the New Economics Foundation, London

Note: Geoffrey Ingham is also the author of The Nature of Money.

From the comments there:
Andi
: So is PRIME advocating MMT?

Ann Pettifor: 
Andi, thanks for your query. First, this analysis is mine, and does not represent the views of all the network of economists linked to PRIME. Indeed we disagree on some points. Second, as a network we have many good friends in the MMT community, have great respect for their work, and many of our approaches are aligned. But cannot say that PRIME as a network of economists is ‘advocating MMT’. But we sure are closer to them than to the orthodox community…




Clint Balinger — Modern Monetary Theory & Full Reserve Banking: Connected by Fiat

Summary: MMT understands the monetary system in depth, particularly a fiat monetary system. “Full Reservers”, because they have not always fully grasped the significance of the fact there is no money multiplier and that the loanable funds model is wrong, often have a misplaced emphasis on the reserve ratio and sight deposits. Nevertheless, they can be understood ultimately to be worried about endogenous money, and in effect are arguing for a pure fiat money system. Steve Keen shows the magnitude of the negative effects of endogenous money on the economy. If Keen is properly understood, and what are in effect the anti-endogenous money policies of Full Reserve plans implemented, the end point is a pure fiat money system. And the starting point of a true chartalist system, the natural home for neo-chartalism.
Clint Balinger
Modern Monetary Theory & Full Reserve Banking: Connected by Fiat

Again, seems to me to be confused about what fiat is.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Clint Ballinger — Modern Monetary Theory & Full Reserve Banking: Connected by Fiat

The fourth of a series of posts on MMT, ‘The Chicago Plan Revisited’, and related issues...

There are actually two concerns most advocates of Full Reserves have:
1. Solvency – there are few solvency issues with full reserves; not surprisingly a major concern in the 1930s for Simons, Fisher, The Chicago Plan etc.
2. (Endogenous) money creation
The second is much the more important, but the two are often confusingly conflated.
Partly this is because the significance of the fact that the loanable funds model is wrong and there is no money multiplier is not always fully appreciated by Full Reservers.
Banks do not make loans based on reserves or loanable funds but based on demand, perceived profitability, and the capital they hold. The government covers reserve requirements later. Raising reserve requirements can raise costs but does not stop money creation. Even the focus on sight deposits (i.e., PositiveMoney) misses the point – not only do reserve requirements not stop money creation, neither does stopping lending based on sight deposits. Banks loans pull money from the central bank, with the limit being the ratio of capital to risk-weighted assets.
So, unless Full Reservers are only worried about bank solvency, which is doubtful, they are really addressing concerns that have their root in endogenous money.
Clint Ballinger
Modern Monetary Theory & Full Reserve Banking: Connected by Fiat


Thursday, December 27, 2012

Ben Dyson,Tony Greenham, Josh Ryan Collins and RichardA.Werner —


Executive Summary

This submission outlines a proposal for banking reform that addresses most of the concerns of the Commission. The proposal has some similarities with 'narrow banking' and 'Limited Purpose Banking' but avoids some of its main drawbacks such as the need for retail deposits to be backed by government bonds), and offers additional advantages over and above narrow banking.

We believe that the banking sector would be more stable and robust under a full reserve banking model, where the transactional function of banking the payments system) is separated from the lending function, than under the current business model, which is open labeled 'fractional reserve banking'.

We also believe this reform would create greater competition within the banking sector, by hugely reducing the barriers to entry in the retail sector. In particular, we would hope to see it made much easier for new, 'Transaction Account'-only banks to enter the market to increase competition in the provision of this core payments system service. We also believe this reform would support the development of a more diverse financial services sector, placing institutions such as credit unions and traditional building societies on a level playing field with banks.

The key feature of fractional reserve banking is that the lending activity of banks effectively creates new money, in the form of new bank deposits. As the Bank of England's 2007 Q3 Quarterly Bulletin states: "When banks make loans, they create additional [bank] deposits for those that have borrowed the money". Put another way, the money supply of the real economy depends entirely on the lending decisions of the banking sector. Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England recently identified these changes in the money supply as being central to the financial crisis:
"At the heart of this crisis was the expansion and subsequent contraction of the balance sheet of the banking system."
In contrast, in a full reserve banking system, the effective money supply is unaffected by the lending activities of banks. An economy running on a foundation of full reserve banking will be less prone to prof cyclical tendencies and less inflationary than an economy based on fractional reserve banking. The view that separation of the activities of lending money and creating money would lead to better stability in the financial sector is also supported by Governor King:
"Eliminating fractional reserve banking explicitly recognises that the pretence that risk free deposits can be supported by risky assets is alchemy. If there is a need for genuinely safe deposits the only way they can be provided, while ensuring costs and benefits are fully aligned, is to insist such deposits do not coexist with risky assets."
Our proposal for full reserve banking ensures that risk-free deposits in the payments system 'do not coexist with risky assets'. The proposal to achieve this is simple: we recommend to require banks to keep safe the money which customers wish to keep safe, and invest only the money that customers wish to be invested.

