Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Bill Mitchell — Turkey–who is squeezing who?

It’s Wednesday and a shorter blog post, which includes the latest from Turkey and some music. The mainstream narrative against Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has been ramped up significantly in recent weeks as a result of events in Turkey, where, up until yesterday, the currency had depreciated significantly. The screams for interest rate rises from bankers etc (of course! they profit or protect foreign debt exposure) have been deafening. But the most recent monetary policy decision was on December 16, 2021, when the CBRT reduced its policy rate (the one-week repo auction rate) from 15 per cent to 14 per cent. The ‘markets’ can’t really get a handle on the current government’s thinking because it is running against the mainstream in several ways, including cutting rates to reduce inflationary pressures (see Press release on Interest Rates – from the CBRT). Overnight a big swing happened after the government made a significant fiscal policy announcement. That will further confound the markets who were forced to scramble to close out short-selling positions as the lira appreciated by around 25 per cent in one day. The fiscal squeeze worked. You couldn’t make this stuff up....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Turkey – who is squeezing who?
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

Tuesday, December 21, 2021

Review of There is Nothing for You Here: Finding Opportunity in the 21st Century by Fiona Hill, Mariner Books; 2021. — Natylie Baldwin

Fiona Hill, former official at the U.S. National Security Council specializing in Russian and European affairs, is a "Russia expert." Natylie Baldwin explains why she finds that dubious based on reading Hill's book.

AntiWar
Review of There is Nothing for You Here: Finding Opportunity in the 21st Century by Fiona Hill, Mariner Books; 2021.
Natylie Baldwin
https://www.antiwar.com/blog/2021/12/21/review-of-there-is-nothing-for-you-here-finding-opportunity-in-the-21st-century-by-fiona-hill-mariner-books-2021/

What could happen next if the USA rejects the Russian ultimatum? — The Saker

Update.

The Vineyard of the Saker
What could happen next if the USA rejects the Russian ultimatum?
The Saker
http://thesaker.is/what-could-happen-next-if-the-usa-rejects-the-russian-ultimatum/

Reminiscence of the Future
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues.
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/12/patrick-armstrong-went-all-in.htmlhttp://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/12/patrick-armstrong-went-all-in.html

Mass representative democracy — Steve Randy Waldman

Is it possible to have an actual democracy as governance of, by, and for the people instead of an oligarchy?

Interfluidity
Mass representative democracy
Steve Randy Waldman

We’ve Seen The Ultimatum, What Is The “Or Else”? — Patrick Armstrong

Detailed analysis of the Russian ultimatum to the US. When reading PA, follow the links he provides.

Russia Observer
WE’VE SEEN THE ULTIMATUM, WHAT IS THE “OR ELSE”?
Patrick Armstrong, retired analyst and diplomat (2008) serving in the Canadian Department of National Defence specializing in the USSR/Russia from 1984 and a Counsellor in the Canadian Embassy in Moscow in 1993-1996.
https://patrickarmstrong.ca/2021/12/21/weve-seen-the-ultimatum-what-is-the-or-else/

See also

Gilbert Doctorow — International relations, Russian affairs
A surprise Russian ultimatum: new draft treaties to roll back NATOA surprise Russian ultimatum: new draft treaties to roll back NATO
Gilbert Doctorow | European Coordinator of The American Committee for East West Accord Ltd.
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2021/12/19/a-surprise-russian-ultimatum-new-draft-treaties-to-roll-back-nato/

The Vineyard of the Saker\
Quick update on the Russian ultimatum
The Saker
http://thesaker.is/quick-update-on-the-russian-ultimatum/

Sputnik International
Russia Considers NATO’s Further Expansion to Its Borders a ‘Red Line’, Foreign Minister Says
https://sputniknews.com/20211221/russia-considers-natos-further-expansion-to-its-borders-a-red-line-foreign-minister-says-1091702304.html

Zero Hedge
US Issues Advisory Warning Against Travel To Ukraine Due To "Russia Threat"
Tyler Durden
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-issues-advisory-warning-against-travel-ukraine-due-russia-threat

History News Network (yes)
The U.S. Can Legally Intervene in the Ukraine Should Russia Invade
https://historynewsnetwork.org/article/182056

AntiWar
Putin Has a Big Brother in Xi
Ray McGovern, co-founder of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, and retired 27-year career CIA whose tasks included preparing and briefing The President’s Daily Brief and leading the Soviet Foreign Policy Branch
https://raymcgovern.com/2021/12/21/putin-has-a-big-brother-in-xi/

Neochartalists On Turkey, Part 2 — Ramanan

Ramanan responds to Bill Mitchell

The Case for Concerted Action
Neochartalists On Turkey, Part 2
V. Ramanan

Nord Stream 2 is a double-edged geopolitical tool — M. K. Bhadrakumar

Where's the US LNG?

