Friday, April 30, 2010

Fed reopening unsecured Forex swap lines with the ECB

Here we go again!!! The Fed is lending unsecured to the ECB to keep libor rates from skyrocketing over there. Where is the outrage??? Where are all the "taxpayer on the hook" morons who scream bloody murder in this country???

There goes my euro short!

We are bailing out Europe and there is not a peep said about it here in the U.S. Our citizens suffer, but any amount of money for Europeans is okay. They have their own central bank, so why are we doing it???

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Unless the Fed does something stupid...

In my previous post I pointed out that the national debt has risen 13-fold in the past 30 years and interest rates have gone from 20 percent to zero. Yet despite this unequivocal proof that there is no connection between the so-called "debt" and rates, all of mainstream economics and the media continue to warn that spiralling debt will cause rates to spike.

They are flat out wrong...


...the Fed does something dumb, like raise rates on the belief that rising debt will create a need to "attract capital."

I wouldn't put it past them. (Doing something dumb, that is.)

If you listen to Bernanke's recent remarks about the need to reduce the deficit and "fiscal sustainability," it appears that he, too, doesn't understand that it is the Fed--and the Fed alone--that determines rates. (You'd think he'd understand this by now after the historic exercise in rate reduction that has occurred by his own hand! Amazing!!!)

So when the idiots at Moody's S&P and Fitch downgrade America's credit rating (and believe me, they will!) the Fed's reaction to this could easily be to raise rates on the belief that they need to do that to attract capital.

This would set in motion a rate increase cycle of who-knows-how-high proportions. Not a pretty sight.

In contrast, a Fed that understood its role as rate setter, would counter the rating Agencies' credit downgrade, by pushing rates down to zero and keeping them there until everyone very clearly understood that the rate was going nowhere north of that level.

No...better yet...if the Fed were really smart (like, if it were run by me!) I'd wait until all the lemming fools shorted Treasuries on a credit downgrade, then I'd bury them all once and for all by pushing rates down to zero. Get rid of all the cockroaches at once!!

More moronic comments from Peter Schiff

Here's another sampling of Schiff's idiocy.

Schiff is also completely missing what is going on in Europe with the Eurozone and how THOSE countries are all seriously at risk to see skyrocketing interest rates, not the U.S. which is a currency issuer. He doesn't understand this.

The U.S. public debt has gone from $900 billion in 1980 to $13 trillion currently and interest rates have fallen from 20% to 0%! Yet Schiff and most of the mainstream of economics still cannot see that there is absolutley no connection between the national "debt" and interest rates when a country spends in its own currency and where that currency is non-convertible. The interest rate is a parameter set by the central bank, period!!

Monday, April 26, 2010

I'll be on "Countdown to the Closing Bell" with Liz Claman on 4/26 at 3pm-4pm on Fox Business!

I'll be the featured guest for the entire hour on "Countdown to the Closing Bell" with Liz Claman on the Fox Business Network, Monday, April 26 (my birthday!) at 3pm - 4pm. We will be discussing a lot of the topics I talk about here: debt, deficits, the Fed, monetary policy, the euro's troubles and plenty more stuff. Hope to spread the word about Modern Money Theory. Please tune in if you can!!

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Greek yields at highs as unemployment rises

Greek falling further into the abyss.

“The labour market will continue to deteriorate in the coming months, as a result of plunging demand, large spare capacity levels and an increasingly worrying economic outlook,” said Diego Iscaro at IHS Global Insight.

Pressure mounting. Long consolidation in the euro at 1.35 will give way to much lower exchange rate. Read how you can make up to 20 times your money on a euro crash! Go here.

Monday, April 19, 2010

Citigroup Net More Than Doubles as Loan Costs Decline

Where's Meredith Whitney now? Got lucky on the way down...clueless on the way up!!! Just like Schiff!!

Taxes for Revenue are obsolete!

This was a great article sent to me by Warren Mosler. It was written by NY Fed president, Beardsley Ruml back in 1946. He clearly understands the distinction between a sovereign currency issuing nation that's not on a gold standard and one that is. Too bad all of academic economics and current policy makers at the highest level DO NOT UNDERSTAND!!

Some excerpts...

The necessity for a government to tax in order to maintain both its independence and its solvency is true for state and local governments, but it is not true for a national government. Two changes of the greatest consequence have occurred in the last twenty-five years which have substantially altered the position of the national state with respect to the financing of its current requirements.

The first of these changes is the gaining of vast new experience in the management of central banks.

The second change is the elimination, for domestic purposes, of the convertibility of the currency into gold.

The United States is a national state which has a central banking system, the Federal Reserve System, and whose currency, for domestic purposes, is not convertible into any commodity. It follows that our Federal Government has final freedom from the money market in meeting its financial requirements. Accordingly, the inevitable social and economic consequences of any and all taxes have now become the prime consideration in the imposition of taxes. In general, it may be said that since all taxes have consequences of a social and economic character, the government should look to these consequences in formulating its tax policy. All federal taxes must meet the test of public policy and practical effect. The public purpose which is served should never be obscured in a tax program under the mask of raising revenue.

Very enlightening. Read the full article here and send it to your representatives in Congress!!

