Showing posts with label tradeoffs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tradeoffs. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 14, 2019

Is There Really A Trade-Off Between Inflation And Unemployment? — Brian Romanchuk

Rather than attempt to explain what the mainly neoclassical economists are going on about, I want to step back and try to translate their debate into terms that would be understood by people who do not share the same assumptions. I am pretty sure that post-Keynesian economists have a lot to say about the topic as well, but once again, they tend to be discussing wonkish points that would elude an outsider.…

I have an engineering background, and engineering is largely the science of trade-offs. I have no strong objections to qualitative discussions, but I would argue that we need to at least know the sign of the exchange ratio between two variables in order to say that there is a trade-off between them.
Very simply, if we can have a policy that lowers both the unemployment rate and the inflation rate (or at least leaves inflation unchanged), we cannot pretend there is a meaningful "trade-off" between them.
And this is hardly theoretical: in the United States, we saw a near monotonic decrease in the unemployment rate after the Financial Crisis, yet the inflation rate has done absolutely nothing interesting....
Bond Economics
Is There Really A Trade-Off Between Inflation And Unemployment?
Brian Romanchuk

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Noah Smith — Economists Pretend They Don't Pick Winners and Losers


The rediscovery of political economy. Surprise, economics is normative as well as positive owing to it subject matter. Methodological choice including assumptions matter for picking winners and losers.

Economics involves tradeoffs. Tradeoffs are not equally distributed. Some win and some lose. Who chooses and on what basis?

These are social and political issues in addition to economic.

Noahpinion
Economists Pretend They Don't Pick Winners and Losers
Noah Smith | Bloomberg View columnist

Friday, June 17, 2016

Daniel Little — Capitalism 2.0?


Important. Many links.

Understanding Society
Capitalism 2.0?
Daniel Little | Chancellor of the University of Michigan-Dearborn, Professor of Philosophy at UM-Dearborn and Professor of Sociology at UM-Ann Arbor

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Stephen G. Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz — A Primer on Central Bank Independence

Central bank independence is controversial. It requires the delegation of powerful authority to a group of unelected officials. In a democracy, this anomaly naturally raises questions of legitimacy. It also raises fears of the concentration of power in the hands of a select few.…
Good starting point. They acknowledge the issue is a tradeoff between democracy and technocracy, and price stability and growth, liquidity and solvency.

Money & Banking
A Primer on Central Bank Independence
Stephen G. Cecchetti, Professor of International Economics at the Brandeis International Business School, and Kermit L. Schoenholtz is Professor of Management Practice in the Department of Economics of New York University’s Leonard N. Stern School of Business
ht Mark Thoma at Economist's View


Thursday, December 11, 2014

Dani Rodrik — Good and Bad Inequality

In the pantheon of economic theories, the tradeoff between equality and efficiency used to occupy an exalted position. The American economist Arthur Okun, whose classic work on the topic is called Equality and Efficiency: The Big Tradeoff, believed that public policies revolved around managing the tension between those two values.… 
The belief that boosting equality requires sacrificing economic efficiency is grounded in one of the most cherished ideas in economics: incentives. Firms and individuals need the prospect of higher incomes to save, invest, work hard, and innovate. If taxation of profitable firms and rich households blunts those prospects, the result is reduced effort and lower economic growth.… 
In recent years, however, neither economic theory nor empirical evidence has been kind to the presumed tradeoff. Economists have produced new arguments showing why good economic performance is not only compatible with distributive fairness, but may even demand it.… 
Economics is a science that can claim to have uncovered few, if any, universal truths. Like almost everything else in social life, the relationship between equality and economic performance is likely to be contingent rather than fixed, depending on the deeper causes of inequality and many mediating factors. So the emerging new consensus on the harmful effects of inequality is as likely to mislead as the old one was.… 
It is good that economists no longer regard the equality-efficiency tradeoff as an iron law. We should not invert the error and conclude that greater equality and better economic performance always go together. After all, there really is only one universal truth in economics: It depends.
Economists like to compare a limited number of variables in order to discover patterns in an otherwise jumbled and confusing context of events. Economists especially like identifying patterns that can be expressed in terms of an independent variable and dependent variable. By assigning different quantitative values to the independent variable, the effect on the dependent variable can be expressed neatly as the result of a mathematical function.

This method requires a imposing level of abstraction using qualifying assumptions such as cet. par. This approach is the basis of the claim that economic behavior can be viewed in terms of "tradeoffs" that reveal the degree to which one thing must be sacrificed in order to gain the advantage of another that stand in inverse relationship. Opportunity cost is key to the economic notion of rationality based on utility maximization that underlies conventional economic, for example. Other tradeoffs operate similarly.

The "it depends" relates to the actual context that is independent of the stylization for modeling convenience and remains operative. This stylization assumes a homogenous background, which is a huge simplification in an economy embedded in a society as a complex system under uncertainty functioning as a network with a web of feedback loops.

The question is whether any can "iron laws" emerge from such a procedure?

Project Syndicate
Good and Bad Inequality
Dani Rodrik | Professor of Social Science at the Institute for Advanced Study, Princeton, New Jersey