India Punchline
Nord Stream 2 is a double-edged geopolitical tool
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
https://www.indianpunchline.com/nord-stream-2-is-a-double-edged-geopolitical-tool/

See Also

Sputnik International
Gas Futures in Europe Hit New All-Time High Above $2,150 Per 1,000 Cubic Meters
https://sputniknews.com/20211221/gas-futures-in-europe-hit-new-all-time-high-above-2150-per-1000-cubic-meters-1091699523.html

Zero Hedge
Europe On Edge Of Energy Disaster As Power Prices Smash All Records
Tyler Durden
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/europes-energy-crisis-rapidly-intensifies-power-prices-scream-higher

Oilprice
Europe’s Gas Prices Jump To Record As Key Pipeline From Russia Halts Flows
Tsvetana Paraskov
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Europes-Gas-Prices-Jump-To-Record-As-Key-Pipeline-From-Russia-Halts-Flows.html

TASS
Reverse gas supplies start via Yamal-Europe to Poland after Gazprom’s booking refusal
https://tass.com/economy/1378677


Monday, December 20, 2021

Bill Mitchell — To reclaim the state, we have to start with ourselves

The problem is capitalism.

Because the logic of that system evolves into what we have.

Harry Braverman understood that even though he didn’t live to see the worst of what it has become.

As the first step, education.

Then, reclaim the state.

Then evolve the production and distribution system away from one that needs to colonise every aspect of our lives with ‘markets’.…
Not MMT but it is important that an MMT economist is saying it. What is the point of full employment when the tendency of capitalist expansion — commoditizing everything — is creating bullshit jobs? Marx called this alienation. I am happy to see Bill addressing this head on.

Bill Mitchell – billy blog
To reclaim the state, we have to start with ourselves
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

China sets to build fusion energy research facility — Xinhua

China is building a research facility to incubate core technologies used in power generation of fusion energy that powers the sun.

The facility in the pipeline, called "Comprehensive Research Facility for Fusion Technology" (CRAFT), is a platform on which engineers develop and test fusion energy reactor's key components.

It is expected to be finished around 2024, according to the Institute of Plasma Physics under the Chinese Academy of Sciences (ASIPP).

China has already completed the engineering design of a fusion energy testing reactor, according to ASIPP.…
The next step. 

Xinhua (Chinese state media)

Links 20 Dec 2021

India Punchline (out of paradigm with MMT but still interesting)
Joe Biden presidency on the skids. World must take note.
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
https://www.indianpunchline.com/joe-biden-presidency-on-the-skids-world-must-take-note/

Reminiscence of the Future
Saker Did A Good Write Up On Russian Ultimatum's Options
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/12/saker-did-good-write-up-on-russian.html

Dances with Bears
GERMAN PARLIAMENT OFFICE REPORTS NO RUSSIAN INVASION OF DONBASS, REJECTS MEDIA AND GOVERNMENT PROPAGANDA
http://johnhelmer.net/german-parliament-office-reports-no-russian-invasion-of-donbass-rejects-media-and-government-propaganda/

RUSSIA’S NON-AGGRESSION PACT IS AN OFFER FOR GERMANY TO REALIZE THE US WON’T NEGOTIATE BECAUSE THE BLIN-NEEDLE GANG WILL FIGHT TO THE LAST GERMAN, THEN RUN AWAY
http://johnhelmer.net/russias-non-aggression-pact-is-an-offer-for-germany-to-realize-the-us-wont-negotiate-because-the-blin-needle-gang-will-fight-to-the-last-german-then-run-away/
John Helmer