After a few minor changes to the reserve account systems used by the Bank of England, the economy would have a stable money supply, regardless of the economic climate and the willingness of the banks to lend. These changes would also give customers a truly risk-free method of holding money, regardless of the amount held, and remove the need for taxpayer funded deposit insurance.

Our proposal is similar in spirit to and modernizes those put forward by the leading monetary economists of the twentieth century, namely Irving Fisher (1936), Milton Friedman (1960), and James Tobin (1987). It follows Huber and Robertson (published by nef in 2000) in recognizing the digital nature of modern money, and is designed to cause the minimum amount of disruption to the financial system's computer networks and IT infrastructure in the transition period.

This proposal deserves serious consideration. It is easy and inexpensive to implement – certainly much cheaper than a new bailout, and less disruptive to the City than broader regulation, such as a new 'Glass-Steagal'-type Act. It merely makes banks operate in the way people (including many economists) assume they operate already – as true intermediaries between savers and borrowers. By doing so, it removes one of the primary sources of economic instability.

Towards a Twenty First Century Banking and Monetary System: Submission to the Independent Commission on Banking
Ben Dyson,Tony Greenham, Josh Ryan Collins and Richard A.Werner
Joint Submission by the Centre for Banking, Finance and Sustainable Development — University of Southampton, School of Management (Professor!Richard A. Werner, nef (the new economics foundation) (Tony Greenham and Josh Ryan Collins) and Positive Money (Ben Dyson)

Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Andrew Jackson on Positive Money v. the Chicago Plan Revisited and Full Reserve Banking


More on monetary systems. This post compares and contrasts the Chicago Plan Revised full reserve proposal with Positive Money's credit plan, which is based, I believe, on Richard Werner's credit theory.

Clint Balinger
Can Full Reserve Banking actually even stop credit-money creation? The Chicago Plan v. Positive Money
Andrew Jackson | Positive Money

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Clint Ballinger — Post Keynesianism, MMT, & 100% Reserves Project, Post No. 2

Taken from the comments on my last post on MMT/Chicago Plan/FRB & several similar pages the Questions below seem to be the central questions/objections between Full RB & MMT (or Post Keynesian, or MR).
Answering them clearly I think could reduce “talking past” each other. These Qs touch on the most fundamental differences, avoiding digressions.
Help in answering these is greatly appreciated. (PS Is using the comment section below uncomfortable? I may try to set up a wiki if enough people want).
Clint Ballinger

Post Keynesianism, MMT, & 100% Reserves Project, Post No. 2

Comment there, here, or both.

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Clint Ballinger — Post Keynesianism, MMT, & 100% Reserves Project: Question #1

[This is part of an ongoing effort to understand and explain differences and points of agreement between Modern Monetary Theory, Full Reserve Banking, Post Keynesianism, Steve Keen’s work, and related approaches in as simple of terms as possible (difficult, as the debates hinge on complex and subtle concepts at times, but I will try). The goal is to create a resource for the general public to better understand these areas of study and why neoclassical economics fails, and to foster clearer communication between MMT, FRB, and PK proponents.]
If this is of interest, check out the comments over there, too. CB clarifies in light of some off-blog responses.

Clint Ballinger — On good urbanism, sane economics, & problems in the social sciences
Post Keynesianism, MMT, & 100% Reserves Project: Question #1
Clint Ballinger
(h/t Matt Franko in the comments)

Sunday, December 2, 2012

Ralph Musgrave — Werner versus Kotlikoff on Full Reserve Banking


Ralph compares and contrasts Laurence Kotlikoff and Richard Werner on full reserve and finds it a draw with respect to advantages and disadvantages.

Ralphonomics
Werner versus Kotlikoff
Ralph Musgrave

Monday, November 26, 2012

Ralph Musgrave — Steve Keen’s objections to full reserve banking

Steve Keen does not deny that full reservewould work, but thinks the change would not be worthwhile. He gives three reasons, all of which are a bit shaky....
Ralphonomics
Steve Keen’s objections to full reserve banking
Ralph Musgrave

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Ralph Musgrave — Bank balance sheet changes on converting to full reserve

Two IMF authors, Benes and Kumhof, set out their ideas on the changes to the consolidated balance sheet of commercial banks that would take place on converting to full reserve banking. I expressed reservations about their ideas here. 
Now for something more positive: some ideas as to what the balance sheet changes WOULD look like....
Ralphonomics
Bank balance sheet changes on converting to full reserve
Ralph Musgrave

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard — IMF's epic plan to conjure away debt and dethrone bankers

So there is a magic wand after all. A revolutionary paper by the International Monetary Fund ["The Chicago Plan Revisited"] claims that one could eliminate the net public debt of the US at a stroke, and by implication do the same for Britain, Germany, Italy, or Japan.
The Telegraph
IMF's epic plan to conjure away debt and dethrone bankers
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
(h/t Andy Blatchford via email)