Friday, October 1, 2021

"The Meaning Of MMT" (Yeah, Sure) — Brian Romanchuk

Françoise Drumetz and Christian Pfister have enlivened us with a new Banque de France working paper “The Meaning of MMT.” I have read a lot of critiques of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) over the years, and summarised what I saw as the reasonable critiques in a chapter in my latest book, “Modern Monetary Theory and the Recovery.” The Drumetz and Pfister article is somewhat novel in its approach when compared to the fairly dismal track record of earlier neoclassical critiques, but the conclusions were preordained (spoiler: MMT is bad).

The first immediate disclaimer to note that although this was a working paper published by the French central bank, the views in the paper are supposed to represent the authors, and not the institution. Although anyone familiar with the economics research scene grasps this, people less familiar with the research business might phrase this as “the French central bank says…,” which is an overstatement.

Very simply, I am annoyed by this paper. My problem with it is straightforward: the authors are simultaneously condescending and quite often totally out to lunch. As Texans (allegedly) say, they are “all hat and no cattle.” It is incorrect to say that everyone with a neoclassical education is simultaneously condescending and wrong, but my personal experience is that they are well over-represented in that demographic.

One of the reasons I left academia was that I was an old school hard ass when it came to rigour, and that did not fit our changing times. This paper has a thin veneer of scholarship but underneath it is filled with what can only be described as bullshit (using the technical term from the philosophy of science)....
Bond Economics
"The Meaning Of MMT" (Yeah, Sure)
Brian Romanchuk

4 comments:

Peter Pan said...

All hat, no cattle, nice paycheck.

Matt Franko said...

“ the authors are simultaneously condescending and quite often totally out to lunch.”

Yo, they’re French… :p

Matt Franko said...

“ Does The Deficit Myth promise people a bright future at no cost? Well, those of us who actually read the book will have come across Chapter 2, which starts off with:

Myth #2: Deficits are evidence of overspending.

Reality: For evidence of overspending, look to inflation.”

Ok well that’s what we have right now…. Why are the Democrat MMT people advocating for this 3.5T thing when we are already at capacity?

There are no idle infrastructure workers or capacity… nobody can get people…

So we are getting this “inflation!” and are going to get even more if govt starts throwing more munnie at infrastructure..

We have idle capacity in Travel/Leisure/Hospitality… any additional munnie should be used to compensate those sectors to remain idle until the pandemic is further under control…

Infrastructure can remain at current rate of production and production increase…

They are violating their own Theory…

Tom Hickey said...

Right, and I don't think it is just labor shortages caused by the pandemic to be concerned with. There are also associated supply shortages owing to shortfalls in production and clogged supply chains.

There's also a looming and in some cases already actual increase in the cost of carbon-based energy in response to climate change as countries address shrinking their carbon footprint.

This could to be tricky going forward. It doesn't seem that such emergent challenges are being taken into consideration sufficiently at this point. Could get disruptive in many ways.