TASS (Russian state media)
Moscow ready for military response if NATO ignores Moscow’s concerns — senior diploma [Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov]
https://tass.com/politics/1378079

Putin, Modi express intent to further develop Russia-India strategic partnership
https://tass.com/politics/1378043

US breaking promises by trying to use Taiwan to contain China, Beijing says
https://tass.com/world/1377995

Chinese top diplomat: ‘We aren’t afraid of confrontation with US, but seek cooperation’
https://tass.com/world/1377991

Sputnik International
White House: US Ready to Engage in Diplomacy With Russia, Says Dialogue Must Be Based on Reciprocity
https://sputniknews.com/20211220/white-house-us-ready-to-engage-in-diplomacy-with-russia-says-dialogue-must-be-based-on-reciprocity-1091675671.html

ECNS
Chinese FM calls for exploring way of peaceful coexistence between China, U.S.
http://www.ecns.cn/news/politics/2021-12-20/detail-ihatyfhf5832200.shtml
https://www.counterpunch.org/2021/12/20/the-mainstream-media-seems-to-want-more-war-for-the-united-states/

NEO — Journal of Russian Academy of Science’s Institute for Oriental Studies
Belt and Road: How Laos Exemplifies Preconditions for Global Success
Petr Konovalov
https://journal-neo.org/2021/12/20/belt-and-road-how-laos-exemplifies-preconditions-for-global-success/

ECNS
Under British colonial rule, no democracy in Hong Kong: white paper
http://www.ecns.cn/news/2021-12-20/detail-ihatyfhf5832181.shtml

Full Text: Hong Kong: Democratic Progress Under the Framework of One Country, Two Systems
http://www.ecns.cn/news/politics/2021-12-20/detail-ihatyfhf5832113.shtml

The Vineyard of the Saker
A Throne of Chinese Skulls! Oh Yeah?
Chris Faure for the Saker Blog
http://thesaker.is/a-throne-of-chinese-skulls-oh-yeah/

RT — China & Russia are ready to end US dominance of global finance

Not in paradigm with MMT, but that is a small point in the overall article, which is about de-dollarization as the US increasingly uses finance as a weapon in economic warfare.

RT (Russian state-sponsored media)
China & Russia are ready to end US dominance of global finance
https://www.rt.com/russia/543537-us-world-bank-role-lose/

Michael Roberts — Chile: copper-bottomed?

The victory of Boric could open up a new chapter is Chile’s political economy. Indeed, there are huge opportunities for the Chilean economy to increase investment and diversify the economy. The IMF finds that even under the previous regimes there has been some development in non-mineral and technology exports. This must be the way for Chile to go.

So will Boric revive the socialist experiment began by Salvador Allende in the early 1970s? So far, that seems unlikely, as Boric’s program is moderate by those standards; with no plans to socialise the economy, but merely to try and redistribute the largesse appropriated by capital somewhat more evenly. The multi-nationals and the forces of the reactionary right-wing in the Chilean business sector, Congress and the media are gearing up for an incessant campaign of attack against the new President....
Detailed analysis of the Chilean economy and neoliberal economic policy since Pinochet. Can the incoming leftist president turn it around? Michael Roberts cautions that this will be difficult with the electorate almost equally divided between left and right.

This division is similar to the US but only superficially in that Chile has a real left and the US does not. Even though the US is a center right country, its political leadership still cannot come to compromise on issues of pressing public purpose.

Michael Roberts Blog — blogging from a marxist economist
Chile: copper-bottomed?
Michael Roberts
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2021/12/20/chile-copper-bottomed/

Bill Mitchell — Turkey tells us nothing about MMT–but MMT tells us a lot about why Turkey is in trouble

I have noticed a lot of Internet traffic about Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and the situation in Turkey at present. Apparently, as the narrative goes, MMT is finally being revealed as a fraud because Turkey’s economy is going backwards and its currency is depreciating rapidly. The logic, it seems, is that if a nation enters rough economic waters and the financial markets sell its currency (although remember someone has to be buying it simultaneously) then that proves MMT is false. An extraordinarily naive viewpoint if you think about it. This viewpoint has somehow missed the train on understanding what MMT actually is and seems to think that MMT economists have seen Turkey as a policy model. In this blog post, I consider some aspects of this naivety. It won’t silence the critiques, but it, hopefully will educate those who are interested in the topic and are learning about MMT....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Turkey tells us nothing about MMT – but MMT tells us a lot about why Turkey is in trouble
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=48895