Let it be known...Bill Gross, Larry Kudlow, Larry Summers, Tim Geithner, all of the financial media and every economist on Wall Street...DO NOT UNDERSTAND THIS BASIC CONCEPT!!!

New York’s Fifth Ave. Sets Record with $300m Lease

And things are not getting a bit crazy again???

Japanese clothier Uniqlo agreed to pay $300 million over 15 years for a location on 5th Avenue. That's $1.67 million per month!!

Too bad...I'm long Japan. However, it seems they haven't learned anything. This is like the $3 million golf club memberships back in 1990!

Forex markets set to explode!

Don't waste time...learn to daytrade the currency markets now!!

My upcoming 5-day intensive online forex daytrading course will teach you everything you need to know to be a successful currency trader!

Register here.

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Register now for my upcoming Forex daytrading course

Don't let a bad economy force you to take a hit in income. Learn to daytrade the best markets in the world--Forex!

This 5-day intensive training will teach you how to take consistent profits out the forex markets. Learn to use the extremely powerful Oanda forex platform.

No commissions!
No fees!
True, 24-hour seamless trading
On over 40 different currency pairs, including the Chinese yuan!

Class size is limited so register now!

Go here for more info: Mike Norman's Intensive Forex Daytrading Course.

U.S. deficit down in first half 2010

The deficit for the first half of the year is $64 billion less than last year and full-year estimates have it as much as $300 bln lower.

Since deficit spending adds to the net wealth of the private sector in the form of greater holdings of financial assets, this constitutes a drain of private sector wealth. It's one reason that I remain bearish on the stock market.

Anyone who has been reading my report, "Fiscal Trend Digest" already knew of these trends months ago. Fiscal Trend Digest is the only daily in-depth analysis of fiscal trends anywhere!

Subscribe to Fiscal Trend Digest here.

Monday, April 12, 2010

Europe bankrolls Greece

"BRUSSELS—European governments said they were prepared to extend Greece a €30 billion bailout if needed, in an effort to deliver the country from a debt crisis that has rattled markets for months and tested Europe's monetary union." -Wall Street Journal 4/12/2010

Great. Now are they prepared to do that for Spain, Italy, Ireland and Portugal? Because that's what they'll need to do as each of those countries are struggling with similar--or worse--debt problems.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Greek banks plead for more aid in debt crisis

From an article on Reuters today:

(Reuters) - Greek banks, hit by a series of credit rating downgrades linked to the country's debt crisis, have asked the government for more financial support, Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said on Wednesday.

"The banks have asked to use the remaining funds of the support plan," he told reporters, referring to a package first agreed by the previous conservative government in 2008.

About 17 billion euros ($22.72 billion), mainly in state guarantees, remain in the 28 billion euro support scheme, launched to help Greek lenders cope with the global credit crisis.

The Central Bank of Greece said non-performing loans in the banking system rose further in the last quarter of 2009, bringing the full-year ratio to 7.7 percent.

The banks' plea for extra help highlighted the problems facing the entire Greek economy, which is expected to contract by at least 2 percent this year, partly as a result of austerity measures imposed to slash a huge budget deficit.

IMF officials began talks in Athens on Wednesday on implementing the austerity plan, just as the latest market jitters over Greece's ability to manage its debt mountain eased slightly, despite uncertainty over a euro zone rescue plan.

The IMF proposed austerity plan will sink the Greek economy even further, putting more stress on bank assets. Banks failures will increase and that will precipitate bank runs.

Greece and all of the other countries in the Eurozone have no credible deposit insurance. Bank runs could easily spread from Greece to the rest of the weaker periphery and, ultimately, to the big economies of Germany and France. The dominoes will soon start falling.

Learn how you can make 20 times your money on the coming crash of the euro here.

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Euro hits the skids as Greece situation deteriorates!

The euro is down sharply today on the heels of renewed stress in Euro bond markets.

Read email I received from Warren Mosler, below:

Greece - from bad to worse. As the markets worry about Greece pushing
back on the austerity measures that need to be taken to achieve IMF
funding (politicians balking at being pushed out of their jobs by the
public reaction), the markets are showing their anger. The 10-year
spread to Bunds is just about to break 400bp (55bp wider today) and the
2-year yield is out ~150bp on the day. It's worth noting that in these
conditions there's very little true trading going on - there are no
bids, mkt is one sided. Even the domestic mkt makers are no longer
showing bids.

Find out how you can make 20 times your money on the coming crash in the euro. Better hurry, it's beginning to happen! Read here.

Sunday, April 4, 2010

April Fools

This announcement poster below provides another reason why April 1st is called 'April Fools Day'.

Think of all of the wasted time and financial resources that occurred at this event. Discussions about "fiscal solutions" for the U.S. when nobody on the list of speakers evidences an understanding of Modern Monetary Theory; which leaves out the true "solutions" that are possible for our County that operates under a free floating, non-convertible currency system. A Country whose Treasury spending is never revenue constrained.

Friday, April 2, 2010

Obama: US would go bankrupt without health changes

This is an outrageous statement by the president. It displays total ignorance of our monetary system. But this view is widespread and it will result in policies that limit our economic growth and bring on the very hardships that come with real bankruptcy. What a shame.