Friday, December 17, 2021

Why China Continues to Rise — Zhang Jun

If countries like the United States are imposing high tariffs on Chinese exports, it stands to reason that China should depend less on exports. Likewise, if countries are restricting technology transfer to Chinese companies, China must ensure that it can develop the technologies it needs without outside help....
First Russia and now China driven to import substitution to achieve greater self-sufficiency. 

The next obvious step is Russia and China sharing technology and manufacturing capability and capacity. That is likely happening already. This will further undercut Western dominance. The great danger is that as a result the West will resort to war to maintain dominance as it looses leverage.

China has a large enough domestic population to become self-sufficient, especially when it is receiving Russia's natural resources to meet its development demand, which, of course, also benefits Russia and deprives other customers of what goes to China.

 Russia is not all that significant to the US, although it is to Europe, but China is significant. Moreover, the loss of exports to China that will never be coming back after substitution is highly significant. Decoupling would be major.

Project Syndicate
Why China Continues to Rise
Zhang Jun, Dean of the School of Economics at Fudan University, is Director of the China Center for Economic Studies, a Shanghai-based think tank


Marian Ruccius said...

Morocco’s extradition of Uyghur asylum seeker to China could lead to serious rights violations, argue UN experts

Four UN independent human rights experts called on Thursday for Morocco to reverse its decision to extradite a Uyghur Muslim to China as his return would place him under threat of serious human rights violations.

If he is made to return, human rights defender Yidiresi Aishan risks detention, enforced disappearance, or torture and other cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment, the experts argue.

Moreover, they underscored that no bilateral agreement on extradition or diplomatic assurances can wlease a State from its obligations under international human rights and refugee law.

Back in August, the UN experts had raised their concerns over the case with the Moroccan Government. They will continue engaging with the authorities to ensure full compliance with the absolute prohibition of refoulement under international human rights and refugee law, they said.

Endorsing the statement were Special Rapporteur on torture and other cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment Nils Melzer; Special Rapporteur on the promotion and protection of human rights while countering terrorism Fionnuala Ní Aoláin; Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights defenders Mary Lawler; and Special Rapporteur on minority issues, Fernand de Varennes RP.

Special Rapporteurs and independent experts are appointed by the Geneva-based UN Human Rights Council to examine and report back on a specific human rights theme or a country situation. The positions are honorary and the experts are not paid for their work.

Tom Hickey said...

China had issued an international arrest warrant against him over alleged "terrorist acts committed in 2017", accusing him of belonging to a terrorist organisation".

The computer engineer, who has rejected the accusations, had been based in Turkey with his family since 2012 and had not returned to China since, his lawyer said.

Peter Pan said...

What is the US/China trade balance?

Decoupling my ass.

Canada wanted to decouple from the US in favor of other countries, including China. Little progress was made.