Sunday, December 19, 2021

Links — 19 Dec 2021

Russia’s ultimatum to the WestThe Vineyard of the Saker
Russia’s ultimatum to the West
The Saker
http://thesaker.is/russias-ultimatum-to-the-west/

Eurasia Review
US Senator: Russia Trying To Create ‘Pretext For War’ By Making Impossible-To-Accept Demands From US, NATO
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
https://www.eurasiareview.com/20122021-us-senator-russia-trying-to-create-pretext-for-war-by-making-impossible-to-accept-demands-from-us-nato/

TASS
Any NATO’s expansion adds to its own vulnerability - Russian senior diplomat
https://tass.com/politics/1377781

Sputnik International
French Defenсe Minister Says Paris Unwilling to Return to Cold War With Russia
https://sputniknews.com/20211219/french-defense-minister-says-paris-unwilling-to-return-to-cold-war-with-russia-1091645774.html

Moon of Alabama
Russia Details Security Demands To U.S. And NATO
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/12/russia-details-secruity-demands-to-us-and-nato.html

Reminiscence of the Future
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues.
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/12/people-asked-i-respond-on-run.html

The Unz Review
War with China! Another Bright Idea from the Yankee Capital
Fred Reed
https://www.unz.com/freed/war-with-china-another-bright-idea-from-the-yankee-capital/

Asia Times (more signs of a shift in the world order away from US unilateral dominance.
Israel ponders a Pax Sinica
Spengler (David P. Goldman)
https://asiatimes.com/2021/12/israel-ponders-a-pax-sinica/

Sputnik International (it was already clear in the translation at the time)
Chinese Tennis Player Peng Shuai Denies Making Sexual Assault Accusations
https://sputniknews.com/20211219/chinese-tennis-player-peng-shuai-denies-making-sexual-assault-accusations-1091653324.html

Axios
Leftist former student leader Gabriel Boric elected Chile's youngest-ever president
https://www.axios.com/chile-leftist-gabriel-boric-elected-president-f3e51570-9685-46eb-aba6-d2d9a5a6db47.html

Oilprice
Coal Use Is Reaching Record Levels In India And China
City A. M.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Coal/Coal-Use-Is-Reaching-Record-Levels-In-India-And-China.html




Rendezvous in Mallorca: a conversation with Warren Mosler — Stuart Medina Miltimore

Extract from a long interview with Warren Mosler held in Mallorca on October 14, 2021. Originally published by Red MMT in both English and Spanish
The Gower Initiative for Modern Money Studies
Rendezvous in Mallorca: a conversation with Warren Mosler
Stuart Medina Miltimore

The Enlightened Economist Prize 2021 — Diane Coyle

 A worthy choice. Amartya Sen, currently Thomas W. Lamont University Professor, and Professor of Economics and Philosophy at Harvard University. He formerly served as Master of Trinity College at the University of Cambridge. He was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences[ in 1998 and India's Bharat Ratna in 1999 for his work in welfare economics. The German Publishers and Booksellers Association awarded him the 2020 Peace Prize of the German Book Trade for his pioneering scholarship addressing issues of global justice and combating social inequality in education and healthcare. (Wikipedia)

The Enlightened Economist
The Enlightened Economist Prize 2021
Diane Coyle | Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Links — 18 Dec 2021

Russia Observer
AMERICANS NEED A CONSPIRACY THEORY THEY CAN ALL AGREE ON
Patrick Armstrong, retired analyst and diplomat (2008) serving in the Canadian Department of National Defence specializing in the USSR/Russia from 1984 and a Counsellor in the Canadian Embassy in Moscow in 1993-1996.
https://patrickarmstrong.ca/2021/12/18/3914/

India Punchline
A Sino-Russian military alliance is gratuitous (as of now)
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

CaitlinJohnstone.com
“Chinese Aggression” Is Just China Responding To US Aggression
Caitlin Johnstone
https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2021/12/18/chinese-aggression-is-just-china-responding-to-us-aggression/

