Sunday, December 27, 2015

Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley — 10 Factors That Will Determine the Next President

What follows is an exploration of 10 factors that will probably determine the White House winner next year. Some of these — many of them, in fact — suggest that the GOP should be seen as a narrow favorite. But a few factors, combined with the live possibility that the next Republican nominee will make Mitt Romney look like Ronald Reagan, indicate to us that, as we turn the page from 2015 to 2016, that the 2016 general election is still a coin flip.…
Sabato's Crystal Ball
10 Factors That Will Determine the Next President
Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley
A comprehensive website run by the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Larry J. Sabato‘s Crystal Ballfeatures detailed and frequently updated analysis for elections across the country. The Crystal Ball keeps tabs on presidential elections, along with every Senate and gubernatorial race, as well as the tightest campaigns for the House.
The Crystal Ball has been a leader in accurately predicting elections since its inception.

3 comments:

John said...

Unfortunately, there is only one factor: Is your name Hilary Rodham Clinton?

Peter Pan said...

Factor #2: money

The Just Gatekeeper said...

The demographics and electoral map make it nearly impossible for Rs to win the WH under almost any scenario, especially due to the Trump damage. House and Senate will likely stay R, so get ready for 4 more years of bitter partisanship and crippling stagnation.