The Vineyard of the Saker
The Russian website GEOFOR interviews the Saker
The Saker
http://thesaker.is/the-russian-website-geofor-interviews-the-saker/

Sputnik International
Moscow: If US, NATO Reject Security Proposals, Russia Will Be Forced to Create Counterthreats
https://sputniknews.com/20211218/moscow-if-us-rejects-security-proposals-russia-will-be-forced-to-create-counterthreats-1091631658.html

TASS
NATO to face ‘military-technical alternative’ if it rejects Russian proposals - diplomat
https://tass.com/politics/1377629

Common Dreams
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2021/12/18/ny-times-us-hid-true-toll-air-wars-thousands-dead-civilians-many-them-children

Neochartalists (“MMTers”) On Turkey — V. Ramanan

This is an old debate begun by the opposition between Warren Mosler and Wynne Godley. The former dismissed the crucial importance of the international position/balance of payment that Wynne Godley held.

Turkey is addressing its trade balance by increasing military exports while sticking with low rates on the assumption that raising the interest rate is a price increase that is passed through the economy. This can still be correct even if the international position/BoP is also a significant factor.  So the question comes down to how significant it is relative to monetary and fiscal policy.

The Case for Concerted Action
Neochartalists (“MMTers”) On Turkey
V. Ramanan

Friday, December 17, 2021

China Rescues Myanmar From Dangerous Dollar-Dominated Waters — Brian Berletic

China and the Myanmar junta agree to use yuan in cross-border trade, evading the USD-dominated system. China and Russia recently made a similar agreement. De-dollarization expands its reach as a result of sanctions.

Additionally, Brian Berletic presents the Myanmar situation from a different POV politically and geopolitically.

NEO
China Rescues Myanmar From Dangerous Dollar-Dominated Waters
Brian Berletic

Related at NEO
The western elites have finally pushed China and Russia too far. A long awaited independent trade network and alternative currencies will certainly go forward as Washington pushes NATO deeper into Eurasia. Presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin have now agreed to accelerate attempts to create a system that cannot be influenced by ‘third parties.’
The New Great Game Is Afoot – With All Of Us “Underfoot”
Phil Butler

Russian draft documents on legal security guarantees from the United States and NATO — The Saker

This document is in six sections.
  1. The first is from ColonelCassad and is a machine translation. This would form a necessary overview and is a description of the current situation.
  2. The second is Russian Deputy FM Ryabkov’s special video briefing in Moscow and contains some incisive Q&A
  3. The third is a short press release
  4. The fourth is a proposed draft treaty between the Russian Federation and the United States of America on security guarantees
  5. The fifth is a cohesive complement to the draft treaty and is an agreement on measures to ensure the security of the Russian Federation and member states of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO).
  6. The sixth is Jen Psaki’s initial response as reported by RT
We await the Saker’s Analysis in the next few days....
The Vineyard of the Saker
Russian draft documents on legal security guarantees from the United States and NATO
The Saker

GOODBYE TO SCF — Patrick Armstrong

Just sent this to SCF [Strategic Culture Foundation]

As you can see from this, the threats that have silenced many of your American contributors will be coming to Canada soon.

I will no longer contribute to Strategic Culture Foundation. Thank you for your honourable behaviour and honesty. I am sorry to do this but it’s a case of force majeure. I’m too old to want to fight it.

Please give any remaining honorariums to this charity supported by the Rotary Club of St Petersburg.

Thank you.
Patrick Armstrong blogs here at his own site and at Col. Patrick Lang's site, Turcopolier. Presumably, he will continue to publish at this venues.

Russian Observer
GOODBYE TO SCF
Patrick Armstrong, retired analyst and diplomat (2008) serving in the Canadian Department of National Defence specializing in the USSR/Russia from 1984 and a Counsellor in the Canadian Embassy in Moscow in 1993-1996.

Exploring the impact of automation and new technologies on the future of U.S. workers and their families — Kathryn Zickuhr

Employers are only concerned with the economic, socializing the externality involved. Thus, these innovations appear to constitute a mixed bag that will have social and therefore political implications, in addition to economic, likely leading to labor unrest unless creative solutions are found and implemented successfully at scale.

WCEG — The Equitablog
Exploring the impact of automation and new technologies on the future of U.S. workers and their families
Kathryn Zickuhr, labor market policy analyst at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth

Why China Continues to Rise — Zhang Jun

If countries like the United States are imposing high tariffs on Chinese exports, it stands to reason that China should depend less on exports. Likewise, if countries are restricting technology transfer to Chinese companies, China must ensure that it can develop the technologies it needs without outside help....
First Russia and now China driven to import substitution to achieve greater self-sufficiency. 

The next obvious step is Russia and China sharing technology and manufacturing capability and capacity. That is likely happening already. This will further undercut Western dominance. The great danger is that as a result the West will resort to war to maintain dominance as it looses leverage.

China has a large enough domestic population to become self-sufficient, especially when it is receiving Russia's natural resources to meet its development demand, which, of course, also benefits Russia and deprives other customers of what goes to China.

 Russia is not all that significant to the US, although it is to Europe, but China is significant. Moreover, the loss of exports to China that will never be coming back after substitution is highly significant. Decoupling would be major.

Project Syndicate
Why China Continues to Rise
Zhang Jun, Dean of the School of Economics at Fudan University, is Director of the China Center for Economic Studies, a Shanghai-based think tank
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-technological-development-despite-international-hostility-by-zhang-jun-2021-12

Spectre of war is haunting Europe — M. K. Bhadrakumar

 I would amend the headline to "the world," since Russia has warned that it will strike command cneters, including the continental US, if the US/NATO attacks. China has committed to backing Russia. WWIII?

India Punchline
Spectre of war is haunting Europe
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
https://www.indianpunchline.com/spectre-of-war-is-haunting-europe/

Thursday, December 16, 2021

The Maestro of Messes — Patrick Lawrence

 Globo-neoliberalism gasping for air?

Counterpunch
The Maestro of Messes
Patrick Lawrence
https://consortiumnews.com/2021/12/14/patrick-lawrence-the-maestro-of-messes/

Related

Reminiscence of the Future
It Hurts Where It Matters The Most. Wealth
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues.
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/12/it-hurts-where-it-matters-most-wealth.html

The scam of the Reagan-era neoliberalism is crumbling—and there's a battle for its replacement — Thom Hartmann

Speculative but interesting if you are interested in historical cycles. Hartmann sees the battle for replacement of neoliberalism (Thatcherism/Reaganism, "trickle down") as being between progressivism  on the left and populism, which he labels neo-fascism, on the right. Of course, the right labels progressivism as socialism and even communism. So it will be interesting to see this play out in the elections of US elections of '22 (midterm) and '24 (general). The GOP is already positioned toward populism, whereas the Democrats are locked in a struggle between the neoliberal (Clinton-Obama-Biden wing that is dominant) and the progressive (Bernie Sanders wing). At this point, the political energy favors the mostly unified GOP against the fractured Democrats.

AlterNet
The scam of the Reagan-era neoliberalism is crumbling — and there's a battle for its replacement
Thom Hartmann
https://www.alternet.org/2021/12/ronald-reagan-era-neoliberal/

Related

Sputnik International
US Voters Favor Republicans Over Democrats by 48% to 39% in Generic Congress Ballot
https://sputniknews.com/20211217/us-voters-favor-republicans-over-democrats-by-48-to-39-in-generic-congress-ballot-1091586032.html

Biden’s “democracy summit”–how Marx showed the fake character of capitalism’s concept of “human rights” — ̋ John Ross

Marx put it regarding the purely formal statements of capitalist/parliamentary democracy: “The state abolishes, in its own way, distinctions of birth, social rank, education, occupation, when it declares that birth, social rank, education, occupation, are non-political distinctions, when it proclaims, without regard to these distinction, that every member of the nation is an equal participant in national sovereignty.” But in reality, none of these real distinctions was removed: “Nevertheless, the state allows private property, education, occupation, to act in their way – i.e., as private property, as education, as occupation, and to exert the influence of their special nature. Far from abolishing these real distinctions, the state only exists on the presupposition of their existence.”…
"Democracy" and "rights" in name only. The supposed "freedom" is negative freedom, i.e., absence of constraint. But there is no guarantee of positive freedom of agency or consequence, as the data show. "Liberal democracy is an abstraction that should not be confused with reality, which tells a different story.

Learning from China
Biden’s “democracy summit” – how Marx showed the fake character of capitalism’s concept of “human rights”
John Ross, Senior Fellow, Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China
https://www.learningfromchina.net/bidens-democracy-summit-how-marx-showed-the-fake-character-of-capitalisms-concept-of-human-rights/

International Links — 16 Dec 2021

India Punchline
A Sino-Russian Military Alliance Is Gratuitous (As Of Now)
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service
https://www.indianpunchline.com/a-sino-russian-military-alliance-is-gratuitous-as-of-now/

Asia Times (disregard the view about debt)
Putin, Xi running circles around Biden’s hybrid war
Pepe Escobar
https://asiatimes.com/2021/12/putin-xi-running-circles-around-bidens-hybrid-war/

AntiWar
Xi to Putin: Our Relationship ‘Exceeds an Alliance’
Ray McGovern
https://raymcgovern.com/2021/12/16/xi-to-putin-our-relationship-exceeds-an-alliance/

TASS
Press review: Russia, China bolster ties to take on West and key US official visits Moscow
https://tass.com/pressreview/1376319

Sputnik International (translation: Western liberalism, stay out of India. We are traditional.)
Don't 'Interfere in Our Hindutva Movement', BJP MP Warns Prospective US Ambassador to India
https://sputniknews.com/20211216/dont-interfere-in-our-hindutva-movement-bjp-mp-warns-prospective-us-ambassador-to-india-1091565176.html

Russian Investment in US Treasuries Plummets to New Low (de-dollarization continues apace)
https://sputniknews.com/20211216/russian-investment-in-us-treasuries-plummets-to-new-low-1091569064.html

Krasno Analysis: Weekly Spotlight, No.2/2021 (December 14, 2021) 
Jack F. Matlock |Visiting Scholar at Duke University, and former U.S. ambassador to Czechoslovakia and the Soviet Union
https://www.krasnoevents.com/uploads/1/1/6/6/116679777/krasno_analysis_-_matlock_ukraine_-_dec._2021.pdf

ACURA
ACURA ViewPoint: James W. Carden: How Do We Stop The Neocons From Starting Another Disaster In Ukraine?
https://usrussiaaccord.org/acura-viewpoint-james-w-carden-how-do-we-stop-the-neocons-from-starting-another-disaster-in-ukraine/

Reminiscence of the Future
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/12/a-lesson-in-real-realism.html

The Vineyard of the Saker
Assessing the outcome of the Biden Putin summmit
The Saker
https://thesaker.is/assessing-the-outcome-of-the-biden-putin-summmit/

Central Bank Hawkishness — Brian Romanchuk

The Bank of England hiked today, and the Fed’s dot plot yesterday indicated that rate hikes are expected to hit in 2022. This is a quite different script than the last cycle, although it remains to be seen how many hikes happen before they stall out....
Bond Economics
Central Bank Hawkishness
Brian Romanchuk

Climate Change update

Extreme weather events resulting from the changing climate are threatening some 40 percent of the world’s recoverable oil and gas reserves, risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft has said in a new report.


The portion is equal to some 600 billion barrels of oil equivalent, the report’s authors also said. Some 10.5 percent of the global recoverable oil and gas reserves are located in places that were rated as extremely risky under the consultancy’s Climate Change Exposure Indices, while the other 29.5 percent were rated as highly risky.


Among the events listed in the report are storms and floods, rising sea levels, and extreme temperatures....
Oilprice
Climate Change Is Threatening 40% Of All Global Oil And Gas Reserves
Irina Slav
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Climate-Change-Is-Threatening-40-Of-All-Global-Oil-And-Gas-Reserves.h…

Tom Dispatch
Climate Crisis at the Top of the World: Global Orders and Catastrophic Change
Alfred W. McCoy | Harrington professor of history at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
https://tomdispatch.com/climate-crisis-at-the-top-of-the-world/?utm_source=TomDispatch

Counterpunch
Make No Mistake: Hydrogen = Fracking
Jeremy Nichols
https://www.counterpunch.org/2021/12/16/make-no-mistake-hydrogen-fracking/